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trainer on the cold list george,much like this thread
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The only race all day worth watching is the Pontefract listed and good luck with that one George.
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Thank you sageform.
You're right about the thread, chavman, but not about the trainer. Today's cold list trainers are Charlie Fellowes, Amy Murphy, Mark Usher, Adrain Wintle, Ollie Sangster, Nigel Hawke and Micky Hammond. |
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Not a bad day for the cold list trainers with two of the above escaping from it.
As for the selection, had every chance and ran well to make the frame. I suppose in theory as her mark will now go up, that she would have been a 'good thing' for the handicap at Ayr last night which was worth over £20K to the winner but for which she was withdrawn from (on account of the ground - good to firm ), but perhaps having secured some black type will be more important to them.2024 Running P/L: +91.55 pts |
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chavman 23 Jun 24 10:28
trainer on the cold list george,much like this thread Funnily enuff chav, there was a discussion on this evening's barstewards podcast about tipsters, cuz a well known person on twitter started a tipping service at £20, but he chose a tough week at Royal Ascot to commence it and it sounds like he had a total wipeout. Now, I'm not a tipster, I'm just a guy putting up a few selections at working mens' prices with a bit of reasoning, and while I hope the thread will be a success, I also accept failure is a distinct possibility too, and after generally a good run of things, this month has been poor, but hey, that's why it's free and always will be. |
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Good Luck George.B, always good to read.
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with todays forecast 27 degree heat this thread will come as a welcome respite to many George
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best thread on here by a mile, i always try to have a look if i get time, i dont think ive ever seen you in the minus george which is quite an achievement, well done
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Agree with toffee man. Keep yer chin up.
If all else fails, I am away for a month late July/August and every year you usually add somewhere between 70-100 Points when I am away! Always a good read. |
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It's like share prices...can go up and down in the year. George began this thread with 31 pts and now it's 91 pts. Been higher, could go lower. Still no reason to sack the Chairman
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Thanks for the positive comments. Good luck today.
Rex Carver, 1pt EW @ 6-1, 2.40 Nottingham (4 PLACES) The ratings for 2YOs who qualify for a mark have been published and Rex Carver has been allotted an initial mark of just 67, so he's clearly vulnerable in maiden company, even a restricted one like this, but he's of a little interest based on his latest start which came in the relatively valuable Rous seller at York (6f, g-s), on a day when there seemed an advantage in coming to the stands-side, so in the circumstances his effort might have wanted marking up having raced down the centre. It has to be said that Tolstoy, who won the previous race on the card and had drew away once drifting to the stands-side, did follow up the next day in a competitive handicap, so he was undoubtedly well-handicapped wherever he'd raced on the track, but there did seem to be something in it based on how the seller panned out. Rex Carver should be fine back on a sounder surface having run okay on his debut on good to firm and hopefully his draw in 11 in this big field won't be an issue. Biographer, 1pt EW @ 9-1, 5.15 Newcastle (4 PLACES) Biographer, who ended his time with Andrew Balding by winning a 6f novice at Lingfield in January, appeared to run a better race on his third start for his current yard at Chester (6f, good) last time out considering he had a tough enough trip on a contested pace but only dropped out of the places inside the last furlong, ending up 5th of the 12 runners. His mark has been dropped 3lb which makes him eligible for a slightly lower grade than this one, but he should be fine back on the all-weather and this first attempt at 5f looks worth a try. |
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Bad luck George, GL tomorrow
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Cobs, 34 picks since my last winner on this thread (7 of which were placed), I think it's now a minor miracle that is required.
As for today's 2 that I nailed to the floor... Rex Carver, rated 67 ahead of the nurseries commencing, I wouldn't be surprised if the assessor knocks 10lb off that after today's dismal showing. Biographer wasn't beaten far but could only finish 6th. 2024 Running P/L: +87.55 pts |
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hat,gloves and bodywarmer needed
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Keep you're spirits up. The next big one is just around the corner.
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You forgot to mention food bank voucher, chav.
I'll try to youresomean, and hopefully I'll bag another one soon, if only down to the Law of Averages, though I usually find I'm more likely to encounter the Law of Sod. Sugar Hill Babe, 1pt EW @ 20-1, 4.55 Newcastle (4 PLACES) Sugar Hill Babe was disappointing the last twice back in the spring but under conditions that might not have been ideal, and she's of interest back over a C/D where she's compiling a good record. She's 8lb above her last winning mark but only 2lb higher than when finishing a good second on her last visit here in March when she had subsequent winners in behind. Sugar Hill Babe is returning from nearly three months off but was returning from an even longer break when winning over C/D in February, and it's encouraging that her yard won with one who was returning from a significant absence the other day at Ffos Las. Olympicus, 1pt EW @ 20-1, 5.05 Doncaster (4 PLACES) Olympicus didn't offer much on his recent reappearance at Leicester but the run might have been needed and doubt the easy ground would have been ideal. He's only a pound higher here than when winning at Newmarket (10f, g-f) last August when he pulled clear with two subsequent winners, and that was only the second time he'd encountered ground with 'firm' in the official description (the other time being on his stable debut when returning from a long absence). Olympicus only ran twice more last year, when not disgraced on soft ground in the Grassroots Series Middle Distance Final Handicap at Nottingham, and then when pulling his chance away on the Polytrack at Lingfield. He would appear well handicapped on his Newmarket win and interesting to see if getting back on quick ground (in the hope they haven't done a 'good' job with the watering) can be the catalyst for a return to form. Rampage, 1pt EW @ 16-1, 7.50 Curragh (6 PLACES) Rampage disappointed on his latest start at Leopardstown (1m, good) when upped in grade, but he'd previously finished a good second of 16 over that C/D when equalling his previous best RPR. He finished a close-up third here of 19 over a mile at the Curragh last season so he can be effective here too, and he's not badly drawn in 6 in this big field for one who can be ridden prominently. He was pulled out of a race at Leopardstown just eight days ago due to "coughing" but hopefully the fact he's out again soon means it was nothing serious. |
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Hey, I backed Olympicus as well. Only got 16/1 last night. Backed mainly due to Appleby in rampant form and my notes following his win last year.
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Good luck to us both, PHS
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That's the 'grate' thing about this game, just when you think it can't get any worse it usually does.
Sugar Hill Babe was squeezed out at the start and then rushed up to lead, which doesn't usually end well, and it didn't this time with her fading to finish 6th. Olympicus, who was friendless in the betting, was dropped out, which was in contrast to how he was ridden when he won at Newmarket last season where he was ridden prominently, and unless he's gone at the game, maybe one for when the market vibes are positive. As for Rampage, that'll teach me for trying to find the winner of a 21-runner handicap at the Curragh. 2024 Running P/L: +81.55 pts |
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Hey chav, hoping Chillhi can get me off the cold list!
Chillhi, 1pt EW @ 12-1, 2.35 Newcastle (4 PLACES) Chillhi impressed when winning twice here as a juvenile, and he's only been back twice since, both times last season, when shaping well in a muddling class 3, 12.5f handicap last July, and on his final start of 2023 over the same trip when a bit disappointing but perhaps he'd had enough for the year by that stage. He showed he still retains ability as a 4YO when a staying-on second at Chester (12.5f, g-f) in May to one who had plummeted in the weights and had been rejuvenated by a change of stable, with a subsequent winner behind him in third. Chillhi has his stamina to prove for this stretch two miles but looks worth a try at it and his mark has dropped 11lb below his peak rating of 89. Francophone, 1pt EW @ 20-1, 3.30 Curragh It probably wasn't a vintage renewal of the Musidora in which Francophone finished second, particularly given it was steadily run and the favourite didn't give her running, but she showed she's an improving filly when winning a Listed race at Goodwood (10f, good), and although the runner-up who was carrying a 3lb penalty didn't get the clearest of runs, Francophone herself didn't have the smoothest of trips having raced three-wide but still left the impression she could have found more if necessary. This is obviously a big step up in class but she looks worth a crack at it and hopefully from her draw in 2 can get a good tactical position against the rail. Hoornblower, 1pt EW @ 12-1, 5.40 Lingfield (3 PLACES) It would appear that Hoornblower is a better horse on the all-weather and having run poorly three times on turf last season he shaped with more encouragement back on an artificial surface over this evening's C/D in September when keeping on well from off the pace to finish a never-nearer 6th of 12. His fitness has to be taken on trust back from 277 days off but he ran well off a two-month break in March last year when finishing second in a 8.5f novice at Wolverhampton to one who subsequently showed himself to be a big improver, and behind him in 4th was Peace Man, who admittedly was making his debut and went on to be rated over 100. Hoornblower is now rated 12lb below his initial mark and this is a drop in grade so hopefully can give a good account here if fitness isn't an issue. |
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Blow that horn George, you're off the cold list
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WD
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Although one swallow does not a summer make
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WD George
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WD GB
Form is temporary Class is permanent |
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Cheers all, the icicles have melted a little.
Might have got a bit lucky in that the fav was having an easy time of it in front until the hard-puller moved up and put some pace pressure on. Chillhi was held up in the Northumberland Vase, in a race where the prominent runners were allowed a soft time of it and were able to stay there throughout. There had been talk of Francophone running in the Group 3 Hoppings at Newcastle, but connections opted instead to pay the 30,000 euros supplementary fee to run in the Group 1 Pretty Polly Stakes where she finished plum last, and while this might be as good as she is, it's possible the rain was against her. 2024 Running P/L: +91.95 pts |
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“One swallow does not a summer make, neither does one fine day; similarly one day or brief time of happiness does not make a person entirely happy.” Attributed to Aristotle. It basically means that a single instance of something doesn't indicate a trend.
Aristotle no less GEORGE.B...... |
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"Who knows what tomorrow brings?"
Jennifer Warnes no less chavman... |
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"its a heartbreak"...bonnie tyler no less
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"I can saw a woman in two
But you won't want to look in the box when I do" Warren Zevon |
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"May the force be with you guys"
Obi-Wan Kenobi, no less chavman Wallaroo, 1pt EW @ 11-1, 3.20 Wolverhampton (4 PLACES) Wallaroo didn't offer much on turf last time out but he's of interest back at Wolverhampton based on his previous effort here over 8.5f, when he seemed to do well to finish second considering the wide trip that he had. The winner was winning for the third time this year, and the third and fifth have won subsequently, so the form looks solid for the level. The selection is closely matched with Meng Tian on form over the 8.5f trip here in April when beaten under a length into third by that rival. The furlong longer trip today is a query for both of them, and Wallaroo's form has come at the shorter trip, but there's no obvious reason on pedigree why he can't be effective over the stretch 9f given he's by Australia with Rainbow Quest close up on ths dam's side of his pedigree, and two of his siblings have won over longer distances. A lot could depend on how this pans out as Wallaroo tends to be ridden forward, but Ella-May Croot, his regular jockey rides in this rider restricted race and hopefully if she can get the fractions right then he won't be far away. Lot Of Joy, 1pt EW @ 11-2, 5.50 Curragh (4 PLACES) Lot Of Joy has only managed the one win (at long odds-on) since joining Willie Mullins and perhaps hasn't always lived up to expectations, including when a beaten favourite when last seen in the English Cesarewitch, but interestingly they didn't go back over hurdles with her for whatever reason and she's had the pause that refreshes since. She ran a remarkable race at this track in the 2022 renewal of the Irish Cesarewitch (16.5f, y), when drawn 29 of the 30 runners and despite a tough trip she still managed to hit the front under two furlongs and stuck on well before having to settle for third place. The obvious concern is the drop back in trip to 12f, but the recent rain will help, she's 5lb lower than for that good Cesarewitch effort, has the inside draw and James Doyle is hanging around until ten-to-six to take the ride. |
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Wallaroo got a lovely position just in behind the pace but could only plug on to finish 6th, albeit only beaten 2.5L. Maybe a quicker tempo at the slightly shorter trip suits him best.
Lot Of Joy gave it a good shot from the front and managed to hang on to finish a close-up third, though was probably fortunate to claim a place given Interllotto was kept in a pocket for long enough to compromise his chance. 2024 Running P/L: +90.15 pts |
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No Surrender, 1pt EW @ 16-1, 3.50 Chelmsford
I'm going to give another chance to No Surrender, who I thought might have run better than his finishing position suggested at Newcastle in May, when although he could only finish 7th of 12 and beaten 22L on his first try at 12.5f, he had been up on the pace with Fairbanks, who had set a strong gallop and kept on relentlessly with the field strung out behind him, and the selection was still in second place under 2f out before weakening out of it. I selected him last-time-out when he was presented with a slightly easier stamina test at Lingfield (12f), but he was a keen in first-time blinkers and, having been in front from 4f out, he folded tamely once headed over a furlong out. I'm not sure about him after that, particularly with the blinkers retained given he can be keen, but the drop back to 10f may suit, he's been dropped 7lb since the Newcastle run, Tom Marquand rides for the first time, and the selection didn't shape too badly on his sole previous run here over a mile on his racecourse debut. Believe In Science, 1pt EW @ 6-1, 5.15 Listowel (4 PLACES) Believe In Science is still a maiden after 22 starts but he's plenty of good efforts in defeat to suggest that he should be up to winning a race at some point, and it was interesting that when he was stepped back up in trip to 14f at Gowran last-time-out that he came in for some solid late support in the betting, and although he could only finish 5th of the runners, he put in some good late work to be only beaten 2.5L, on what was his first start for 83 days. He has a 3lb pull with the winner Influential Lady. The selection had left the impression in some of his runs round Dundalk (12f) that he's a grinder who may be suited by a stiffer test, so this further step up in trip to 2m1f looks worth a go and hopefully that recent return to action has brought him on. Royal Countess, 1pt EW @ 18-1, 5.20 Ayr Royal Countess is an 8Y0 mare whose mark has bottomed out, but I took a chance on her when she reappeared as she's a three-time C/D winner, and her trainer Mike Smith had recently produced a couple of fillies to win first-time-out at Ayr (and Golden Valour has since been another from the yard to win here on their reappearance), however, Royal Countess could only finish 5th of the eleven runners, though did have a subsequent winner finish just behind her. She could only finish fifth of seven back here on her latest start though wasn't entirely disgraced as that was a higher grade than today's and the winner followed up under a penalty. It could be that the selection's winning days are behind her but I'm going take a chance at the prices as she may appreciate this drop back into 0-57 company, even though she's again racing from out of the handicap, and won't mind if the ground continues to dry out given two of her C/D wins came on good to firm. |
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Believe In Science, who proved easy to back (SP 8-1), proved his stamina and ran well to finish a clear second behind the comfortable winner.
No Surrender, who was dropped in this time, was caught very wide into the home straight but it briefly looked like he might mount a challenge down the outer, however, it soon came to nothing. I wasn't sure he looked overly enthusiastic so maybe he's not one to be making excuses for, but this didn't pan out well for him. He is eligible for slightly weaker races and might benefit from the blinkers being left off. As for Royal Countess, that'll teach me for selecting 8YO mares whose marks have bottomed out. 2024 Running P/L: +86.75 pts |
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Abu Royal, 1pt EW @ 14-1, 8.10 Newbury
I'm going to give another chance to Abu Royal, who probably ran better than the distance (18.5 lengths) he was beaten would suggest when finishing 4th of 16 Doncaster (12f, soft) in April, over a trip that might have stretched him in the conditions, when he tried to match strides with Fiddlers Green, who was 10lb well in and clearly relished conditions, but he paid the price for doing so, losing second place around 1.5f out and eventually dropping to 4th. The form worked out with the second and third having won since. Of Abu Royal's two subsequent runs, he might have found the ground quick enough when a beaten favourite at Windsor (10f, g-f) in May, and when I selected him last-time-out at Nottingham (10f, g-s), he was a little disappointing given it was a drop in grade, but he certainly didn't travel with the same zest that he had gone with at Doncaster, having got behind early, though did put in some good late work to be beaten just under three lengths at the finish, in a race where the first two home were bang-in-form rivals. This looks harder back up in grade, particularly with three-year-olds among the opposition and receiving the weight-for-age allowance, but in the hope the ground doesn't dry out too much, a chance is taken at the odds, with him being 4lb lower than for that Doncaster effort, and the application of cheekpieces may also assist. |
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A similar sort of run to last time from Abu Royal, having got a bit behind and then just plugged on, on ground that was drying out as opposed to proper soft.
He was running in a 3YO+ 0-76 here when he's eligible for a 4YO+ 0-65 (+2lb), so maybe he'll be more competitive back down in grade and when kept closer to the pace. None of which is any good to the thread this evening as another -2 is clipped from the ever-diminishing P/L. It doesn't take long for those icicles to start reforming. 2024 Running P/L: +84.75 pts |
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Inanna, 1pt EW @ 13-2, 8.30 Hamilton
Inanna hasn't looked in much form the last twice so it has to be hoped that she hasn't gone off the boil for the time being, but it's possible conditions haven't been ideal, and she's of interest here based on her run four starts back at Beverley (7.5f, g-s), on what was her second start for Brian Toomey, when finishing second of 13, and although no match for the winner Powdering, that filly went on to win twice more, completing a hat-trick off an 11lb higher mark. The selection appeared to do well to finish second given she'd been keen enough on the pace in a race where the other principals were ridden patiently. Inanna then ran okay to make the frame at Wetherby (7f, good), and while the last twice has been disappointing even allowing for the sharper tests, this is a drop in grade and the Beverley effort, which came off a 5lb higher mark, offers hope that she should be fine back up in trip to 8.5f with a bit of ease in the ground. I don't know if there's any significance in the booking of Andrew Slattery, who comes over for two rides on the card when there is a meeting in Ireland today, but maybe it's just a case of a lack of opportunities for him back home. |
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The early signs weren't great when Inanna pulled her way to the front with the Jockey's feet up on the dashboard and, having gone clear with the winner at one point, it wasn't a surprise when she stopped to nothing over a furlong out, with the jockey reporting that the filly had raced too freely.
2024 Running P/L: +82.75 pts |
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Can't find juvenile hurdlers thread!
Rogue King must be a shoe-in for at least a place today. |