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Why we have little to fear from ''No deal''

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Replies: 340
By:
politicspunter
When: 01 Feb 19 06:17
moisok, I honestly haven't got a clue what you are on about.
By:
politicspunter
When: 01 Feb 19 06:26
and if akabula knows what you are on about, lets hear it.
By:
n88uk
When: 01 Feb 19 22:28

Jan 31, 2019 -- 6:59PM, Dr Crippen wrote:


Article 24 is available for us and the EU to sort something out between us after a no deal Brexit.Yet astonishingly the BBC haven't mentioned Article 24 anywhere as far as I can see. They don't seem at all keen to let it out of the bag.Except for this on their politics pages:Prime Minister Theresa May still hopes, of course, that a deal can be done in the next few weeks and that Brexit on 29 March will be followed by a transition period of at least 21 months, when all the rules and regulations would stay the same.And if a withdrawal agreement is ratified, and a transition period begins, the only legislation that would need to be passed before Brexit day would be a bill turning that agreement into UK law.


This is a stone cold lie. Article 24 is not available after a no deal Brexit. Article 24 only works if you are working towards a deal, in other words not in a no deal Brexit, as we would have no agreement to present.

On top of this you'd have to present some kind of plan for a FTA agreement.

You cannot just leave under no deal and trade under article 24 as an interim agreement for 10 years like Farage is claiming, this is another con to con the gullible.

By:
moisok
When: 01 Feb 19 22:31
how do you know?  Have you lectured on it?
By:
n88uk
When: 01 Feb 19 22:33
Because that's how article 24 works. I know Brexiteers struggle with this, looking how things actually work rather than how they hope they work, but again when it comes to what the UK should actually do you've got to come up with substance not fantasy.
By:
Dr Crippen
When: 01 Feb 19 22:54
I'm afraid that's n88uk's hopeful fantasy of how Article 24 works, and not how it does work.

Here is the substance again explained by an expert just as I set.

https://brexitcentral.com/managed-no-deal-wto-option-using-article-24-gatt-can-avoid-raising-tariffs-quotas/
By:
n88uk
When: 01 Feb 19 23:03
They are wrong. Well they actually just ignore the relevant parts to why it wouldn't work. Article 24 is basically so say it's gonna take x time to agree to a deal, so you do this in the interim while it's being fleshed out, but under no deal you wouldn't do this. And also the UK cannot do this unilaterally, the EU would have to agree and say yes there is x deal in the pipeline.
By:
lfc1971
When: 02 Feb 19 00:12
nothing will change if we leave in March on no deal ,
common sense .
By:
Fatslogger
When: 02 Feb 19 13:20

Feb 2, 2019 -- 12:12AM, lfc1971 wrote:


nothing will change if we leave in March on no deal , common sense .


Do you generally find that the world operates on common sense?

By:
Fatslogger
When: 02 Feb 19 13:21
Also, do you want nothing to change? I thought the point of Brexit was that things did change.
By:
1st time poster
When: 03 Feb 19 10:00
to quote the lovable or unlovable hardline brexiteer ,trade sec dr liam fox this morning on sky

IF WTO TERMS WERE SOGOOD ,WHY WOULD EVERYONE BE TRYING TO STRIKE DEALS, FREE TRADE DEALS OUTSIDE OF WTO TERMS
even fox is seeing the light and isn't joining the GULLABLE FOOLS NO DEAL,NO PROBLEM CLUB
By:
lfc1971
When: 03 Feb 19 11:19
It depends on the trade deal , not all free trade deals are the same
The UKs free trade deal that we have with the EU now is a bad deal
By:
Dr Crippen
When: 03 Feb 19 11:53
To take no deal off the table would be extremely damaging for the UK's position in negotiating a satisfactory deal.

Even the possibility that no deal would not be implemented, has damaged the UK's position in the negotiations.

Without the option of no deal, the UK has to take whatever the EU chooses to offer, but can't leave it.
So in that situation the EU simply have to hold out in order to get their own way and impose whatever they like on the UK.

Taking no deal off the table, is to undermine the whole negotiating process from the UK's point of view.

Which is exactly why the no deal-no way stance is so treacherous to the interests of Britain.
By:
unitedbiscuits
When: 03 Feb 19 12:07
The PM has no credibility anymore. No-one believes her. She's going back to argue against her agreement. She is completely untrustworthy. To be even-handed, you have to admire her absence of ego, she doesn't care how ridiculous she looks.
By:
unitedbiscuits
When: 03 Feb 19 12:21
The EU would be mad to agree anything else at this stage, especially with Theresa May.
But the backstop is also an existential matter for the EU. The UK would exploit the Irish border to undermine the SM and threaten the EU itself.
By:
1st time poster
When: 03 Feb 19 12:46
THOUGHT the negotiating position of ERG, hardline brexiteers was when we leave on no deal terms, uk and eu will be desperate to sort out a trading deal ASP,so having no deal as a negotiating chip aint worth a dime as proved by it been on the table 54 days before exit and 10 days before treason comes back to the commons
having no deal as a hammer to break the EU, got the ERG  a deal that went down in history as the largest defeat in commons,it could not have been worse if no deal was taken off table the day after the reff
By:
donny osmond
When: 03 Feb 19 12:54
we negotiated a deal

it was the tories wot dun it.


it was rejected even the prime minister mrs mayhem voted against it

now she says she wants to deliver brexit on time !
By:
donny osmond
When: 03 Feb 19 12:57
if you are negotiating based on strength of your hand, its best
not to show your cards before entering negotiations.

if other side know your cards anyway then it doesnt matter so much.
By:
moisok
When: 03 Feb 19 13:17
If we sweep round scotland and into the North Sea we can take Herr Merkel and her corrupt eu in the flank.

hope this helps
By:
moisok
When: 03 Feb 19 13:17
they won't be expecting that!!!
By:
politicspunter
When: 03 Feb 19 13:23

Feb 3, 2019 -- 1:17PM, moisok wrote:


If we sweep round scotland and into the North Sea we can take Herr Merkel and her corrupt eu in the flank.hope this helps


No.

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