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How To Make It

DAY 13 - YEAR 2

13 Jan 20 17:04
Hi, just a brief note to say that I haven't forgotten about you (or this Blog).

I am running behind schedule (due to the introduction of some new systems and new software). So, although I said in my previous post that it would be between 7 and 14 days before I 'started up' again - the reality is that it will be a while longer. My apologies.

I have recently been asked by one 'follower':

"What's the point of this Blog if you don't tell us how you are doing what you are doing - assuming that you are actually doing it?"

I have paraphrased their question a little.

I will address this question in due course. However, I would remind everyone that I will not contemplate 'publishing' my method/system/approach until I reach my self-imposed target of £100,000. I think I mentioned this on page 1 of this Blog last year.

Once again please accept my apologies for the delay. I hope to be up and running (on this Blog) before the end of the month.

Regards

The Belgium Banker.
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DAY 1 - Year 2

12 Jan 20 12:24
Data: DAY 1 Wednesday 1st January 2020 
(Total Operational Days = 366)


Happy New Year!

Just a brief note to say that I will be off-line (in terms of this Blog) for approximately 7/14 days.
I am still betting but introducing some new types of bets along with some new software - so my working day has lengthened somewhat! So this is my way of letting everyone know that I am still 'operational'. I will return to giving regular updates as soon as possible.

Year End Report 2019

At the start of 2019 I targeted myself to achieve £100,000 by the end of the year. In reality I expected to reach my target by late autumn at worst. Up until July it looked as though this was achievable. However, in August the number of bets that met my selection criteria started to fall away. Also, for the first time, I noticed that the Odds I could find were not as ‘good’ as they had been. This ‘double-whammy’ continued to impact performance for the rest of the year, culminating in (by my standards) an awfully quiet December. As you can see from the graph below the rate of climb became shallower in the second half of the year. The Monthly R.O.B (Return-on-Bank) dropped away. The early giddy days of 30%+ Monthly R.O.B became a thing of the past!



I should point out that during the year I was continually working on increasing the Strike Rate (my target is 97.50%). The only way to increase the Strike-Rate is, not surprisingly, to decrease the Loss-Rate. Decreasing the Loss-Rate necessarily requires a refinement of the Selection Criteria – the aim of which is to minimise the chances of selecting bets that lose. By November 2019 I felt that I had perfected that side of the operation – resulting in September, October and November having, on average, a 99.22% Strike-Rate. Unfortunately December threw up a number of unexpected losses (it happens). Had there been more bets available in December it may have been possible to pull it back – but that is now history.

As a result of the Selection Criteria being refined I now have what I consider to be as good a set of criteria as it is possible to have. There are currently 18 filters in the selection process and 17 of them are “objective” rather than “subjective”. This last point is vitally important as it means 17 of the 18 criteria can be programmed into and run by a computer. After Easter 2020 I will begin a search for someone or a business that can develop such an API. This will, when developed, free up considerable time for me to develop other profitable ‘products’ (of which I have approximately another dozen or so in the R&D pipeline).

Another action taken by me that undoubtedly resulted in lowering the profitability of individual bets (in the second half of 2019) was the reduction in Risk. In the first half of the year the Risk could be as high as 10% of the Bank. It rarely was I hasten to add. It was closer to 5%. However, I decided to bring the Risk down to 1% over time. This I have now achieved. So, in theory, I could lose 97 bets in a row (extremely unlikely!) and still have cash-in-the-bank. The mathematical reality (yes it can be proven) is that with a Strike-Rate of 97.50% the most back-to-back losses I will suffer is four! When that happens (and it will) I stand to lose just 4% of my Bank. That I can live with. To ensure a 'Belt and Braces' approach I just need to work out the probability of two maximum back-to-back losses (4) - back-to-back (i.e. 8!). I hope that makes sense.

In November I finalised two additional products and in December I paper-traded them.  The results of those dry runs means that I will, from January onwards, bet them initially with a scaled-down Stake (reduced Risk) until I am confident that they work as well in the real world as they do on paper! It would appear that their effect, if carried on in reality, will be incremental, not seismic, gradually strengthening my profit capability.

As always the route to success is Patience, Attention to Detail and Discipline.


New to this Blog?: Please read BOTH my 'Preamble' on DAY 1 of this Blog and my End of Year 2019 Report on DAY 366. It should answer most of your initial questions. Happy
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DAY 365

02 Jan 20 03:27
Data: DAY 365 Tuesday 31st December 2019


December 2019        Today        M-T-D            Y-T-D     
No. of Bets:            8            97           1785
Winning Bets:            8            95           1714
Strike Rate:       100.00%         97.93%           96.02%
Return on Bank:          0.34%          6.09%
Profit / Loss:      £201.01   £3,389.47   £59,011.04


Total Bets Bets per Day* Profit per Bet* Daily Profit* Weekly Profit* Monthly Profit Accumulative
January     293      9.45       £8.31      £78.52       £608.53     £2,434.11   £2,434.11
February     199      7.11     £13.49      £95.90       £671.32     £2,685.27   £5,119.38
March     165      5.32     £28.43    £145.68    £1,172.76     £4,691.04   £9,810.42
April     111      3.70      £50.06     £185.23     £1,389.19      £5,556.79  £15,367.21
May     191      6.16     £26.43    £162.83    £1,139.45     £5,047.77 £20,414.98
June     169      5.63     £43.91    £247.41    £1,855.56     £7,422.22 £27,837.20
July     174      5.61     £40.24    £225.84    £1,750.26     £7,001.05 £34,838.35
August     128      4.13     £27.65    £114.17       £884.81     £3,539.24 £38,377.58
September     110      3.67     £47.10    £172.70    £1,295.27     £5,181.08 £43,558.56
October       74      2.39     £77.91    £185.97    £1,441.25     £5,764.99 £49,323.65
November        74      2.47     £85.11    £209.93    £1,574.48     £6,297.92 £55,621.57
December (31 of 31)       97      3.13     £34.94    £109.34       £847.37     £3,389.47 £59,011.04
  £59,011.04

      * above denotes an average





Comment:

Well it could have been a worse end to the year (but not by much!). I ended the year £40K short of my self-imposed target (but £60K richer than when I started). More on that in my End-of-Year-Report, which will follow in due course.

My analysis of this month is simple - Very poor odds coupled with not enough selections that met my criteria.
On the plus side an acceptable Strike Rate - over 97.50% which is my target.

I'll write up a Report for the year (it will be a few days as I consider things). Tomorrow is the start of Year 2, let's hope it is better than 2019.

I may 'appear' to go quiet for the next few days but I will be working away. I hope to have some updated Tables and Graphs for 2020. And, I may be launching some additional types of bets (but then again maybe not). We shall see.

Finally, may I wish you a peaceful and prosperous New Year!




New to this Blog?: May I suggest you read my 'Preamble' on DAY 1 of this Blog. It should answer most of your initial questions. Happy

Until tomorrow ...
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DAY 364

31 Dec 19 17:38
Data: DAY 364 Monday 30th December 2019


December 2019        Today        M-T-D            Y-T-D     
No. of Bets:            0            89           1777
Winning Bets:            0            87           1706
Strike Rate:       000.00%         97.75%           96.00%
Return on Bank:          0.00%          5.73%
Profit / Loss:      £000.00   £3,188.46   £58,810.03


Total Bets Bets per Day* Profit per Bet* Daily Profit* Weekly Profit* Monthly Profit Accumulative
January     293      9.45       £8.31      £78.52       £608.53     £2,434.11   £2,434.11
February     199      7.11     £13.49      £95.90       £671.32     £2,685.27   £5,119.38
March     165      5.32     £28.43    £145.68    £1,172.76     £4,691.04   £9,810.42
April     111      3.70      £50.06     £185.23     £1,389.19      £5,556.79  £15,367.21
May     191      6.16     £26.43    £162.83    £1,139.45     £5,047.77 £20,414.98
June     169      5.63     £43.91    £247.41    £1,855.56     £7,422.22 £27,837.20
July     174      5.61     £40.24    £225.84    £1,750.26     £7,001.05 £34,838.35
August     128      4.13     £27.65    £114.17       £884.81     £3,539.24 £38,377.58
September     110      3.67     £47.10    £172.70    £1,295.27     £5,181.08 £43,558.56
October       74      2.39     £77.91    £185.97    £1,441.25     £5,764.99 £49,323.65
November        74      2.47     £85.11    £209.93    £1,574.48     £6,297.92 £55,621.57
December (30 of 31)       89      2.97     £35.82    £106.28       £797.12     £3,188.46 £58,810.03
  £58,810.03

      * above denotes an average





Comment:

No selections met my criteria today. A somewhat disappointing run up to New Year's Eve!
In my dreams I hope to make a profit of £1,189.97 tomorrow Excited However, in reality I'll be lucky to make £118.99 based on my current performance!!

After tomorrow I will write up my December report and then a day or two later my Report for the Year once I have had time to reflect on it. Needless to say making a tad shy of £60K is way off my original goal of £100K plus - so I will consider where things 'went wrong' (assuming that they did) and what lessons can be learned.




New to this Blog?: May I suggest you read my 'Preamble' on DAY 1 of this Blog. It should answer most of your initial questions. Happy

Until tomorrow ...
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DAY 363

30 Dec 19 17:15
Data: DAY 363 Sunday 29th December 2019


December 2019        Today        M-T-D            Y-T-D     
No. of Bets:            6            89           1777
Winning Bets:            6            87           1706
Strike Rate:       100.00%         97.75%           96.00%
Return on Bank:          0.28%          5.73%
Profit / Loss:      £162.28   £3,188.46   £58,810.03


Total Bets Bets per Day* Profit per Bet* Daily Profit* Weekly Profit* Monthly Profit Accumulative
January     293      9.45       £8.31      £78.52       £608.53     £2,434.11   £2,434.11
February     199      7.11     £13.49      £95.90       £671.32     £2,685.27   £5,119.38
March     165      5.32     £28.43    £145.68    £1,172.76     £4,691.04   £9,810.42
April     111      3.70      £50.06     £185.23     £1,389.19      £5,556.79  £15,367.21
May     191      6.16     £26.43    £162.83    £1,139.45     £5,047.77 £20,414.98
June     169      5.63     £43.91    £247.41    £1,855.56     £7,422.22 £27,837.20
July     174      5.61     £40.24    £225.84    £1,750.26     £7,001.05 £34,838.35
August     128      4.13     £27.65    £114.17       £884.81     £3,539.24 £38,377.58
September     110      3.67     £47.10    £172.70    £1,295.27     £5,181.08 £43,558.56
October       74      2.39     £77.91    £185.97    £1,441.25     £5,764.99 £49,323.65
November        74      2.47     £85.11    £209.93    £1,574.48     £6,297.92 £55,621.57
December (29 of 31)       89      3.07     £35.82    £109.95       £797.12     £3,188.46 £58,810.03
  £58,810.03

      * above denotes an average






Comment:

Another quiet day ... as per usual on a Sunday.



New to this Blog?: May I suggest you read my 'Preamble' on DAY 1 of this Blog. It should answer most of your initial questions. Happy

Until tomorrow ...
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DAY 362

29 Dec 19 16:50
Data: DAY 362 Saturday 28th December 2019


December 2019        Today        M-T-D            Y-T-D     
No. of Bets:            9            83           1771
Winning Bets:            9            81           1699
Strike Rate:       100.00%         97.60%           95.93%
Return on Bank:          0.47%          5.44%
Profit / Loss:      £272.36   £3,026.18   £58,647.75


Total Bets Bets per Day* Profit per Bet* Daily Profit* Weekly Profit* Monthly Profit Accumulative
January     293      9.45       £8.31      £78.52       £608.53     £2,434.11   £2,434.11
February     199      7.11     £13.49      £95.90       £671.32     £2,685.27   £5,119.38
March     165      5.32     £28.43    £145.68    £1,172.76     £4,691.04   £9,810.42
April     111      3.70      £50.06     £185.23     £1,389.19      £5,556.79  £15,367.21
May     191      6.16     £26.43    £162.83    £1,139.45     £5,047.77 £20,414.98
June     169      5.63     £43.91    £247.41    £1,855.56     £7,422.22 £27,837.20
July     174      5.61     £40.24    £225.84    £1,750.26     £7,001.05 £34,838.35
August     128      4.13     £27.65    £114.17       £884.81     £3,539.24 £38,377.58
September     110      3.67     £47.10    £172.70    £1,295.27     £5,181.08 £43,558.56
October       74      2.39     £77.91    £185.97    £1,441.25     £5,764.99 £49,323.65
November        74      2.47     £85.11    £209.93    £1,574.48     £6,297.92 £55,621.57
December (28 of 31)       83      2.96     £36.46    £108.08       £756.55     £3,026.18 £58,647.75
  £58,647.75

      * above denotes an average






Comment:

I am getting the 'activity' but not the odds I would like. Just goes to prove that you can't always get everything you want!



New to this Blog?: May I suggest you read my 'Preamble' on DAY 1 of this Blog. It should answer most of your initial questions. Happy

Until tomorrow ...
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DAY 361

28 Dec 19 17:11
Data: DAY 361 Friday 27th December 2019


December 2019        Today        M-T-D            Y-T-D     
No. of Bets:            9            74           1762
Winning Bets:            9            72           1690
Strike Rate:       100.00%         97.30%           95.91%
Return on Bank:          0.37%          4.95%
Profit / Loss:      £215.36   £2,753.82   £58,375.39


Total Bets Bets per Day* Profit per Bet* Daily Profit* Weekly Profit* Monthly Profit Accumulative
January     293      9.45       £8.31      £78.52       £608.53     £2,434.11   £2,434.11
February     199      7.11     £13.49      £95.90       £671.32     £2,685.27   £5,119.38
March     165      5.32     £28.43    £145.68    £1,172.76     £4,691.04   £9,810.42
April     111      3.70      £50.06     £185.23     £1,389.19      £5,556.79  £15,367.21
May     191      6.16     £26.43    £162.83    £1,139.45     £5,047.77 £20,414.98
June     169      5.63     £43.91    £247.41    £1,855.56     £7,422.22 £27,837.20
July     174      5.61     £40.24    £225.84    £1,750.26     £7,001.05 £34,838.35
August     128      4.13     £27.65    £114.17       £884.81     £3,539.24 £38,377.58
September     110      3.67     £47.10    £172.70    £1,295.27     £5,181.08 £43,558.56
October       74      2.39     £77.91    £185.97    £1,441.25     £5,764.99 £49,323.65
November        74      2.47     £85.11    £209.93    £1,574.48     £6,297.92 £55,621.57
December (27 of 31)       74      2.74     £37.21    £101.99       £688.46     £2,753.82 £58,375.39
  £58,375.39

      * above denotes an average






Comment:

Sadly back to some kind of 'normal' in terms of the poor odds. That said, the little bits do add up over time.



New to this Blog?: May I suggest you read my 'Preamble' on DAY 1 of this Blog. It should answer most of your initial questions. Happy

Until tomorrow ...
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DAY 360

27 Dec 19 19:01
Data: DAY 360 Thursday 26th December 2019


December 2019        Today        M-T-D            Y-T-D     
No. of Bets:           12            65           1753
Winning Bets:           12            63           1681
Strike Rate:       100.00%         96.92%           95.89%
Return on Bank:          2.03%          4.56%
Profit / Loss:   £1,154.81   £2,538.46   £58,160.03


Total Bets Bets per Day* Profit per Bet* Daily Profit* Weekly Profit* Monthly Profit Accumulative
January     293      9.45       £8.31      £78.52       £608.53     £2,434.11   £2,434.11
February     199      7.11     £13.49      £95.90       £671.32     £2,685.27   £5,119.38
March     165      5.32     £28.43    £145.68    £1,172.76     £4,691.04   £9,810.42
April     111      3.70      £50.06     £185.23     £1,389.19      £5,556.79  £15,367.21
May     191      6.16     £26.43    £162.83    £1,139.45     £5,047.77 £20,414.98
June     169      5.63     £43.91    £247.41    £1,855.56     £7,422.22 £27,837.20
July     174      5.61     £40.24    £225.84    £1,750.26     £7,001.05 £34,838.35
August     128      4.13     £27.65    £114.17       £884.81     £3,539.24 £38,377.58
September     110      3.67     £47.10    £172.70    £1,295.27     £5,181.08 £43,558.56
October       74      2.39     £77.91    £185.97    £1,441.25     £5,764.99 £49,323.65
November        74      2.47     £85.11    £209.93    £1,574.48     £6,297.92 £55,621.57
December (26 of 31)       65      2.50     £39.05      £97.63       £635.62     £2,538.46 £58,160.03
  £58,160.03

      * above denotes an average






Comment:

I hope you all had a peaceful Christmas break.

Well, it would appear that the break has paid dividends! The reality is that Boxing Day is a very busy day in terms of the number of races. This in turn meant that more races met my selection criteria - 19 to be exact. That number was whittled down to 12 (unacceptable odds etc.). With a dozen races to go at, as opposed to my usual 3 or 4, I could make hay while the sun shone - and I did!

I am now in with a chance of not having the worst month of the year - but we shall have to wait an see.



New to this Blog?: May I suggest you read my 'Preamble' on DAY 1 of this Blog. It should answer most of your initial questions. Happy

Until tomorrow ...
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DAY 359

26 Dec 19 12:57
Data: DAY 359 Wednesday 25th December 2019


December 2019        Today        M-T-D            Y-T-D     
No. of Bets:            0            53           1741
Winning Bets:            0            51           1669
Strike Rate:       000.00%         96.23%           95.86%
Return on Bank:          0.00%          2.49%
Profit / Loss:     £000.00   £1,383.65   £57,005.22


Total Bets Bets per Day* Profit per Bet* Daily Profit* Weekly Profit* Monthly Profit Accumulative
January     293      9.45       £8.31      £78.52       £608.53     £2,434.11   £2,434.11
February     199      7.11     £13.49      £95.90       £671.32     £2,685.27   £5,119.38
March     165      5.32     £28.43    £145.68    £1,172.76     £4,691.04   £9,810.42
April     111      3.70      £50.06     £185.23     £1,389.19      £5,556.79  £15,367.21
May     191      6.16     £26.43    £162.83    £1,139.45     £5,047.77 £20,414.98
June     169      5.63     £43.91    £247.41    £1,855.56     £7,422.22 £27,837.20
July     174      5.61     £40.24    £225.84    £1,750.26     £7,001.05 £34,838.35
August     128      4.13     £27.65    £114.17       £884.81     £3,539.24 £38,377.58
September     110      3.67     £47.10    £172.70    £1,295.27     £5,181.08 £43,558.56
October       74      2.39     £77.91    £185.97    £1,441.25     £5,764.99 £49,323.65
November        74      2.47     £85.11    £209.93    £1,574.48     £6,297.92 £55,621.57
December (25 of 31)       53      2.12     £26.11      £55.35       £345.91     £1,383.65 £57,005.22
  £57,005.22

      * above denotes an average






Comment:

No Races today - Christmas Break. UK Horse Racing starts again on Thursday 26th December (Boxing Day) Excited



New to this Blog?: May I suggest you read my 'Preamble' on DAY 1 of this Blog. It should answer most of your initial questions. Happy

Until tomorrow ...
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DAY 358

25 Dec 19 17:32
Data: DAY 358 Tuesday 24th December 2019


December 2019        Today        M-T-D            Y-T-D     
No. of Bets:            0            53           1741
Winning Bets:            0            51           1669
Strike Rate:       000.00%         96.23%           95.86%
Return on Bank:          0.00%          2.49%
Profit / Loss:     £000.00   £1,383.65   £57,005.22


Total Bets Bets per Day* Profit per Bet* Daily Profit* Weekly Profit* Monthly Profit Accumulative
January     293      9.45       £8.31      £78.52       £608.53     £2,434.11   £2,434.11
February     199      7.11     £13.49      £95.90       £671.32     £2,685.27   £5,119.38
March     165      5.32     £28.43    £145.68    £1,172.76     £4,691.04   £9,810.42
April     111      3.70      £50.06     £185.23     £1,389.19      £5,556.79  £15,367.21
May     191      6.16     £26.43    £162.83    £1,139.45     £5,047.77 £20,414.98
June     169      5.63     £43.91    £247.41    £1,855.56     £7,422.22 £27,837.20
July     174      5.61     £40.24    £225.84    £1,750.26     £7,001.05 £34,838.35
August     128      4.13     £27.65    £114.17       £884.81     £3,539.24 £38,377.58
September     110      3.67     £47.10    £172.70    £1,295.27     £5,181.08 £43,558.56
October       74      2.39     £77.91    £185.97    £1,441.25     £5,764.99 £49,323.65
November        74      2.47     £85.11    £209.93    £1,574.48     £6,297.92 £55,621.57
December (24 of 31)       53      2.21     £26.11      £57.65       £345.91     £1,383.65 £57,005.22
  £57,005.22

      * above denotes an average






Comment:

No Races today - Christmas Break. UK Horse Racing starts again on Thursday 26th December (Boxing Day) Excited



New to this Blog?: May I suggest you read my 'Preamble' on DAY 1 of this Blog. It should answer most of your initial questions. Happy

Until tomorrow ...
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