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General election betting

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By:
hologon
When: 07 Jun 17 23:23
continued  that is why we bet
By:
thegiggilo
When: 07 Jun 17 23:29
I don't need to bet,this is just an interest for me..
By:
MartinK
When: 07 Jun 17 23:50
Survation final poll

FINAL CALL #GE2017 CON 41.3 LAB 40.4 LD 7.8 UKIP 2.4 SNP 3.6 PC 1.7 GRE 2.3 OTH 0.5 SAMPLE SIZE 2798 F/W 6-7TH JUNE

https://twitter.com/Survation/status/872586205006888961
By:
Hamsterdam
When: 07 Jun 17 23:50
U.K. CONSERVATIVES 41.3%, LABOUR 40.4%: SURVATION POLL
By:
Hamsterdam
When: 07 Jun 17 23:51
That's a clean sweep then
By:
MartinK
When: 07 Jun 17 23:54
Just the Ipsos left for the Evening Standard which is I believe published late morning on Thursday - doesn't included any input from the 8th, but apparently they can publish on election day
By:
thegiggilo
When: 07 Jun 17 23:56
Labour must be the greatest bet of all time according to those polls,how many seats will they win by..
By:
Des Pond
When: 08 Jun 17 00:08
It's a decent opportunity to buy some money, but no more than that. Nowhere near the moneyspinner that the 2015 GE was. When you could get about evens on Tory most seats just 3-4 months or so before the vote, and over 1.6 for a long time after that. With Milliband at the helm that was insane value.
By:
thegiggilo
When: 08 Jun 17 00:29
Don't really get involved with odds on shot nonsense but this is something else and still there is value there as well
can't believe anyone would want to lay torys in any of the overall seats and majority,would be the biggest shock in history of politcs even if it was just a no overall..
By:
thegiggilo
When: 08 Jun 17 00:29
Don't really get involved with odds on shot nonsense but this is something else and still there is value there as well
can't believe anyone would want to lay torys in any of the overall seats and majority,would be the biggest shock in history of politcs even if it was just a no overall..
By:
thegiggilo
When: 08 Jun 17 01:49
The next bet is Corbyn resignation i cannot see him dragging out time as lesder of the psrty see if any prices are availasble possibility friday more likely by the end of the year,then Dan steps in!!Cool
By:
King Louis
When: 08 Jun 17 02:07
I'd like to comment to the gentleman who said that the grey vote didn't sit well with him as it didn't seem right that those who will be dead soon are influencing the future for younger people. I believe the truth is that us old folks do not vote with our interests in mind, rather those of our children and grandchildren, and we bring our greater experience to bear to decide what will be better for them.
By:
King Louis
When: 08 Jun 17 02:14
That fact is that young people can sometimes be so easily impressionable to the point that they will vote on a whim or a laugh, without really bothering or caring about the consequences. If only 16-21 year olds were allowed to decide who wins a general election for example, we could easily end up with Boaty McBoatface or Ant & Dec as prime minister.
By:
The Leopard
When: 08 Jun 17 12:15
Brexit was about 10/1 on here

Polls are rubbish

Labour can win !
By:
thegiggilo
When: 08 Jun 17 12:24
Think labour voters have stayed at home rather than vote for may,the markets went vrry quick at one point the partys know 2 days before whose going to win born out by the majority vote getting smashed as well,although the 1/6 still looks great value...
By:
anxious
When: 08 Jun 17 12:32
All this doom and gloom about the result , i urge all Labour voters especially the young to get out and vote , spoke to a few chaps this morning and Labour got a lot of people on the ground giving people lifts etc
By:
donny osmond
When: 08 Jun 17 12:38
labour votes after tea ...
By:
The Leopard
When: 08 Jun 17 12:50
Labour in to 13 from 18.5 since my post Cool
By:
Meadow X1
When: 08 Jun 17 13:14
From another site...

When I went to vote this morning there was a queue outside of the polling station!

Almost 150 young people were there, waiting patiently, holding hands and singing an uplifting song about Jeremy Corbyn and his love for people of all creeds and colours. They made space for me towards the front of the queue, calling me "Sir" and offering to hold my laptop bag because it looked very heavy. One of them ran to the local coffee shop to fetch me a coffee, they all insisted on chipping in so I didn't have to pay for it myself.

I wept with pride at our glorious youth and decided, right there and then, that I too would vote for Jeremy and the wonderful future that he embodies.

I live in Surrey Heath
By:
The Leopard
When: 08 Jun 17 13:16
.....then you woke up ?
By:
Meadow X1
When: 08 Jun 17 13:17
It's just a wee bit too good to be true I'm afraid. Wish it was though.
By:
donny osmond
When: 08 Jun 17 13:19
...now where did i put that laptop ?
By:
thegiggilo
When: 08 Jun 17 13:21
Meadow X1    08 Jun 17 13:14 
From another site...

When I went to vote this morning there was a queue outside of the polling station!

Almost 150 young people were there, waiting patiently, holding hands and singing an uplifting song about Jeremy Corbyn and his love for people of all creeds and colours. They made space for me towards the front of the queue, calling me "Sir" and offering to hold my laptop bag because it looked very heavy. One of them ran to the local coffee shop to fetch me a coffee, they all insisted on chipping in so I didn't have to pay for it myself.

I wept with pride at our glorious youth and decided, right there and then, that I too would vote for Jeremy and the wonderful future that he embodies.
When leaving the polling station i then realized to my amazement there were 15,000 f my age group with blue rinses and theresa may t shirts on,oh dear i thought!!

I live in Surrey Heath
By:
madrigal
When: 08 Jun 17 13:35
and then you woke up Laugh
By:
Captain Wurzel
When: 08 Jun 17 13:43
19 minutes late madrigal - wake up Laugh
By:
Meadow X1
When: 08 Jun 17 14:25
This is genuine!

Reading lots of reports about high turnout of young persons voting. Make of that what you will.
By:
One Nation
When: 08 Jun 17 14:58
Why on earth is the market so volatile?

Approximately 1.16 Tory Majority first thing this morning, 1.25 half an hour ago, now into 1.18.

What's driving the fluctuations as surely there's nothing really to influence it until 10pm tonight?
By:
donny osmond
When: 08 Jun 17 15:05
exit poll results ...
they will have an idea sitting in their office collating data
By:
flukes
When: 08 Jun 17 15:05
Was thinking exactly the same One Nation, the rapid movements are as if BOTs are at work?!
By:
Meadow X1
When: 08 Jun 17 15:06
I think it's the reports of a possible (very) high turnout.
By:
mafeking
When: 08 Jun 17 15:09
be very surprised if that's the case with loads of voters of both main parties less than enthused about their respective leaders
By:
TheBaron
When: 08 Jun 17 15:10
I've always thought that the support for Corbyn is either all or nothing.

You will get a hardcore of very enthusiastic voters and then support just falls off a cliff.  This can give a distorted picture in the media of Corbyn being more popular than he is with the wavering voters just not being able to bring themselves to vote for him.

I think the most important factor is what happens to the Ukip votes.  They are not standing in a lot of constituencies which party will this favour?
By:
Meadow X1
When: 08 Jun 17 15:12
UKIP...

45% Con 20% Labour 35% remaining- Who knows?
By:
One Nation
When: 08 Jun 17 15:18
Reported high turnout would explain why the Tories were on the drift this morning, but why have they suddenly come in again?

Reports of not so high turnout?

And it'll all come down to where the high turnout is anyway.
By:
SAM CHIFFNEY
When: 08 Jun 17 15:21
but why have they suddenly come in again?

Early peep at the Exit Polls ?
By:
Fallen Angel
When: 08 Jun 17 15:21
@one nation indeed the clue will be where the turnout is.
By:
TheBaron
When: 08 Jun 17 15:23
Are people who vote at particular times of the day more likely to vote for a particular party?
By:
SAM CHIFFNEY
When: 08 Jun 17 15:28
Early voters possibly backing Labour ???
By:
InsiderTrader
When: 08 Jun 17 15:31
TheBaron
08 Jun 17 15:10
Joined: 18 Jan 08
| Topic/replies: 1,495 | Blogger: TheBaron's blog
I've always thought that the support for Corbyn is either all or nothing.

You will get a hardcore of very enthusiastic voters and then support just falls off a cliff.  This can give a distorted picture in the media of Corbyn being more popular than he is with the wavering voters just not being able to bring themselves to vote for him.

....

They said this about Trump.

But I think Trump was campaigned in the swing states time and time again.

Not sure Corbyn has done that.
By:
mafeking
When: 08 Jun 17 15:37
he's hardly gone anywhere that isn't a rabid labour seat hence huge enthusiastic crowds whereas may has gone to a lot more labour held marginal seats
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