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poll is obviously people not understanding the question or trolling. Maybe if it was 2022, you could get that answer.
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https://docs.cdn.yougov.com/87gqotkd1s/econTabReport.pdf
. Looks genuine enough to me. |
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I didn't say the poll wasn't genuine. I said that there is no chance that 28% think that.
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Why not?
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I support Trump and think the moon landings were faked
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imo it is just as likely that someone doesn't understand the question as they believe something that has utterly no path to realisation. And people do troll polls that ask these kinds of questions.
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The typical Trump voter is white, 30-50 and poorly educated. It tends to be if you suggest anything to them that may see Trump in a favourable light, they just go in automatic mode and say yes to everything. They probably genuinely believe the drivel he spouts, no matter how many times it is proven to be guff. The results of this poll are similar to the one conducted in October.
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Currently, Trump is actually harming the chances of any other prospective candidate by suggesting he may run. No serious financial support is going to get behind anyone else for now as it may turn out Trump runs after all.
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30-50 and poorly educated
it is just as likely that someone doesn't understand the question |
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A majority of Trump diehards won't even care about the question details. They will just say yes anyway. They might believe it because the suggestion in the question has been put to them so if there is any inkling at all of it happening, they say it will.
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quite a few poorly educated people posting on this thread
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^^Yes, as I said, they don't understand the question, not that the poll doesn't reflect their answer.
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if a follow up question asked them to say how he would be reinstated, it would be clear that they didn't know.
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I think you`ll find they`re all the one chap; multiple usernames, laughing at his own jokes, agreeing with himself, in lockstep on EVERY issue, same two-year-long repetition of the same inane questions, and the personality of a facetious jerk.
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would be genuinely hilarious if that was really happening
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the 28% of GOP voters roughly equates to the 11% of Americans that believe the moon-landings were faked - these will largely be the same people (Timber/timbuctooth types).
I don't doubt the 28% "believe" that Trump will be back in office this year but they don't have the critical thinking skills to be able to work out how that might happen - their "evidence" is of the "watch this video" type. It's like Trump's big lie - they can't explain how it might have happened they just believe it. |
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https://eu.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/politics/iowa-poll/2021/11/13/iowa-poll-trump-leads-biden-possible-2024-presidential-matchup/6385995001/
. Strong poll in Iowa for Trump. |
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Trump to become President before 2025
https://smarkets.com/event/42461161/politics/us/donald-trump/trump-to-become-president-before-2025 . You had better hurry if you don't want to miss the price! Was 50.0, now 32.0 with £88 still available. |
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USA, Washington Post/ABC News poll:
House of Representatives election Republican Party (Conservative): 56% Democratic Party (Liberal): 45% Fieldwork: 7-10 November 2021 Sample size: 882 |
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Can see smarkets getting some stick when the penny drops.
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Yep, they could be wiped out by bets from timber, timbuctooth and the like.
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Bit surprised Timber doesn't sweep up all the high odds on Trump. Not too long ago he thought 10 was splendid odds for it, and that was before the decertification guaranteeing results of Arizona's full audit had been released.
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2024 National Republican Primary Poll:
Trump 44% DeSantis 21% Haley 5% Pence 4% Carlson 3% Rubio 3% Youngkin 1% @YouGovAmerica / @YahooNews |
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2024 National Democratic Primary Poll:
Biden 25% Harris 14% Sanders 12% Warren 8% Ocasio-Cortez 8% Buttigieg 7% @YouGovAmerica / @YahooNews |
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2024 National General Election Poll:
Joe Biden 43% (+4) Donald Trump 39% @YouGovAmerica / @YahooNews |
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any figures for Biden vs a non-Trump GOP candidate?
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by that I mean a candidate other then Donald Trump
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No, afraid not, from this you gov poll anyway.
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Rest assured, Trump is likely the only Republican that could lose to Biden
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a lot can happen in 3 years - and it will largely depend on the economic situation at the time - but yes Trump is the candidate least likely to beat Biden
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12% of democrats would vote for 83 year old Bernie Sanders in 2024
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On the other hand, Biden and Harris could both lose to Trump.
Identifying a Democrat that could run instead of those 2 is likely the best way to make money on this, as surely they will be looking for one the way it's going. But Bernie and Warren have had their shot and Buttigeg is just as awful as Harris. |
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I think it's also reasonable to rule out anyone from the Trump family, so out go Donald Junior, Eric and Ivanka. There are also plenty of no hopers too numerous to mention.
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Ocasio Cortez is value surely
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Warren could easily run again in my opinion
in fact I think almost certainly one of Sanders / Warren / AOC will run |
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Biden is just finessing trump,
or maybe other way round. Both a liability at the mo. Dems want trump, reps want Biden. Funny old world, with little sign, yet of anybody breaking the jam |
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if the left of teh party unites around a single candidate one of those three could easily beat Harris or Biden
the establishment sort of has to back harris if she runs and Joe doesn't, despite tehfcat she isn't a partucularyl good candidate |
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If Dwayne Johnson put his name up as a Democrat possible, everything could change.
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would Harris beat Warren in a primary? or even AOC?
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