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2.6 Trump to be next president of the US.

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By:
politicspunter
When: 17 Aug 20 09:21
Every poll is the same. When asked if they are voting for Biden or against Trump, it's always against Trump that is the higher percentage.
By:
aaronh
When: 17 Aug 20 09:30
interesting CNN poll out last night Devil
By:
politicspunter
When: 17 Aug 20 09:38

Aug 17, 2020 -- 9:30AM, aaronh wrote:


interesting CNN poll out last night


Sure is!

By:
aaronh
When: 17 Aug 20 09:39
April Biden+11
May Biden+5
June Biden+14
August Biden+4

Battleground states

Biden 49% (+1)
Trump 48%

White voters

Trump 53% (-4 from 2016 exit point)
Biden 43% (+6)

Non-white voters:
Biden 63% (-11)
Trump 31% (+10)
By:
politicspunter
When: 17 Aug 20 09:54
That non-white section is a bit vague. Normally it is broken down into black/hispanic/asian/other
By:
politicspunter
When: 17 Aug 20 10:01
Mind made up section is right in line with other polls with 89% saying they know how they are voting.
By:
lfc1971
When: 17 Aug 20 10:12
Bidens lead narrows to one point in 15 crucial states - latest polls
By:
politicspunter
When: 17 Aug 20 10:24
A total of 1,108 adults, including an oversample of 305 adults living in 15 battleground states (Arizona, Florida,
Georgia, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Minnesota, Nevada, New Hampshire, New Mexico, North Carolina, Ohio,
Pennsylvania, Texas, and Wisconsin) were interviewed by telephone nationwide by live interviewers calling both
landline and cell phones. Oversampled states have been weighted to represent their proper share of the adult
population. Interviews were conducted in English and Spanish. Among the entire sample, 31% described
themselves as Democrats, 27% described themselves as Republicans, and 42% described themselves as
independents or members of another party.
All respondents were asked questions concerning basic demographics, and the entire sample was weighted to
reflect national Census figures for gender, race, age, education, region of country, and telephone usage.
Results for the full sample have a margin of sampling error of +/- 3.7 percentage points. For the sample of 987
registered voters, it is +/- 4.0 percentage points. For the subset of 636 adults living in the 15 battleground states, it
is +/- 5.0 percentage points.

Well, I don't know what to make of this at all. The sample per state is tiny. It could mean one of the candidates has huge leads in some states and is miles behind in others or it could mean umpteen other combinations/possibles. You would think that Biden had a clear lead in Maine, Minnesota, Nevada, New Hampshire, New Mexico. Trump should be ahead in Georgia, Iowa, Ohio and Texas but there is no way of knowing.
By:
lfc1971
When: 17 Aug 20 10:39
Can’t believe those polls , imagine how far ahead Trump really is
By:
Whisperingdeath
When: 17 Aug 20 14:30
A point is all that you can score!

All of a sudden the polls are accurate and a CNN poll at that!
By:
DanielKoellerer
When: 17 Aug 20 14:39
1.73 Biden

2.52 Trump
By:
stewarty b
When: 02 Sep 20 19:11
The 2.6 is well gone now.
By:
----you-have-to-laugh---
When: 30 Sep 20 11:39
almost that time again
By:
politicspunter
When: 30 Sep 20 11:42
And this is also honkingly bad value. If you are holding any Trump bets do a Vivian Nicholson asap.
By:
politicspunter
When: 30 Sep 20 11:45
Sell, sell, sell !
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