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General election betting

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By:
trilby22
When: 06 Jun 17 20:40
Where are you seeing 4/1?
By:
trilby22
When: 06 Jun 17 20:42
Yup.  Tasmina's my MP.
By:
Meadow X1
When: 06 Jun 17 20:42
It's with unibet, 32red and 888 sport. If you haven't got an account, try unibet who give you a free bet of up to £30 if your first bet loses.
By:
trilby22
When: 06 Jun 17 20:44
I'll take a look, thanks Happy
By:
thegiggilo
When: 06 Jun 17 21:15
Still 1/4 for the majority,amazing how long the prices have stayed there surely will be 1/10 tops by tomorrow night have been backing it for the last 3 days and still not shifting..Shocked
By:
Meadow X1
When: 06 Jun 17 21:45
Perhaps because sites like yougov calculate it's going to be a hung parliament?
By:
InsiderTrader
When: 06 Jun 17 22:00
Meadow are you laying the Tories? You seem very bullish that these polls are sound.

I guess you have seen this:

http://www.constituencyexplorer.org.uk/explore/cross_section

Some interesting data in it.
By:
Meadow X1
When: 06 Jun 17 22:17

Jun 6, 2017 -- 10:00PM, InsiderTrader wrote:


Meadow are you laying the Tories? You seem very bullish that these polls are sound.I guess you have seen this:http://www.constituencyexplorer.org.uk/explore/cross_sectionSome interesting data in it.


I have many bets in many fields.  Basically...

Seats- LibDems under 34.5, under 18.5 and under 10. SNP under 54.5. Labour over 168.5. Tories under 375.5.
Percent- Labour anywhere in 30s. UKIP under 5%. LibDems under 10%.
Turnout- Above 63.5%.
Constituencies- Far too numerous to list but Labour picking up Ynys Mon, Bermondsey, Hartlepool, Cardiff Central, Nottingham South would be good.

I have about £5.5K on.

I use a variety of sites for looking at constituencies as it's best not to follow one form of methodology.

By:
Meadow X1
When: 06 Jun 17 22:20
Thanks for that link, it's not one I use but it looks interesting.
By:
anxious
When: 06 Jun 17 22:24
Turnout that is the key the Labour vote needs to get out and vote , the youngsters need to vote in bigger numbers for Labour , if the turnout is high in the marginal seats it can be a lot closer than people think , get the people out to vote
By:
Meadow X1
When: 06 Jun 17 22:27
Couldn't agree more. If the young vote comes out and actually votes for Labour anything could happen.
By:
thegiggilo
When: 06 Jun 17 22:32
Put it this way if they don't come out in this election they never ever will,they haven't previously and politics in this country is so same old same old unfortunately...
By:
thegiggilo
When: 06 Jun 17 23:51
Meadow watch them yam yams turn blue,they're not the brightest tools in the boxWink
By:
anxious
When: 06 Jun 17 23:59
Are you Labour giggilo ?
By:
thegiggilo
When: 07 Jun 17 00:08
I havn't always voted when i have has been labour,i live in a conservative constituency although when blair was in it was labour for three elections doubt that will ever happen again.Voted for the green part in local elections which stopped the torys from taking overall control.My grandfather was the chairman of the conservative group in the town probably his attitudes and my fathers completely turrned away from conservatism thye opposite of what most think is inherent.It doesn't take a genious to see the pols are completely distorted,i live near the midlands i know how they think and attitudes,they will vote tory as ex labour voted ukip last election that's a certainty,i presume these are the value bets that cj was on about..
By:
anxious
When: 07 Jun 17 00:18
Watched a piece on newsnight about Walsall tonight they had voters who some were undecided but quite a few sided with Labour
By:
thegiggilo
When: 07 Jun 17 00:54
Am geting some canvassing about a few looks like massive labour majority could be in trouble in notts south,if thats right then its looking like a total landslide also apparently in trouble in bassetlaw mansfield although tories were favs and gedling.These are ones i know that labour think they could lose,someones just emailed me thibk the tories are 10/30 in notts south...
By:
thegiggilo
When: 07 Jun 17 09:59
Just had another wheelbarrow on the 1/4,ashcroft increasing his majority..
By:
Meadow X1
When: 07 Jun 17 12:42
2.4 million folks under the age of 30 have registered to vote in the last month.  I can speculate confidently about who the majority of them are intending to vote for!
By:
InsiderTrader
When: 07 Jun 17 12:59
If they vote..

The odds coming in the Tories.
By:
Meadow X1
When: 07 Jun 17 13:03
The general consensus seems to be a Tory majority of between 50 and 70. On all known polling that seems a reasonable estimate. However, this election campaign has surprised everyone and a hung parliament cannot be written off completely.
By:
donny osmond
When: 07 Jun 17 13:17
tory price reducing, there are more polls due out and so others probably have better intel.

good luck to all with their bets

some folk got some nice positions
By:
thegiggilo
When: 07 Jun 17 13:57
Be 20s on soon,it wouldn't even surprise me if the young vote only just beats previous election bests as wellShocked
i bet the next survation poll won't be showing a 1% difference!Amazing how prices lasted the past week,all those fale prices on labour crazy..
By:
Meadow X1
When: 07 Jun 17 14:45
New Statesman site updated now. They reckon on a majority of 28.
By:
Meadow X1
When: 07 Jun 17 14:55
Prices on here...

Con majority 1.22
No overall majority 6.4
By:
Meadow X1
When: 07 Jun 17 15:00
Britain elects now forecasting a majority of 58.
By:
thegiggilo
When: 07 Jun 17 15:05
Time to get the wheelbarrows out..
By:
MartinK
When: 07 Jun 17 15:57
How the  wayward Survation are justifying their numbers:

http://survation.com/conservative-lead-labour-dropped-16-points-month-whats-going/
By:
Meadow X1
When: 07 Jun 17 16:14
Welsh Westminster voting intention:
LAB: 46% (-)
CON: 34% (-1)
PC: 9% (+1)
LDEM: 5% (-)
UKIP: 5% (-)
(via @YouGov / 05 – 07 Jun)
By:
Injera
When: 07 Jun 17 16:26
25-49 majority is 8.6 on here.

I took some the other day at 8.4.

Looks a nice price to me.
By:
Meadow X1
When: 07 Jun 17 16:32
Just had to have a miniscule stab at 1-24 at 11.0
By:
thegiggilo
When: 07 Jun 17 16:36
Bit different to the otherdays welsh vote labour were on 51Shockedone way street now survation with red faces..
By:
Meadow X1
When: 07 Jun 17 16:41

Jun 7, 2017 -- 4:36PM, thegiggilo wrote:


Bit different to the otherdays welsh vote labour were on 51one way street now survation with red faces..


Where were Welsh Labour on 51 with Survation?

By:
thegiggilo
When: 07 Jun 17 16:47
NO not survation think generally labour were supposedly at least +5 from what i can remember..
By:
MartinK
When: 07 Jun 17 16:56
Yougov - Wales - Labour 46 is the biggest it has been during the election

https://yougov.co.uk/news/categories/wales/
By:
Meadow X1
When: 07 Jun 17 17:03
And 34 is the lowest for the Conservatives since election was called.
By:
thegiggilo
When: 07 Jun 17 17:04
Perhaps it was the bbc then i was sure they said labour were +5 in wales,perhaps they said that 46% was doing well
By:
thegiggilo
When: 07 Jun 17 17:04
Perhaps it was the bbc then i was sure they said labour were +5 in wales,perhaps they said that 46% was doing well
By:
thegiggilo
When: 07 Jun 17 17:38
Can still get 1/12 for most seats unreal...
By:
Gin
When: 07 Jun 17 18:23
Guido Fawkes
@GuidoFawkes
ICM FINAL POLL

Conservatives: 46%

Labour: 34%

Lib Dems: 7%

Ukip: 5%

Greens: 2%

CON LEAD: 12 points

6:10pm · 7 Jun 2017 · TweetDeck
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