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By the way just for the manic mouth I do have a response to your question:
I know you have asked several times about my personal circumstances but firstly why would I tell you when you consider me to be a psychopath? The last time I did that and told you I objected to you characterising me as disabled because my wife is disabled you just kept on anyway. Secondly, some of us consider it gauche to go bragging about what we have or don't have in relation to others but I will say that I've ordered my affairs in recent years not a million miles from how you see things. |
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At least we know one thing for sure, that his PSYOPs education
hasn't helped him that much. |
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How can it? He simply refuses to be budged from his belief that we are one and the same along with carlos. Would you put anybody that intransigent in charge of running a bath?
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Okay Melly. You've been a very good boy. Get your boots. Feel free to disagree with my opinions given to Fine As.
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I wonder how long it will take you to figure out that sniffing my balls everyday on here is a dead end road.
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Thanks for responding. Good boy.
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In answer to the original question. Feck all chance.
Thank me in 2013. |
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Well I finally finished the book 'When Money Dies' by Adam Fergusson and a blooming good read it is too. If you're interested in hyperinflation, then please read it too, the level of detail of the Weimar monetary chaos is amazing. I'd like to thank the chap on here who recommended it, although he's surely far too modest to want mentioning by name, smiles.
Some of what happened to Germany in the early 1920s is unlikely to be replicated - reparations and being invaded unopposed by France in 1923 for example. But much of what happened could still be repeated today. A few examples in terms of how people behaved and thought: Prices were believed to be rising by the general public - no they weren't, not really. Prices stayed the same, it was the money that was losing value. It's hard to expose the fallacy that inflation means that prices are rising ( it's so obvious as the number on the label gets higher, but that's because it takes more of the paper money to buy the same item because the money is worth less ). During the high inflation of 1920-21-22, unemployment was negligible, there were even labour shortages and this was considered a good thing. This relationship between high inflation and low unemployment wasn't really well explained, which would be my only criticism of the book, but it was real enough, and when neigbouring Austria stopped their hyperinflationary rot and unemployment there soared, it worried the Germans a little, so printing money continued as a way of financing public expenditure. But worst was the general moral decline, dishonesty, and willingness to blame everything and anyone except the actual causes. Inflation was so high after WW1 that people delayed paying their taxes as long as possible and why not, people went on strike frequently for higher pay ( no problem, we'll borrow some worthless money from the central bank to meet your pay request ), people blamed foreigners, barterers, shops that opened for a couple of hours a day, hoarders of foreign currency, farmers/peasants who had goods of relatively fixed value to trade, gluttons, Jews, currency speculators, and especially foreigners who could actually come and buy things the locals couldn't. Nationalism took off. Overall, a slow read but also a very good one. |
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Hyperinflation, or inflation or watever we intend to discuss all realy means the same thing IMO.
Well it's all about opinions, wat does inflation realy mean. Does it mean prices rise. Bongo nails it on the head. No. Inflation = money is |
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Losing it's value.
So wat does hyperinflation mean. IMO In short it means, a certain rate or % effects different countries in different ways. Eg if inflation rises by say 15% in India over a 3 month period, it would not effect the people in that country all that much. Now if it were to happen in the uk I think it would be kind of devastating. Does any1 else agree, or am I mental |
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Carlos Monzon
I agree with you that the difference between inflation and hyperinflation is academic and it actually means nothing. I would actually contend that we need very high inflations in the UK economy in order to erode our currently excessive private and increasing public debt. That can be done by simply printing a few trillions and debasing the Sterling. For the high inflation I am advocating not to be devastating to most people we need to peg all wages and benefits in line with the monthly inflation rate computed by the ONS and the government and companies should not try to reduce it in the first 3-5 years so that people can easily repay their old debts with increased incomes thanks to inflation. Banks will be instructed to freeze all their old debt at the current low rates to enable us repay them and only new credit will be charged at the prevailing interest/inflation rates. The banks have lent us so recklessly that our total debt to GDP stood at over 500% according to McKinsey by mid 2011!!! Those financial institutions deserve to take the pill for their irresponsible behaviour. It is simply unacceptable to allow the banks hold assets worth 3/4 times our GDP when logically they should not hold even half!!! |
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anyone want to give me sensible odds (with a numerical lower bound for hyperinflation) for 2013, 2014 and 2015?
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Zero
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The government's spending pace in 2013 has been $13.3 billion a day while tax receipts have averaged $10.8 billion, according to Capital Economics. That leaves a daily shortfall of $2.5 billion.
![]() ![]() ![]() Treasury will have to start dipping into the nearly $36.5 billion in reserves it is holding to cover that shortfall, meaning the government can still run for about 14 more days. That, though, is probably too optimistic an outlook. "Because tax revenues fluctuate and spending obligations are not spread out evenly, the Treasury is likely to exhaust its reserves before then," Paul Dales, senior U.S. economist at Capital, said in a report. http://www.cnbc.com/id/101113997 |
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on target
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so when can we expect this hyperinflation to set in?
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February 29th
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All the hoarders are going to have to start eating the 1500 tins of emergency chic peas soon.
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Jesus H Christ, I don't think that even if I'd had the best parents ( and they were damned good ) and the best education at Eton and Cambridge and MIT that money can buy, that I could have predicted this back in say 2007:
"Germany sold five-year notes at an average yield of minus 0.08 percent on Wednesday, a euro-area record, meaning investors buying the securities will get less back than they paid when the debt matures in April 2020. " This comes from ( . http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2015-02-28/euro-area-negative-yield-bond-universe-expands-to-1-9-trillion ) and it might make sense for the people buying these bonds only because the estimated cost of keeping large amounts of cash is slightly lower than that ( estimates of 0.5% have been made ) and that Germany is a huge net exporter and therefore a safe place in money terms. And Germany is also safe from wars which is the worst thing for free trade. "Hey Mr Putin, you want to keep buying our technology and machines that produce the tunnels and the ticketing system for the StP Metro that will connect thousands to the Kirov Stadion for the 2018 World Cup, then don't mess with us judo boy." That's the clout you have if you are the one with effectively no weapons, but you have the brains and the technology and the machines. Well played Mademoiselle Merkel, you know you get me hard. If you predicted or even just guessed 8 years ago that people would give money to Germany in this way at -ve rates which means you are openly taking a loss, give yourself a massive pat on the back. In the context of after-timing we all say, ahh it sort of makes some sense, but in the context of Nov 2007 when the recession officially started depending on who you read, you would have to say that this is unbe****gbelievable. |