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UK - Next Prime Minister after Keir Starmer

SirNorbertClarke

22 Apr 26 09:31

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Date Joined: 11 Aug 21

| Topic/replies: 17,398 | Blogger: SirNorbertClarke's blog

Starmer is toast. The next PM will either be Rayner, or Streeting or Mahmood.

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By:

SirNorbertClarke When: 22 Apr 26 09:34

Who will be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom, after Keir Starmer?

This market will be settled based on the first official announcement of the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom.

In the event of any dispute around who is the Next Prime Minister after Keir Starmer we will settle this market on the Prime Minister as published on https://www.gov.uk/government/ministers/prime-minister

By:

Escapee When: 22 Apr 26 09:56

Rayner, the favourite, is still under investigation by inland revenue.
She will likely need that to go away before being given the PM job.

UK - Next Prime Minister -- Prime Minister after Keir Starmer

65 Runners £731,595 Matched

			107.5%	93%
Angela Rayner	3.65	3.7	3.75	3.85	3.9	3.95	£96,847
	£33	£176	£17	£12	£110	£108
Wes Streeting	8.4	8.6	8.8	9.2	9.4	10	£51,911
	£68	£28	£5	£70	£11	£15
Andy Burnham	10	10.5	11	11.5	12	13	£46,439
	£41	£5	£2	£72	£92	£100
Ed Miliband	7.2	7.4	7.6	8	10	10.5	£35,745
	£20	£28	£3	£23	£3	£5
Nigel Farage	14.5	15	15.5	19.5	20	21	£214,973
	£20	£9	£2	£2	£7	£1
Yvette Cooper	21	22	23	25	27	32	£20,436
	£13	£2	£2	£5	£3	£5
Shabana Mahmood	21	22	25	28	30	32	£24,615
	£100	£28	£3	£3	£5	£3
Kemi Badenoch	32	34	36	40	42	44	£37,368
	£5	£16	£1	£16	£70	£10
Alistair Carns	34	36	38	42	44	46	£7,945
	£21	£6	£2	£3	£16	£45
Rupert Lowe	30	34	36	40	42	46	£53,910
	£5	£18	£3	£1	£47	£5
Sadiq Khan	34	36	38	40	50	95	£10,397
	£15	£1	£3	£225	£2	£2
Zack Polanski	40	42	44	70	75	80	£18,078
	£3	£1	£3	£18	£1	£2
David Lammy	46	50	55	65	70	75	£8,036
	£8	£13	£2	£7	£1	£3
Bridget Phillipson	70	75	80	90	95	100	£6,199
	£2	£8	£5	£3	£1	£2
Lucy Powell	65	70	75	100	110	120	£9,336
	£29	£2	£1	£3	£1	£6
Peter Kyle	75	80	85	100	320	990	£3,653
	£3	£99	£5	£38	£2	£1
Lisa Nandy	85	95	100	130	150	200	£4,117
	£2	£12	£3	£22	£3	£2
John Healey	70	75	80	130	150	900	£5,644
	£2	£2	£3	£21	£1	£2
Darren Jones	46	100	110	420	430	470	£2,962
	£2	£19	£5	£3	£3	£2
Rachel Reeves	220	250	260	300	380	390	£5,567
	£3	£2	£2	£4	£6	£4
Ed Davey	200	210	230	310	370	1000	£2,823
	£5	£3	£3	£5	£12	£7
Louise Haigh	170	190	200	280	290	310	£1,575
	£1	£4	£3	£1	£9	£2
Nick Timothy	200	210	230	920	940	1000	£561
	£2	£3	£2	£11	£1	£3
Jeremy Hunt	200	210	220	860	870	1000	£926
	£10	£3	£5	£3	£1	£5
Robert Jenrick	260	300	310	450	490	990	£12,126
	£2	£4	£2	£20	£2	£2
Heidi Alexander	230	240	260	630	640	1000	£743
	£1	£2	£2	£4	£2	£4
James Cleverly	90	95	130	420	760	970	£4,692
	£2	£3	£46	£2	£18	£1
Rishi Sunak	300	310	320	980	1000	-	£1,009
	£3	£8	£1	£1	£20
Zia Yusuf	350	360	410	690	910	940	£2,370
	£2	£2	£2	£2	£3	£2
Douglas Alexander	60	65	250	460	770	780	£499
	£5	£6	£1	£3	£2	£2
Katie Lam	300	310	340	570	580	940	£731
	£4	£1	£1	£15	£2	£1
Torsten Bell	200	240	310	890	920	1000	£1,953
	£1	£2	£5	£4	£3	£6
Jeremy Clarkson	390	410	420	930	990	1000	£1,548
	£2	£2	£1	£2	£1	£5
Tom Tugendhat	220	230	240	690	890	900	£917
	£3	£1	£2	£5	£2	£3
David Cameron	510	550	560	990	1000	-	£658
	£2	£2	£2	£1	£2
Jeremy Corbyn	430	500	510	990	-	-	£1,965
	£2	£1	£2	£2
Pat McFadden	230	440	450	780	790	1000	£849
	£2	£7	£2	£2	£2	£3
Jonathan Reynolds	410	500	510	970	980	1000	£576
	£2	£8	£2	£4	£1	£5
Boris Johnson	360	500	510	880	890	1000	£15,576
	£2	£18	£2	£3	£2	£4
Emma Reynolds	390	400	410	760	990	1000	£524
	£1	£3	£2	£2	£1	£3
Steve Reed	440	500	510	820	830	850	£546
	£1	£1	£2	£4	£2	£2
Priti Patel	230	240	260	1000	-	-	£759
	£2	£2	£2	£6
Hilary Benn	350	470	480	690	890	1000	£573
	£1	£8	£2	£2	£2	£3
Anna Turley	510	580	590	980	1000	-	£554
	£2	£2	£2	£4	£1
Emily Thornberry	55	260	270	490	600	1000	£366
	£2	£3	£1	£4	£13	£4
Daisy Cooper	620	630	700	1000	-	-	£266
	£1	£4	£50	£2
Liz Kendall	620	720	750	970	1000	-	£324
	£1	£3	£2	£3	£4
Suella Braverman	710	900	1000	-	-	-	£1,545
	£3	£2	£2
Victoria Atkins	690	700	1000	-	-	-	£159
	£1	£2	£21
Danny Kruger	250	260	1000	-	-	-	£541
	£1	£2	£19
Ben Wallace	700	710	1000	-	-	-	£335
	£10	£2	£2
Graham Brady	150	500	1000	-	-	-	£17
	£3	£2	£69
David Miliband	840	970	1000	-	-	-	£466
	£5	£2	£1
Miatta Fahnbulleh	800	810	820	1000	-	-	£514
	£4	£2	£4	£3
Holly Valance	720	730	1000	-	-	-	£438
	£3	£2	£15
Matt Goodwin	510	540	1000	-	-	-	£647
	£3	£2	£11
Andrew Tate	610	800	1000	-	-	-	£3,730
	£13	£1	£4
Chris Bryant	100	110	1000	-	-	-	£93
	£5	£2	£38
Zarah Sultana	800	810	1000	-	-	-	£741
	£1	£2	£7
Ben Habib	600	630	1000	-	-	-	£1,771
	£2	£3	£5
Bell Ribeiro-Addy	500	520	1000	-	-	-	£65
	£2	£2	£48
James Cartlidge	500	510	1000	-	-	-	£11
	£1	£3	£72
Sarah Pochin	500	510	1000	-	-	-	£16
	£2	£2	£65
Lucy Rigby	780	910	1000	-	-	-	£211
	£2	£5	£3
Jake Richards	800	810	1000	-	-	-	£105
	£10	£3	£31

By:

PorcupineorPineapple When: 22 Apr 26 09:59

Membership would quit en masse before voting for Mahmood or Streeting. Rayner would be popular but even the slowest MP would see the trouble on the horizon with that one. Miliband is the clear and obvious pick if it's happening any time soon.

By:

Escapee When: 22 Apr 26 10:16

Milliband??
He was a blair continuity candidate when he was leader 2010-2015

You think they are going to bring back 'New Labour'?

I can't see it being a winning strategy.

By:

PorcupineorPineapple When: 22 Apr 26 10:18

Well New Labour seems like a golden age of politics given what we've gone through since. He's got experience of leading a fractured outfit from that time, and as a minister he's been pretty impeccable on his brief. In a weak field, he stands out for me.

By:

Escapee When: 22 Apr 26 10:22

One could almost say Milliband is the Mandelson continuity candidate.

By:

rothko When: 22 Apr 26 10:26

Give that man a bacon butty
It would be nice to have the Edstone back though

If Milliband is the best candidate stick with Starmer

By:

salmon spray When: 22 Apr 26 10:30

I agree that the Membership certainly won't vote for Streeting or Mahmood.
Burnham would probably win if he had a seat,but he hasn't.
Rayner wins IF the tax thing goes away but it probably won't.
Miliband was hardly an inspiring leader last time round,though not really NuLabor - that was his brother - and he is now very much identified with " green " policies which for the moment are toxic.
I'm not saying she would make a great PM but I think Cooper is value for money ( as a betting proposition ).

By:

PorcupineorPineapple When: 22 Apr 26 10:40

(looks around) are green policies really that toxic right now?

By:

Dotchinite When: 22 Apr 26 11:07

I dont think a lot of people who are considering voting Green have a clue about a lot of their nonsense. A general election cmapaign with lots of coverage will soon see their support slip back to just the corbynite lefties and real weirdos.

By:

salmon spray When: 22 Apr 26 11:14

I'm not talking about climate-change deniers but the substantial majority who vaguely think something should be done about climate-change but not at a large cost to them and not in the discriminatory way they have been introduced. Eg EVs are all very well for people who live in detached or semi-detached houses but not much use to people who live in terraced houses or flats. And don't get me started on heat pumps.
Of course I am aware that the Greens are doing well but Polanski is putting left-wing economic policies ahead of environmental matters in his public statememts/social media campaigns.

By:

----you-have-to-laugh--- When: 22 Apr 26 11:30

There are offers to stand down for Burnham.

If starmer is going, or forced out, I'd think
it has a good chance of happening.

Then he has to win the seat via by election

Quite a decent test.

By:

SirNorbertClarke When: 22 Apr 26 11:31

Right off Mahmood at your peril

By:

----you-have-to-laugh--- When: 22 Apr 26 11:32

Burnhams polling is easily best of any politician in UK.

Why would Labour turn him down again, if they want to win,again,
in 2029.

(Yeah,i know)

By:

SirNorbertClarke When: 22 Apr 26 11:41

Burnham is popular because the most taxing thing he's done in the last 9 years is cut a few ribbons and go for tea with the WI

By:

SirNorbertClarke When: 22 Apr 26 11:44

Mahmood is full of p!ss & vinegar. If need be she would strangle Badenoch.

By:

PorcupineorPineapple When: 22 Apr 26 11:56

The energy crisis triggered by the Iran war is slowing down Europe’s ability to refill gas stores cheaply, prompting warnings of higher costs this winter that will compound the continent’s economic challenges.

Summer prices have risen to winter levels, driven both by supply constraints stemming from the Middle East conflict and the EU target to fill storage supplies across the bloc to 80 per cent, according to traders and companies.

From today's FT. We've only scraped the surface so far of the costs of our dependence on getting fuel from some of the worst places on earth. In twenty years time we'll look back and wonder why it took so long for everyone to get their heads out of the sand and realise the very obvious truth.

By:

lapsy pa When: 22 Apr 26 12:38

In Europes favour since 2022 (Russian War) low cost and renewables have risen from 60% to 71% regarding electricity, it is going the right way.
The whole 'green thing' is right and a no brainer,who doesn't want a healthy planet,the cost of implementing it isn't unfortunately..

By:

Cider When: 22 Apr 26 12:42

It would be unfortunate if the EU doesn't have any gas of its own.

By:

lapsy pa When: 22 Apr 26 12:53

It would be just as unfortunate if the UK had no jet fuel for your new passport.

By:

Cider When: 22 Apr 26 13:01

Perhaps you know the answer?

By:

PorcupineorPineapple When: 22 Apr 26 13:05

Are oil and gas publically owned in Ireland, or would the fuel simply become the property of a private company who would be obliged to sell it to the highest bidder?

By:

lapsy pa When: 22 Apr 26 13:06

Afaik it isn't really viable re oil.
The Corrib gas supplies Ireland with near 2/3's of its gas.

.

By:

Cider When: 22 Apr 26 13:08

Afaik it isn't really viable re oil.

Definitely not if exploration is banned.

By:

lapsy pa When: 22 Apr 26 13:11

Well they didn't find a lot before the ban did they? Ballyroe maybe but that is smallish.

By:

Cider When: 22 Apr 26 13:15

Simple fact that the EU is happy to use resources exploited by others, but is not interested in using its own.

Rank hypocrisy, but hardly a ground breaking observation.

By:

PorcupineorPineapple When: 22 Apr 26 13:18

Surely the proliferation of wind turbines and solar panels is evidence it is interested in using its own resources though.

By:

lapsy pa When: 22 Apr 26 13:21

A lot of good it did the UK ^

No one benefited from your resources except companies, it stunk.

By:

lapsy pa When: 22 Apr 26 13:23

Cider,Ireland doesn't have gas storage facilities, it is piped.

By:

Cider When: 22 Apr 26 13:23

Usual deflection. EU needs oil and gas. Instead of using oil and gas it could access, it ships it from the other side of the world instead. As that is more friendly to the environment. lol

By:

PorcupineorPineapple When: 22 Apr 26 13:26

Apr 22, 2026 -- 1:23PM, Cider wrote:

Usual deflection. EU needs oil and gas. Instead of using oil and gas it could access, it ships it from the other side of the world instead. As that is more friendly to the environment. lol

Can I just check your comprehension skills here.

Are you advocating the EU set up a socialist energy provider and take it out of the hands of all of the private energy companies? Is that what you think should happen?

By:

Cider When: 22 Apr 26 13:29

I'm used to you being deliberately obtuse, but if the EU tapped into resources of its own, it would be unaffected by the middle east. Is there a reason why the EU wouldn't be able to fund the 'private companies' and not put the resources on the open market, outside of the EU?

By:

PorcupineorPineapple When: 22 Apr 26 13:34

You keep saying EU as if they are the ones selling the oil.

I'd reply with obtuse, but you're just simply ignorant.

By:

lapsy pa When: 22 Apr 26 13:36

Yes,the reason was a big kumbaya moment when the world said it is wrecking itself and wants to look after the planet.
Very noble and very right but clear impracticalities and such an awful pity.

By:

Cider When: 22 Apr 26 13:37

Why won't the EU exploit its own natural resources?

By:

Cider When: 22 Apr 26 13:37

ie gas and oil

By:

PorcupineorPineapple When: 22 Apr 26 13:37

Do "the EU" own the gas and oil?

By:

Cider When: 22 Apr 26 13:41

Yes, they own the fields.

Or are you claiming that the EU has no access to natural oil and gas and has to rely on other nations?

By:

PorcupineorPineapple When: 22 Apr 26 13:43

(family fortunes uhh-err sound)

No. No it doesn't.

Good grief. It's like pulling teeth.