Politics
trump
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son of a gun, let me try and explain something to you regarding bookies, particularly with regard to politics. If a bookie is taking plenty of money on a 3.0 shot, should he increase that price if the true chances of winning are 6.0?
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On this election I will have roughly £20-25K invested which is a reasonable amount. I have no intention of moving any market.
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The reason the Trump/Biden market isn't moving too much is that the weight of money for both candidates is balancing the book at current prices.
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As I say, don't mix up polling models with bookie prices.
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It's not unusual at all, it's normal. That's why betting on politics is a licence to print money.
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Biden isn't a 1,1 shot that's why, son of a gun
He's a 3 shot |
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Deadline Hollywood published this, deleted it but the archive captured it.
Vice President Mike Pence Tests Positive For Coronavirus 8 Days After Donald Trump https://web.archive.org/web/20201008223203/https://deadline.com/2020/10/vice-president-mike-pence-tests-positive-has-coronavirus-after-donald-trump-1234594074/ |
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Trump might as well say as many outlandish things as possible right now because when the election is over and he's lost, nobody will be interested any more.
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Looking at his colour, he's paid a visit to Barrack Embalmer.
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The World in shock that Donald didn't win a Nobel Peace Prize.
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Unlike Barack Obama and Jimmy Carter then?
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1 tick at a time (for now) one reason Biden is not shorter must be fears Trump will in the manner of tin pot dictator refuse to accept result
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whatever the result when will BF be able to pay up on the Next Pres market? not this year
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Trump loses by a small margin he wont declare and rightly so, he'll send it through the courts and that opens up a can of worms
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You mean Trump won't accept the democratic wishes of the American people? If Biden loses, he will accept it.
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https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/us-election/hillary-clinton-joe-biden-donald-trump-us-election-2020-a9688361.html
Hillary Clinton has urged Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden to “not concede under any circumstances,” in November’s presidential election, as she believes the results are “going to drag out,” because of mail-in voting. Ms Clinton, the Democratic presidential nominee in 2016, told her former aide Jennifer Palmieri on Showtime’s The Circus on Monday, that she believes the Republicans are attempting to “mess up” mail-in voting to gain “a narrow advantage in the electoral college.” In the interview, Ms Clinton said that Republicans “have a couple of scenarios that they are looking toward. One is messing up absentee balloting. They believe that helps them so that they then get maybe a narrow advantage in the Electoral College on election day.” The 72-year-old claimed: “In the recent Michigan primary, I was told, in Detroit the Republicans had 40 lawyers challenging absentee, mail-in voting, and a local reporter, talking to one of the lawyers he knew, was told it was a dry run for November. “So we’ve got to have a massive legal operation, and I know the Biden campaign is working on that.” |
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Not if its tight, PP
He'll rightly call a recount or refuse the result which he's entitled to do |
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The standard case that gets churned out all the time regarding "conceding" is the Bush v Gore episode from 2000.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bush_v._Gore |
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Can't wait for Civil War 2.0
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Will Civil War 2.0 only happen if Trump loses or also if he wins?
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In order for Trump to try any shenanigans regarding the result, there has to be an element of doubt. If the result is a clear win for either candidate, there is not much that can happen. If the next President was decided by popular vote and it was close, a full recount throughout the whole of the USA would be in order. The electoral college system they use eliminates the need for that.
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Or will Trump losing just be one of the puzzle pieces on the way to civil war 2.0 happening later on?
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Trump loses by say a handful of votes they can't really play the "he's a dictator" angle though
No one is going to accept such a result |
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edy 09 Oct 20 18:01
Will Civil War 2.0 only happen if Trump loses or also if he wins? Both. |
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oh blimey!
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Trump is the leader of men, he's a mans man
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Though aren't the Democrats all massive effeminate cucks? How are they ever supposed to start a civil war? Throwing lattes at people ain't going to win against military grade rifles.
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Pelosi was talking the military last week edy.
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Oh sweet, she's sending the marines in to kidnap Trump from The White House if he refuses to leave in January?
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I'm not too sure. Funny times. DNC are certainly acting anxious. Thankfully, the polls never lie.
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If he loses Trump won't go willingly whatever the numbers. We know he's going to lose the popular vote by a huge margin but some states might still be closish so he'll be whining "**** vote", "fake result", etc.
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"r i g g e d vote"
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Both are screaming r i g g e d though
Its not just Trump |
