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post your bets
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I'd agree nothing can be ruled out, and margins at this point in time are huge.
I just don't see any traction. |
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Another one out! Ollie Granger, an independent candidate has withdrawn.
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https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/politics/market/1.260061335
New market up on here, Reform vote share. |
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Just checking in on this forum as I'm normally on the footy, I'm on the bin to consign fartage to history. Wasn't expecting the drift as I've got a few quid on the count. But there's time yet of course anyone piling on? Or not?
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good luck.
only tobermory so far has had the bottle to back up the hot air around Fatface, and conceded backing it. |
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STARMER: Well, Reform intends to spend the summer arguing with a bin. My advice to everyone is: put your vote in the Bin!
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Must be the way he tells 'em.
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post the market with your profit and loss, like you often do
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I remember years ago, various trades and businesses were advertised in the newspaper in alphabetical order. A scrap merchant used the name A.A.A Abacus in order to have his name listed first for folks to see. That brings me to the by election. The first candidate likely to be on the ballot paper is one Adham Alkhatip, representing the Forward Party, whoever they may be. Now that is probably his real name, so fair enough, but he is always going to be top of the list, which many folks believe gives a slightly better chance of receiving your cross. Next is Count Binface, then an independent who wishes to simply be known as Cap. Next up is Jeremys brother, Piers Corbyn, a couple more no hoper independents then Farage and Mister Fishfinger. Reclaim, Rejoin EU, a couple more independents and probably a loony or two complete the field by the looks of it. A few "Re" parties again, maybe Binface should change his to Refuse or Recyle Party?
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Our directory used to list numerical before initials so
0000A1 and such was a popular prefix Next year would see 00000A1 jump into first place, lol. Can't even get a directory these days, and forced to pay search engines to get prime position. |
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One of the best markets recently. Count Binface share of the vote percentage is all over the place, with more companies adding markets now.
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A total of34 candidates are standing in the by-election, which is believed to be a record for a parliamentary election. The previous record is understood to have been 26 candidates, set at the Haltemprice and Howden by-election in July 2008.
The candidates for the Clacton constituency are: · Joseph 77 (Independent) · Adham Alkhatip (The Forward Party) · Count Binface (Count Binface Party) · Nick The Incredible Flying Brick (The Official Monster Raving Loony Party) · Tony Cane (Independent) · Woke Trump Carrzee (Independent) · William Stuart James Clouston (Social Democratic Party) · Rees Cowne (Independent) · Glenn Charles Cummings (Independent) · Martin Davies (Freedom Alliance - Real People, Real Alternative!) · Andy Erlam (Independent) · Nigel Farage (Reform UK) · Attieh Fard (Independent) · Laurence Fox (The Reclaim Party) · Tony Francis (Independent) · Robin Green (Independent) · Abi Hookway (Independent) · Howling Laud Hope (The Official Monster Raving Loony Party) · Stephen Richard Ingram (Independent) · Amy Morris (Independent) · Derrick Norbert Morris (Independent) · Michael Noel O'Keeffe (Independent) · Martyn OBrien (Independent) · Nick Pelas (Independent) · Ketankumar Pipaliya (UK VOICE safer and stronger UK) · Daniel Pocock (Independent) · James Ransley (Consensus Party Candidate) · Gerry Smith (Independent) · Kai Stephens (British Democrats) · John Stevens (Rejoin EU) · Baron Von Thunderclap (The Official Monster Raving Loony Party) · Pamela Walford (Independent) · Marcus White (Everyone is God Party) · Marc Wilkinson (Independent) With the list of candidates now finalised, preparations can begin for ballot papers to be prepared, printed and distributed ahead of polling day. Could do with top 10 and top 20 markets |
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escapee - You missed Howling Laud Hope , the third candidate for the loony party
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looks like they need to raise the required deposit
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34 candidates is a new record. Only one of them was being backed steadily and consistently all day yesterday and it wasn't Farage.
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The number of Independents must be a record too. For once their deposit would probably be returned. I think the turnout will be a record low too as most voters will not want to be part of Mr Farage's political charade.
Let's hope Mr Farage gets a result he never forgets. |
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Top 3 meerkat would be good, and
or a without farrage and binface Top monster raving loony would be good too Somebody deffo bricking it... |
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poor old k hunt, still too chicken to admit to a bet. keeps his waffle up though, to be fair.
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Anybody think Reform will not win Clacton on August 13?
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Where would we be without such insight.
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It is a farce , i expect farage will win with a very low turnout , it might have been an interesting contest with just farage and a single anti farage contender , but with 33 contenders they will just dilute the vote and get a handful of votes each , i have never got why anyone would want to waste their time and vote for one of them when they know they will get a few votes .
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Why is it a farce. His political enemies, ie the establishment think that the gift he received before he had anything to do with parliament broke the rules. The biggest sanction he can be given is a suspension leading to a by election. So he cut the kangaroo court and delay tactics, and handed them the by election they crave.
Their response to that, as one, is to chicken out. It is far from ideal, but he disrupted their plot. Which is why they are so upset, even though he gave what they wanted earlier than they expected. |
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Kemi has not perfected the art yet, every now and again she lets the cat out of the bag. She said she doesn't want to participate in this by election, she wants to wait for the real one.
How exactly do you know there is going to be another one. And why is it different to the first one. lol |
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As if, in real life, you'd give up the opportunity to get rid of your arch enemy. The person blocking your path to power.
The only reason you would do that is if you were very secure in the knowledge that a better chance has already been arranged. |
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I think they have just chickened out. It might be tough to get a recall petition passed now if one is triggered.
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badenoch reminds me of a £ shop Boris. In private she is another wet one nation tory cab off the rank. but every now and again, she provides some red meat to make herself seem like a proper small c conservative. Yes she has good historic form on the gender nonsense, that is not exactly difficult though. And not much else. I didn't bother watching it or else I'd risk vomiting, I'm led to believe she gave 2tk a very nice send off at PMQs. They're all pals really, laughing at the rest of us.
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Cider you seem to suppport him. I like the idea of a new party (although I think Brexit was a disaster) and a straight talking guy but Farage himself is surely just a sleazebag.
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Interesting idea, (or crazy, depending on your viewpoint) that he's also Andew Wakefield with the same wife:
https://xdisciple.blogspot.com/2016/08/vaxxed-andrew-wakefield-fraud-is-nigel.html |
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Why do you think there was a co-ordinated effort from the legacy media and the traditional parties to try and make Fatface famous?
I'd venture 1 in 100 people knew who it was or what it represented before the by election furore started. More regular people would have heard of the MRLP. You only get that kind of co-ordination if these supposed enemies and people nominally tasked with scrutinising politicians are working together. |
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Just want to be sure - Is Fatface Binface?
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Ah that's right, he's an oxbridge reprobate and bbc employee, and one of them. Well known on the dinner party circuit no doubt, all in on the 'joke'
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yes, I've Christened him Fatface. As he has a very fat face.
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Farage basically is one of them, that's why he's so useless and not a serious threat. He'll likely win on 13/8 but his standing is in freefall. He hardly attended EC Parliament, he's hardly attended UK Parliament, he's now become unpleasant and belligerent in interview, and he won't even allow democracy in his party which he's made his private Ltd company.
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No I don't think Farage is a sleazebag and has identified nearly all of the underlying issues. And has been consistent on the big picture, big ticket items for many years.
Nobody is perfect and he has made several errors. He had to get rid of Lowe for example, but they way it was done was very silly and hypocritical. |
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The press obviously had an interest in Binface, no need for any "co-ordinated effort". He's no threat.
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