rebelfm

WORCESTER
GOOD TO FIRM
11TH JUNE 2013

DARDANELLA
Ran second in debut in good paced bumper on fastish ground.  On the pedigree would look more a longer term prospect as there is plenty of stamina but ran with a lot of promise. Whilst this may prove a poor event you would like to think she could go well against her own sex somewhere or other.

FRONTIER VIC
First signs of any real progress today when staying on nicely without being unduly knocked about in 2 mile novice event. Had a sigle bumper outing last season when clearly backward and soon outpaced. Had two hurdles spin before today including a sketchy effort at Towcester. Much better today, looked like might need a bit further or a bit more juice in the ground (probably more the latter than the former) but enough here to suggest that he can win a novice some time soon.

J T’AIME
Probably the most likely of today’s eyecatchers to win. JT is very nicely bred being a half sister to the more than useful Invisible Man who was highly rated at OR145 at his peak winning class 3 events. Generally at his best on good ground and 20 furlongs plus including a victory ahead of Swing Bill and also won a decent event worth €12000 when well backed in late summer at Galway. Started her career with a well backed odds on shot but could only finish a onepaced third in a bumper. Then ran much better but again third in a Towcester bumper. Up in trip to 20f and over the sticks (brush hurdles) took a bit of time to find a rhythm but ran with increased confidence and staying on in good style but still a bit of a remote second. She looks a staying hurdler / chaser in the future but showed plenty enough today to suggest will be picking up novice events in similar company with 20 furlongs the minimum trip.

TORNADO BOB
One of my favourites from when I had him as an eyecatcher when within December 2010 at Uttoxeter. He then went on to win next run at Leicester before a very ueful runner up in a class 2 event at Aintree. That lead to his trainer putting him up for the Neptune at Cheltenham ehere he was pulled up and his form deteriorated from there. This was not helped by a welter of a rating at OR145 and gradually the assessor relented and bit by bit he had come down to OR130. Stuck pieces on him for the first time and gambled on at kelso last time out. After a reasonable start jumping went to pot. However at the subsequent enquiry the trainer stated that the poor run was attributed to loosing a shoe. Put all that behind him with a commanding front running performance where hurdling of these brushes was spot on. If the handicapper doesn’t take a strong view on things he can follow up and is in with a good chance if he takes his turn at Ffos Las on 20/6

CARLISLE
17TH JUNE 2013
GOOD TO FIRM

AUTUMN TIDE
Half brother to a Autumn Blades who was a OR99 rated winner of the seven furlong Earl of Grosvenor which is a Chester festival handicap and also a brother to another of today’s eyecatchers Little Jimmy Oddsox. Galley Girl is a full sister to AT and she won a group 3 juvenile race at Ayr. The third dam won the Irish 1000 guineas and the champion Irish 3yo Entitled is in the family. AT a late foal so entitled to be behind many of these other two year olds today but had clearly shown something back at home on this debut when nibbled at from 28/1 to 16/1. Showed some speed from the two furlong stick but was too far back when getting head around this racing palaver to be a factor and was eased down inside the distance. Good education and sure to have learnt. There looks enough in her performance and pedigree to suggest can be wining in maiden company. She looks one to keep an eye on.

SALVATORE FURY
Was a positive when I saw him run very encouraging race at Newcastle in April off OR54. He has shown gradual and significant improvement since I have been following him (although did not appear to appreciate Hamilton’s 6f when 5/7), was backed in a Beverly seller when second out of a favourable low draw and then looked well suited to Carlisle when  running on well after being given a lot too do finishing 4/10 in a bunch finish. Was always worth persevering with and won at 3/1 when taking it up at the distance. Followed up when being mugged at the post when second at Hamilton before today’s very smooth victory under a well timed Joe Fanning ride.  He took the shortest route and waited for the leaders to ease off the rail which enabled SF to surge through for a cosy win looking capable of winning again off this mark. A s a three year old entitled to continue to improve.

LITTLE JIMMY ODDSOX
Brother of Autumn Tide discussed above and has a very decent 6 furlong to mile pedigree. Took a bit of a walk in the market today from 8/1 out to 10/1 and looked like he got a bit of an easy today when 5/9 over 6f at Carlisle. Has not won since being very well backed in a Wolvo sprint in autumn 2011 off OR75 having won previously when again well backed at redcar. Now down to OR61 and likely to slip a little further after today on the face of what appears a moderate performance. Has been tried in all manner of gubbings. Has run well at redcar on several occasions and 6F looks best trip on a straight gallop. His mark looks good, I thought he ran well today being right up there till eased when not quickening at the furlong stick and when there is a bit of cut later in the season would be expecting him to at last pick up a small sprint.

FORCED FAMILY FUN
Well backed today from 5/1 down to 7/2. Held up a bit but once urged to challenge the leading trio had flown giving FFF no chance and the oddly named gelding was allowed to saunter home in his own time without undue punishment. He looks like he will need a reasonable amount of cut in the ground to be competitive and had his tongue tied back so might have a bit of a breathing thing going on. Raced off OR66 which is close to his last winning mark of OR65 so some room for optimism. His last win was over 10f at Nottingham in a nursery last year. He was ridden much closer to the pace that day than today and won without being put under too much pressure. This three year old campaign started with a couple of Kempton AW efforts, neither was much cop and may not be that much at home on poly. Then bizzarely tried to make all over 14 furlongs at stiff Sandown with fairly predictable consequences at the quarter mile marker. Today was a more encouraging run which is unlikely to have been even an amber warning light on the handicapper’s radar. Suits 10f possibly up to 12f but a bit of cut would help.

SILKELLY
Wore a hood with those things over the ears all through parade and during the race so clearly bit of a skittish filly. Acted up going out the ring 9tugging and bouncing around like an unbroken mustang) threw jockey emerging from the parade ring and continued to get into a bit of a stew which would have had her hyper before going in the boxes. Pulled hard in the race and led till weakened from 2f out and finished a fairly remote 5/10 and an uneasy favourite in the ring. She did though show some very nice pace and you would think that she can will fair races off this OR75 if they can straighten her out. Took a good while to get herself sorted as a two year old being well beaten on her first couple of runs at Ponte and Ripon. But showed good pace when 5/13 and then won in style making all and beating a subsequent winner by an easy two lengths on her final effort of the season at Thirsk.  Started this season off well with a game victory over seven furlongs at Musselburgh.  On her pedigree (full sister to Izzibizzi) it suggests she will be bestt suited by seven furlongs.