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Eurovision 2012 - The road starts here....

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By:
Henry VIII
When: 26 Apr 12 00:11
Who was 7.2 George?

Big money waiting to back Russia. It may have to come down in price because nobody's going up to match it.
By:
Henry VIII
When: 26 Apr 12 00:15
I guess you must mean Italy dropped to 7.2. It's with a double "r". (I thought - the Azeri can't be 7.2)
By:
Henry VIII
When: 26 Apr 12 00:16
And an "o" in the singular.
By:
Henry VIII
When: 26 Apr 12 00:18
And an "e" in the feminine.
By:
Henry VIII
When: 26 Apr 12 00:19
Sorry, that would be an "a" in the feminine singular.
By:
Henry VIII
When: 26 Apr 12 00:19
You see how easily these confusions can arise?
By:
spanky
When: 26 Apr 12 18:49
I was hoping to buy up some more Italy but the price just seems to be dropping here so that I could get a better deal elsewhere...

The discussion here has pretty much reinforced my impression that this contest is Italy's to lose... Those that don't favor Italy simply cannot agree on an alternative - the same will apply to the juries and the general public...

Russia is a joke and since the grannies have attained their goal of collecting enough cash to build their church why take further pity on them? Sweden offers a song reminiscent of the 90's - it's the usual fast-paced dance track that would perform extremely well in a disco filled with hardcore Eurovisionists but will fail to impress the general public to the same degree...

I personally like Spain and Macedonia but there is no question that these songs will never move into contention... There are no other songs that really stand out like Italy...

Besides, Roma 2012 is in everybody's interest. Apparently Italy, Greece and Cyprus (others to follow?) will not be sending commentators to Baku (presumably for financial reasons)... In times of austerity with some members of the EBU struggling to pay their contribution, can Eurovision even afford to lose Italy?
By:
bexley
When: 26 Apr 12 19:53

Apr 26, 2012 -- 1:49PM, spanky wrote:


I was hoping to buy up some more Italy but the price just seems to be dropping here so that I could get a better deal elsewhere... The discussion here has pretty much reinforced my impression that this contest is Italy's to lose... Those that don't favor Italy simply cannot agree on an alternative - the same will apply to the juries and the general public... Russia is a joke and since the grannies have attained their goal of collecting enough cash to build their church why take further pity on them? Sweden offers a song reminiscent of the 90's - it's the usual fast-paced dance track that would perform extremely well in a disco filled with hardcore Eurovisionists but will fail to impress the general public to the same degree... I personally like Spain and Macedonia but there is no question that these songs will never move into contention... There are no other songs that really stand out like Italy... Besides, Roma 2012 is in everybody's interest. Apparently Italy, Greece and Cyprus (others to follow?) will not be sending commentators to Baku (presumably for financial reasons)... In times of austerity with some members of the EBU struggling to pay their contribution, can Eurovision even afford to lose Italy?


Keeping telling yourself that Italy is the only choice and maybe you may come to believe it by the night of the final. Don't think your argument is going to convince anyone else Cool
Your basic premise is that the song stands out for you, clearly few on here find that. This economic argument may come into the heads of the jury but there is no reason for that to influence the televoters.

By:
Henry VIII
When: 26 Apr 12 20:48
Spanky the best song doesn't necessarily win by any means, unless it is really special. I love Italy but it's not that special. Last year a boring ballad won.
By:
Henry VIII
When: 26 Apr 12 20:49
No it wasn't a ballad was it, some kind of duet thing.
By:
spanky
When: 26 Apr 12 20:59
Bexley, I'm not hoping to do any convincing here - I'd like to get a couple thousand more matched on Italy at 10...Grin

My take is that the song is not only different from all others and has a broad appeal (to soul and jazz fans) but that Nina is a very good live performer with a lot of sex appeal as we can see in this video, for example:

http://www.esctoday.com/news/read/18732

I think she has quite appropriately been termed "a Lena for adults..."

Henry VIII, I fully agree with you and I put a sizable amount of money on Azerbaijan last year (after the semifinals). I felt that their performance (duet) really would stand out... Estonia's staging looked like something assembled by a group of schoolchildren while Kati Wolf's luster came off on stage and I never thought that pop opera would fly...
By:
Henry VIII
When: 26 Apr 12 23:18
Italy would be a more deserving favourite than the current rave song.

What do you think of Moldova Spanky? There's a rather tragic video of Moldova where he's on stage with the bridesmaid clown dancers but the video where he's on stage with musicians is better.
By:
bexley
When: 27 Apr 12 09:24
Good entertainment odds article on Italy:

http://domain2290352.sites.streamlinedns.co.uk/blog/?p=1643
By:
bexley
When: 27 Apr 12 09:28
Lena for adults is such a bad description by the way Spanky - Lena had a unique charm that had broad appeal, even to those who perhaps didn't like the song so much. Whoever came up with lena for adults obviously doesn't understand Eurovision and neither do the Italy backers imo.

The market moves mean nothing - UK has been backed in to a silly price last few days - it has no chance from draw 1
By:
bexley
When: 27 Apr 12 09:29
The Italy backers at the current price I mean. Those on at 20/1 or more deserve a pat on the back Cool
By:
Henry VIII
When: 27 Apr 12 10:03
Draw 1 has won 3 times.
By:
bexley
When: 27 Apr 12 10:04

Apr 27, 2012 -- 5:03AM, Henry VIII wrote:


Draw 1 has won 3 times.


I dont really care about ancient history Henry sorry Grin

By:
bexley
When: 27 Apr 12 10:06
Henry its the fact its a ballad drawn 1 and that its not a Diasporo country song. Combination of factors though the draw sealed it for me
By:
bexley
When: 27 Apr 12 10:40
First live version I have seen of Romania - lot of fun as I expected and a good vocal

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zWWWgfvDB7Q&feature=player_embedded#!
By:
bexley
When: 27 Apr 12 11:00
Romania 34 (first backed at 80) or Italy 9 ? hmm let me think about that one....

Reminds me of the French song a few years back that, although it had no chance, the price plunged on the night after the live performance.

Fun, modern, I defy anyone not to want to dance along and with some reliable allies. If it gets a good draw this one is a potential winner.
By:
bexley
When: 27 Apr 12 11:51
French song I was referring to was ofc     "Allez Ola Olé" in 2010 Cool
By:
five leaves left
When: 27 Apr 12 11:53
lol @ Lena for adults.

Is this the Lena who was getting over 10 million views on youtube before the contest. Charting and receiving airplay all over Europe.

Nina is more like this years Getter Jaani. A messy song and not much interest in her own country let alone elsewhere.

Also the idea that Italy not sending a commentator to Baku is a positive is utterly laughable.
By:
spanky
When: 27 Apr 12 16:24
Bexley, thanks for the Entertainment Odds article on Italy. They've been pretty good the last couple of years... Ultimately it boils down to your ESC instincts and they think that Denmark is better value (at current prices)... I think Denmark is playing for some of the same votes as Sweden and just don't see the song as a winner... What I will agree with, however, is that the likes of Sweden, Denmark, Iceland, Serbia, Norway and Romania will be right up there in the voting... I'm not convinced that Russia will, however. The novelty wears off and the Russian song certainly won't do very well on the radio. In fact, I don't think it will be very good for Eurovision if the song wins... Moreover, I still don't see where all of the televotes for Russia are supposed to materialize from. Why shouldn't Belgium and Slovenia (they youngest performers) get some of those sympathy votes? When has an artist ever been propelled to victory on the basis of pity? in terms of entertainment value, the grannies fall far, far behind artists such as Verka Serduchka.

Five Leaves, we do have the same impression of Getter Jaani...Grin And I'm not saying that Italy not sending a commentator to Baku is a positive. It does underscore the importance of keeping costs down though. And, of course, keeping Italy in the competition will do so.

Henry, I like Moldova. I see some continuity in their submissions over the last few years. Their song could maybe become a top 10 with a good draw but I don't see it as a winner.
By:
five leaves left
When: 27 Apr 12 17:17
Why reward a country who can't make up their mind whether they want to remain in the contest over a country who have shown their commitment to the contest over many years and have sent one of their top singers to represent them this year?
I believe TPTB might feel it's Spain turn and they could run away with the jury vote.
I also see as much more viewer friendly than many on here. Certainly more friendly then last years Italian number or the likes of Iceland this year, which is around the same price.

Also as I posted on entertainmentodds I believe Nina has a touch of aloofness about her performances.
I don't see this hugely engaging performer that others appear to.
Any sign of aloofness is suicide in these shows for an attractive female looking for the votes of other females.
By:
five leaves left
When: 27 Apr 12 17:18
I also see Spain*
By:
Henry VIII
When: 27 Apr 12 17:58
Also as I posted on entertainmentodds I believe Nina has a touch of aloofness about her performances.

Do you mean aloof in her videos? She's not aloof in the live versions of Out of Love or Per Sempre.
By:
five leaves left
When: 27 Apr 12 18:36
She looks aloof to me here.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=efbqi8hLBfI&feature=player_embedded
By:
Henry VIII
When: 27 Apr 12 19:37
Maybe. She smiles and curtsies at the end though.

In both Rome and Venice she was more relaxed, got the crowd clapping with her towards the end and at the end was very smiley and bowed.
By:
Henry VIII
When: 27 Apr 12 19:39
* I mean Firenze, not Venice
By:
five leaves left
When: 27 Apr 12 20:35
yep, tbf if we see more of that smile at the end and a softer hairstyle it would be less of a concern.

If she goes for the severe hairstyle and serious look then by the time the smile comes, 90% of women will have already decided they hate her.
By:
eyeamgr8
When: 27 Apr 12 20:54
ok guys, a few weeks to go

a couple of questions for the experts on here

1. will we continue to see tactical voting

2. if so what countries does that narrow it down to, regardsless of the quality

3. outside the tactical countries, what is the liveliest outsider

Thanks in advance
By:
Henry VIII
When: 27 Apr 12 23:25
Welcome eyeamgr8. I’m not an expert but any actual expert would feel immodest answering a question “for the experts”.

See this page for the voting blocks:

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Voting_at_the_Eurovision_Song_Contest

“Tactical” is the wrong word, it’s just ex-pats voting for their home country.

Wiki also has a separate page for each year of the competition. And read this thread for liveliest outsiders.

Good luck.
By:
Henry VIII
When: 27 Apr 12 23:48
If she goes for the severe hairstyle and serious look then by the time the smile comes, 90% of women will have already decided they hate her.

We've seen from many shows that effect on British women but I wonder if it's true on the continent. I find most European women tend to be more confident than British women. (Confident in a good way - it actually makes them less jealous/b1tchy/rude).
By:
George Bailey
When: 28 Apr 12 11:27
Another country getting it wrong re Loreen I see Wink..also she is 3rd in Greek poll behind...wait for it...Greece and Cyprus Shocked

http://translate.google.co.uk/translate?hl=en&sl=el&u=http://ogaegreece.com/category/eurovision2012/&ei=XsybT9jfLabC0QXB8KjnDg&sa=X&oi=translate&ct=result&resnum=9&ved=0CG8Q7gEwCDgU&prev=/search%3Fq%3Deurovision%2B2012%26start%3D20%26hl%3Den%26sa%3DN%26biw%3D1024%26bih%3D595%26tbs%3Dqdr:d2%26prmd%3Dimvns
By:
George Bailey
When: 28 Apr 12 11:28
bollox   ogaegreece
By:
bexley
When: 28 Apr 12 14:25

Apr 28, 2012 -- 6:27AM, George Bailey wrote:


Another country getting it wrong re Loreen I see ..also she is 3rd in Greek poll behind...wait for it...Greece and Cyprus http://translate.google.co.uk/translate?hl=en&sl=el&u=http://ogaegreece.com/...


Jesus George I know theres not a lot going on atm with Eurovision but are you seriously going to update us every time an OGAE has Sweden #1?

Do me a favour let me know when someone doesn't please Wink

By:
five leaves left
When: 28 Apr 12 14:29
Laugh
By:
SUNSHINE HEAD
When: 28 Apr 12 14:29
the camel man will be there.Love
By:
SUNSHINE HEAD
When: 28 Apr 12 14:30
the slower the song the greater chance of victory down the years
By:
SUNSHINE HEAD
When: 28 Apr 12 14:41
it is a key stat my friends - Lordi is the exception to the rule
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