Wednesday was the first "sub-70%" days since the 24th of August with 'weak faves'. I've learned to accept it since it happens about once a week, if not more.
The indicator to me is that if over two or three days horses are finishing within about 4 lengths over a mile, it means the reads are 'just successful'. This is represented on my data-base by yellow blocks and eventually these turn to a few 'oranges' when the horses beat my read (I stopped using 'red'. Psychologically hate seeing it on the screen).
And when I watch the races, I can usually tell about half way through the distance if the read has been successful. I tend to focus on the horse I am playing, back or lay, and watch its movements. I can tell when the jockey is comfortable or about to search for a way to get...
Yesterday was a turn-around from how the week started. 6 of 7 selections not only lost their races but all finished outside the place markets. The only winner was Kashmiri Star who had a nice jump at the start and a solid pace throughout the race.
I also took on Pharoh Jake for the third time in three weeks. I hesitated on the decision since I didn't want to fall into the 'trap' of giving back my previous gains on the horse in 70 seconds. But the read of no solid competition to date coupled with performance against those fields said that once again the opening market had the race wrong.
The previous two times, Pharoh Jake drifted before the off. This time, the horse remained favorite but, in the end, finished 6th of 7.
As mentioned yesterday, breaking even can often frustrate...