why is Scarlett Moffatt so short on exchange? 5/4 with stan james

Since 9am this morning Martin's price on the O/R has soared from 16 to 38 with negligible variation in his eviction odds. My olfactory organ detects an element of piscinity.

Friday morning, day 20, after 18th show. Double elimination tonight

Sixth elimination - Larry Lamb
- 5 minutes before the show started - Wayne 2.62 - 2.82, Sam 3.75 - 3.9, Larry 4.7 - 5.5, Martin 5.2 - 6.2, Adam 55 - 90, Joel 110 - 160, Scarlett 1000
- 2 minutes before lines closed - Wayne 2.64 - 3.15, Larry 3.3 - 3.55, Sam 3.95 - 5.2, Martin 6.6 - 7.6
- Larry was matched as high as 5.9, a low of 3.2 (+ £5 at 3) with this 3.2 being lpm. He was backed in during yesterday but actually drifted during the show to those highs before then shortening to those lows at the death. His lpm in the Outright was as 55
- Wayne was matched between 3.1 and 2.22 with lpm 2.68
- Sam was matched between 5.6 and 2.86 with lpm 5.2
- Martin was matched between 8.2 (+ £18 at 9, £6 at 9.8 & £3 at 10) and 4.9 with lpm 7.4
- Adam matched between 190 and 38, Joel matched between 210 and 80, Scarlett had £81 matched at 1000, that's a big betting balance for someone
Martin was the other "it might be you" for the third consecutive day. £13,746 matched on elimination market


During last night's show.....we saw Larry winge at poor Martin/Michael, again. Newsflash - Larry also killed a fly. Scarlett volunteered for the (slightly less dull than usual) trial. She deserves to win this purely for when coming back to camp, straight away saying how many stars she got. Sam & Adam did the Dingo Dollar and at the end of the show we saw some of the campmates winning treats for themselves answering questions to Holly & Phil on This Morning.

- Scarlett's price shortened during the day yesterday, going odds on (again) midday-ish. 5 minutes before the show she was 1.95 - 1.96, Joel 4.8 - 4.9, Adam 4.7 - 5.2, Martin 27 - 28, Larry 42 - 48
- At 9:15pm, with a good show, she was matched at a new low of 1.71 (Adam around 5.5, Joel around 6)
- When the market reopened, Scarlett was matched even shorter, down to 1.63, for good money. However, she then started to drift and by 11pm was back to high 1.7s

Prices right now:

1.82 - 1.86........Scarlett Moffatt
4.8 - 4.9.........Joel Dommett       (matched up to 7ish when Scarlett was her shortest)
5.7 - 7..........Adam Thomas       (last price matched 10.5!)
25 - 26...........Martin Roberts       (matched up to around 40 when market reopened, shortened back overnight)
50 - 55...........Sam Quek
55 - 65...........Wayne Bridge

£877,234 matched

Surely some mistake with the Wayne price after surviving a few evictions?

Should surpass the £1,000,000 mark by tomorrows post.

Thank you tommy

Sunday morning, day 22, after 20th show. Final tonight

Ninth Elimination - Sam Quek
- At 6pm - Sam 1.37 - 1.4, Joel 4.8 - 5, Adam 19 - 30, Scarlett 34 - 46
- 2 minutes before the show started - Sam 1.3 - 1.34, Joel 4.9 - 5.8, Adam 25 - 40, Scarlett 32 - 55
- 5 minutes before lines closed - Sam 1.16 - 1.2, Joel 6.6 - 9, Adam 25 - 32, Scarlett 44 - 270
- Sam was always strong fav to go and matched as high as only 1.41 (+ £5 at 3!), as low as 1.16 with lpm 1.17. Her lpm in the Outright was 48
- Joel was matched as high as 9 and as low as 4.5. This 9 was the lpm as he drifted during the show, having had lots of good exposure
- Adam was matched between 40 and 14 with lpm 32
- Scarlett was matched between 65 (+ £2 at 80 and pennies in triple digits) and 24 with lpm 270
- £10,737 matched on elimination market


In last night's show we saw the 4 successfully (of course) win all the stars in Celebrity Cyclone and continue the theme of how great their time in the camp has been and how friendly everyone is

- At 6pm - Scarlett 1.76 - 1.79, Adam 3.35 - 3.4, Joel 8 - 8.2, Sam 60 - 70
- 2 minutes before the show started - Scarlett 1.69 - 1.76, Adam 3.45 - 3.55, Adam 8.2 - 8.4, Sam 42 - 44
- Last prices matched at suspension - Scarlett 1.6 (lowest matched at that time had been 1.55), Adam 3.8, Joel 8.2
- 5 minutes after the show finished - Scarlett 1.71 - 1.75, Adam 3 - 3.05, Joel 9 - 11.5

Prices right now:

1.49 - 1.56........Scarlett Moffatt       (been shortening overnight/this morning with a new low of 1.47 just now matched)
4 - 4.2..........Adam Thomas       (on Scarlett's shortening had drifted to near 5 overnight)
9 - 13.5.........Joel Dommett       (14 matched overnight)

£979,920 matched

Scarlett was the only person to trade odds on

Lowest & Highest matched on Scarlett   (lows matched on final day, highs matched during launch show):

1.27    £100
1.28    £13,431
1.29    £6,560
1.30    £19,127
1.31    £13,379
1.32    £20,398
1.33    £2,872
1.34    £928
1.35    £332
--------------------------------
3.50    £7,817
3.55    £7,039
3.60    £7,791
3.65    £9,035
3.70    £9,867
3.75    £5,037
3.80    £4,622
3.85    £3,443
3.90    £1,730
3.95    £1,246
4.0    £571
4.1    £57
4.3    £3
4.4    £51

Lowest & Highest matched on Joel   (lows matched around day 16, and then in the final, highs matched pre launch night)
3.25    £110
3.30    £15
3.35    £42
3.50    £379
3.55    £348
3.60    £378
3.65    £641
3.70    £629
3.75    £1,455
3.80    £882
3.85    £1,220
3.90    £805
3.95    £452
4.0    £3,164
----------------------------
15    £1,292
15.5    £783
16    £507
16.5    £293
17    £204
17.5    £81
18    £247
18.5    £53
19    £22
20    £400
22    £2

Lowest & Highest matched on Adam   (lows matched around day 13, highs matched pre launch night)
2.24    £12
2.30    £92
2.32    £1,485
2.34    £1,709
2.36    £837
2.38    £1,563
2.40    £2,892
2.42    £2,055
2.44    £1,725
2.46    £1,107
2.48    £987
2.50    £1,627
----------------------------
9.0    £1,760
9.2    £1,452
9.4    £907
9.6    £778
9.8    £905
10    £839
10.5    £749
11    £273
11.5    £3
12    £220
12.5    £10
13    £206

Lowest matched on Sam   (lows matched pre launch night)
8.8    £23
9.0    £16
9.2    £152
9.4    £122
9.6    £58
9.8    £112
10.0    £523
10.5    £412
11.0    £329

Lowest matched on Wayne
18    £24
18.5    £6
20    £20
23    £10
25    £230
26    £356
27    £118
28    £184

Lowest matched on Martin   (lows matched on day 17)
8.0    £106
8.2    £99
8.4    £906
8.6    £218
8.8    £464
9.0    £371
9.2    £207
9.4    £858
9.6    £1,333
9.8    £865
10    £2,821

Lowest matched on Larry   (lows matched on day 4)
4.6    £46
4.7    £94
4.8    £883
4.9    £1,151
5.0    £1,745
5.1    £547
5.2    £1,318
5.3    £2,277
5.4    £1,588
5.5    £2,091

Lowest matched on Carol   (lows matched pre launch show)
8.6    £22
11    £10
12    £152
12.5    £213
13    £446
13.5    £560
14    £684
14.5    £387
15    £455

Lowest matched on Jordan   (lows matched on day 2)
8.8    £136
9.0    £620
9.2    £1,083
9.4    £1,591
9.6    £643
9.8    £1,269
10    £635

Lowest matched on Ola
12    £2
21    £4
22    £50
23    £4
25    £9
27    £34
29    £37
30    £47

Lowest matched on Lisa
22    £25
25    £12
27    £57
30    £255
32    £113
34    £22
36    £55
38    £55

Lowest matched on Danny   (lows matched pre launch night)
6.0    £8
7.0    £692
7.2    £290
7.4    £232
7.6    £411
7.8    £161
8.0    £421
8.2    £208
8.4    £226
8.6    £351
8.8    £385
9.0    £917

Superb all series again. Many thanks, Horse.

I'm A Celeb     Series 17     November 2017


Launch show tomorrow (Sunday) evening. Current odds:

4.1 - 4.2..........Jennie McAlpine       (7/2 HS, matched between 5.8 and 3.9 + £13 at 3)
5.7 - 7............Jack Maynard       (11/2 HS, matched between 7.4 and 5.7 + £99 at 5.2)
8.8 - 9............Stanley Johnson       (matched between 12 and 8.8)
12 - 13............Jamie Lomas       (friendless, opened 6 and hasn't stopped drifting, 12 highest so far)
12.5 - 14..........Georgia Toffolo       (matched between 15 and 11 + £40 at 8.8 & £22 at 8)
14 - 21............Shappi Khorsandi       (matched between 16.5 and 10.5 + £40 at 8.6)
18.5 - 23..........Amir Khan       (matched between 25 and 17)
18 - 24............Dennis Wise       (matched between 22 and 14.5 + £4 at 11.5 & £7 at 7.4)
24 - 27............Vanessa White       (matched between 26 and 15)
34 - 44............Rebekah Vardy       (matched between 46 and 30 + £10 at 24)

£11,096 matched, back 94.8%, lay 83.3%

I've decided not to watch this series, on every night too much and after 16 series I've seen enough to last a lifetime. I'll still keep this thread somewhat updated but there won't be many comments about what's actually happening on the show I'm afraid

Monday morning after the launch show:

4.2 - 4.4..........Stanley Johnson       (trading 7s pre show, low of 3.75 matched during)
4.3 - 4.5..........Georgia Toffolo       (had shortened to 8s leading up to the show, low of 4.2 matched during)
5.8 - 6............Jennie McAlpine       (still mid 4s pre show, drifted as high as 6.8 during)
10 - 12............Jamie Lomas       (matched as high as 15 pre show)
14 - 16.5..........Jack Maynard       (huge drift during the show, 17.5 matched, also tabloid stories about vile Tweets when he was younger)
17 - 18.5..........Dennis Wise
18 - 21............Shappi Khorsandi
23 - 26............Amir Khan       (34 matched during the show)
24 - 27............Vanessa White
44 - 75............Rebekah Vardy
50 - 65............Kezia Dugdale       (not in there yet, announced as going in though and added to market on Saturday, initially traded teens, huge drift since)

£85,110 matched, back 105.7%, lay 96.6%

anyone mentioned vardys wife is a right woofer?

Wednesday morning

•Think we will see Iain & Kezia enter the jungle tonight
•I watched last night. Half way through the show Ant 'n Dec announced Jack had been removed from the Jungle. He was 14.5 - 15.5 just as the show was about to start and I think 20 to lay (for a couple of hundred at least) when the announcement came which someone quickly snaffled up

3.55 - 3.7.........Georgia Toffolo       (4.5 pre show, doing today's trial and quickly shortened, low of 3.3 matched + £20 at 3.1)
7.2 - 7.6..........Jennie McAlpine
7.6 - 8.2..........Stanley Johnson       (7 pre show)
8 - 8.8............Jamie Lomas       (low of 6 matched either yesterday or day before, was 7 pre show)
10 - 11.5..........Amir Khan       (after wimping out during the previous day's trial, he did well last night although the trial was boring. 15.5 pre show, 9.6 low been matched)
16 - 17.5..........Iain Lee       (added to market early yesterday evening, matched between 15.5 and 23)
16.5 - 17.5........Shappi Khorsandi
16.5 - 18.5........Dennis Wise
36 - 46............Vanessa White
48 - 55............Rebekah Vardy       (70 pre show, doing today's trial, shortened to 30s before since drifting back out)
55 - 65............Kezia Dugdale
430 - 980..........Jack Maynard

£168,442 matched, back 102.8%, lay 96%

Saturday morning - Day 7, after the 6th show

In last night's show we saw the Iain PM led rich group win 4 (out of 5, Kez missing out) care packages for the poor team then the two groups reunite as one camp
Iain was voted to do today's trial (Stanley and Becky were exempt)

2.28 - 2.3.......Georgia Toffolo       (had drifted during yesterday, was 2.7s pre show, shortened during the show, 2.3 at end, low of 2.22 matched overnight)
10 - 11.5........Iain Lee       (put in second place were he SHOULD belong, shortened early evening, 10 matched, lower matched during the show, 7.8, but then drifted towards 11 by end)
7.8 - 8..........Jennie McAlpine       (Jennie IS Fiz, keep waiting for her to be kidnapped or framed for murder)
8.8 - 9..........Jamie Lomas
14 - 15..........Stanley Johnson       (trading 8s pre show, exempt from yet another trial, 11 by end of show, swiped out to 18 soon after, lpm 14)
16 - 18..........Amir Khan
24 - 32..........Dennis Wise       (was around 16 pre show, coming across well but not shown much)
48 - 65..........Shappi Khorsandi
60 - 70..........Vanessa White
75 - 95..........Rebekah Vardy
110 - 180........Kezia Dugdale
340 - 960........Jack Maynard

£242,274 matched, back 101.9%, lay 95.9%

Sunday morning - Day 8, after the 7th show

In last night's show we saw that big boys and Amir don't cry, Toff is annoying (in my totally honest unbiased view ), Iain is actually a shy person and is struggling being in a group situation. Iain tried but couldn't do the trial (some underwater claustrophobic thing) which he was gutted and upset about although all the campmates were sympathetic. Stanley was again exempt from today's trial which Jamie and Becky were voted to do. The viewers have voted for a new Jungle PM.

2.2 - 2.28.......Georgia Toffolo       (low of 2 matched during yesterday, around 2.2 pre show)
14.5 - 15.5......Iain Lee       (8s pre show, market didn't like him not able to do the trial, big drift during the show and since)
5.7 - 5.9........Jamie Lomas       (around 9 pre show, had shortened to 7s by end of show but then went shorter after chosen for today's trial. 5.7 lowest matched)
8.8 - 9..........Jennie McAlpine
11 - 12..........Amir Khan       (coming across really well)
24 - 34..........Stanley Johnson       (been matched as high as 50 during yesterday's show or since)
32 - 36..........Dennis Wise
60 - 65..........Shappi Khorsandi
75 - 90..........Vanessa White
80 - 85..........Rebekah Vardy
160 - 250........Kezia Dugdale
520 - 980........Jack Maynard

£264,621 matched, back 102.7%, lay 96.8%

Wednesday morning - Day 11, after the 10th show

On Tuesday's show, Jamie & Dennis completed the Battle of the Sexes task against Becky & Shappi, some tedious thing taking up half the show. The guys won. Becky was quite bossy to and irritated by Shappi. Iain, Stanley & Amir had to do some counting task against 3 girls. The girls won. Iain was very bossy to Stanley during the task and then blamed him for them losing, telling him so and having a right go. He later apologised. Unsurprisingly, Iain was voted to do the next trial.

On Wednesday's show, Iain was heroic gaining all 11 stars, moving around on a rocket. Iain then Becky opened up and talked about having suffered from mental illness. Stanley (first time eligible for quite a while) and Becky were voted for today's trial. The viewers were then able to vote for a new PM, to be revealed tonight.

Final said to be Sunday 10th December. Current prices:

1.68 - 1.69.......Georgia Toffolo       (new low of 1.63 been matched)
6.8 - 7.2.........Jamie Lomas
13 - 13.5.........Amir Khan
14.5 - 15.5.......Stanley Johnson
22 - 28...........Jennie McAlpine
36 - 44...........Rebekah Vardy       (marmite but at least getting some coverage and has some life in her. Trading around 65 during yesterday, 55 at end of show, now shorter)
46 - 60...........Iain Lee       (on Monday, during or before the show, he drifted as high as 100)
55 - 70...........Dennis Wise
90 - 130..........Shappi Khorsandi
250 - 490.........Vanessa White
500 - 870.........Kezia Dugdale

£336,890 matched, back 101.9%, lay 96.9%

Friday morning - Day 13, after the 12th show

In last night's show:
•Strawberrygate rumbled on. Iain was feeling ostracised from the group while the main culprit, sly Amir, was bantering away with everyone like nothing had happened. Bright spark Jamie was "a million percent" sure Iain was totally to blame, Amir wouldn't do something like that
•Toff & manchild Amir did the drinking trial, which took up about half an hour of the show, they then went to the luxury camp and will randomly select which campmates get immunity from the first elimination. They choose Dennis & Vanessa to secretively help them. So far Iain & Amir are immune. The first elimination may be tonight, or maybe just the vote starts tonight
•Jamie & Beckie were voted for today's trial

1.56 - 1.63.......Georgia Toffolo       (matched at new low of 1.57 by 6pm yesterday, touched 1.55 during the show, 1.6 end of show)
7.8 - 8.2.........Amir Khan       (around 14 pre show, shortened all during, new low of 7.4 matched)
8.8 - 9.2.........Jamie Lomas
28 - 40...........Stanley Johnson       (18 pre show, 26 after, now even higher, lpm 44)
30 - 38...........Jennie McAlpine       (around 23 pre show, think it was her boy's Birthday yesterday but it wasn't mentioned at all, new high of 36 mentioned)
44 - 55...........Dennis Wise
55 - 65...........Rebekah Vardy
60 - 75...........Iain Lee       (doesn't want to be there at all, clearly just doing this for the money, sigh)
210 - 290.........Vanessa White
230 - 300.........Shappi Khorsandi
530 - 800.........Kezia Dugdale

£377,294 matched, back 102.1%, lay 95.1%

Aww, many thanks gawd

1st Elimination - Shappi Khorsandi

Only two contenders in the betting, Shappi & the fav Kez. Kez was the other "it might be you". Iain, Amir & Dennis were immune. Lines opened at 9:45pm for 17 minutes
Shappi traded £20 at 12 but otherwise between 5.2 and 4.1 with lpm 4.9. Her lpm in the Outright was 220
Kez traded between 1.7 and 1.3 with lpm 1.36
£3,577 matched


Saturday morning - Day 14, after the 13th show

In last night's show:
•Lughead Jamie and Beckie did the trial then Jamie joined Toff & Amir in the rich camp. Those three then did a trial winning immunity for one other campmate, randomly choosing Dennis. They later reunited with the main camp and everyone got a treat - strawberries and cream! Duplicitous Amir tucked in.
•Shappi was eliminated then a new vote opened last night for the next PM. With just a 65 minute show tonight I'm guessing the next elimination won't be until tomorrow evening but I could be wrong

1.54 - 1.56.......Georgia Toffolo       (new low of 1.5 matched overnight)
7.8 - 8.6.........Amir Khan       (trading 6.2 pre show, hit 5.6 during the show (+ £11 at 5 was matched), 6s end of show, drifted since)
8.4 - 11.5........Jamie Lomas
24 - 980..........Jennie McAlpine       (lpm 40)
40 - 50...........Stanley Johnson
40 - 55...........Rebekah Vardy
46 - 55...........Dennis Wise
60 - 80...........Iain Lee       (120 matched yesterday)
150 - 500.........Vanessa White
550 - 1000........Kezia Dugdale

£397,743 matched, back 103.7%, lay 91.7%

Thanks horse, always a good read

bear, tommy, army, I thank you 

Sunday morning - Day 15, after the 14th show

2nd elimination is tonight. In last night's show:
•Iain was upset Shappi had gone as she was the only person he was close to there. He was feeling very isolated
•The campmates now choose amongst themselves who do the trials. Neanderthal Jamie choose himself (never giving anyone else a chance really) and Dennis joined him. The trial was a snooze fest and they got 6 stars out of 10
•Toff was voted (by viewers) to be next PM with Dennis Deputy
•Stanley & Iain were doing the Dingo Dollar thing but it involved Iain walking along a platform high up and he couldn't do it. Stanley was very sympathetic and understanding. Amir was scathing, saying he should have at least tried (he did). Yes, this is Amir who wimped out of one of his trials
•Jamie must have finally let someone else do a trial as after the show news broke Jennie & Vanessa are doing today's trial

1.47 - 1.49.......Georgia Toffolo       (1.47 - 1.52 pre show, new low of 1.42 matched some time yesterday)
9.8 - 12.5........Amir Khan       (8.2 pre show, drifted during with 14 touched)
13 - 14...........Jamie Lomas
18 - 24...........Jennie McAlpine       (27 pre show, shortened a little during/after, lpm 24 though, trial news + Amir & Jamie's drifts)
20 - 28...........Stanley Johnson
34 - 40...........Dennis Wise
42 - 46...........Iain Lee       (70 to back pre show, shortened during)
40 - 60...........Rebekah Vardy
150 - 450.........Vanessa White
370...............Kezia Dugdale

£423,952 matched, back 105%, lay 96.6%

3rd Elimination - Rebekah "Becky" "B1tch" Vardy

Just before the show started Vanessa was trading pretty much evens, Becky 5 and Dennis 6s. These were the only 3 contenders betting wise. Vanessa shortened during the show
Becky had £32 matched at 8.4 then traded between 6.6 and 3.8 with lpm 4.6. Her lpm in the Outright was 200
Vanessa, the other "it might be you" again, traded between 2.3 and 1.53 with lpm 1.67
Dennis had £3 matched at 12 but otherwise traded between 9.8 and 6 with lpm 7.6
£8,805 matched


Tuesday morning - Day 17, after the 16th show

4th elimination is tonight. In last night's show:
•Amir & Jamie b1tched about Iain
•Toff bravely volunteered for the trial, being up high in a cage with lots of snakes, no one else was keen, they did their best to make it look exciting, it wasn't
•We learned that Amir doesn't know the birth-date of his little girl, it's in a couple of months, or maybe the summer, sometime in the next year anyway
•The daily challenge involved Amir & Jennie in a room with spiders and things looking for books to give the other campmates clues to input a code onto a computer (which Iain was doing) to win "emails from home" for everyone. Jennie did most of the book hunting while Amir (who I'm not even sure can read) did most of the screaming. Iain input one code wrong, Jamie's (although it was mostly Toff's fault). Jamie said he was fine about it, it wasn't a problem, whilst absolutely seething and thinking of ways he can kill Iain when the cameras aren't rolling. Iain did lots of apologising to the thuggish Jamie, he was sincerely gutted. Iain also (blatantly game playing Jamie and Amir will say) in a totally selfless act, passed on his clue to give the others a better chance. The emails were read out to everyone (bar Jamie & Iain) to flowing tears.

1.28 - 1.29.......Georgia Toffolo       (1.39 pre show, hit 1.36 during yesterday, matched at 1.31 during her trial, 1.32 at suspension, opened even lower, 1.26 been matched)
22 - 32...........Iain Lee       (putting him in 2nd again where he belongs! 38 pre show, 44 five minutes after the show finished, swiped down to 20 overnight)
12 - 12.5.......Amir Khan
19.5 - 23...........Jennie McAlpine       (still around 13 pre show, drifted during and since)
28 - 32...........Stanley Johnson
34 - 38.......Jamie Lomas       (had drifted before the show, trading 18.5 - 23 just before, 20s during then 30s after)
120 - 160...........Dennis Wise       (lpm at suspension 150)
170 - 360.........Vanessa White       (lpm at suspension 1000)

£507,023 matched, back 104.1%, lay 99.5%