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Why we have little to fear from ''No deal''

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Replies: 340
By:
akabula
When: 27 Jan 19 22:06
I have restricted eyesight.
Can't read posts that are long and not spaced.
Can struggle through them somedays but not today.
Genuine btw.
By:
Fatslogger
When: 27 Jan 19 22:15

Jan 27, 2019 -- 10:06PM, akabula wrote:


I have restricted eyesight. Can't read posts that are long and not spaced.Can struggle through them somedays but not today.Genuine btw.


Ah, apologies, that’s a much better critique of my posts than some. The forum software is rubbish and my posts tend to be long, polysyllabic and very poorly spaced. I’ll pull the post in question and space it a bit more and Crips will just have to ignore it (probably for a second time).

By:
Fatslogger
When: 27 Jan 19 22:45
Reposed at request. I’m quite flattered, as usually people are keen for me to post less and definitely not repeat myself as much -


I refer you to my earlier post about not dealing with actual arguments being a sign that you’re losing the debate. As pointed out, the German car industry canard was why we’d do just fine in negotiating a deal. Now we’re looking shafted, because we’ve totally failed to get a deal that meets the approval of anyone outside the most supine Tory loyalists, it’s why we’ll now be fine if we have no deal.


Again, as pointed out to you, it’s just not as simple as suddenly removing a vast number of arangements and trade agreements then expecting everything to be all right because the trade block we’re leaving will also be affected. Apparently these trade agreement matter with the rest of the world, hence the need to leave the EU to negotiate new deals but oddly, we’ll be fine removing them suddenly with our largest trading partners.


I get that it’s complicated but the blithe disregard for reality is exactly the problem with Brexit. When asked how it will work, you just get arm waving, waffle and lies oh and on here you get stupid ad homs, suggesting that the people wanting things that will wreck the country are patriots and those in favour of not doing so are traitors.
By:
akabula
When: 27 Jan 19 22:56
Firstly none of us know what the affect will be.
Good or bad doesn't come into it (see above) we must come out as we voted for it.

If we come out on time then I feel that it would be in the EUs interest to accommodate a last minute agreement of sorts.

One other point I would make is forget the EU rules. No one has left before and as such there are really no rules that they themselves might bend. Again to suit themselves and as a consequence us.
By:
Fatslogger
When: 27 Jan 19 23:26
I don’t believe that the referendum result means we have to leave the EU no matter what, although I can understand taking that position and I do think it would be hugely problematic not to. I see no remotely good ways to proceed from here. 

I’m sure the EU will make some further arrangements in the event of no deal. They’ve actually been more forthcoming with plans than HMG so far too. I also agree that there’s no precedent at all so this is uncharted, although I really can’t see how that’s a good thing. That’s not the same as it being possible just to make stuff up and carry on exactly as we see fit though as there are rules that obtain and you’d have to be pretty naive not to think the EU would have the whip hand in negotiations, even if some kind of transition to no deal could be agreed (with the EU, with us in a panic). After all, that would just be another clock and trade deals don’t emerge quickly. The EU, as any observer of the negotiations so far would see, is very good at this stuff. We, as any observer of the negotiations so far would see, have not been. Piling on extra time pressure is not a good thing. But there will be a clock whatever happens, short of revoking A50, which can’t be done politically, or at least not without a second referendum and a remain result, following an A50 extension.

I don’t really buy this EU bending the rules thing. Yes, of course they want a deal but that they’ll bend the rules loads for us and we’ll end up with a great deal is something I keep hearing through this process and yet here we are, without one and with the clock ticking loudly. Even if we were good at negotiating, politically united and not under time pressure, I don’t think the EU would be offering us the kinds of things we were told were possible.
By:
lfc1971
When: 28 Jan 19 01:21
^ more waffle , he thinks Britain doesn’t have to leave the EU but has no idea what we should do instead
Thanks for that little bit of wisdom fatslogger
By:
Dr Crippen
When: 28 Jan 19 10:14
Waffle from Fatslogger, surely not? 

Is Fatslogger a remainer or a leaver? I've absolutely no idea of his position
By:
donny osmond
When: 28 Jan 19 10:26
why worry?

would you be more likely to "understand" his posts if he stated his position?

or would it just add to your confusion?
By:
lfc1971
When: 28 Jan 19 11:08
he will be a remainer , they’re like that
By:
lfc1971
When: 28 Jan 19 11:14
You see as in fatsloggers post it’s a case of to know so much and to see so much
And to say nothing , just about nothing
By:
Dr Crippen
When: 28 Jan 19 11:31
He might only be a waffler but he seems to have little Donny in his pocket.
By:
politicspunter
When: 28 Jan 19 11:35
Crippen, why are you on here? You don't bet, can't count, can't do percentages and your only contributions appear to be personal abuse to other posters.
By:
lfc1971
When: 28 Jan 19 11:38
ah, confine yourself to betting if you wish, this is a forum about politics
By:
donny osmond
When: 28 Jan 19 11:40
hes back on the abuse is crippen, poor effort.

i thought you had controlled that urge, but its slipped out again
By:
lfc1971
When: 28 Jan 19 11:44
I like crippens posts, there i,ve said it
By:
Dr Crippen
When: 28 Jan 19 11:45
politics pauper has gambling issues, he loses his money then tries to take it out on other posters.
By:
donny osmond
When: 28 Jan 19 11:45
sexism too crippen

you must have got out wrong side of your bed this morning
By:
lfc1971
When: 28 Jan 19 11:46
Laugh
By:
Dr Crippen
When: 28 Jan 19 11:48
Why have you got beds on your mind Donny, are you sleeping rough again?
By:
donny osmond
When: 28 Jan 19 11:49
crippen on tilt
By:
politicspunter
When: 28 Jan 19 11:55

Jan 28, 2019 -- 11:45AM, Dr Crippen wrote:


politics pauper has gambling issues, he loses his money then tries to take it out on other posters.


I wouldn't consider myself a gambler, more an arber.  However, as you don't bet, can't count or do percentages you will be unable to understand winning bets that I have posted in advance for everyone (including you) on this forum.
All you appear to be here for is to post personal abuse daily to other posters.

By:
lfc1971
When: 28 Jan 19 11:59
more abuse and hypocritical from pp, not good :(
By:
Dr Crippen
When: 28 Jan 19 15:13
politics pauper is a bad lot, there's little doubt about that.
By:
politicspunter
When: 28 Jan 19 18:44
As I say , all you log on here for Crippen is to post personal abuse to other contributors.
By:
Dr Crippen
When: 28 Jan 19 18:53
Farage is discussing Article 24 on LBC at the moment.

Which means leaving the EU without a deal, but extending the current trading conditions for at least two years while we come to a lasting arrangement with the EU.

No deal no problem.
By:
Dr Crippen
When: 28 Jan 19 19:00
Someone just came on and asked why Article 24 hasn't come to light before now?

That's easy, they didn't want it to come out because there is no place for Article 24 in project fear.
By:
unitedbiscuits
When: 28 Jan 19 19:04
Brexit: £17bn already ripped out of UK public purse due to decision to quit EU, research shows

That's, what? £350 million a week? Where have we seen that figure before?
By:
Dr Crippen
When: 28 Jan 19 19:14
You've got that back to front UB.

You're not telling porkies again are you?
By:
unitedbiscuits
When: 28 Jan 19 19:17
https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/brexit-cost-uk-17-billion-gdp-hit-public-finances-a8746846.html
By:
Dr Crippen
When: 28 Jan 19 19:29
That link won't open because I'm using Classic.

So I'll have to go on your usual form with is to mislead.
By:
Dr Crippen
When: 28 Jan 19 19:30
which is to mislead.
By:
unitedbiscuits
When: 28 Jan 19 19:50
Yes, the internet can be tricky, Dr...
Do you know how to use Google?
By:
Fatslogger
When: 28 Jan 19 23:39

Jan 28, 2019 -- 7:50PM, unitedbiscuits wrote:


Yes, the internet can be tricky, Dr...Do you know how to use Google?


It sometimes returns things that have nuance and / or aren’t monosyllabic so he doesn’t like it.

By:
Fatslogger
When: 28 Jan 19 23:46
^ more waffle , he thinks Britain doesn’t have to leave the EU but has no idea what we should do instead
Thanks for that little bit of wisdom fatslogger

You see as in fatsloggers post it’s a case of to know so much and to see so much
And to say nothing , just about nothing


I found the second post rather poetic, lcfc, although you’ve slightly mischaracterised me. I don’t try to boil down complexity to trite, short statements or recommendations on here, although I do that a bit in my professional life, where that’s what people want. But just for you, I think our least bad option technocratically is to revoke A50 and the least bad overall is another referendum. I can expound on what the question should be if you like.
By:
Fatslogger
When: 28 Jan 19 23:47
Sorry, lfc, that was.
By:
akabula
When: 29 Jan 19 00:04

politicspunter
As I say , all you log on here for Crippen is to post personal abuse to other contributors.


Irony not a lost art I see.
When pp first appeared on here (as pp and not meadow that is) his first 3 posts were all abusive and aimed at me.
His next 3 were also abusive but aimed at Trilby. I don't think I'd be far out to say that 70% of pps posts are abusive.
By:
akabula
When: 29 Jan 19 00:06
pp and Donny desperately trying to goad other posters into responding to their abuse in a likewise manner.
I wonder why? Could their fingers be poised over the report button? pp certainly has form.
By:
Meadow X1
When: 29 Jan 19 04:31
akabula is a strange one
By:
TheBetterBettor
When: 29 Jan 19 07:24
Please explain this conundrum .....The WTO would want some border integrity between us Britain, and a third party non-member such as the EU/Rep. of Ireland..or they won't let us in.

If we start putting checkpoints up at the border we would be breaching the good friday agreement...a international treaty ratified by the UN

Also, if we give a FTA deal with the EU26....other WTO members would kick off and we have to reciprocate zero tariffs to them as well..Making negotiating for perks all too redundant

Where is this golden WTO rainbow I hear everybody talking about?
By:
PorcupineorPineapple
When: 29 Jan 19 08:20
I think we should let the WTO zealots answer that one.
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