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Eurovision 2025

Lifter

29 Jan 25 13:50

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Date Joined: 19 Sep 14

| Topic/replies: 10,158 | Blogger: Lifter's blog

With Eurovision being my most profitable specials market (by quite some distance), I couldn't wait any longer before getting this train rolling.

Has anyone seen anything in the national finals? I've been looking, and nothing looks good enough for top 10 yet, let alone win the thing.

BUTTTT we managed to get on Switz at 24s last year, so it pays to keep ears close to the ground.

GL all.

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Replies: 593

By:

Lifter When: 29 Jan 25 21:08

Double thread for some reason. Let's use this

By:

Henry VIII When: 04 Feb 25 11:02

Just spent last couple of days catching up with all of this. Able to follow every day now. Xiting.

By:

Henry VIII When: 04 Feb 25 11:04

ESC - the biggest of all the specials stuff by far.

By:

Lifter When: 04 Feb 25 18:43

Nice to have another forumite joining in on the fun!

By:

Lifter When: 04 Feb 25 18:48

I really can't see where the winner comes from at the moment. All sons in NFs are dire, so we need a big internal section song. I can put a line through nearly every country. Hmmm...

I blindly backed France at 27s, but only got about £14 matched

before their price crashed on the back of them selecting Louane. Now, she is a huge star and should get big jury points, but I can't see her typical song doing well at Eurovision. With nothing else to go at, 13/1 for the potential of her song being decent could be fair.

Then you have Sweden - Mans should win and represent Sweden, and I can't imagine him trying again with a song he doesn't think could win.

By:

Henry VIII When: 04 Feb 25 22:08

ADONXS - Kiss Kiss Goodbye (Acoustic Version) Czechia's entry, just aired for the first time, during Malta SF1. Nice.
www.youtube.com/watch?v=ur4nwFlrMBc

By:

Henry VIII When: 04 Feb 25 22:11

I have a don't lay attitude to Sweden but I'm never that hopeful they'll come up with something. They're kind of a default winner if there's nothing else.

By:

Lifter When: 04 Feb 25 23:29

Just listing to ADONXS now - pretty good. My favorite song so far. Not quite enough to win, but it's early days and there is something to work with.

By:

Lifter When: 04 Feb 25 23:31

Nibbled at 34s and waiting to be matched on France.

By:

Lifter When: 04 Feb 25 23:38

Another I like with potential - while we are on male ballads is JOSH – Tristeza for Portugal

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aNcxtprDMPY

By:

Henry VIII When: 04 Feb 25 23:55

Josh's song is beautiful but it should be in English, if so it would be a contender. I'm amazed so many countries never learn that.

Czechia just after he sang was 85, then my pc crashed, but got all 50-80 after reboot. 842GBP appeared on 34 waiting to back Czechia, then moved up to 42, now gone. I wonder what that was all about.

974 waiting to back France at 12.5. She hasn't even got a song yet. You're waiting on France. To lay off?

By:

Henry VIII When: 05 Feb 25 07:40

OK she's got a song. And the 974 backer thinks it's really good.

By:

Lifter When: 05 Feb 25 08:53

Feb 4, 2025 -- 11:55PM, Henry VIII wrote:

Josh's song is beautiful but it should be in English, if so it would be a contender. I'm amazed so many countries never learn that. Czechia just after he sang was 85, then my pc crashed, but got all 50-80 after reboot. 842GBP appeared on 34 waiting to back Czechia, then moved up to 42, now gone. I wonder what that was all about.974 waiting to back France at 12.5. She hasn't even got a song yet. You're waiting on France. To lay off?

Nice one on the 50-80! The 842GBP backer was me, and so is the 974 France backer so don't read into that

By:

Lifter When: 05 Feb 25 08:55

The field is weak, and she is the star of the show. I think any good song with a likelihood to win goes 3/1 instantly, and I think the chances of her having that song are probably around 30-50%, so yeah

By:

Lifter When: 05 Feb 25 08:58

It will be sung on the 15th of March at the Stade de France, during France - Scotland XI Nations. So we have a while to wait.

By:

Henry VIII When: 05 Feb 25 09:54

I like the cut of your jib Lifter. Risky on France but if she's releasing it at the Six Nations they must think it's good. Anthemic maybe.

By:

Lifter When: 06 Feb 25 07:54

Snippets are out for Sweden's heat 2. Klara sounds great - https://www.svtplay.se/video/8Eq3qxn/melodifestivalen-tjuvlyssna-pa-latarna/4-klara-hammarstrom-on-and-on-and-on?video=visa

By:

Lifter When: 06 Feb 25 09:07

Nomi's song also interesting - https://www.svtplay.se/video/jMyVyBE/melodifestivalen-tjuvlyssna-pa-latarna/1-nomi-tales-funniest-thing?video=visa

By:

Henry VIII When: 06 Feb 25 11:36

Yes those 2 will win that MF. Klara beating Nomi on wiwi poll. More interesting if it were the other way around. Klara's minute ends well but a lot of dross before that.
What do you think of Tommy, Estonia?

By:

Lifter When: 07 Feb 25 00:18

Full songs are up. I like Klara's even more, and pretty sure that's a nailed top 3 result if it gets chosen. Likely to be Mans though lol

By:

Lifter When: 07 Feb 25 00:20

Feb 6, 2025 -- 11:36AM, Henry VIII wrote:

Yes those 2 will win that MF. Klara beating Nomi on wiwi poll. More interesting if it were the other way around. Klara's minute ends well but a lot of dross before that.What do you think of Tommy, Estonia?

Tommy is pretty good for a "joke" entry. Got to think the judges bury it, though.

By:

Henry VIII When: 07 Feb 25 13:36

Depends on staging, everybody said they would bury Netta.

By:

Henry VIII When: 07 Feb 25 13:37

But I agree about Sweden.

By:

Lifter When: 07 Feb 25 16:07

Feb 7, 2025 -- 1:36PM, Henry VIII wrote:

Depends on staging, everybody said they would bury Netta.

That's true. There is potential there for sure

By:

Lifter When: 07 Feb 25 17:22

There's a lot of hate toward the UK's selection. It's an unknown girl band with a theatrical background, so yeah it doesn't inspire confidence, but could there possibly be value here? They can clearly sing well live and have great harmonies, so a good jury score could be on the cards. I'll nibble those 40/1 prices

By:

AKsooted When: 07 Feb 25 23:55

Ireland just picked one that could be a runner. I can't believe I backed an Irish entry sung by a Norwegian girl singing about a Russian dog who died in space

It is very catchy though.

By:

Lifter When: 08 Feb 25 10:35

By:

Henry VIII When: 08 Feb 25 10:38

Ireland “Laika Party” 1st with public, 1st with national jury and 2nd with international jury. Good for Ireland getting close to ESC system. It was also up against good competition.

By:

Lifter When: 08 Feb 25 13:13

It has potential, but they really need to nail the staging and her vocals seem shaky

By:

Henry VIII When: 08 Feb 25 20:33

2200 was waiting to back Finland a minute ago. Taken down when Erika lost the lead. Probably regain it with the public vote. LPM 16.

By:

Lifter When: 08 Feb 25 20:39

Not me this time, ha. Don't understand the Erika hype to be honest. Backed some Portugal as I think if Josh wins, then it can win the jury vote (English or not).

By:

Lifter When: 08 Feb 25 20:40

Also, looks like Klara isn't going to win Melfest. So need Mans to save the day.

By:

Lifter When: 08 Feb 25 20:52

Erika wins.

By:

Henry VIII When: 08 Feb 25 21:34

MF heats 3,4,5 to go, likely to be more good stuff.

By:

Henry VIII When: 08 Feb 25 21:36

Large lumps trying to back Erica, Finland gone away.

By:

Henry VIII When: 09 Feb 25 14:10

Feb 8, 2025 -- 1:13PM, Lifter wrote:

It has potential, but they really need to nail the staging and her vocals seem shaky

Just watched Ireland properly, you're right, she's a nervous singer.

By:

Henry VIII When: 10 Feb 25 19:44

"Backed some Portugal as I think if Josh wins, then it can win the jury vote (English or not)."

I think JOSH would be a great contender for Portugal but word of caution as he hasn't won Festival da Canção yet, inexplicably imo:

Fernando Daniel – Medo 304K YT views
JOSH – Tristeza 168K YT views

Fernando Daniel – Medo 1007 wiwi poll votes
JOSH – Tristeza 546 wiwi poll votes

By:

Lifter When: 10 Feb 25 23:01

Thanks, Henry. Yeah, it is a bit of risk at this stage. I can just imagine him trading at 12s once the wider betting public sees it live

but yeah, maybe he doesn't even qualify or the vocals aren't as good

By:

Lifter When: 11 Feb 25 22:09

Watched the Sanremo favs, and yeah, Italy aren't winning this year