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THINK CHELT ON AND WATCH BIT MANU DIC N LOSERPOOL AND KEEP THE STASH FOR DOWN ROYAL WED
 GOOD LUCK 2MORO |
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Subaroo Blue-won my first bet that you're a non runner-What a charm in Boylesport?profile of a previous A Moore winner.
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Rocky Creek won well 2day at donny and is another from the p2p fields in Cork to find its way into the Nichol's stable ... could be very decent and a super chaser in the future .....I think RA he was 2nd in his earlier run behind Allthekingshorses...... btw Ra you mentioned Moonax earlier on the tred and I was told the other day that APoB's recent Derby winner name escapes me something Fire is gone straight to a NH stud in Cork and that could be the Moonax stud though i think twas Fermoy that was mentioned... is it the first ever Derby winner to stand straight off at a NH stud ...
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thats frozen fire.by montjeu standing at coolagown outside fermoy alongside daylami papal bull and co
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My faith in the New Year's Day Cheltenham novice's hurdle was repaid handsomely yesterday with Alan King's Batonnier improving on his second to Barbatos to win at a surprising 12/1 and "won't be good enough" to win at the Festival (RP) ensuring another good price come mid-March.
I remain very keen on Martin Keighley's Hard To Swallow (4th at a short 13/2 yesterday having finished behind Batonnier 4 weeks ago and no better off at the weights). He has been expensive to follow this season but connections obviously think the world of him. Slightly better ground could be the makings of him. I can't get enthusiastic about anything today at the moment but, if I change my mind, I will post later. Jay I haven't that information to hand at the moment but Darsi, the 2006 French Derby winner, went straight to Paddy Kinsella's Beechbrook Stud. He has his first 4yo's this year and a lot is riding on them I'd say. |
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old vic
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Subaroo Blue(5-2 to 6-4)duly won the first with B O'Neill on board.Given confident ride and looks like he could run up a sequence.Tyrella was absolutely beautiful and had a walk on the beach which is about 50 yards from winning post.Its a must go for those who haven't been.When I got there I was told by the Arthur cognoscenti that What a Charms day was at Cheltenham not yesterday.
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Firey King (Flemensfirth) N Henderson
Plumpton (good-soft) 2.10pm 2m5f 4yo+ novices’ hurdle 5, 11-05 A Tinkler The four-year-old maiden run at Kilworth in March has been a decent contest for the past few years and from 2008-2010 produced winners Catch Bob (3 wins for Ferdy Murphy), Shoegazer (2 wins for David Pipe) and probably the horse with most ability, Global Power, who looks very useful for Oliver Sherwood. The 2011 renewal (yielding) was won by Firey King (yet another appallingly-named horse) and he was fancied to do so starting 9/4 joint favourite with Jimmy Mangan’s Cyprusormilan (fell). This race has produced a couple of track winners in fourth, Financial Climate (probably a significant purchase by Oliver Sherwood given his acquisition of Global Power a year earlier) and Cross Of Honour (fell) who has won a bumper and is hurdles-placed for Charlie Longsdon. The afore-mentioned Cyprusormilan is also a likely future winner and was fancied to score at Tramore on new year’s day. It may well be significant that Graeme McPherson is now the trainer of the second horse, Presented, who has had his bumper run and three spins over hurdles. We have seen that he can handicap a winner in Tickatack recently and he’s certainly worth keeping an eye on. By a sire who is getting a constant stream of top-class jumpers, Firey King is a half-brother to a dual hurdle winner over 16f and 20f and a horse that had modest placed hurdling form. The standout horse in the pedigree is Foxchapel King (superb three-miler for Mouse) who is a half-brother to the unraced dam. Firey King made £115,000 at Brightwells a month after his maiden win and this price was achieved before his half-brother had winning form. After he won his maiden Bowe was quoted: "I've always thought a lot of this horse, I mentioned him in an interview a little while ago that I did with Jessica Lamb in the Racing Post. He will now go for the Gigginstown point-to-point bumper at Fairyhouse over Easter, that’s provided he’s not sold in the meantime." Henderson’s early season comment: He won a point-to-point at Kilworth in Ireland in March. He’s athletic and could start in either a bumper or a novice hurdle for this new syndicate. Henderson has a 27% strike-rate with his hurdlers at Plumpton and this gives every horse a theoretical 2.7/1 winning chance. He’s friendless in the market so far but this doesn’t always stop them. |
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The way that Batonnier travelled exuded class to me, must be among the top 4 or 5 of his generation at the trip for me. WD Royal Academy, a very good thread.
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hmmmm....£115,000 looking very, very expensive and, unless something was amiss, Firey King ran like a drain-went out like a light before the turn for home. In hands other than Henderson this mightn't be the disaster it looked bit hailing from Seven Barrows you'd fear the worst.
When I reviewed the stallion Wareed some time ago I mentioned that Charlie Mann had possibly two of his better (and very scarce) prospects. Victor Leudorum ran second to the "tens on" Montbazon earlier and may well be capable of winning. |
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Is that your blog i see floating around on twitter neill d? Putting two and two together here could be getting 6.
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Ya you'd be right yourlack, didn't want to be spamming this place with it, I'm only working 3 days a week in an office amd I've a bit of time on my hands so I thought why not.
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Found it a good read, plenty of info in it. One thing tho sir des champs didnt win a coral cup
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****, the martin Pipe, sorry I'm a bit like the wildman, I write them from memory, that was schoolboy though, cheers, I'll rectify it. bloody 4 day festival
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One worth an interest today may be Thats Some Milan in the opener in Taunton. This fella's pedigree is all about stamina and ran well in a few ok maidens over here before getting his day in Lisronagh lasy year, just getting on top late on. He has subsequently joined the shrew and in-form Ian Williams who gave him a few runs where the horse showed very little. The end result is that he was sent off 5/4 on his handicap debut over 2m4f and was beaten by a horse who had been previously the subject of strong support. He should be suited by the step up in trip today and the opposition looks mawkish to say the least. He has a claimer with limited experience aboard but he was with Tony Martin over here before joining Ian so should have a good grounding and shouldn't be any worse then the riders he'll be in against today.
He won't be winning any Gold Cups but if they were happy enough to send him off at 5/4 lto then the 9/4 available today with the benefit of a handicap run and the longer trip looks appealing. |
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Lucy Wadham is targeting the EBF Mares Only Novices' Hurdle Final at Newbury on March 24 for the promising Baby Shine.
Not far behind subsequent Lanzarote Hurdle winner Swincombe Flame in a Listed bumper at Sandown last season, she started off her career over timber in the best possible fashion, turning the tables on Aintree bumper winner Tempest River when winning at Leicester last week. "It was great to see her win, and I think she might run at Plumpton in a fortnight as there is a mares' novice hurdle. I'd like to give her one more run before the mares' final at Newbury. I don't think we'll be going to Cheltenham this year," said Wadham. |
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Opposing Willie Mullin’s odds-on shots is hardly a recommended strategy and it’s rather a pity that Harpsy Cord meets something of Soll’s apparent class tomorrow-Down Royal (heavy) 1.35pm 2m4f beginners chase. I liked the fencing debut of Harpsy Cord and it seemed to be a question of needing the run after an eight-month break as he travelled well throughout the Fairyhouse beginners’ chase over 2m6f (soft-heavy) and just seemed to tire over the second last. He was beaten by the resurgent Rathlin who is a sharp enough tool now that he’s had half his throat removed. Jim Dreaper has a very useful record with both chasing debutants (25%) and those having their second run (20%) and Harpsy Cord would be following in a decent tradition set by Jim, Telenor, Notre Pere and Royal De La Thinte (I really hope this horse gets over whatever ails him) if he could win tomorrow.
This is what I posted prior to his jumping bow and it certainly makes the horse capable of a big run on pedigree: “Harpsy Cord: runs over fences for first time today (1.30 2m5f100yds beginners’ chase) for Jim Dreaper and Alan Potts. His pedigree suggests he is a chaser as his dam is a half-sister to Visible Difference who won the Drinmore (2m4f) in 1993 for Paddy Heffernan and the granddam is a half-sister to Nicky Henderson’s 1993 Arkle winner Travado. When he won his maiden hurdle at Limerick Dreaper said: He´s a grand horse for next year. Sam Curling produced him and he was a ready made horse when he came to us. I imagine one more run over hurdles will be enough and he´ll go chasing in October. He´s a lovely mover on an all-weather gallop so I would say he´ll handle any ground.” I expect him to beat Aitmatov who was second to Harpsy Cord’s Fairyhouse third the last day and I am certainly tempted to have a rare enough flutter on this lad tomorrow. It should be possible to cover your stake as he should be at least placed. He’s up there with a relatively small band of horses that have made a favourable impression on me out of the dozens of point winners from the 2010/11 season and he’ll surely pay his way this year and into the future. The Ludlow (good-soft) 2m5f maiden hurdle at 4.10pm has no less that four runners that I have been following. This is how the RP have summarised their synopsis and I can’t disagree (too much): It would be a surprise if there weren´t races in Saint Roque and Master Of The Game, but their recent efforts suggested they might not be the finish article whereas TALKONTHESTREET (nap) looks ready to strike. The fourth candidate, Dramatic Duke, cost a fortune and surely runs to get his mark tomorrow. He will be a monster JP gamble very soon. Talkonthestreet is unattractively priced and if you read over my thread on 30th December (and contributions) it would be hard to get enthused over a short price. The fact that Nicholls debuted Saint Roque over 2m7f wouldn’t particularly inspire confidence over a shorter trip. There’s no doubt the unexposed horse in Master Of The Game who ran in THAT Cheltenham novices’ hurdle and ran far better than his final placing of 11th. He also started favourite to beat some decent novices. He could be the one although I suspect punters will be chasing their dough. Probably best to until the off to assess the relative odds. Master First was on my “handicap blot” radar and almost won at Limerick last week when apparently unfancied but allowed to run on merit. I was left shaking my head with this run especially as the stable had punted the bejaysus out of ex-Ballydoyle Table Mountain only a few days earlier. He’s in the 3m handicap chase at Down Royal in a race that also features a well-handicapped Bold Present who’ll pop up at decent odds before long. And finally, I don’t know a lot about Roy Wilson but in Seriatim (recent point winner) it looks like he’s got a horse that will win up north but maybe not tomorrow (2.35pm maiden hurdle). Someone might have something to add. |
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From 31-Dec-11
Jay, Definite Memories won a division of a mares' maiden in Boulta (soft-heavy)that has thrown up some very useful winners in recent years including Bluesea Cracker (Irish national) and Colin Bowe's duo Askanna and Our Victoria. Most mares' maidens are forgettable events. She's a half-sister to three French flat winners; the dam (Darshaan) raced in France and bred a few foals before being sold in Ireland. The interesting nugget from the page is Puntal, half-brother to the dam, won his biggest-ever race, the Sandown Gold Cup, on the only occasion McCoy didn't ride him-he was claimed to ride Pipe's other horse Stormez. Definite Memories was trained by former jockey Pat Cloke and these are some of my notes: Former amateur ride Pat Cloke (based outside The Ballagh in Co. Wexford) was understandably predicting a bright future for his charge following her scintillating success: “I’ve had Feathard Lady (unbeaten seven-time winner including 2005 Christmas Hurdle), Gemini Lucy (six-time Graded chase winner for J Harrington) and Sunami Storm (dual hurdle and chase winner for W Mullins) in my yard at some stage and I think that this one will be every bit as good. “We will give her a month off now and will probably go for a bumper in the spring.” She recently made £61,000 at the Brightwells December sale and is now with Venetia Williams I believe. Wincanton (soft) 3.15pm 4yo+ 2m6f mares’ novices’ hurdle 5, 11-00 A Coleman Williams is able to get one ready to win over hurdles first-time-out with a 13% strike-rate (overall hurdling strike-rate is 15%) and it may be of note that she has only run two hurdling debutant mares in the past 10 years at Wincanton and one of them won. The Tizzard mare is the likely favourite and he was predicting finding a "little" mares' race for her earlier in the season so she's not carrying the potential reputation of Definite Memories (although we all know about bubble reputations from this quarter). I don't think she is suffering from any pre-race hype at the moment so maybe she will be a price to justify a place saver. I find myself quiet enthused by this mare tomorrow and she will be worth a second look in the market. If she is the 2011 version of the "best autumn pointing mare" (held by Baby Shine from 2010) she won't be half bad. I think I made a fairly accurate call on Harpsy Cord earlier and his turn won't be long in coming. I think he's got quite an engine and perhaps staying three miles+ will be his forte. |
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JayTrumpOldTomDubbl 25 Jan 12 12:37
DV do you know or indeed does anyone know has Tourist attraction bred anything worthwhile as I was at sales in Fairyhouse years ago and saw one of her produce sell..... reasonable price too if I recall corectly..... Paul Nicholls run an Old Vic son of Tourist Attraction in the Wincanton bumper tomoro and the horse will carry the famous Graeme Roach silks |
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Lucy Wadham is targeting the EBF Mares Only Novices' Hurdle Final at Newbury on March 24 for the promising Baby Shine. Her entry for the Supreme NH is only speculative.
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Like the older threads that used to be on here before all the arses arrived
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RoyalAcademy 21 Jan 12 11:26
Quinn also has charge of an ex-winning pointer in Moonlight Drive and this is another horse I have a lot of time for even though a recent run over hurdles needs a visit to the confessional. See the 1.50 at Wetherby tomara (in a 3m Handicap Hurdle  ) |
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its off cmiuc
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Just saw that now, tks.
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And with doubts over Ffos Las and Fairyhouse I get excused from burning the midnight oil with no less that seventeen on my list declared, including the lost Wetherby meeting.
This is the type of problem that's hard to deal with: a plethora of entries from too large a database. As I follow all the younger maiden winners I'm going to have to apply more selective criteria to produce a more manageable, profitable list. Up to Dungarvan run on the 22nd January (qualifiers from the 5yo maiden were Angles Hill and Patsys Castle) the list now approaches ninety. I'd be happy to share my notes with anyone prepared to assist me in weeding out the dross (royalacademy@ireland.com)- a second opinion is always helpful. My aim should be to have maybe 50 horses to follow from the current season (up to Kinsale & Ballingarry in June) into the future. |
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Deadliest Catch (2006 g Definite Article) Gordon Elliott
Fairyhouse 3.45pm 2m 4-7yo bumper 6, 12-00 Nina Carberry Deadliest Catch (cost the Earls’ €15,500 as a foal) went to the 5yo maiden at Lisronagh (heavy) in December with a hefty home reputation and looked likely to land the odds only to fall at the last with the race probably won. He was sent to Brightwells a few days later for a “look” but connections decided £30,000 wasn’t close to his value and took him home again. The Lisronagh meeting has suffered from the weather in recent years but the last three runnings saw Bluegun, Acriveen and Salsify (last year’s champion hunter chaser) all score. Incidentally, the eventual winner that day, Nearly Broke, was led out unsold at Brightwells for just £11,000. Gordon Elliott sent him to Tinahely (yielding) three weeks ago (a race won by Rathlin and Mount Benbulben recently) and he scored by 5L despite some very bad jumping errors. After, Elliott said: “This is a very good horse in the making, he really needs better ground but will head straight to the track now”. Like many of Elliott’s fancied horses, he was a very strongly-supported odds-on favourite. (The form of this maiden has yet to be tested). Pedigree-wise, Deadliest Catch is the second foal (full-sister unnamed and unraced) of a Bob Back mare who was unplaced in bumpers for Philip Rothwell. The dam, however, is a half-sister to the prolific winners Opera Hat (15-time winner for John Fowler including 2m Newlands chase three times and the 2m4f Melling Chase at Aintree) and Shean Town (won two bumpers and two hurdles for J Harrington). The money looks to be coming for today and with a yardstick at home like Don Cossack they’re unlikely to be too far wrong. |
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RA-what do you think of Definite Article's progeny?
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From 29-Dec-11
My “sleeper” was Tom Cooper’s Our Girl Lucy and she showed far more over hurdles today at Limerick than in the past. Having won a mares’ maiden and winners’ event last spring her trainer said: “This is a good staying mare who is improving all the time. She made light of the (soft) conditions out there today and will win plenty of races on the track.” She started favourite for the Cork mares’ point-to-point bumper in Cork in late April finishing third on likely unsuitable good ground and didn’t race again until October. Two spins in maiden hurdles (she had one previous hurdling start in 2010) saw her earn an undemanding mark of 91 and prior to today she had two undistinguished runs in handicap hurdle company when completely unfancied. She hasn’t run completely dismally in these races and has been prominent in them at some stage or other, something I look for when assessing latent ability. She travelled well today for Philip Enright-who rides Limerick very well-and threatened to win as they entered the straight-finished fourth. I suspect that the 2m2f was on the short side for her and upped in trip and with Cooper hitting a better vein of form (he’s winnerless since October with over two dozen consecutive losers) she should repay my faith, possibly in the not too distant future. Taking another look at her last race, I thought Our Girl Lucy ran really well over an inadequate trip. There is one line of form from the fifth home giving the race a boost and Cooper had a winner in Son Amix a month ago and has been having few enough runners. The ground and extra 2f should suit today. Cooper has a poor record ar Fairyhouse and a home track is morely likely to suit this mare but I think she will reward support following her (on this ground) for the next while. I would anticipate some level of support for her today. |
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The early money for Deadliest Catch was misguided given the better ground preference and I will follow Cooper's mare until she wins or I'm broke. I'd prefer to have seen her ridden closer to the pace today as this is how she ran at Limerick.
Not for the first time am I an complete idiot for ignoring my own earlier advice: From Dec-4 Two informative runs from both Starkie and Talkonthestreet. The Fairyhouse bumper saw money of some sort for six of the field including Starkie backed into 11/2 from 8's on course. Quietly ridden out the back he cruised up the inside turning for home in really eyecatching style and looked a serious proposition to win. He found little enough when asked to go on a furlong and a half down and was eventually beaten just over 14L into fifth. It was probably a decent bumper and one has to be happy with this first run under rules for De Bromhead's charge. A few question marks remain about his precise ability, ground preference, trip and sire but it wasn't a bad start to his career. Talkonthestreet's bumper also looked a pretty competitive affair (they looked to go a good clip) and he failed by just a head to peg back Be All Man and has now run very well in two bumpers. Today was probably an improvement on his first start and he battled hard to overhaul the winner all the way up the straight. A winner in waiting. |
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17-Dec
I could write an essay on the history of Marble House's family and human-and I had this horse well-marked to win a decent handicap chase at big odds when he got his handicap mark. I was almost suicidal watching him give a Mullin's hotpot (Blackstairsmountain) a run for his money at Clonmel last week at odds of 100/1 and he merely confirmed my high opinion of him running second to another Mullins' favourite at Fairyhouse earlier today. (I half-hoped he might flop to get back on my "handicap blot" list with punters deciding Clonmel was a fluke). He clearly has ability and is now very close to winning for Seamus Neville who waits patiently for a nice horse to come along every few years. Limerick beckons I think provided if doesn't come too quick for him. 31-Dec I will be very disappointed if Marble House doesn’t win at Tramore today. He has the form in the book and there will be many butterflies around the Neville’s today as its 43 runners and 936 days since they trained a track winner. “Cold lists” don’t apply in cases like these in my view and their patience should pay off. It’s not exactly a perfect example of how to campaign, train and place a horse (like struggling on to be second to a Grade I horse) but, hopefully, winning a decent pot in months to come will make up for that. Punchestown (heavy) 3.25pm 3m4f 5yo+ National Trial handicap chase 6,10-10 B Hayes (7) OR 116 Nothing has happened to dissuade me from following this horse (hopefully) throughout his career. From a trip of 2m1f at Clonmel in December, the “real” Marble House is seen today running over an extreme trip in his first handicap off a rating of 116. With the exception of the Tramore form which has yet to be tested (although I wouldn’t hold my breath), virtually everything that ran upsides him at Clonmel and Fairyhouse when he was second has improved for the run and have achieved higher ratings subsequently. Shane Rock and Dantes King, in particular, give the form a solid look suggesting that a mark of 116 is not too onerous. Claiming 7lbs will also help in today’s very testing conditions. Willie Mullins trained and rode this fellow’s grandam, Another Eyre, to win a bumper for William Neville way back in the day (1988 at Limerick) and this particular family (equine and human) is what the romance of Irish national hunt racing is all about. Good luck to all involved with Marble House today. |
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ANY thoughts on Portrait King's Grand National (or National Hunt Chase Challenge Cup in Cheltenham) prospects after today ?
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Just noted these comments after racing....
Following Portrait King’s win, Phelan said “he was unlucky the last day and deserved that. He has been placed in hurdles and bumpers but that is his first win, apart from a point to point. He’d prefer further and will get four miles. “He’ll head across the water for a staying chase, probably the Eider Chase at Newcastle at the end of the month. He loved the testing conditions and it’s a tougher track than Fairyhouse which suited him.” |
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The 20:20 view:
Asking a first-time handicap novice to take on mostly experienced handicappers in a three-and-a-half mile National Trial is a big ask and, excluding horses that started at the front of the market (23% strike-rate), horses running in their first handicap chase in Ireland have a record on winning just 6.3% of handicap chases on their first start since 2003. Jumping well at times Marble House mad a mistake at the 7th and then fell four from home when handy enough. The run suggested that with more experience under his belt he should be capable of winning good races. Less than 5% of Irish handicap chasers who fell on their first start subsequently managed to win in the same category on their next start suggesting it's time to be patient. This strike-rate improves to 12% on a third start if they stay handicap chasing. I mentioned that I was a little disappointed with the tactics adopted on Our Girl Lucy on Saturday. It may be significant that Davy Condon was a late replacement for regular pilot, Brian Cooper, who unseated in the previous race. |
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Probably worth repeating from
2-January Carrigeen Lechuga 2005 m Beneficial ( R H Lalor) Richard Lalor has been deriving endless pleasure for the past three decades from the family of the foundation mare Carrigeensharragh and every jumping aficionado will be very familiar with the “Carrigeen” name either under rules or between the flags. Carrigeensharragh was a very decent staying chaser and she has bred Carrigeen Kerria (winner of a hurdle and three staying chases and dam of multiple winners Carrigeen Victor & Carrigeen Kalmia), Carrigeen Acer (dam of Chicago Grey) and Carrigeen Lily (winner of four chases and dam of Carrigeen Lechuga-today’s runner-she has also bred a Saddlers’ Hall point winning mare). One of the toughest and most resilient jumping pages in the book. Carrigeen Lechuga made her debut in points last October and following a promising runner-up finish she subsequently landed five consecutive points on ground ranging from good to soft-heavy. Her trainer has suggested that “tacky” ground may be unsuitable and that the plan was always to go chasing in the autumn of 2011. She has shown good ability for a mare and the pinnacle of her season was beating the boys “easily” in a Horse-and-Jockey Open in March. The geldings conceded 5lbs to her on that occasion. She won the 2011 “Champion Mare” award (jointly with Make It Better) being unofficially rated 111, the highest ratings achieved by mares since the award was first given in 2008. Her jockey on every occasion was trainer’s daughter, Liz, and what a season this mare gave her as it helped her become champion lady rider in 2010/11 having shared the top spot the two previous years. The point-to-point race reporters have been raving about her in recent months suggesting she might be the best ever mare to race between the flags and nominate her for (black type) success at the highest level on the track. On the evidence to date she has some way to go to come close to those aspirations but, coming from these quarters, it’s early days yet. By way of background the Champion Mare award was first introduced at the close of the 2007/08 season and the winners have been (with private ratings): 2008: Aboo Who 107 (Denise Foster): won a Thurles hunter chase in January 2008 and achived a highest official rating (OR) over fences of 102 (unplaced in two handicaps). 2009: Media Queen 104: won two summer handicap hurdles in 2009 off marks of 88 & 92 for Donie Hassett looking well-handicapped, to say the least. 2010: Burnt Oil Babe 102: has won three handicap chases for Willie Murphy off 85, 97 & 108 (again looking attractively-handicapped relative to point-to-point achievements). 2011: Carrigeen Lechuga and Make It Better (111 each): Make It Better, trained by Mikey O’Connor won her only hunter chase start last April and glories on a hurdling mark of just 89 earned in summer 2010. Can you spot the trend? Carrigeen Lechuga has yet to be given an official mark but has run reasonably well in three non-handicap chases. The best horse that Carrigeen Lechuga met in her 7 point runs was Jacksons Lady (now rated 120 over hurdles for Philip Dempsey) who beat her 1.5L into second on her debut in October 2010. Anything she subsequently beat in any of her 5 wins would struggle to achieve a mark over 100 with the exception of Make It Better (joint champion) whom she beat 16L on one occasion and Castrlerock Rose who was second in a Limerick maiden hurdle recently (RPR 105). She has had three spins over fences so far and her debuting last-fence fall behind Paddy Power winner, Cross Appeal, doesn’t look too bad now considering she seemed to be closing (from well off the pace) behind the front two at the time. This was at Punchestown over 2m4f. Two further runs over three miles have been less encouraging albeit her 36L Thurles 3rd was behind yesterday’s Tramore winner Apt Approach (who also followed up in the Kinloch Brae at Thurles). This would have been Liz Lalor’s anticipatory ride all season and she must be very disappointed that, because of injury, she has missed both today’s ride and her last appearance at Navan. Her younger brother, John, has stepped into the breach and has yet to ride a winner on the track (from 10 rides) although he rode his first ever winner at Lisronagh a couple of weeks ago. She steps back into mares’ only company today and it’s a big day for the Lalor’s, especially the young, “chalk” jockey. She needs to step up on recent runs and faces mares with better form than her in the book. I’m sure she’s being closely watched every time she runs and is clearly fancied today from early betting moves. You will know I would far prefer her to be completely unexposed before she qualifies for handicaps but her few runs to date are already indicating a mark of 110-115 which means she will need to start improving (not at all out of the question) to land some decent pots. Those prepared to back her today at odds under 4/1 are very brave when you line up her pilot against today’s professional rivals. Good luck to all concerned today although I will harbour my own thoughts on what I would consider “progress”. Result: Carrigeen Lechuga finished 5L 3rd of 9 behind Belle Brook and Special Token and both first and second have gone on to run well on their next outings with Special Token winning a Limerick beginners’ event and Belle Brook being particularly impressive in finishing second behind Knockfierna in a mares’ Grade 3. My immediate comment after the race was “Ultra cautious ride from young JL yesterday and the mare impressed me.” Thurles (heavy) 2.35pm 5yo+ 2m6f mares beginners chase 7,11-07 Ms E Lalor (7) One could argue that 2m6f could be the mare’s ideal trip tomorrow having twice run over three miles and 2m4f so far. Liz Lalor has very first ride in public since injury and at a local track it will be a big day once again for the Lalor household. She got a very careful ride at Cork on her last run (probably running as well as on her debut) and her two other runs were over three miles. The form of that mares’ event in Cork has worked out very well. She was quite well fancied at Cork (supported strongly in the morning) but drifted on track as shrewder money arrived for the winner. It’s a pretty competitive mares’ chase again tomorrow with a Mullins’ runner hopefully making the market. The Dessie Hughes mare is also useful but she has some reputation-retrieving to do following two incompletes. I will wait to see how Carrigeen Lechuga trades although I don’t believe any market support is needed if she turns up on the day. A decent price ensuring an overall profit on the place would be nice. Lalor is 3 from 21 with his Thurles chasers over 10 years with daughter Liz riding one winner and five placed horses from 12 chasing rides for her father. The most likely result is a placing behind another Mullins’ winner (that should improve for her first outing over fences) but it wouldn’t surprise me if Lalor’s mare goes very close given all her experience over fences and a form line (through Knockfierna) that puts her in front of the favourite. I also have slight doubts about Mullins’ mare staying 2m6f as her only run over three miles over hurdles saw her well beaten. |
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Well done RA. great work
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this is an unreal thread.ra your number 1.i had it ew at 6s.nice to get 10s.and as you said if it was up for it the price wouldnt matter..your diff class
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Thanks and well done RA,great work outta you. Nice that P owers were guaranteed best price on it as well, having backed it e/w at 7s a few mins before the off.
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excellent RA, a winner like that was coming, brilliant thread. I hope you made plenty
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really proves if you are coming in from an angle that is more or less completely unknown from the ordinary betting punter the price can be more or less ignored.....the market is ignorant.
You worry about such a vast drift pre race but just the Ruby/Mullins factor working in your favour |
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i was worried wen it wen to 16 here tho..bit extreme i thought
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