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2024 USA Presidential Election

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By:
politicspunter
When: 25 Oct 21 08:03
If Trump can become President, the Rock certainly can also. If he stood as a Republican candidate, Trump would probably have to step aside.
By:
----you-have-to-laugh---
When: 25 Oct 21 12:52
Didn't the rock back Biden over trump?

Obviously he needs backing of one
of the parties, maybes they could do
a meerkat

Dwayne Johnson party 2024

Rep, dem, any other Inc indy, does not run.
By:
Giuseppe
When: 25 Oct 21 13:39
he was great in jumanji, i'd vote for him if i was amercian
By:
politicspunter
When: 25 Oct 21 15:36
Trump now trading at 4.4 outright. That is a very short price at this early stage.
By:
edy
When: 25 Oct 21 15:59

Oct 25, 2021 -- 1:39PM, Giuseppe wrote:


he was great in jumanji, i'd vote for him if i was amercian


I think he should first be governor of California, then seek to become US President after that.

By:
politicspunter
When: 25 Oct 21 16:01
Against any Democrat, Trump still has to win states that he lost in 2020. He also has to ensure he doesn't lose any that he won if possible. Battleground states and Trump chances...

Minnesota- 30/70
Wisconsin- 50/50
Michigan- 50/50
Pennsylvania- 50/50
Georgia-50/50
Arizona- 50/50
North Carolina-50/50
Florida- 60/40
Texas- 70-30
Iowa- 70-30
Ohio 70-30

Of the above, if Trump lost Minnesota, Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania, he would lose unless he achieves a real turn up elsewhere, not including the states listed above. His task is not easy by any means.
By:
----you-have-to-laugh---
When: 25 Oct 21 17:10
Interesting to see Obama still
out on campaign trail.

Shirley he's an election winner
for dems,..... When does trump
challenge him to debate?

Would be fun.
By:
Giuseppe
When: 25 Oct 21 17:12
Obama was a great president

did so much to tackle institutional racism / police brutality etc.
By:
politicspunter
When: 26 Oct 21 11:26
This morning I have been looking at the most recent you gov poll regarding Republican nominee and particularly Trump....

May 13th- 68% Trump, 10% undecided.
May 26th- 65% Trump, 16% undecided.
August 2nd- 58% Trump, 17% undecided.
October 21st- 41% Trump, 24% undecided.

DeSantis is the clear second choice but with a relatively low percentage.
By:
----you-have-to-laugh---
When: 26 Oct 21 11:49
Won't say until there is
an actual choice, is my guess.

A good time to be in the know.
By:
politicspunter
When: 26 Oct 21 11:53
If Trump doesn't run, there are going to be some folks very badly damaged on the exchanges.
By:
----you-have-to-laugh---
When: 26 Oct 21 12:07
Not if they hit the actual nominee,
if that is the case.
By:
----you-have-to-laugh---
When: 26 Oct 21 12:08
But there will be the blind backers
who will be waiting to collect, whatever.
By:
Giuseppe
When: 26 Oct 21 12:27
anyone get the impression punter is VERY exposed to Trump on this market?
By:
----you-have-to-laugh---
When: 26 Oct 21 12:47
Some are still waiting for 2020
payout
By:
politicspunter
When: 26 Oct 21 12:48

Oct 26, 2021 -- 12:47PM, ----you-have-to-laugh--- wrote:


Some are still waiting for 2020payout


True Laugh

By:
politicspunter
When: 28 Oct 21 20:49
https://twitter.com/tencor_7144/status/1453798706675863555/photo/1
.

Climb down from Trump?
By:
Whisperingdeath
When: 28 Oct 21 21:14
He might flee the country, the net is closing in on him!
By:
keyboard_line
When: 28 Oct 21 21:25
does it make sense for him to be 5, does it make sense for him to be 4....my current thinking, lay him in the low 4's
By:
keyboard_line
When: 28 Oct 21 21:27
and back at the high 4's i suppose
By:
politicspunter
When: 28 Oct 21 21:28
A long time to go till November 2024, so for a candidate that may not even run, let alone win...
By:
Giuseppe
When: 28 Oct 21 21:29
there's the book talking again
By:
keyboard_line
When: 28 Oct 21 21:30
well, it's ****n ridiculous betting on a 2024 market full stop probably
By:
keyboard_line
When: 28 Oct 21 21:36
i mean, lay 20 and back 19.60 surely is gonna come unstuck at some point
By:
politicspunter
When: 28 Oct 21 21:39

Oct 26, 2021 -- 11:26AM, politicspunter wrote:


This morning I have been looking at the most recent you gov poll regarding Republican nominee and particularly Trump....May 13th- 68% Trump, 10% undecided.May 26th- 65% Trump, 16% undecided.August 2nd- 58% Trump, 17% undecided.October 21st- 41% Trump, 24% undecided.DeSantis is the clear second choice but with a relatively low percentage.


This looks wobbly to me.

By:
keyboard_line
When: 28 Oct 21 21:43
is the thinking trump wont declare till after the midterms, can he break 4 before that, laying 4.2-4.4 this year will surely not cause a problematic situation
By:
politicspunter
When: 28 Oct 21 21:45
Well, that's it. How low can his price go, especially if Biden stands, which at the moment looks likely.
By:
keyboard_line
When: 28 Oct 21 21:59
how low can it go!
By:
keyboard_line
When: 28 Oct 21 22:02
trump to be rep nominee 2.44 and reps to win 24 election 2.02 is a 3.93 double! though that does exclude trump beoming an independent president
By:
keyboard_line
When: 28 Oct 21 22:07
or a dem pres Grin
By:
politicspunter
When: 28 Oct 21 22:08
I am far from convinced Trump will stand. Very happy for him to do so as it should increase the betting action, I conservatively estimate, by a factor of two.
By:
keyboard_line
When: 29 Oct 21 02:14
200x easily
By:
DanielKoellerer
When: 29 Oct 21 19:00
Yeah Trump at 4.5 is a terrible price. Could be wrong of course.

But with 3 years to go it's very short for a man who will be 78 and is classed as obese. Then you factor that all of his current bluster may well be just that for all sorts of legal reasons. Then if he ran not sure what would change from a huge turnout against him once again.

I think his backers are forgetting what can happen in 3 years - especially with a poor GOP26 to come shortly. Even the GOP may be well aware of climate change when it's hitting them smack bang middle of the face in 2.5 years. Not sure Trump's opinion towards climate change is going to resonate with many voters in 3 years time to be honest, because it's going to be the covid issue of the 2020 election, if not greater.
By:
DanielKoellerer
When: 29 Oct 21 19:01
But well done to those who are on at double digit prices, a nice trade.
By:
DanielKoellerer
When: 29 Oct 21 19:03
COP26Crazy - GOP on the brain
By:
DanielKoellerer
When: 30 Oct 21 20:16
A bit of money waiting to get matched on fattie Pompeo and Kristi Noem in the presidential winner market.
By:
politicspunter
When: 30 Oct 21 20:23

Oct 30, 2021 -- 8:16PM, DanielKoellerer wrote:


A bit of money waiting to get matched on fattie Pompeo and Kristi Noem in the presidential winner market.


Lol, Is that yours Daniel?

By:
DanielKoellerer
When: 30 Oct 21 20:25
Well they are two I think have an outside shot, but unfortunately it isn't Blush. Took better prices on the Pomp.
By:
politicspunter
When: 30 Oct 21 20:33
I see someone also wants £161 matched on Ivanka Trump at 160.0, someone with plenty of money to throw away.
By:
DanielKoellerer
When: 30 Oct 21 20:42
Yeah lets hope 2024 is as profitable as 2020 with silly money
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