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I THINK WE KNOW KNOW.
have a good day a pocket talking RONNIE |
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Fantastic news. That's what Cheltenham should be about. Well done team Cullentra.
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aye champion
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Can’t believe I was able to cash out virtually all of my Mares bets after BDA jumped to 30’s on here. 365 were offline so they were spared.
I think she has a big shout in the CH. Has to be best Champion this century. Can’t wait ![]() ![]() ![]() |
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Lossie to Mares ? Townend will want that and fall last time could be good excuse?
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Would imagine Joyeuse will be supplemented to Mares now.
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Hibore03 Mar 25 08:27Joined: 23 Jun 07 | Topic/replies: 3,836 | Blogger: Hibore's blog
Lossie to Mares ? Townend will want that and fall last time could be good excuse? Im not sure WIllie will want that .Not a prayer with State Man beating front 2. May have a chance with Lossie. |
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why everyone writing off state man ?
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Maybe the weather forecast could decide it for Lossie; she'd have a squeak on very soft or heavy, but almost nothing rainwise in the next 10 days. I assume the COC will try to get it good to soft (in theory) for the Tuesday.
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Youve clearly not seen it run against Con & BDA then Foyles and last years appalling Champion Hurdle then Foyles. and last time he was hardly impressive after Lossie fell.
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not saying state man will win but he could be underestimated ,if cons hill is as good as he was then he should win but we don't know for sure , can bda repeat that run last time ? will lossie run and if so will that fall leave a mark ? state man also questions to answer but at least is a decent price no bet for me yet but as said question marks on the front 4
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as said no bet ,maybe he is on the decline or wasn't as good as he was portrayed in the 1st place and he may not even run if Mullins feels the same but if he lines up then it would indicate wpm and Townend feel he has a chance .
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He has no other option other than line up Foyles.You would still bet Con Hill if he was 7 to 10lb below when he beat State Man. State Man has done nothing to suggest he is any better than then.All about opinions. Which makes it fascinating. Is C.H as good as he was. Was BDA flattered by her last run can she repeat @ CHeltenham. Will Lossie turn up /be effected by crushing fall last time. ...
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I'll probably swerve the race altogether Geoff ,plenty of other non handicaps with less ifs buts and maybes.good luck !
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same to you Foyles. Fully green to cover all ifs and buts /maybes. Hope the top 4 all run . Long time since we have had a really decent Champion.
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The goat just has to jump to win imo.
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Chance to show how good the Hill really is now.
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Not the news Buckley wanted for sure.
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Lossiemouth has a great chance she loves Cheltenham and got close enough from a slow start against Constitution Hill recently. it depends on whether Constitution Hill has declined though for both Lossiemouth and BDA chances.
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We don’t yet know if BDA acts well on the track after her second to Golden Ace on her only attempt so far. If it is a disadvantage for her it isn’t ideal at this level. I think she will be ok similarstyle horses have done well in the past, Hardy Eustace, Honeysuckle etc
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A 3/1 winner at Southwell pays the same as a 3/1 winner at Chelters. ... Just saying.!
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We know Lossiemouth loves it there with 3/3 wins.
Triumph Hurdle Raced keenly, held up just off the pace in 5th, smooth headway out wide after 3 out, 2nd on bit before next, led turning in and switched out wide, came clear run-in, easily op 13/8 International Hurdle Chased leaders, went 3rd 2 out, led travelling strongly approaching last, cleared away on bridle run-in, impressive op 8/15 Mares Hurdle Waited with towards rear, smooth headway after 3 out, 3rd on bit turning in, went between horses before the last, led approaching last, quickened easily clear run-in tchd 4/6 |
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What has the heavy fall done to Lossiemouths confidence ??
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I doubt it will have an effect tbh
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Her confidence matters as much as my confidence when I take on Usain Bolt. She can be as confident as she likes. CH is better than Night Nurse better than Sea Pigeon better than Istabraq.
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Excellent news, although there shouldn't really have been a decision to make. Concerned that Kennedy is back on board. He's only just returned, and Ewing was on board for by far her best performance. Contrast that with Kennedy being on board when she was beaten last year. Ewing also the more active rider of the two, and she is going to need a very positive ride.
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Ticket sales will increase Tuesday…that is for sure. Could be a Champion Hurdle for the ages and will be great to say you were there.
Maybe some of the Benidorm crew will fly out Weds morning ![]() |
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One person with a huge amount of egg to wipe off is one Kevin Blake. I think he wasted two articles trying to tell people there was next to no chance that Brighterdaysahead would turn up.
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Yes hibore tickets sales should improve now not just for the reason you state but plenty of proper national hunt enthusiasts will really appreciate the naming of the supreme novice hurdle.
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acey deucy26 Feb 25 15:39
Elliott down on his knees begging O'Leary to run in her in The Champion Hurdle.....Forget about The Mares Race and dont forget where you heard it foyst. ![]() |
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acey deucy26 Feb 25 14:32Joined: 29 Sep 02 | Topic/replies: 31,838 | Blogger: acey deucy's blog
Will go for The Champion Hurdle i will stake my life on it. ![]() Rate reply |
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Elliot must be very confident. Can you imagine the conversation with O’Leary if she gets beat? “I told you we should be going for the ******* mares’ race you ******* cretin!” For example. It is a chink in her armour that she has no winning Cheltenham form. She has only had the one run there and I give her the excuse that the novice race was slowly run and she lost a sprint up the hill on soft ground. This year is very likely to be run on better ground and they obviously entered King of Kingsfield to ensure a strong pace. She is going into the race with the best form in the book this season. OK she has questions to answer but the others have more in my opinion. Now that her target is settled the attention swings to the inappropriately named Constitution Hill. Will he make it this year or will Henderson find a reason to take him out during the 8 day roller-coaster.
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If you lack pace i don’t think quicker ground does you any favours. Think for that reason it will be a strong pace needed for her so the other contenders are slowing right down when the pace is needed up the hill. Being such a stiff track it is going to be harder to pull off it’s not like any of the main contenders are going to be given a long piece of rope this time like State Man gave her.
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Yes, if it comes to a sprint up the hill on good ground I suspect she’ll be beaten further than last year. She has proved this season she can maintain a strong gallop from start to finish. The others haven’t and that’s how the race is expected to pan out.
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A good version of State Man wouldn't have been able to maintain the pace that Brighterdaysahead went. He tried to go quick early in the Irish Champion, but ended up falling apart.
Even if there isn't rain they will water to start on good to soft. If it is good, it won't be the intention. It's a dry week, but the last I heard that might break a little over the weekend. |
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A good decision for racing. However, my money is on Constitution Hill (CH). My only reservation is his price. I've lay BDA at 5/2, and hopefully CH will go 7/4 (Denise perhaps) on the day with money from O'Learys' for BDA.
I'll be watching the race now. Good luck all! |
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C.Hill 7/4 impossible dont type whilst dreaming.
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7/4 is possible before the race with the usual rumours concerning that stable.
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I just had a look at the RP lineup and it's a bit of an eye-opener. Makes me re-think a bit. Their adj RPR ratings based on last 12 mths (with ratings for this NH season-proper) are:-
Brighterdaysahead 176 (166 => 171 => 176) State Man 172 (170 => 145 => 166) Lossiemouth 167 (162 => 163 => F) Constitution Hill 166 (166 => 154) I'm sure we can all have our quibbles about how individual race ratings could be at least a few lbs out but it sort of slaps you in the face that this may well be a race with an improving horse who is already well ahead of two previous winners who are nowhere near what they were. I'm sure there will be a lot of people opening their Racing Post next week wondering why the 8yo odds on fav is 10 lbs (!) behind the 6yo horse. May idea of the winner was Lossiemouth who is probably capable of better marks and ticks a lot of boxes but maybe that gap is just too much to make up. |
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CH is 10/11 here. I think 6/4 --> 2/1 is possible if there is significant money for BDA. I'm expecting 'Denise' to go at least 6/4 super boost.
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