Ozone Layer

I am somewhat surprised that I didn't receive any hatemail yesterday after a disasterous set of results which left us with a loss of 6.5 pts on the day. This was my worse day of the flat season so far and I apologise for such a poor effort. It can be put down to a combination of things but rather than a lengthy post mortem let's just move on to today !

A bit more conservative with the stakes today as I am still in a state of recovery :-


THE DERBY  Main Sequence 1 pt win - Mickdaam 0.5 pts win

A shade disappointing that the race have reduced to nine runners as I could envisage Camelot being held up and not getting a clear run which is less likely now. I can still see it getting beaten and therefore will take him on as well as Bonfire as the value - much like the Oaks yesterday - probably lies out side the first two. The only horses that have won over a mile and a half, coincidentally, are the two I like Main Sequence and Mikdaam. Their form is linked via Model Pupil and Shantaram and in truth there is little between them. So again a difficult decision whether to back them both or one of them each way. I have opted for backing them both and expect 12/1 and 50/1 at least as sp's (I am on Mickdaam already at 75/1).


3.20 Catterick  - Powerful Presence 2 pts win

This horse did us proud last time and I will stick with it despite the penalty. The quicker ground shouldn't be a problem as it has won on it previously. It is likely to be favourite but deservedly so but you can get 3/1 on here now which it fair.




Too much racing today and I fancy quite a few others but many are favourites which seem priced about right at this stage. The ones listed below are outsiders that I have rejected as main bets but will have £5 patent and retire if it comes up !! None of there are recommended or included in the profit and loss figures so if you find it annoying look away now :-

2.35 Haydock - Gossamer Seed  20/1 - probably outclassed
3.15 Epson - Taajub - 40/1 - impossible draw
4.40 Haydock - Intense Pink 14/1 - different ground

Lets hope for better today

Good Luck

Oz


For the benefit of any new viewers the sole purpose of this blog is to make money month after month by betting on flat racing. Profits are calculated at starting price so everyone can get on even though prices are usually available at much bigger odds at time of posting on these exchanges. Unfortunately we will go without winners at times so if you are following me please keep a bank available to ensure you can ride out those losses. Bets are between 1 and 5 points