Racecaller08

The Bluesquare.com Stewards Cup, which takes place on Saturday 30th July, is the big betting race of Glorious Goodwood’s 5-day meeting. It’s run over 6 furlongs and is always a highly competitive affair with the Wokingham, recently, being the race to focus on for clues.

Below we take a look at the trends for the past 10 years:
Age
3yo: 0-1-19
4yo: 3-10-87
5yo: 6-7-69
6yo: 1-7-53
7yo+: 0-5-51
The last 9 winners of this race were aged 4 or 5
Horses aged 6+ have a poor combined record of 1-12-104

Weight
Horses carrying 9-4 or more: 2-6-64
Horses carrying 8-9 to 9-3: 7-16-146
Horses carrying 8-8 or less: 1-8-67
7 of 10 winners (last 4) carried between 8-9 and 9-3, from approximately 53% of the total runners
Horses carrying a penalty: 2-4-42
Top weight: 0080056030 (0-1-11)

Official Ratings
Horses rated 99 or higher: 2-9-102
Horses rated 91 to 98: 7-11-112
Horses rated 90 or less: 1-10-63
9 of 10 winners (last 8) have been officially rated between 91 & 102

Recent/Past Form
9 of 10 winners ran in a class 2 or better last time out
8 of 10 winners had run in past 25 days (2 exceptions had run in last 60 days)
7 of 10 winners had won a race that season
8 of 10 winners had run in 10 to 22 handicaps
9 of 10 winners had won no more than 3 handicaps
10 of 10 winners had previously won over 6F
9 of 10 winners had won or placed in a race worth 20K or more
9 of 10 winners had won a class 3 or higher

Other Races
Previous year's winner (Evens And Odds): 20 (0-1-2)
Ritz Club Handicap winner (Medicean Man): 10 (1-0-2)
Sportingbet.com Stakes handicap winner (Hoof It): 160 (1-0-3)
Investec Specialist Bank Handicap winner (Swiss Cross): 000105 (1-0-6)
Al Rayan Handicap winner (Pastoral Player): 22572 (0-3-5)
Newcastle totescoop6 Handicap winner (Edinburgh Knight): 3792 (0-2-4)
Bond Tyres Stakes winner (Lexi's Hero): 4 (0-1-1)
Hampshire Society Stakes winner (Crown Choice): 30 (0-1-2)
Skybet Dash winner (Hoof It): 03 (0-1-2)
Scottish Stewards Cup winner (Quest For Success): 0036 (0-1-4)
Ayr Silver Cup winner (Colonel Mak): 500 (0-0-3)
Gosford Park Cup winner (Ancient Cross): 0500 (0-0-4)
7 of 10 winners ran in the Wokingham, finishing 8547000
4 of 10 winners ran in York Sportingbet.com Stakes, finishing 9031
3 of 10 winners ran in Bet On Live Tennis At totesport.com Handicap at Windsor, finishing 072
2 of 10 winners ran in Hong Kong Jockey Club handicap, finishing 92
2 of 10 winners ran in the Bunbury Cup, finishing 10
2 of 10 winners ran in previous season's Ayr Gold Cup, finishing 34
2 of 10 winners ran in previous season's Coral Sprint Trophy, finishing 10

Trainers
Dandy Nicholls (2-7-41) trained the winner in 2000, 2005 & 2010 and 9 of his 41 runners in past 10 years have made the frame.
John Fanshawe (1-2-3) and William Haggas (1-1-2) have both trained the winner in past 10 years and all 5 of their collective runners made the places.
Peter Makin (1-0-1) and Bryan Smart (1-0-5) are the only other trainers with entries to have won the race since 2001.
Richard Fahey (0-3-18), John Quinn (0-2-6) and Kevin Ryan (0-2-18) have each saddled multiple placed finishers in past 10 years.

Draw (data updated for new stall ordering)
Horses drawn 1 to 9: 2-13-90
Horses drawn 10 to 19: 7-9-100
Horses drawn 20 or higher: 1-8-87
7 of 10 winners (last 6) were drawn 10 to 19
The only horse to win this from stall 20 or higher was Pivotal Point, who won a group 3 and a group 2 in his next 3 races.

Price
No very strong trends on prices as while 7 of 10 winners came from first 5 in the betting, the last 3 winners were priced 40/1, 14/1 & 20/1.
Favourites (2-5-15) have won 2 of the last 10 giving a level stakes loss of 0.36 over the past 10 years.

Summary:
Based on the trends from the past 10 years you are looking for a horse:
•    Aged 4 or 5 (especially 5yos)
•    Carrying 8-9 to 9-3
•    Officially rated 91 to 102
•    Won a race this season
•    Ran in a class 2 or higher in the last 25 days
•    Won over 6F
•    Won or placed in a race worth 20K+
•    Won a class 3 or higher
•    Run in 10 to 22 handicaps (winning no more than 3)
•    Ran in the Wokingham this season
•    Ran in Sportingbet.com Stakes and/or Bet On Live Tennis At totesport.com Handicap
•    Trained by D Nicholls, J Fanshawe or W Haggas
•    Drawn 10 to 19