LEICESTER
FEBRUARY 26TH 2013
Good to Soft
Cold day bit gloomy
TWO AND A HALF MILE NOVICES HANDICAP CHASE CLASS 5
KNOCKDOLIAN (tentative pos)
This was not a bad event of its sort. The winner Be Mt Deputy is a big tall raw thing and I was a bit surprised to see how well he jumped and even more so how he battled back to win oncve headed over the last. So he should logically be my eyecatcher here. Well he isn’t because they were packed close up at the last and I would have thought if he had asserted they would have been out like the washing so there were a few held up merchants who probably didn’t quicken as well as expected. Particularly Caulfields Venture who had been held up and produced to have every chance approaching the final fence but just didn’t kick on even under quick vigorous ridding. Oddjob who finished second wandered a bit on the run in suggesting either getting tired or is a bit iffy and was showing a lack of resolution. The one I have me eye on for the future for this race is the mare Knockdolian. She was raced on the inner throughout, close up to the pace. Jumped inconsistently in the main but got better as the race went on. Still up with a chance to get a blow in approaching the last she did not run on but was not given a hard race to finish 6th with these six well clear of the remainder. Has had a few runs on the flat and once finished second in a minor handicap when exaggerated waiting tactics failed for the 11/10 fav. She tried her hand at hurdles and was pretty hopeless . However she looks more a chaser and her first effort was OK with today being a step in the right direction. I think she is worth support whilst she improves and might pop in at a decent price one day.
THREE MILES HANDICAP CHASE CLASS 4
POWER PACK JACK (pos)
Only half the field got around the rest fell which made it a bit of a muddle of a race. One of the fallers was the fair sort Nomme De guerre who was on his fourth run following enforced absence out since 2010. He was pretty good back then and I had thought today might have seen a further step in the right direction. However he did look beaten when falling three out. The winner was Franklin Roosevelt who looked a good sort in the ring and was ridden confidently. He did however struggle to reel in the long term leader and my view is that FR did not have the turn of foot anticipated. I do think the runner up Power Pack Jack showed a bit of a return to the form which saw him win the class 3 Cumberland Chase in 2011 and his rating now of 101 is handy based on his two victories in the past of 109 and 97. All his best form has come running right handed and today ran in a manner suggesting can win when good to soft conditions and RH exist. In fact just as he did today just met a young one on the upgrade. The pair finished well clear.
TWO MILE HANDICAP CHASE CLASS 4
GANDALFE (pos)
This was run at a decent clip with the winner Milgen Bay making most and jumped well in the main. These tactics thwarted Coolbeg’s efforts to follow up on last season’s success in this same race but he made excellent ground to hold every chance on the run to the last but the winner just had an extra hand in the stamina stakes. The one for me to take oiut of the race was third home Gandalfe. He had not been on the track for a year before his comeback started this winter. He looked in great condition. Was well fancied and jumped well in the main bar on slight mistake around halfway, came to look a serious challenger on the way to the last but just failed for a bit of race sharpness to finish an unhurried third. Previously had finished second a very good novice chase at Sandown and was then given a 125 mark which was a real stopper. However worse than that was a complete brake put on his career over fences when all over the place with his jumping in December 2011 at Kempton. He has slid down the weights now and 107 looks very winnable. He has had a lot of problems with his jumping and there is no doubt that this is his main detraction, however he did look to have improved in that department today and perhaps over 2m4 he will at long last break his duck probably on goodish ground. So a tentative positive.
THREE MILE CLASS 3 RUTLAND WATER NOVICE CHASE
HOWARDS LEGACY (pos)
The Musical Guy was a pending when I saw his last run here in January and another race of promise and blindfolds were the order of the day. He looks a super chaser in the making, clearly stays this sort of trip but needs to take his jumping up another level. He showed a bit of improvement today but not enough to elevate him to positive territory just yet. It’s getting near to backing zone perhaps he needs one more clear round in a handicap and I can see him picking up a novice event over this sort of trip soon. The biggest disappointment was the well backed and good class Volador who looks really smart has been rated 135 over hurdles but just cannot jump well over chases and to be frank he looks out of his depth requiring a switch back to hurdles before he gets injured. The winner looks very good indeed. Howards Legacy was a bit tetchy in the parade ring and despite being seven almost looked a bit green. He is a smashing looking chaser not too big framed but well muscled. I thought he jumped well and was bought through to lead approaching two out and then just motored clear. Idled a bit when bored and had to be shaken up on the run in which allowed the runner up to be a flattering length and a bit behind. He had been beaten in a close race by the very progressive opening Batsman on his previous race at Wincanton and looks a novice capable of defying a penalty. It will be interesting to see what the assessor does to his 129 mark with handicaps in mind as that is the field with the likelihood of bigger fields that he will benefit from. He is in the early closing events at the festival so will get 7lbs hike I suppose for the win in those races. The main two are the Kim Muir but he is also in the novices handicap over 2m4 and it is that one I like him at for Cheltenham. I think he could do will in that. He needs a top jockey as I think he is a bit of a trickey ride, he looks nicely balanced and I can see him going well at Cheltenham.
THREE MILES MAIDEN HUNTER CHASE CLASS 6
NOTHING OF ANY GREAT NOTE
I have to admit to being underwhelmed by this race which I would guess might have been a mistake as the winner Robin Will soon put this lot to the sword in facile manner. He had been rated 118 over hurdles following a runner up position in a moderate maiden. He beat the less experienced French Canadian (hot fav at evens today) who must have shown something as was 11/8 on his debut when second. Quite what benchmarks they have at a stable which last had a winner in 2008 is beyond me but clearly they have and clearly he is OK but clearly the benchmark is not reliable enough for the sort of odds he ends up being! The third Schindlers Prince didn’t do as well as I thought he would. Built on a line through his last Irish form that would put him about 88ish.
TWO AND A HALF MILE HANDICAP CHASE CLASS 4
GREAT AUCHTRACHENE (pos till reassessed as can win under a 7lbx)
Old stager Ballyman ran a game race from the front but was beaten for stamina on the run in looking all over what he is a Plumpton specialist and I would put no-one off backing him when he goes back there sometime soon on a mark south of 80 in a class 5. Greats Auchtrachene was well ridden by Neol Fehily and could not have won easier coming off the pace to overhaul the old man on the run in but a shade cosily. I think this was a bit of a soft race in truth and I would think he will find it hard getting an easier race of this sort. Clearly not at home in the mud but allowed to slip down the weights a stone because of two PU which in hindsight more than a touch generous. His French form was OK and included a good ground win which in France must be like a road. You would think that sneaking him in quickly under only a 7lber on goodish ground right handed might just be the order of the day whilst he is clearly in good heart and on a good mark. So my eyecatcher from this one is the winner but only if they get him before reassessed as I would guess he will be up that stone again to 119! Refusal ran another honest race in third and always does his best but just cannot seem to win. Because of this he holds a solid mark and whilst I am confident he will pick a race up in time and that off this 105 mark you will always get a run for your money I cannot put him in as a positive. The joint favourites were both disappointing especially Quinte De Chatelet who is down to 104 in the weights from 125 but the high was from his hurdling form and to be honest I cannot have him chasing as to me he cannot jump and he chucked his jockey early today. Avenging Ace the other fav and a PTP winner in Ireland was no mare than fair today and finished fourth. The final horse of note was fifth home Jasperito who was a bit unlucky getting into trouble a few times and eased a bit to come home as he liked when the race had gone from him. Managed to win a three mile hurdle at Perth and has only had the three efforts over fences where his jumping is improving and it would be no great surprise if he managed to land a small handicap off this 88 mark which looks very fair.