SHAPESHIFTER

I found myself 'searching' for value yesterday and finding too many question marks with the horses running yesterday afternoon. That's not to seay that I didn't have confidence in the selections. And looking at some of the results, my question marks that led to lines being put through races made sense. And though only one of the selections won out of eight put up yesterday, a sense of deja vu of that line between profit and loss on the day with two horses coming second and an each-way bet (Rise To Glory) shooting from the stalls but being swallowed up at the finish all be it in front of the top horses in the betting. I also feel like the changing ground conditions means some adjustment in my reads. This is something that one goes through when at it five days a week. You get a ...

The week up to end of day Thursday: 14 selections 5 winners (36% strike rate) 2 each ways returning dividends A risk of 14 points would have returned a LSP profit of [b]+11.50[/b] (82% ROI) [b]UPDATE: All selections are up. Good luck with your evening and have a good weekend[/b] WEAK FAVES FOR 22-February[/b] [i]none [/i] [i]Early Price:[/i] [b]STAND-OUT RECOMMENDATIONS TO BACK[/b] Lingfield 2:30 Flavius Victor [i](result: 6th of 7)[/i] [b]-1.00[/b] 3:05 Diamond Vine [b]EW[/b] [i](2nd BFSP 6.20/2.64)[/i] [b]+0.30[/b] 3:40 Silverware [i](5th of 6)[/i] [b]-1.00[/b] 4:40 Sail Home [i](1st BFSP 4.20)[/i] [b]+3.00[/b] Wolverhampton 7:30 Jumbo Prado [b]EW[/b] [i](3rd BFSP 7.32/2.52)[/i] [b]+0.25[/b] 8:00 Lean On Pete [b]EW[/b] [i](3rd BFSP 8.80/3.19)[/i]...

On Tuesday, I flagged up Diamond Belle as a 'weak fave'. With just four runners, it is often easy to compare horses. If someone took note of the times that horses had done, little or no difference would have been found between the runners. But this is where knowing the tracks, standard times and, ultimately the speed ratings come in handy. Even looking at the surface, taking the times against the tracks raced, Diamond Belle had achieved times on what I consider 'easier' tracks where the standard times are higher. From there, when I looked at my ratings, it confirmed this. Others must have noted the same since the horse drifted out past the other three and eventually became one-paced two furlongs from home. Both my each way's ran well yesterday, Comrade Bond finishing a...