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*** I'm A Celeb Pricewatch ***

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Replies: 369
By:
ahorsewithnoname
When: 06 Dec 14 10:17
5th Elimination - Kendra
Kendra was always favourite to go. Highest matched 2.3, lowest 1.65, last 1.95. Around 16k was matched

6th Elimination - Tinchy
With both these elimination at the same time, very little was matched on this market, around 2.8k. Tinchy was 3rd fav after Kendra and Edwina. Highest matched 7, lowest 4.2, last 4.8

Only these two were announced as It Might Be You and both jointly eliminated. Tinchy was interviewed first but at the end of the show they revealed Kendra had finished in 6th place (so was the 5th eliminated) and that Tinchy had finished 5th.



Day 21, Saturday morning after 18th show and Kendra and Tinchy's eliminations. Looks like only one will be going tonight with a 3 person final, as at the end of Thursdays show they told us that Friday would be a double elimination.

Jake Quickenden.......2.32 - 2.48       (1.95 low reached last night but only £34 matched there. Drifting a bit today)
Carl Fogarty..............3.2 - 3.4       (high 3s last night, shortened today)
Melanie Sykes...........5.6 - 5.7       (7s yesterday afternoon)
Edwina Currie...........10 - 10.5       (around 18 yesterday afternoon, 12 after surviving elimination, shortened a little since)

Amount matched £991,686



Best HS Prices

King
8/13 Jake,  5/4 Foggy

Queen
2/5 Mel, 2/1 Edwina

Gender
3/10 Male, 5/2 Female

Next Elimination
4/5 Edwina, 11/4 Mel, 9/2 Foggy, Jake 10/1
By:
ahorsewithnoname
When: 07 Dec 14 08:24
7th Elimination - Edwina Cry

With just the 4 left, Edwina was always the odds on fav to go, but had a great show and a lot, including myself (33/1 Top Female backer signing in), were hoping she would get to the final. Highest price matched 1.92, lowest 1.53, last 1.73. Her last price matched in the Outright market was 14.5.
The other last prices matched for Elimination were 3 Mel, 7.2 Jake and 11 Foggy.
All 4 were told It Might Be You, in the order of Foggy - Jake - Mel - Edwina. The voting order perhaps?
£12,773 was matched.



So, Sunday morning, the day of the final (Day 22 after 19th show):

Carl Fogarty..............1.88 - 2.04       (trading low to mid 3s Saturday afternoon/early evening, mid 2s during the show, low 2s after show, odds on this morning, 1.95 low so far)
Jake Quickenden.......2.56 - 2.76       (2.2s Saturday 7pm, mid 2s after the show)
Melanie Sykes...........6.6 - 8.2       (mid 5s Saturday 7pm, drifted to near 10 after the show)

Amount matched £1,047,712
By:
armagnac
When: 07 Dec 14 10:10
good work horse, very hard too digest though Sad
By:
ahorsewithnoname
When: 08 Dec 14 09:01
8th Elimination (3rd Place) - Mel

Mel was always odds on fav for 3rd place. Highest matched 1.54, lowest 1.24, last 1.34
Jake - highest 6, lowest 4, last 5.2
Foggy - highest 17, lowest 5.1, last 12
£12,852 matched
By:
ahorsewithnoname
When: 08 Dec 14 09:23
Winner - Foggy  /  Runner-up - Jake

Foggy -  6pm 2.3      /      9pm 1.83      /      9:20pm 1.59      /      Vote Freeze 1.48      /       Vote Close 1.33     
Jake  -  6pm 2.2      /      9pm 2.74      /      9:20pm 3.3       /      Vote Freeze 3.85      /       Vote Close 3.9
Mel   -  6pm 8.2      /      9pm 9.2       /      9:20pm 13.5      /      Vote freeze 12.5

£1,178,777 matched at 3rd place vote freeze with £1,217,242 final amount matched at close of voting and market suspension (big improvement on previous year)


Lowest and highest prices matched on Foggy:
1.25    £989
1.26    £108
1.28    £198
1.29    £249
1.30    £1,439
1.31    £1,066
1.32    £324
1.33    £1,493
1.34    £2,903
1.35    £3,100
1.36    £3,866
1.37    £2,764
1.38    £3,424
1.39    £3,563
1.40    £2,149
-----------------------
30    £551
32    £272
34    £101
36    £124
38    £120
40    £249
42    £246
44    £41
46    £84
48    £96
50    £173
55    £130
60    £59

Lowest prices matched on Jake:
1.95    £34
1.97    £14
1.98    £4
1.99    £9
2.00    £319
2.02    £454
2.04    £549
2.06    £64
2.08    £102
2.10    £1,014
2.12    £1,186
2.14    £2,886
2.16    £2,205
2.18    £6,137
2.20    £4,033

Lowest prices matched on Jimmy:
1.73    £40
1.74    £120
1.76    £600
1.77    £2
1.78    £398
1.79    £386
1.80    £1,155
1.81    £1,181
1.82    £2,337
1.83    £2,327
1.84    £4,342
1.85    £8,728
1.86    £11,120
1.87    £7,511
1.88    £6,738
1.89    £10,745
1.90    £8,875

Other lowest prices matched:
3.1 Mel
4.2 Craig
6.6 Edwina
7.4 Tinchy
7.4 Michael
10.5 Gemma
12 Nadia
15 Kendra
22 Vicky
By:
armagnac
When: 08 Dec 14 09:26
good work horse, as always Cool
i wonder if eddie would of had the eating trial, i guess we'll never know now.
won a bit, still feels like a loser though...it leaves a bad taste in my mouth Mischief
By:
bearcub
When: 08 Dec 14 10:38
Cheers Horse Cool
By:
lookingon
When: 08 Dec 14 11:22
Excellent work Horse Cool
By:
hemsby
When: 08 Dec 14 11:35
Horse Love
By:
ahorsewithnoname
When: 08 Dec 14 12:32
Cheers army, bear, looky & hems.

When the voting numbers are out I'll note on here which, if any, of the It Might Be You's were not correct (as it's talked about and questioned every year).
By:
timbuctooth
When: 08 Dec 14 17:42
Excellent stuff, horse. Every year, we don`t know!
By:
ahorsewithnoname
When: 09 Dec 14 17:24
Now the votes are out, we can see that, as seems to be the norm, all the It Might Be You's (well, there were only 4 situations of this for this series) were correct apart from one, the 3rd elimination when Michael went and Edwina was told It Might Be You. Edwina was in fact 5th from bottom of the vote (so 4th out of the 8 from top). Vicki was the real person 2nd from bottom.
By:
ahorsewithnoname
When: 10 Nov 15 17:59
I'm A Celeb Series 15  -  November 2015


The launch show is on Sunday 15th November and ITV have today announced the initial 10 celebrities entering the jungle
Betfair have loaded a market this afternoon but here are the best high street prices right now:

5/1......George Shelley
11/2.....Jorgie Porter
9/1......Chris Eubank
9/1......Tony Hadley
10/1.....Kieron Dyer
12/1.....Yvette Fielding
12/1.....Susannah Constantine
16/1.....Duncan Bannatyne
16/1.....Brian Friedman
25/1.....Lady Colin Campbell


Newspapers and fan websites have also mentioned the following as possible additional entrants:

12/1.....Spencer Matthews
14/1.....Ferne McCann
16/1.....Vicky Pattison
By:
stu
When: 12 Nov 15 12:39
Good effort horse - interesting to compare intial HS to early moves. Cool
By:
ahorsewithnoname
When: 14 Nov 15 06:50
Cheers stu, it was just a snapshot of the prices at that minute though, a lot of the prices would have differed from those I quoted but sometimes only for a very short time or before the official line-up was known.


Betfair prices on Saturday morning, day before the launch show:

Tony Hadley...............5 - 5.2          (after initial bets at 7, traded at a high of 10.5 but continually shortened since, low of 4.4 matched so far)
Jorgie Porter.............5.5 - 5.7          (traded between 6.6 and 5.3)
George Shelley............7.4 - 7.8          (initial trades as low as 4.7 but been drifting since, highest matched 7.8)
Chris Eubank..............8.2 - 8.4          (traded between 8.6 and 6)
Duncan Bannatyne..........12.5 - 13.5          (matched at 18 early doors but been shortening, 10.5 matched. giving fee to charity)
Yvette Fielding...........14 - 15          (small amounts matched between 25 and 22 but mostly traded between 19.5 to 14.5)
Brian Friedman............18.5 - 20          (traded between 22 and 15.5)
Kieron Dyer...............21 - 25          (£10 matched at 9, £104 traded 10.5 to 13 then £75 matched at 32/34/36 before shortening to 15 on giving fee to charity news before then drifting out again)
Lady Colin Campbell.......27 - 42          (£20 matched at 21 and same at 22 and 25 but otherwise traded between 44 and 29)
Susannah Constantine......42 - 46          (started off at 25 but drifting since, high of 46 matched)

Amount matched £16,998.  Back % 95.3, Lay % 89.4


Four bookies have Spencer Matthews priced up between 10/1 and 12/1
Five bookies have Vicky Pattison priced up between 17/2 and 14/1
Two bookies have Ferne McCann priced at 12/1 and 20/1
By:
ahorsewithnoname
When: 16 Nov 15 07:58
Monday morning after the first show. Tony & Susannah were team captains during a set of tedious trials in the nearly 2 hour launch show.
Trial participants will be decided by free app voting only this year and Jorgie & Lady C were voted to do the first trial during yesterday's show.

Betfair prices:
         
Jorgie Porter................5 - 5.3          (shortened during show, low of 4 matched (plus £7 at 3.65), 4.3 after show but drifted back out some overnight)
George Shelley.............6.6 - 6.8          (steadily shortened a little during the show)
Tony Hadley................7.2 - 7.4          (drifted during the show from 5s beforehand to current levels)
Chris Eubank................7.8 - 8
Duncan Bannatyne........16.5 - 17.5          (12-13 just before show, drifted during)
Lady Colin Campbell.......18 - 19.5          (mid then low 30s pre show, came across well, game old eccentric bird, low of 14 matched at end of show, drifted a bit since)
Brian Friedman..............27 - 28
Kieron Dyer..................27 - 29
Susannah Constantine.....30 - 32
Yvette Fielding..............32 - 34          (market didn't like her at all, drifted from 18 pre show to 20s then 30s)

Amount matched £83,784.  Back % 87.3, Lay % 83.5


We've been told (as expected) Spencer Matthews (14/1), Vicky Pattison (14/1) & Ferne McCann (25/1) will be joining the campers this week
By:
ahorsewithnoname
When: 17 Nov 15 07:49
Tuesday morning, Day 3, after the 2nd show. No show tonight due to football. We will see the 3 newbies join the camp in tomorrow's show, I think. They were added to the Betfair market yesterday.
Last night was the Lady C show, we saw he and Jorgie successfully complete an eating trial but then she refused to do another mini trial after Tony and Chris nominated her laziest campmate (along with Yvette). Tony had been voted camp leader by viewers with Chris deputy. At the end of the show we saw Lady C again voted by viewers to do the next trial, after which she said "I was roped in to be sport for the oiks" Laugh


Betfair prices:
         
Jorgie Porter.................5 - 5.2          (had shortened to mid 4s yesterday but drifted back out a little again in the evening)
George Shelley..............6.8 - 7.2
Tony Hadley.................7 - 7.6          (had drifted to 8s yesterday but shortened back a little)
Chris Eubank................7.8 - 8
Vicky Pattison.............11 - 12.5          (opening trades 14 to 15 but then shortened to 9.6 yesterday evening before drifting out a tad overnight)
Spencer Matthews.........14 - 15          (matched between 18.5 and 13)
Lady Colin Campbell.......15 - 15.5
Brian Friedman..............30 - 34          (trading mid 20s yesterday before drifting out in the evening)
Duncan Bannatyne........32 - 36          (big drift, hardly shown)
Kieron Dyer...................32 - 36          (also hardly shown)
Yvette Fielding...............36 - 42
Susannah Constantine.....40 - 42
Ferne McCann.................40 - 42          (matched between 50 and 36)

Amount matched £126,588.  Back % 102.1, Lay % 95.5


Best high street prices for:
King of the Jungle............11/4 George, 11/4 Tony, 3/1 Chris, 6/1 Spencer, 12/1 Duncan, 14/1 Brian, 14/1 Kieron
Queen of the Jungle...........11/10 Jorgie, 4/1 Vicky, 9/2 Lady C, 12/1 Yvette, 14/1 Susannah, 14/1 Ferne
Gender of Winner..............4/6 Male, 5/4 Female
By:
ahorsewithnoname
When: 19 Nov 15 08:14
Thursday morning, our day 5, after the 3rd show. It was again the Lady C show last night, her refusing to do the trial due to her cousin's murder, arguing with Chris and irritating most of her campmates. Duncan and Jorge told touching stories about their upbringing. The 3 newbies were shown at the end of last night's show in a separate camp and will be doing the next trial before presumably joining up with the others.

Betfair prices:
         
Jorgie Porter.................4.2 - 4.3          (had drifted to 5.6 yesterday, shortening during the show to 4.5 and then even touching 4 again afterwards)
Vicky Pattison..............7.4 - 8          (continually shortened last 2 days for reasons I'm unaware of. 9s yesterday morning, 8s afternoon, hit 7 during last night's show)
Tony Hadley.................7.8 - 8.2          (low 7s yesterday until drifting during the show)
George Shelley..............8.8 - 9          (seems a friendly, happy, normal guy but not much in the personality department imo. 7s yesterday, big drift in evening, touched 11.5)
Lady Colin Campbell.......10 - 11          (trading around 15 yesterday before shortening during the show, lowest matched so far 9.8)
Spencer Matthews.........14 - 15.5
Chris Eubank................18.5 - 20          (eccentricities coming through doing him no favours, big drift yesterday, escalating overnight, 20 highest matched so far)
Duncan Bannatyne.........27 - 30          (shortened yesterday to low 20s before drifting back out a little after the show)
Kieron Dyer...................28 - 30          (trading low/mid 30s yesterday, shortening a little in the evening, coming across well when shown)
Yvette Fielding...............36 - 38          (50 matched yesterday)
Brian Friedman..............38 - 40          (trading around 30 yesterday, drifting overnight)
Ferne McCann.................40 - 44
Susannah Constantine.....60 - 80          (who cares)

Amount matched £168,186.  Back % 101.5, Lay % 95.5
By:
ahorsewithnoname
When: 20 Nov 15 07:27
Friday morning, our day 6, after the 4th show. We saw the three newbies do a trial then Vicky & Ferne enter the main camp. Spencer stayed at Snake Rock and was joined by Jorgie & Brian (chosen to go there by Vicky & Ferne) then the viewers voted for Lady C to also go there. These 4 will then do the next trial.

Vicky came across well in her first full show (well all the newbies did) and her price collapsed during last night's show, and after, and we now have a new favourite. Betfair prices:         

Vicky Pattison................3.65 - 3.75          (7.2 at 8:30pm, 6.4 at 9:17pm, 5.3 at 9:30pm, 3.9 at 10pm then matched down to 3.4 + £32 at 3.1)
Jorgie Porter.................4.2 - 4.5
Spencer Matthews..........9.2 - 9.6          (15 at 8:30pm, 12 at 10pm, then taken down to 9 an hour later + £15 matched at 8.4)
Lady Colin Campbell.......9.6 - 10          (matched down to 9 yesterday)
George Shelley..............13.5 - 15.5
Tony Hadley.................14 - 15
Kieron Dyer...................32 - 36
Ferne McCann.................34 - 38
Duncan Bannatyne.........36 - 40
Chris Eubank................36 - 48
Yvette Fielding...............46 - 50
Brian Friedman...............50 - 60
Susannah Constantine......90 - 170

Amount matched £206,613.  Back % 104, Lay % 96.7
By:
ahorsewithnoname
When: 20 Nov 15 08:55
Best high street prices for:

King of the Jungle............5/2 Spencer, 11/4 Tony, 4/1 George, 9/1 Chris, 12/1 Kieron, 14/1 Duncan, 16/1 Brian

Queen of the Jungle...........11/8 Vicky, 13/8 Jorgie, 5/1 Lady C, 20/1 Ferne, 25/1 Yvette, 40/1 Susannah

Gender of Winner..............8/15 Female, 7/4 Male

First Elimination............7/2 Susannah, 4/1 Yvette, 7/1 Duncan, 8/1 Brian & Ferne, 9/1 Lady C (3/1 Joe, 20/1 Sly!), 14/1 Kieron, 20/1 Chris, 33/1 Spencer & Vicky, 66/1 Jorgie, George & Tony
By:
ahorsewithnoname
When: 21 Nov 15 07:33
Saturday morning, our day 7, after the 5th show

News broke around 4 or 5pm yesterday that Spencer had mysteriously left the camp for good. He was trading in the 8s still at 2pm. He's currently 250 - 400

Last night's show had Jorgie, Lady C & Brian (the remaining Snake Rock team) do a trial which Lady C won who then returned to Croc Creek (the main camp) with George being picked to join Snake Rock. Then Yvette & Susannah joined Snake Rock but I forget now how as I was so bored watching.  The 2 teams then all did a boring live trial which Croc Creek won which meant the 5 Snake Rock campers will be doing the next trial (let's hope it's not boring).

Betfair prices:

Jorgie Porter.................3.3 - 3.5          (had shortened to high 3s pre show then flip-flopped with Vicky during the show, lowest matched so far 3.3)
Vicky Pattison................4.7 - 5.1          (traded mid 3s all day yesterday but half an hour or so into the show there was a quick and sudden drift)
George Shelley..............5.7 - 5.8          (had shortened to around 10 early evening then continually and consistently shortened all during the show and after)
Lady Colin Campbell.......12 - 13          (had drifted to around 14 yesterday, then shortened back to 10 in the evening before drifting again after the show)
Tony Hadley.................17 - 18.5
Ferne McCann.................25 - 30         (shortened down to 22 during the show)
Chris Eubank................32 - 40
Yvette Fielding...............32 - 40
Duncan Bannatyne.........34 - 38
Kieron Dyer...................36 - 38
Brian Friedman...............55 - 75
Susannah Constantine......85 - 120

Amount matched £245,119.  Back % 102.7, Lay % 94.5
By:
ahorsewithnoname
When: 22 Nov 15 09:57
Sunday morning, our day 8, after the 6th show

This show is just sh1t now. After a 10 minute row about a ****g tin of soup and constantly seeing and hearing the revolting Vicky, I just couldn't watch any more. Ant & Dec aren't funny on this show either these days, one of the main reasons for watching. These price updates will therefore be lacking comments about the show's content I'm afraid. Yes, I'm in a foul mood Sad

Betfair prices:

Vicky Pattison................3.4 - 3.6          (shortened during yesterday, back to 4 at 8pm, 3.8 at 9pm then shortened further during the show, touching 3.25)
Jorgie Porter.................3.95 - 4.1          (trading 3.5 at 8pm, drifting during the show on Vicky's shortening)
George Shelley...............5.3 - 5.7          (continued to shorten yesterday and during the show, down to 4.5, then drifting out again)
Tony Hadley.................17.5 - 19
Duncan Bannatyne.........19 - 20          (high 20s at 8pm, shortened during the show)
Ferne McCann................21 - 23          (high 20s at 8pm, shortened during the show)
Lady Colin Campbell.......29 - 30          (had drifted to 18 at 8pm, 20 at 9pm, then big drift during the show, up to 40)
Yvette Fielding...............38 - 55
Chris Eubank.................44 - 70
Susannah Constantine......60 - 75
Kieron Dyer....................60 - 80
Brian Friedman................90 - 150

Amount matched £264,611.  Back % 102.3, Lay % 94.3


Best high street prices for:
King of the Jungle..............4/5 George, 7/2 Tony, 5/1 Duncan, 12/1 Kieron, 12/1 Chris, 20/1 Brian
Queen of the Jungle...........11/10 Vicky, 11/8 Jorgie, 10/1 Ferne, 10/1 Lady C, 20/1 Yvette, 33/1 Susannah
Gender of Winner................4/11 Female, 2/1 Male
First Elimination................7/2 Susannah, 4/1 Yvette, 6/1 Brian, 8/1 Chris, 10/1 Kieron & Ferne, 12/1 Duncan, 12/1 Lady C, 25/1 Tony, 50/1 Vicky, 80/1 George & Jorgie
By:
stu
When: 22 Nov 15 10:42
Excellent job Horse. Some interesting moves, but of course Spencer shook up the market.
By:
ahorsewithnoname
When: 23 Nov 15 10:21
Monday morning, our day 9, after the 7th show

Another day, another price crash for the adorable Vicky. She's just so lovely, isn't she? I've worked out at the current rate of price shortening she will hit 1.01 in 4 to 5 days time. It was the Vicky show again last night I understand, as I've stopped watching, you hear this ITV, you've lost a viewer, hope you're happy Tongue Out

Betfair prices:

Vicky Pattison................2.7 - 2.72          (price down to 3 at 7pm yesterday, lumps trying to back, 2.9 at 9pm then crashed down to 2.58 during show)
Jorgie Porter..................3.9 - 4
George Shelley...............6.6 - 6.8
Duncan Bannatyne.........17.5 - 18.5
Ferne McCann................23 - 26          (backed down to 16 yesterday before drifting back out during/after the show)
Lady Colin Campbell........24 - 26
Chris Eubank..................34 - 42
Tony Hadley..................36 - 55          (25k backer has done his doe)
Yvette Fielding...............60 - 75
Susannah Constantine......75 - 100
Kieron Dyer....................80 - 190
Brian Friedman................95 - 500

Amount matched £296,174.  Back % 103.2, Lay % 96.8
Spencer finally 1000 to back
By:
ahorsewithnoname
When: 24 Nov 15 08:24
Tuesday morning, our day 10, after the 8th show. Betfair prices:

Vicky Pattison................2.64 - 2.78          (new low of 2.42 matched yesterday evening. Was 2.5 at 9pm)
Jorgie Porter..................4.7 - 4.8
George Shelley...............7.6 - 8.6
Duncan Bannatyne..........10.5 - 11.5          (backed down yesterday, 14 at 9pm, 13 at 10pm, shortened more overnight)
Lady Colin Campbell........12.5 - 14          (shortened again yesterday, was 18 at 9pm, 17 at 10pm, shortened more overnight)
Ferne McCann................19 - 22          (had drifted to 30 yesterday before shortening again during the show)
Chris Eubank..................42 - 44
Tony Hadley...................46 - 48
Kieron Dyer.....................75 - 100          (briefly shortened to 50 yesterday before drifting back out)
Yvette Fielding................80 - 85
Susannah Constantine......85 - 100
Brian Friedman................120 - 170

Amount matched £316,748.  Back 104.6%, Lay 96.9%
By:
ahorsewithnoname
When: 25 Nov 15 10:21
Wednesday morning, our day 11, after the 9th show. Betfair prices:

Vicky Pattison................2.36 - 2.46          (new low of 2.34 matched overnight)
Jorgie Porter..................5.9 - 6.4
George Shelley...............8.4 - 8.8
Duncan Bannatyne..........9.4 - 10          (low of 8.8 matched yesterday)
Lady Colin Campbell........10.5 - 12.5
Ferne McCann................25 - 26
Chris Eubank..................32 - 38
Tony Hadley...................50 - 65
Kieron Dyer.....................50 - 65
Yvette Fielding................75 - 90
Susannah Constantine......110 - 190
Brian Friedman................180 - 300

Amount matched £340,011.  Back 105.5%, Lay 97.2%


Best high street prices for:
King of the Jungle..............6/5 George, 2/1 Duncan, 9/1 Chris, 12/1 Tony, 16/1 Kieron, 33/1 Brian
Queen of the Jungle...........4/5 Vicky, 2/1 Jorgie, 7/1 Lady C, 12/1 Ferne, 33/1 Yvette, 50/1 Susannah
Gender of Winner................2/5 Female, 2/1 Male
First Elimination................11/4 Brian, 4/1 Susannah, 5/1 Yvette, 7/1 Kieron, 9/1 Chris, 14/1 Lady C, 22/1 Duncan, 25/1 Ferne, 33/1 Tony, 100/1 Vicky, George & Jorgie
By:
bearcub
When: 25 Nov 15 11:00
Love
By:
five leaves left
When: 25 Nov 15 11:18
Cool
By:
ahorsewithnoname
When: 26 Nov 15 08:03
Thursday morning, our day 12, after the 10th show. Betfair prices:

Vicky Pattison................1.97 - 1.99          (trading 2.3s half an hour before last night's show, down to Evens at 10pm, then went odds on, £23 matched at 1.74, £115 at 1.77 then next lowest 1.91)
Jorgie Porter..................7.8 - 8.2
George Shelley...............12.5 - 13          (8 before last night's show, 10 after, drifting more since)
Lady Colin Campbell........13.5 - 14.5          (12 before last night's show, up to 20 during it, shortened back since)
Duncan Bannatyne..........14.5 - 15          (10 before last night's show. 12 after, drifting more since)
Chris Eubank..................16.5 - 17.5          (had been backed in yesterday, around 28 just before the show, 22 after before further shortening since)
Kieron Dyer.....................25 - 27          (had been backed in yesterday, down to 40 just before the show, 30 after before further shortening since)
Ferne McCann.................42 - 46          (trading 26 just before last night's show, 30s after before further drifting since)
Tony Hadley...................80 - 100          (another day, another higher price matched)
Yvette Fielding.................90 - 170
Susannah Constantine......120 - 170
Brian Friedman................170 - 350

Amount matched £378,964.  Back 102.4%, Lay 97.8%
Any Other added yesterday, 1000 to back
By:
ahorsewithnoname
When: 27 Nov 15 09:02
Friday morning, our day 13, after the 11th show.

Yesterday they announced the first elimination will be tonight. I'm back watching the show after my little tantrum. Vicky, George & Duncan are immune tonight, Lady C, Yvette & Susannah are up and we think they will be joined by either Ferne, Kieron & Chris OR Brian, Tony & Jorgie.

Lady C is very much in the same mould as Gary Busey, a nightmare to live with but as a result is being picked on by most of the others, noticeable exceptions being Kieron & Chris, hence their price crashes this week.

Betfair prices:

Vicky Pattison................2.12 - 2.14          (odds on all yesterday, 1.88 at 9pm, mid 1.9s at 10pm before going back odds against a few minutes later)
Jorgie Porter..................8.2 - 8.8
Chris Eubank..................9 - 9.2          (continued to shorten yesterday, 12 at 9pm, 9s by 10pm)
George Shelley...............11 - 12
Kieron Dyer.....................15.5 - 16.5          (continued to shorten yesterday, 19 at 9pm, 16 at 10pm)
Duncan Bannatyne..........17.5 - 18.5
Lady Colin Campbell........18.5 - 19.5          (drifted back out yesterday, refused to do a trial and wimped out on the immune challenge) 
Ferne McCann..................42 - 48
Tony Hadley....................100 - 160
Yvette Fielding.................110 - 160
Susannah Constantine.......170 - 200
Brian Friedman.................240 - 300
Any Other........................470 - 540          (had £72 matched at 1000 but then backed in yesterday, £22 been matched at 250)

Amount matched £413,379.  Back 102.8%, Lay 98.2%
By:
ahorsewithnoname
When: 28 Nov 15 10:41
Saturday morning, our day 14, after the 12th show.

Yesterday saw the first elimination, which was Susannah. Vicky (naturally), George and Duncan were immune and the vote opened and closed during the show for the other 9. Chris was announced as the other bottom 2. Susannah was fav to go and on Betfair traded around 3 down to 2.5 (I was out so don't have exact figures and anyway not that bothered about elimination prices for this show).

Last night's show was bad for Chris when he choose to send the purple team to go to the danger zone then denied this and claimed he said Duncan, not purple. Right oh, Chris. Brian and Lady C kissed and made up. Literally. Several times. Next elimination tonight, with one going per night expected from now on.

Betfair prices:

Vicky Pattison.................2.02 - 2.08
George Shelley................7.2 - 7.8
Jorgie Porter...................9.8 - 10
Kieron Dyer.....................12.5 - 13.5
Lady Colin Campbell.........15.5 - 16.5
Ferne McCann..................21 - 23
Chris Eubank..................23 - 25
Duncan Bannatyne...........27 - 38
Tony Hadley....................70 - 80
Yvette Fielding.................110 - 170
Brian Friedman.................190 - 240

Amount matched £441,323.  Back 104.1%, Lay 97.6%


Best high street prices for:
King of the Jungle..............7/4 George, 5/2 Kieron, 4/1 Chris, 9/2 Duncan, 25/1 Tony, 33/1 Brian
Queen of the Jungle...........4/11 Vicky, 4/1 Jorgie, 8/1 Lady C, 14/1 Ferne, 50/1 Yvette
Gender of Winner................2/5 Female, 9/4 Male
By:
ahorsewithnoname
When: 29 Nov 15 08:18
^ Should have written Chris was announced as the other "it might be you" rather than bottom 2, which in any case may or may not have been true


Sunday morning, our day 15, after the 13th show.

They announced at the beginning of last night's show there wouldn't be an elimination (no reason why) and that the 2nd person to leave will happen tonight.
Yesterday's show saw George do a trial getting 10 out of 11 stars and Lady C MURDERING a beetle. Tony took exception to this which caused a torrent of abuse from Lady C.

Betfair prices:

Vicky Pattison.................1.94 - 1.99          (think she has only traded between 1.9 and 2.1 the last couple of days)
George Shelley................4.4 - 4.8          (shortened all day yesterday, into 6s early evening, 5s start of show, 4s after, 4 lowest matched + £10 at 3.65 & £5 at 3.7)
Jorgie Porter...................16 - 24          (big drift yesterday, not shown much and what is isn't good, b1tching with others)
Ferne McCann..................19 - no one wants to back!          (shortened down to 15 during yesterday, drifting back out in the evening)
Kieron Dyer.....................19.5 - 44
Duncan Bannatyne...........22 - 28
Lady Colin Campbell.........25 - 27
Chris Eubank...................30 - 48
Tony Hadley....................34 - 42          (shortened yesterday, down to 50 early evening, lower during/after show)
Brian Friedman.................150 - 230          ("something isn't working, there's only one thing for it, bring back Louis Walsh!")
Yvette Fielding.................160 - 330

Amount matched £463,234.  Back 107.4%, Lay 89.9%
By:
ahorsewithnoname
When: 30 Nov 15 10:26
2nd Elimination - Brian Friedman
Brian traded between 4.9 and 2.5 with lpm 3. His lpm in the outright was 120
The other "it might be you" was Yvette who traded between 3.55 at 1.7 with lpm 2.34
These two were the market frontrunners for elimination. Yvette shortened as Sunday's show started, going odds on before then drifting as Brian shortened during the show
£10,584 was matched



Monday morning, our day 16, after the 14th show:

Vicky Pattison.................2.4 - 2.46          (around evens most of yesterday, drifted to 2.1 at 9pm, 2.2 end of show, higher after. Most of us are fed up to the back teeth with her)
George Shelley................3.4 - 3.5          (had shortened from low 4s to around 3.7 at 9pm, then just after the show a keen backer drove his price down to 3, 1.1k matched, before then drifting out after)
Ferne McCann..................9.4 - 9.8          (around 20 at start of yesterday's show which was, refreshingly, somewhat the Ferne show, hence price shortening)
Jorgie Porter...................18.5 - 22
Kieron Dyer.....................20 - 25          (mid 20s most of yesterday. Kieron's a good egg and he pleasingly doesn't drink/drive)
Lady Colin Campbell.........26 - 34
Chris Eubank...................42 - 48
Duncan Bannatyne...........46 - 80
Tony Hadley....................46 - 55          (matched in the high 20s yesterday, low 30s pre show before drifting back out during/afterwards. He's a fat slob according to Lady C)
Yvette Fielding.................300 - 440

Amount matched £490,639.  Back 103.4%, Lay 96.3%


Best high street prices for:
King of the Jungle..............8/15 George, 11/2 Kieron, 9/1 Chris, 11/1 Duncan, 14/1 Tony
Queen of the Jungle...........4/11 Vicky, 5/1 Ferne, 9/1 Jorgie, 121 Lady C, 66/1 Yvette
Gender of Winner................4/6 Female, 7/4 Male  (pile in)
By:
ahorsewithnoname
When: 01 Dec 15 09:35
3rd Elimination - Yvette Fielding
Yvette always the clear fav, highest matched 2.06, lowest 1.52, lpm 1.73
Chris was 2nd fav, traded down to 5
The other "it might be you" was Duncan, lpm 9. Jorgie's lpm was 10. £11,503 matched


Tuesday, our day 17, after the 15th show:

Vicky Pattison.................2.42 - 2.58          (drifted to 2.8s leading up to yesterday's show, still that price 11pm, now shortened again overnight)
George Shelley................2.7 - 2.88          (shortened to sub 3 leading up to show, went fav during, matched down to 2.52, 2.6s at 11pm, bit higher today)
Ferne McCann..................7.8 - 8.6          (new low of 7.4 matched yesterday)
Jorgie Porter...................18 - 19          (drifted to low 20s yesterday, higher during the show before then shortening back, was 16 afterwards, bit higher now)
Kieron Dyer.....................30 - 32          (shortened down to 15 yesterday before big drift setting in after the show, don't know why)
Lady Colin Campbell.........38 - 40
Chris Eubank...................80 - 85
Tony Hadley....................75 - 100
Duncan Bannatyne...........100 - 180

Amount matched £524,867.  Back 107.8%, Lay 99%


Best high street prices for:
King of the Jungle...............2/7 George, 11/2 Kieron, 12/1 Chris, 16/1 Duncan, 16/1 Tony
Queen of the Jungle............4/9 Vicky, 100/30 Ferne, 8/1 Jorgie, 12/1 Lady C
Gender of Winner................8/11 Female, Evs Male  (don't pile in)
By:
ahorsewithnoname
When: 02 Dec 15 10:41
4th Elimination - Chris Eubank
Around 5pm yesterday it was 12/1 bar Chris who was the 2/1 jolly, Duncan 9/4 & Tony 7/2
On Betfair at 8pm Chris had shortened to 2.6s, Duncan high 3s, Tony low 5s
Chris had almost zero coverage in the show and shortened to a low and lpm of 2.4. Highest matched was 3.65
The other "it might be you" was Tony, highest matched 5.6, lowest 4.2 (plus small amounts lower) & lpm 4.8
Duncan traded between 3.9 and 2.64 with lpm 3.4
£8.011 matched


Wednesday, our day 18, after the 16th show
News break early this morning that Lady C had quit the show and tonight's elimination would be cancelled. She was trading around 40 after last night's show

Current Betfair prices:

Vicky Pattison.................1.71 - 1.75          (shortened all day yesterday, down to evens again at 8pm, same price after the show, gone lower overnight/this morning)
George Shelley................4.5 - 4.6          (big drift yesterday, being a big wuss on the show)
Ferne McCann..................8.4 - 9          (shortened during yesterday, hit a new low of 5.9, mid 6s during the show, higher now on Vicky's shortening)
Jorgie Porter...................18.5 - 21          (low 20s 8pm yesterday, 18 at 10pm)
Kieron Dyer.....................38 - 44          (trading 20s yesterday, again big drift after the show, seems to be a nightly thing)
Duncan Bannatyne...........130 - 260
Tony Hadley....................170 - 290

Amount matched £574,751.  Back 102.7%, Lay 97.8%


Best high street prices for:
King of the Jungle...............2/9 George, 5/1 Kieron, 20/1 Duncan, 20/1 Tony
Queen of the Jungle............1/3 Vicky, 7/2 Ferne, 9/1 Jorgie
Gender of Winner................2/5 Female, 9/4 Male
By:
ahorsewithnoname
When: 03 Dec 15 12:28
Thursday, our day 19, after the 17th show

Last night's show had the lovely Ferne heroically doing the Panic Pit trial, which involved laying underground with loads of snakes over her. She was incredible brave, and just generally charming throughout the whole show, in my unbiased opinion. Was out last night so price comments below are a little sketchy.

Current Betfair prices:

Vicky Pattison.................1.68 - 1.71          (shortened more yesterday, hit 1.5 before drifting back out some time in the evening)
Ferne McCann..................3.55 - 3.8          (shortened yesterday, 5s in the evening? Went lower after the show or overnight)
George Shelley................10 - 12          (further big drift yesterday after more wussiness. Safe to say he won't be a future World leader)
Jorgie Porter...................40 - 46          (drifted to mid 20s early evening, further drifting since, matched as high as 48)
Kieron Dyer.....................48 - 50
Tony Hadley....................170 - 220
Duncan Bannatyne...........190 - 240

Amount matched £661,448.  Back 104.1%, Lay 98.2%


Best high street prices for:
King of the Jungle...............1/3 George, 100/30 Kieron, 20/1 Duncan, 20/1 Tony
Queen of the Jungle............2/5 Vicky, 9/4 Ferne, 16/1 Jorgie
Gender of Winner................1/7 Female, 9/2 Male
5th Elimination.......................Evs and disappearing Duncan, 13/8 Tone, 15 Kieron, 26 Jorgie, 50/1 George, 55 Ferne Love, 80/1 Vicky Devil
By:
timbuctooth
When: 03 Dec 15 12:45
I think Ferne was more like 8.0 pre-show, down to 6.x during and immediately after the trial, even drifting a bit for a while, before steadily heading downwards maybe an hour after the show.
By:
mach
When: 03 Dec 15 12:48
10 pre show iirc on ferne
By:
Angela Rebecchi
When: 03 Dec 15 13:14
1 out tonight. Double tomorrow. 1 out Saturday. 3 in the final Sunday.
By:
bearcub
When: 03 Dec 15 14:09
Cheers horse.Cool
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