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yyyy
20 Apr 13 17:43
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Date Joined: 12 Sep 10
| Topic/replies: 8,553 | Blogger: yyyy's blog
Nadal 1.52

Is it too high? Great to back? He was traded at 1.35 earlier in the tour.
If I back him at 1.55 and lay at 1.35 which is reasonable to be, then I make 20 tips in no time. (= $140 profit out of $1000 invetsment; 14% ROI. Not bad, eh).

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Replies: 514
By:
aaronh
When: 20 Apr 13 17:46
1.54 is big value
By:
yyyy
When: 20 Apr 13 18:04
so, to back then!

Who's gonna win, aaronh?
By:
TheMadness
When: 20 Apr 13 18:11
Nadal may have forgotten how to play Djoker whilst he's been off. Can't be doing that forehand to backhand crap against him too often. But Djoker ain't the same player he was a couple of years ago.
By:
aaronh
When: 20 Apr 13 18:12

Apr 20, 2013 -- 6:04PM, yyyy wrote:


so, to back then!Who's gonna win, aaronh?


the doper will win

By:
yyyy
When: 20 Apr 13 18:19
thank you. Cool
By:
jin_kazz
When: 20 Apr 13 18:23
If I back him at 1.55 and lay at 1.35 which is reasonable to be, then I make 20 tips in no time. (= $140 profit out of $1000 invetsment; 14% ROI. Not bad, eh).

===

if he will win
By:
bihonline
When: 20 Apr 13 22:15

If I back him at 1.55 and lay at 1.35 which is reasonable to be, then I make 20 tips in no time. (= $140 profit out of $1000 invetsment; 14% ROI. Not bad, eh).


If you back him at 1.55, you may lay him at 4.00 and that would be bad.

By:
Only-the-Brave
When: 20 Apr 13 23:08
Nadal at Monte Carlo, odds of 1/2 ish.  Nothing more needs to be said really.  Huge price for someone with the record that he has here.  Djok capable of beating him no doubt, but Rafa shouldn't be bigger than 1/3 here.
By:
lurka
When: 21 Apr 13 00:13
Statistically, Nadal is great value at that price, particularly with his record at this event. Djok has only ever beaten him twice on clay, both in 2011 when he was on his extra-terrestrial winning streak.

It's strange that nadal's price is higher than usual on clay, presumably because of his injury, yet it is djoko who seems bothered by injury? Not so sure how real the injury is, sounds like his camp might be making their excuses already or playing mind games. But nadal is still not quite at his best i suppose, he doesn't look unbeatable on clay like he did last year.

I think it will be a tight first set with a few breaks exchanged, with rafa taking it. So i would lay rafa if he goes ahead early and then back him higher before the end of the first set. If dmitrov can take a set and tsonga come back from 5-1 surely djok can win at least 1 set. But i'd wait to see how it starts before betting. Djok has lost the first set in 2 of his 4 matches this week and nadal has won all 4 of his by at least 2 breaks.
By:
The Bhoys
When: 21 Apr 13 02:45
nadal is massive. And arrong he is not a doper.
By:
;[p
When: 21 Apr 13 02:56
full bank crippled chokeovic(and im rafa big fan) thank you mugs for comming and munny goobyeWinkTongue OutTongue OutTongue Out
By:
;[p
When: 21 Apr 13 02:57

Apr 20, 2013 -- 6:12PM, aaronh wrote:


Apr 20, 2013 --  6:04PM, yyyy wrote:so, to back then!Who's gonna win, aaronh?the doper will win


mug

By:
aaronh
When: 21 Apr 13 03:00

Apr 21, 2013 -- 2:45AM, The Bhoys wrote:


nadal is massive. And arrong he is not a doper.


ffs

it's like when Venus plays Serena and you say "Williams will win"

but I doubt anyone got that from my post Scared

By:
aaronh
When: 21 Apr 13 03:01

Apr 21, 2013 -- 2:57AM, ;[p wrote:


Apr 20, 2013 --  6:12PM, aaronh wrote:Apr 20, 2013 --  6:04PM, yyyy wrote:so, to back then!Who's gonna win, aaronh?the doper will winmug


mug2

By:
nofx
When: 21 Apr 13 03:34

Apr 21, 2013 -- 3:00AM, aaronh wrote:


Apr 21, 2013 --  2:45AM, The Bhoys wrote:nadal is massive. And arrong he is not a doper.ffs it's like when Venus plays Serena and you say "Williams will win"but I doubt anyone got that from my post


was fairly feckin obvious variation on "the one form this or there will win" Laugh

By:
nofx
When: 21 Apr 13 03:34
from ffs
By:
;[p
When: 21 Apr 13 04:16
serbian goat will destroy this arsepickin half crilled semi claygoat saVE UR MUNNY Crazy
By:
aaronh
When: 21 Apr 13 05:04
you're drunk ;[p
By:
;[p
When: 21 Apr 13 05:13
no thats my bet
By:
;[p
When: 21 Apr 13 05:15
tough one anyways
By:
bihonline
When: 21 Apr 13 08:51
The only strategy I can think of is laying Nadal @1.5 and backing him later @1.8. It must happen.
Altough I have a feeling that Djokovic will win. If I was a pure gambler I would consider Djokovic as a huge value @3.
Anyway I am in a pretty comfortable position as I backed Nole as the winner @6.3 which was imo ridiculous price even with Berdych and JMDP still in.
By:
Maestro_71
When: 21 Apr 13 10:51
I think this will be very tight. I'm convinced Rafa's odds will go higher in-play so will wait and see.
By:
GRANTCKING
When: 21 Apr 13 11:26
over the games is a nap in this match as is nadal to win
By:
GRANTCKING
When: 21 Apr 13 11:26
vamos Cool
By:
Platini
When: 21 Apr 13 11:59
Nadal fast starter, Joker slow starter. Back Nadal first, lay after start.
By:
lurka
When: 21 Apr 13 12:14
i think nadal will trade higher too but all the signs point to him trading lower first
By:
yyyy
When: 21 Apr 13 12:33
Nadal will win.
Reason: Djoker has no enough motivation to deliver his 100%. Nadal does.
I am backing Nadal right off the bat. GL all.
By:
Kean
When: 21 Apr 13 12:46
KING will prevail.
By:
cromulator
When: 21 Apr 13 12:57
because of his sh it serve, he doesnt seem to have that many straight forward service games and against joker thats gonna be real hard work! but if you look at the stats of it all, you cant oppose rafa really. he has to be toppled at some point, but not sure thats yet
By:
lurka
When: 21 Apr 13 12:57
from tradeshark's blog:-

'Before I start, a quick message to SteveDevo from the Betfair forum. If you’re going to paste my comments on the BF forum show me the basic courtesy of saying where you got them from rather than trying to pass them off as your own thoughts.' LOL
By:
tweedy
When: 21 Apr 13 13:00
naughty boy ;)
By:
lurka
When: 21 Apr 13 13:07
rain delay according to 3.65, weather supposed to be bad today. If windy more reason to back rafa imo
By:
smb360
When: 21 Apr 13 13:10

Apr 21, 2013 -- 12:57PM, lurka wrote:


from tradeshark's blog:-'Before I start, a quick message to SteveDevo from the Betfair forum. If you’re going to paste my comments on the BF forum show me the basic courtesy of saying where you got them from rather than trying to pass them off as your own thoughts.' LOL


Lol. Which thread are those comments in? He hasn't posted here.

By:
GWB_III
When: 21 Apr 13 13:10
Anyone know anything about the weather situation?
By:
smb360
When: 21 Apr 13 13:10
And does anyone know anything about the likely duration of the rain? I set my alarm for this Cry
By:
n88uk
When: 21 Apr 13 13:13
It won't be that long. It's due to be clear by 3pm local time (47 mins from now).
By:
nofx
When: 21 Apr 13 13:13
dunno about duration, radar doesn't look too bad and it didn't get real dark, but it was a a lot of water and they covered the court
By:
Dr Kim
When: 21 Apr 13 13:17
Nadal should win but i'd like better odds. Will wait till Djokovic breaks and holds then back Nadal at evens. That's the best strategy with this match
By:
GWB_III
When: 21 Apr 13 13:20
OK, thanks. Pictures of Fed Cup in Italy look very dark and wet too, not that far away.
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