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ALL WEATHER THREAD 2014 SOUTHWELL / KEMPTON / WOLVES / LINGFIELD

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Replies: 210
By:
Ozymandius
When: 10 Feb 14 23:03
Its fairly clear what's going on here Pa.  Best left alone.  Let him be and let him enjoy himself.
By:
pa lapsy
When: 10 Feb 14 23:06
And what is going on so? why accuse me of throwing my weight around?
By:
roadrunner46
When: 10 Feb 14 23:10
wouldnt know about other peoples horses, said it many times before concentrate on certain races, because dont watch
any horse racing, dont really notice horses finishing out of the places. ive got my formula that works well. most
of the races, bet in are class 6 and 5 races, always good when horse makes class 4 standard, most of then never will.
thats why anyone wanting to learn more about how the formbook works would be wise to concentrate around class 4 races,
good starting point, most of the winners are through association with other runners or previous winners, make it my business to find the right formlines and the prolific winners, dont think you can teach that to someone, your brain either makes the right connections and you find the winners easily or you struggle and can never make sense of the form. always remember the good performances by horses, and remember them in my MIND PALACE. everyday check the results
and make a mental note of horses that will be potential bets in the future. employ lots of variables in working out
which ones might be potential notebooks, could be winning price, winning distance, just a name i likeLaugh
whole handicap system is based around horses improving, so thats what im looking for all the time, potential improvers. HTHCool
By:
neill d
When: 10 Feb 14 23:14
Okay, roadrunner, you've stated your MO there and it sounds pretty subjective and unique to yourself so good luck with it.

I may steal the phrase 'mind palace' if I ever take up motivational speaking!!
By:
roadrunner46
When: 10 Feb 14 23:25
caramack beats smalljohn

smalljohn wins

caramcak wins again

alumina beats el duque and wiki tiki

el duque wins and wiki tiki wins

alumina wins again

maggie pink beats imagianry world

imaginary world win

associations through formlines and recent winners. making the right connections in the right races and things
like this happen.
By:
neill d
When: 10 Feb 14 23:35
That is an interesting insight into your logic. Seems to be about finding races that are strong for the grade where the prominent horses can be followed.
By:
richters
When: 10 Feb 14 23:42
what about joe eile tommorow rr the former ger lyons horse now with john quinn off the same mark he won off at naas in june.....
By:
roadrunner46
When: 11 Feb 14 00:07
never heard of that horse, would be shocked if that wins tomoro, looks competitive race, too difficult to make
sense of the irish from, becuase the races are not classified like the english races, just have the prize money
as an indicator. suppose has run fast time in the past and with a claimer on board could have a chance and has
run well after long break. gl
By:
J.R.Hartley
When: 11 Feb 14 09:41
God bless him.......our races are defined by handicap ratings a 47-65 handicap would be our poorest quality race.....this is for horses rated between 47 and 65...Wink incredible isn't

it......we also have 50-80 hcps....60-90......etc.........i sure you'll get the hang of it.......were not as thick as that lot in England you see...we are expected to know what we are looking at.....Laugh
By:
roadrunner46
When: 11 Feb 14 09:51
handicaps with ranges from 50 - 80 60 - 90, much easier and better to know what class standard a race is when
you look at profiles. british standard is much better way of doing things and seems more fair judging by those
ranges. thats why dont read irish form, dont like the way its presented. some people alphabeticalize the standardsLaugh
By:
kavvie
When: 11 Feb 14 10:14
wowee!!what logic..hes a beaut..put us up a winner for today lad..go on..
By:
roadrunner46
When: 11 Feb 14 10:35
chelsea and liverpool double tonight maximum betCool
By:
J.R.Hartley
When: 11 Feb 14 10:53
On another note i quite like the chances of Joe eile.....every chance he'll handle the surface seems quite versatile regarding ground...won at Dundalk and the Curragh on heavy ground also

won at navan off this mark on yielding ground.

If the lad doesn't go too soon on him i think he'll win.
By:
roadrunner46
When: 11 Feb 14 16:13
did tell you would be shocked if joe eile won, the track specialist done the business. you can find that won on last
years notebooks from april 2013 thread frontier fighterWink
By:
Roger De Bris
When: 12 Feb 14 19:25
Easy these ones.

Stick up fast horse. After the race it wins, you come on with the usual. It loses, we didn't back it.

LaughLaughLaughLaugh

I rest my case, my fellow brethertons.

And I know if these guys were serious about backing horses ahead of the handicapper with serious cash in the bookies at inflated prices they wouldn't be sticking them up on every forum in advance to the blokes who they are competing against to get these prices!!!

Ridiculous thread.
By:
roadrunner46
When: 12 Feb 14 19:38
fxxx off grumpy old fool, the horse was backed into 5/4 from 4/1 you silly xxxx, thats free bet, where are you when one wins
you silly xxxx, now go and do one. he went through the southwell card yesterdayLaughLaughLaughLaughLaugh
didnt back that one tonight, SANFRANKSKIPSGO  was well backed, you can find that on last years notebook thread , you scavenger
By:
Roger De Bris
When: 12 Feb 14 20:02
roadrunner you couldn't pick your nose without gigilo.

How does it feel having to wait for the nod from another punter for your bets??????


LaughLaughLaugh
By:
roadrunner46
When: 12 Feb 14 20:08
yeah sure you fxxxing mug, only one know that can match me for winners on the internet, your only checking this thread out because
looking for info, you sad individule. dont usually put fast time horses up as bets, not my style, seen enough proof that its an angle
that works over and over again.Laugh now go and troll somewhere else you tiresome xxxx
By:
J.R.Hartley
When: 12 Feb 14 22:08
What a couple of days i've had.....Cry....after doing my conkers on Joe Eile i decided that enough was enough i'll listen to the Professionals.........no not Bodie and

Doyle.....Roadrunner and Gigalo.
First up was R&rs recommended shockingly short priced double.......Chelsea and oh it doesn't matter......CryCryCry

Next up Gigalo......Bretherton the stone wall certainly.....the 'top class 91 rated handicapper' running of 70 in a class 6 at Kempton...what happens?....gets run over by two yaks....how could this have happened!!!!!!!!
By:
kenco
When: 13 Feb 14 21:57
roadrunner46
     12 Feb 14 19:38 

fxxx off grumpy old fool, the horse was backed into 5/4 from 4/1 you silly xxxx, thats free bet, where are you when one wins
you silly xxxx, now go and do one. he went through the southwell card yesterdayLaughLaughLaughLaughLaugh


Think he had 6/7 winners didn't go through the card,that was the previous meeting!ShockedYet to see anyone put up previews on the net anywhere and get results like that and all for everyone to see,long may it continue!Cool
By:
Ozymandius
When: 13 Feb 14 22:03
Our very own Scouse Tony regularly goes through the card on here.

Not considered a big deal on this forum given the quality of the contributors.  Would be forgotten about by the next day.
By:
Ozymandius
When: 13 Feb 14 22:08
proper racing n'all, not this sand sh1t.
By:
J.R.Hartley
When: 13 Feb 14 22:23
Must be a lot of 'top class 90+ handicappers running off 70 at southwell Kenco.....Laugh

Go easy on him Ozy...he's obviously lost....luckily he's managed to stumble across a thread to support his chum....what were the odds of that?......more than going through the card at Southwell i'd wager...Laugh
By:
J.R.Hartley
When: 13 Feb 14 22:25
As for Roadrunner 5/4 from 4s free bet.....LaughLaughLaugh.....give up reading the Sun ffs.
By:
thegiggilo
When: 14 Feb 14 00:50
kenco
     13 Feb 14 21:57   









roadrunner46
     12 Feb 14 19:38 

fxxx off grumpy old fool, the horse was backed into 5/4 from 4/1 you silly xxxx, thats free bet, where are you when one wins
you silly xxxx, now go and do one. he went through the southwell card yesterdayLaughLaughLaughLaughLaugh


Think he had 6/7 winners didn't go through the card,that was the previous meeting!ShockedYet to see anyone put up previews on the net anywhere and get results like that and all for everyone to see,long may it continue!


Of course it will continue as long as I get the time,just a pity that fruit pastille hadn't got up would've been fullhouse again!Shocked
By:
J.R.Hartley
When: 14 Feb 14 11:47
Ah...That solves the mystery of the Wandering Forumites......another aftertimer with multi usernames.....Laugh

Going through the card again at Wolver again today by any chance Gigilo......while you're at it can you sort me out tomorrow's lotto numbers please.
By:
pa lapsy
When: 14 Feb 14 12:09
Kenco 21.57  "Yet to see anyone put up previews on the net anywhere"
Any chance of giving us a link to the "previews" beforehand and could you please till us when the next "preview" is with accompanying link?.
No interest in either backing or for that matter watching AW just be interested to know beforehand how the next "preview" does rather than afterwards.
Thanks in advance.
By:
roadrunner46
When: 14 Feb 14 15:29
all the people on this thread just talking nonsense all the timeLaugh,if you are not interested in the AW, fair enough leave it to people who are , stupid xxxx's who are ruining good threads, really get on my nerves. all the time got non stop stupid xxxx's posting
on my threads for the last year, where are they when notebook doubles win on the same day, nowhere to be found. clogging up the thread
with bullshit 24/7.
By:
roadrunner46
When: 14 Feb 14 15:32
whats really insane is the views go up by 500, after few posters post a load of dribble.Laugh
By:
pa lapsy
When: 14 Feb 14 15:43
Erra put up the "preview" beforehand if as you say it is available( not quite prepared to put up the link beforehand innit) or stop banging on and take your smileys and shades with ya.
By:
J.R.Hartley
When: 14 Feb 14 19:04
That's not really how it works Pa....Wink i'm sure Gigalo will be along to let us know how he got on when he finds the time.

How have you got on today Pa?......backed 12 winners myself.....CoolCoolCool
By:
roadrunner46
When: 14 Feb 14 19:49
see ALUMINA just won again, the avid readers of the thread will know that oneLaugh you say you backed 12 winners, thats just over double my amount of winners for today, wont bore you with which ones they whereLaugh
By:
roadrunner46
When: 16 Feb 14 12:45
EX EX ran yesterday off 10.2 lbs well OVER weighted for this race and was always going to be very competitive race, was well backed
from 7/2 into 11/10, on another note backed the winnerCool, first two home had been in sparkling form. what was really amazing
the tricast paid £1500, dont think would of taken many lines to land that. racing lately has been exceptional, lots of horses that
have been holding their form so, and mostly they have already racked up lots of wins, have not been worth putting down as notebook,
on this thread.

class 5 6f lingfiled handicap

TEMPLE ROAD 3rd 7/1 just beaten over 1.5 lengths, has showed promise in the past and could be coming into a bit of form now,
only raced less than 20 times and won three, not a bad sprinter in these type of races. will wait and see. gl all
By:
anfeild
When: 16 Feb 14 13:11
You should change your name to captain hindsight.
By:
roadrunner46
When: 16 Feb 14 13:26
NICK THE ODDS ran the other day as well off 9.13 lbs another well OVER weighted, and another gamble on that too, memory serves me well
about 7/1 or 8/1 the night before and was well backed into 5/2 fav.

class 5 7f southwell handicap

FRUIT PASTILLE 2nd beaten 1/2 length after missing the break, no doubt would of won the race with a good start, raced 6 times
and still maiden, hopefully should be winning soon, most likely to go off fav in a weaker race. well bred by pastoral pursuits.
By:
roadrunner46
When: 16 Feb 14 13:31
dont usually mention any of the losers, not worth talking about, because these both had been well backed in their races, thought give
a mention this time, as their was potential notebooks that run in those races, otherwise never worth talking about the losersLaugh
By:
thegiggilo
When: 16 Feb 14 23:56
14:50 Lingfield (A.W.), 15 Feb 20146f
32red Handicap (Class 3) (3YO only)
Winner £7,439 - 9 ran
Standard


View Sectional Times PDFArchive Video
Weighed In

Betbright Partners
Pos Dist. Silk Cloth / Horse Name (Draw) SP Age / Wt Jockey / Trainer OR
1 Yellow and red (halved horizontally), black and red halved sleeves, quartered cap 4. Harwoods Volante (IRE) (9)ATR Tracker 5/1 3 9 - 3 R Havlin
Mrs A J Perrett
86
went left start tracked leader, ridden to lead over 1f out, driven inside final furlong, all out
2 shd Royal blue, white sash, white sleeves, royal blue armlets, red cap 8. Drive On (IRE) (4)ATR Tracker 9/2 J2Fav 3 8 - 8p J P Fahy
Eve Johnson Houghton
77
dwelt in rear, headway on inner over 1f out, pressed winner inside final furlong, just held
3 nk Purple, pink sleeves, purple spots, pink cap, purple spots 3. Golden Amber (IRE) (1)ATR Tracker 8/1 3 9 - 5 Jim Crowley
D K Ivory
88
tracked leaders, ridden over 2f out, effort and every chance inside final furlong, not quicken near finish
4 nk Orange and purple (quartered), emerald green sleeves and cap 9. National Service (USA) (7)ATR Tracker 2/1 Fav 3 8 - 2
(oh1) Andrea Atzeni
S C Williams
71
dwelt and went right start, towards rear, headway on outer entering final 2f, effort inside final furlong, not quicken near finish
5 4½ White, dark blue diamond, dark blue sleeves, white armlets, quartered cap 7. Three D Alexander (IRE) (2)ATR Tracker 16/1 3 8 - 11 J P Spencer
P D Evans
80
led, ridden and headed over 1f out, no extra inside final furlong
6 4 Royal blue, yellow cross belts, royal blue sleeves, yellow stars 2. Scruffy Tramp (IRE) (5)ATR Tracker 9/2 J2Fav 3 9 - 6v1 R Winston
A Bailey
89
close up, ridden over 2f out, weakened over 1f out
7 3¼ Red, yellow sash, striped sleeves and star on cap 1. Lone Warrior (IRE) (3)ATR Tracker 10/1 3 9 - 7 M Harley
P D Evans
90
mid-division, ridden when weakened over 2f out
8 nk Red, Yellow Sash, Striped Sleeves, white cap 5. Intermath (IRE) (8)ATR Tracker 33/1 3 8 - 13 T P Queally
P D Evans
82
hampered start, mid-division, ridden 4f out, weakened over 2f out
9 nk Pink, black chevron, pink sleeves, black spots, pink cap, black diamond 6. Vodka Time (IRE) (6)ATR Tracker 25/1 3 8 - 6 E J Walsh (5)
P D Evans
80
dwelt, pushed along in rear, outpaced over 3f out

Off Time:14:51:04
Winning Time:1m 10.03s

National service
Drive on
Golden amber

The fastest 3yr old race this season run at lingfield although,looking at the class 2 later on the card and the pace of that race the track was quick as it's ever been.The winner harwoods volante off my to follows and runner up had been 2nd and third to another of my to follows the progressive oriental relation also runner up to alutiq previously so the form looked rock solid.
The first 4 in this race are still progressive although another penalty for winner,but showed great attitude to battle back and looking at times run at wolves,lingfield and Kempton although they are high in weights looks as though there are still wins in them.There may have been a slight advantage to be infront or near the pace at lingfield today,looking at some of todays races as the other meetings there this week suggested the opposite.Drive on and national service gave the winner and third 4-5l start from the break and although came to win the race just got oubattled.The fourth national service was out of the handicap is still only off 71 and 3 lifetime runs,there must be a chance that at least one of these could progress into top class sprinter on the aw and the most likely the lightly raced national service!!
By:
dj876
When: 17 Feb 14 00:21
I presume we will be seeing spreadable and don't have it then in next years July cup after they both easily accounted for the potentially group class Bretherton?
By:
thegiggilo
When: 17 Feb 14 00:30
Brethertons a fibresand horse totally unrelated to any other track,as dozens of other horses that don't go on turf or poly or any other surface,basic stuff for any beginner...
By:
dj876
When: 17 Feb 14 00:37
A group class horse wouldn't beat a 70 rated horse at Kempton giving him 6 lbs?

How is he going to achieve his 95+ rating at Southwell?
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