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Biden dispatched another large trump
in front of camilla! |
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Forget aoc, no chance! The tide has turned against her and her evils, America has seen through the squad, with the less-evil dems distancing themselves from her, preferring to be known as `normal` dems. She`s finnnnnnnish.
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Trump to become President before 2025
https://smarkets.com/event/42461161/politics/us/donald-trump/trump-to-become-president-before-2025 . £1762 matched and down to 28.0 now. Was that your money tim? |
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Joe Rogan. MAGA. LETS GO JOE. Has a ring to it
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smarkets are charlatans, bookies seeding their own interface, under the guise of being `an exchange`. After reading their Ts and Cs, no winning punter would ever go near them.
Your constant advertising of them is in direct contravention of bf`s rules; you`re lucky us good and right thinking people aren`t the type to go running to the mods, you`d be banned instantly. |
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Personally I have found them very fair.
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I mean, look at the market in question. They have clearly identified a demand for it and clearly, by the amount staked already, have proved to be correct. I guess it must be Timbers possibly?
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no it's mine
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America crazy enough to elect any narcissist. Should have Oprah, Clooney and Meghan Markle in the betting. Harry could go full woke and transition to become first lady
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Here`s the relevant rules from their Ts and Cs. (I`ve discussed this on another forum; at the bottom there`s my summary, which I posted there, can`t be bothered to write a different one)
Clearly Erroneous Bets Policy 1. Erroneous bets Smarkets may consider bets to be clearly erroneous in cases of obvious and significant input error, whether with stake, price or identification of a contract, and where best price execution cannot account for the error and bring the bet within the defined boundaries of the ‘fair price’ as described below. Please note that the price differences noted below are in absolute difference in percentage price unless stated otherwise. For example a bet matched at odds of 50% (2.0 in decimal format) is considered 10% different to the price of 40% (2.5 in decimal odds). 3. Outlier transactions Outlier transactions are defined as bets matched at a price that exceeds +-20% of the determined fair market price at the time the bet was matched. 4. Defining fair market price When a complaint is filed, Smarkets will use any available resources, including but not limited to, recent trades on the Smarkets exchange and prices available elsewhere at the time, to determine the fair market price at the time the bet was matched. If the erroneous bet was matched at a price of +-15% of the fair market price at the time, Smarkets reserves the right to void the bet. In addition to recent execution prices and prices available on other platforms at the time the bet was matched, Smarkets may also consider a number of additional factors when deciding whether a bet is clearly erroneous. These include, but are not limited to, system malfunction, the volatility of the contract, new information becoming available in the public domain that may significantly alter the price (such as team news for a football match), whether the result of the bet had been unconditionally decided before a complaint was raised, whether betting on the market was recently halted and resumed, the start price of the selection and if the complainant had taken any steps to limit their exposure to the erroneous bet. For example if the price of a contract is particularly volatile at the time a bet was matched, due to new information becoming public or otherwise, it is less likely bets will be voided under this policy as the fair price would be more difficult to determine objectively. In cases where Smarkets cannot provide a reasonable determination of the fair price of the contract, no bets will be voided. 5. Reviewing bets on Smarkets’ own motion Smarkets may also conduct reviews of bets on their own initiative. In normal office hours, and excluding the case of outlier transactions, users will be alerted to the investigation and informed of a decision within 120 minutes of the bets being matched. Where the erroneous bet occurs outside normal office hours, a decision will be conveyed by 18:00 GMT on the next business day, defined as Monday to Friday and excluding national holidays in the UK. So, any whinging loser (Messrs G`n`T?) who says `I made a mistake, pressed the wrong button! Yes, I was happy with it until the market went against me, but now that I`ve lost, I`ll scweam and scweam until you bail me out!` can have the bet cancelled, even after the event! As for this whole `fair price` tosh, well, if bf applied such stupidity, I`d never win a penny! Worse, smarkets seed the markets, so many `erroneous` and `unfair` prices cancelled will be them saving themselves money, for their own mistakes! And to compound it all, you could have a decent winner Friday evening, whisk the mistress off for a nice celebratory weekend in New York to spend all your winnings, get back Tuesday evening, just in time to receive an email telling you the winning bet was now, and only now, four days later, being void! As I said; charlatans, steer well clear |
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Corky Joined: 16 Jan 06
Replies: 380515 Nov 21 15:10 America crazy enough to elect any narcissist. Should have Oprah, Clooney and Meghan Markle in the betting. Harry could go full woke and transition to become first lady Oprah`s there already. Indeed, I seem to remember trading her for 2020, as she`d be a cert for the dem nom should she ever choose to get involved. Clooney was listed last time, too |
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I have been with Smarkets for some years. I have had one or two disputes with them which were settled amicably and fairly. As I only bet on politics it would be unfair of me to guesstimate of any issues that any folks have had outwith that topic. Their customer service is truly excellent.
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Oprah - 320.0 betfair exchange
Clooney- 200.0 Betfred and **** Meghan- 260.0 Betfair exchange |
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Just discovered they don't like you mentioning the company that you sometimes need a poultice to mend.
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Purple? Boilers?
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The second one.
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Your position must be below desperate PP
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People betting on Trump to be president before 2025 likely just don't understand the rules.
Probably think: There's an election in 2024. Trump will win. So Trump will be president before 2025. |
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Indeed.
There was evidence of that on other thread. Long time to wait for 4% return. |
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I guess so, with inflation etc
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But then again there were
Plenty of mugs backing him after he lost last electiin .. And 28% think he's back in the Whitehouse by Jan 22! Lol |
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re smarkets, I don't agree with that clause, but it is more than likely an anti money laundering/anti hacker rule.
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https://smarkets.com/event/42461161/politics/us/donald-trump/trump-to-become-president-before-2025
. £2463 matched now. |
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https://www.rollingstone.com/politics/politics-news/mnuchin-pompeo-trump-25th-amendment-1257958/
. Mnuchin and Pompeo Discussed a Plan to Oust Trump from Office on Jan. 6: Report |
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Ryan Struyk
@ryanstruyk · 15h Do you believe Joe Biden won the 2020 election fair and square or only won it due to voter fraud via Monmouth poll: Democrats: 97% fair and square 2% voter fraud Republicans: 22% fair and square 73% voter fraud |
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Those figures may suggest a great deal of support among GOP members for Trumps fraud claims but the 22% who say Biden won fair and square are the ones Trump should be very worried about.
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Wyoming GOP votes to stop recognizing Cheney as a Republican
https://apnews.com/article/donald-trump-liz-cheney-wyoming-casper-1966d793df2baa85e0fecad4026b0e99 . |
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https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Holiday_in_Cambodia
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I see my scammer troll has arrived
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sorry thought this was the music thread
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politicspunter 16 Nov 21 06:35
https://smarkets.com/event/42461161/politics/us/donald-trump/trump-to-become-president-before-2025 £2463 matched now. Another lie from s(cam)markets, deliberately aimed at fooling the unsophisticated mugs, a lie that you`ve fallen for! On bf, a £2 bet is counted as £4 matched, regardless of price. The scammarkets, in a deceptive attempt at seeming to be matching similar amounts as bf do, instead count £2 matched at 1.000 as £2,000. Meaning, with £2400 `matched`, that could be one bet of £2.40 at 1,000! In this case,(without me wanting to go near the scamsters website to check), it seems from what I`ve read on here that, with The Don being matched at 50-odd, that means about £50 actually backed, giving a true matched figure of £100; Charlatans. |
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No one suggested they were trying to copy anyone.
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You`re forever posting their lying numbers as part of your advertising campaign, trying to big up the scamsters. If that £2,400 was measured in the bf way, you wouldn`t have posted that there had been a fiver matched. You`re either unaware of their lying ways, or you`re shilling for them. Either way, not a good look.
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No one is claiming they have an identical system as Betfair. As I have been a member of Smarkets for a few years now, I think it's fair to say I am aware of the operation of their product.
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Not sure I believe that, but even given the benefit of the doubt, why post a matched figure that could amount to one single bet of £2.47p?
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I don't know how many times I need to say the same thing. No one is claiming Smarkets system is identical to Betfair.
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You`ve spent over a year and hundreds of looks at my winning 2020 bets, trying to figure out how I won, and still can`t see it, so I have no faith in your ability to understand anything, let alone scamarkets matching procedures. Indeed, only last week, you couldn`t work out how I laid Youngkin and backed macauliffe and won!
If we give you the benefit of the (huge!) doubt, then why post about a potential bet of £2.47? Are you paid to spread FAKE NEWS? Is bf aware of your blatant breaking of their rules? |
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We?
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Prime wriggling! Avoid the charge, deflect, try to pull a clinton `It depends on what the meaning of the word `is`, is`
Just for fun, though, let`s answer; the `we`, is those of us on here your FAKE claims are aimed at fooling. |