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When will B/f settle presidency market?

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By:
mmmalushka
When: 14 Dec 20 22:00
ffs Tramp now trading at 22
By:
PeteTheBloke
When: 14 Dec 20 22:02
Forget everything you ever thought you knew about betting.
By:
politicspunter
When: 14 Dec 20 22:02
It's truly bizarre.
By:
Total Bosman
When: 14 Dec 20 22:04
I guess we can add Competing Slates Of Electors to the long list of things the market doesn’t understand. My fear is BF won’t understand either.
By:
----you-have-to-laugh---
When: 14 Dec 20 22:04
Just piling the slush funds on to perpetuate the myth.

Time for another deposit....
By:
Charlton2005
When: 14 Dec 20 22:06
next president Female also coming in for some support

morons, bots etc etc
By:
----you-have-to-laugh---
When: 14 Dec 20 22:08
Maybe I should my Nancy Pelosi lay back up


Who knows, lol
By:
----you-have-to-laugh---
When: 14 Dec 20 22:09
Should put
By:
bingo bongo
When: 14 Dec 20 22:12
SUSPENDED
By:
PeteTheBloke
When: 14 Dec 20 22:12
Suspended
By:
womble
When: 14 Dec 20 22:12
WHOOP!!!
By:
Total Bosman
When: 14 Dec 20 22:12
23 backers wailing
By:
PeteTheBloke
When: 14 Dec 20 22:12
About time too
By:
politicspunter
When: 14 Dec 20 22:13
Well well
By:
Total Bosman
When: 14 Dec 20 22:14
States too.
By:
bingo bongo
When: 14 Dec 20 22:14
Is this the end or another rule "clarification"
By:
Charlton2005
When: 14 Dec 20 22:14
done
By:
PeteTheBloke
When: 14 Dec 20 22:15
There'll be soooo many hurt Trumpites.
By:
Total Bosman
When: 14 Dec 20 22:15
Maybe just re-ordering.
By:
rock piper
When: 14 Dec 20 22:16
'Total Bosman14 Dec 20 22:52Joined: 15 Dec 04 | Topic/replies: 8,605 | Blogger: Total Bosman's blog
10 minutes until Biden wins the electoral college so naturally Trump continues to shorten in a market about the winner of the electoral college'


1.05 Biden to win Penn, the vote is certified and the electors have cast their vote, there is more chance of Shergar bursting out of the IRA's underground racetrack with Lord Lucan on his back and the pair go on to win next years Derby than is there is Trump winning the popular vote there, and yet.

The big question is why were the rules for the election so vaguely written surely the ace US legals advising BF were consulted on the wording. The rules for Every market should be stringently written but for a market this big where it was long telegraphed that if the rag lost there would be challenges and they put the rules in their entirety in one sentence without the terms used in the wording being defined. Amateur stuff, at best amateur stuff.
By:
politicspunter
When: 14 Dec 20 22:18
They think it's all over...
By:
Charlton2005
When: 14 Dec 20 22:19
ace US legals

the average ace us legal has never gone near a course in logic/maths. a first year maths student would have seen through these rules.
By:
politicspunter
When: 14 Dec 20 22:19
Winston Smith
@Winston15096180
·
1m
Betfair suspended at 22/1
By:
Total Bosman
When: 14 Dec 20 22:20
The “what does it mean suspended?” tweets from MAGAs are actually kind of sad. They can’t understand actual reality colliding with their little internet worlds.
By:
PeteTheBloke
When: 14 Dec 20 22:20
It's a good point about the rules. I've seen them being very lax about them in loads of markets.
It's one thing in a daily horse race, but another thing completely in a 4 year (+ 1 month) election.
By:
Sergeant Cecil
When: 14 Dec 20 22:21

Dec 14, 2020 -- 10:20PM, PeteTheBloke wrote:


It's a good point about the rules. I've seen them being very lax about them in loads of markets.It's one thing in a daily horse race, but another thing completely in a 4 year (+ 1 month) election.


Agreed. The fun thing is the 2024 market should be up pretty soon you'd think so we get to see what they do about it!

By:
politicspunter
When: 14 Dec 20 22:21
Good point.
By:
bingo bongo
When: 14 Dec 20 22:22
Still time for the inauguration market before a 2024 one. Presumably we'd get 22/23 on Trump  again.
By:
Charlton2005
When: 14 Dec 20 22:23
the "defined" cut off date was always today given the reference to faithless electors

faithless electors and anything after them will not count

we are now at that point

and despite most of you disrespecting him, lfc was basically the only one on here that understood the logic of that
By:
Arnot
When: 14 Dec 20 22:23
I placed a lay against Trump today for my entire bankroll at 30's which I thought was a great return. But that we would see 22 at the loser at the moment of suspension, is unbelievable. Normally always 1.01 for president elect.
By:
politicspunter
When: 14 Dec 20 22:24
lfc knows nothing, you are humiliating yourself.
By:
Sergeant Cecil
When: 14 Dec 20 22:24

Dec 14, 2020 -- 10:23PM, Charlton2005 wrote:


the "defined" cut off date was always today given the reference to faithless electorsfaithless electors and anything after them will not countwe are now at that pointand despite most of you disrespecting him, lfc was basically the only one on here that understood the logic of that


We all understood the logic of it, but he was wrong.

By:
PeteTheBloke
When: 14 Dec 20 22:25
I've asked on Twitter for the 2024 market to go up. Should be there by March, with luck.
By:
Charlton2005
When: 14 Dec 20 22:27
how was he wrong? Grin

he said the moment the projected votes become actual, the markets will suspend

seems pretty accurate to me
By:
Charlton2005
When: 14 Dec 20 22:27
how was he wrong? Grin

he said the moment the projected votes become actual, the markets will suspend

seems pretty accurate to me
By:
Charlton2005
When: 14 Dec 20 22:27
how was he wrong? Grin

he said the moment the projected votes become actual, the markets will suspend

seems pretty accurate to me
By:
Charlton2005
When: 14 Dec 20 22:27
oops apologies, not trying to stress the point
By:
Angoose
When: 14 Dec 20 22:28
California has spoken.
WEIGHED IN.   WEIGHED IN
By:
dave1357
When: 14 Dec 20 22:29
Charlton what would betfair have done if there were 50 faithless electors voting for trump?

Their rules say that they wouldn't have affected the settlement.

So how can today's activities have had any relevance.
By:
Sergeant Cecil
When: 14 Dec 20 22:29

Dec 14, 2020 -- 10:27PM, Charlton2005 wrote:


how was he wrong? he said the moment the projected votes become actual, the markets will suspendseems pretty accurate to me


Yes, nobody ever disputed that. It's just not what the rules say.

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