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George's 2024 Selection Thread

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Replies: 784
By:
Tattcorner
When: 27 Jul 24 12:48
chav's had a charisma transplant...suits you, mate Grin
By:
cobs101
When: 27 Jul 24 12:59
GL George, I've backed Miss Tiki as well so hopefully I don't jinx itCool
By:
saddo
When: 27 Jul 24 17:20
Likewise. Gl all.
By:
chavman
When: 27 Jul 24 18:29
VWD George

Truly outstanding
By:
cobs101
When: 27 Jul 24 18:53
Aye aye! Superb GCool
By:
FOYLESWAR
When: 27 Jul 24 18:56
very well done George great stuff
By:
Tattcorner
When: 27 Jul 24 19:43
50% strike rate last two days and looking very healthy profit-wise.  Great picking, George Cool
By:
the dealer
When: 27 Jul 24 19:52
Top Bombing George

Very well done
By:
GEORGE.B
When: 27 Jul 24 21:27
Thanks for the kind words

Now for the tricky bit...Trying to keep the 50% strike rate up at Goodwood & Galway Scared
Two days running had the choice between two for the nap and picked the wrong one #Judge

No excuses for Miss Tiki this time, who got a nice tow into the race but couldn't quicken for toffee and then didn't convince with her stamina for two miles.

2024 Running P/L: +132.03 pts
By:
swiftynifty
When: 27 Jul 24 21:41
any idea how the BSP would compare? otherwise 100 points clear in 6 months if you're getting decent stakes on , top work George.
By:
GRP888
When: 27 Jul 24 21:46
W D George - looking forward to Goodwood & Galway
By:
GEORGE.B
When: 27 Jul 24 21:49
At Betfair SP after commission (and settled at standard place terms for the each-way bets), the current profit is +161.

But as Hugh Taylor once famously said:

if you'd backed every horse in GB handicaps with 14 or more runners over the last 5 years you'd have made a loss of over 4,000 points at SP - and a profit of over 80 points at BFSP! BFSP can randomly turn moderate tipsters into apparently good ones. It's no guide at all.
By:
GEORGE.B
When: 27 Jul 24 21:50
Thank you GRP888
By:
swiftynifty
When: 27 Jul 24 21:54
Are you selective enough that you only back these? That's the problem with 30-odd races a day. Stronger fancies only pay for the weaker losers.
By:
GEORGE.B
When: 27 Jul 24 22:09
Those were the only two of interest to me today, swifty, bypassed the King George, Group races, top handicaps, to wait for a couple of basement-grade handicaps.

Well said swifty, it's all about the discipline.
By:
Virgin
When: 27 Jul 24 23:39
Wd George Cool gl ...
By:
GEORGE.B
When: 28 Jul 24 00:17
Thank you Virgin
By:
toffee man
When: 28 Jul 24 12:47
what a man, well done george
By:
youresomean
When: 28 Jul 24 14:30
Well done again George
By:
DIFERENT GRAVY 12
When: 28 Jul 24 16:24
£125 win @ 2-1 on 2nd fav(Chinky) in mens 100m breaststroke tonight. I think Peaty might tie up 10m out. Happy with 2-1 in a 2 'horse' race.
By:
GEORGE.B
When: 28 Jul 24 16:37
Cheers toffee man and youresomean

Good luck DG
By:
DIFERENT GRAVY 12
When: 28 Jul 24 21:14
7th in a 2 horse race CryCry  Knew I was in trouble when StewartyB tipped it up!

Will stick to horses!
By:
GEORGE.B
When: 29 Jul 24 11:23
Ormolulu, 1pt EW @ 12-1, 3.25 Southwell (4 PLACES)

Ormolulu probably ran a bit better than her finishing position suggested at Newbury (6f, g-f) on her penultimate start given she raced down the centre on a day when there appeared to be some advantage in racing closer to the stands-side rail and wasn't helped by being bumped about into the final furlong, but was only beaten 2.5L into 6th place in what admittedly was a crowd scene at the finish. I selected her last-time-out at Windsor when upped slightly in grade but she disappointed, dropping right out inside the final furlong.

I'm going to give her another chance here as this is a drop in grade, she has a win and a place to her name (in maiden company) from two starts over C/D, is 2lb below her last winning mark, and her yard has been in fair form of late.

Inner Temple, 1pt EW @ 22-1, 4.00 Southwell (4 PLACES)

Inner Temple has been disappointing in three starts since winning over C/D in March, though it's possible to make excuses as he might not be as effective on turf and on his only AW start since at Kempton, he might have had too much use made of him from a wide draw. His win here off a 2lb lower mark worked out quite well with the next three home having won since and are now rated in the 80s, yet following those relatively poor runs since, the selection can race off a mark of 78.

He is eligible for weaker races than this one, the draw hasn't been kind and it has to be hoped that the first-time blinkers don't light him up too much if ridden forward again, but a chance is taken at the odds as he's potentially well-handicapped on that piece of course form.

Prince Of Bell Air, 1pt EW @ 8-1, 5.35 Windsor (3 PLACES)

Prince Of Bell Air returned to form when finishing second over C/D (g-f) two starts back, and it's easy enough to forgive a lesser effort since at Nottingham on easier ground as he was probably disadvantaged by his draw in one and racing towards the far side of the track. He's eligible for lower grades than this one but did win off a 15lb higher mark two years ago, and while he may not be capable of that level of form now, hopefully he retains enough ability to be competitive in this.
By:
GEORGE.B
When: 29 Jul 24 11:29
* Lir not Air Crazy
By:
GEORGE.B
When: 29 Jul 24 11:31
* and only one L in Bel. This is going well...
By:
GEORGE.B
When: 29 Jul 24 21:45
Back to normality with three losers.

Slow times at Southwell and it looked tough going for some, well at least for my two there anyway.

Ormolulu seemed to be well enough placed but could make no impression up the home straight. Inner Temple was caught a bit wide from his wide draw but doubt it would have mattered where he was drawn as he was beaten 2f out.

Prince Of Bel Lir managed to end up in the centre of the track at Windsor, but still looked to be getting on terms with the leader inside the final furlong, however, her effort soon came to nothing.

2024 Running P/L: +126.03 pts
By:
cobs101
When: 29 Jul 24 22:12
Better luck tomorrow George Cool
By:
GEORGE.B
When: 30 Jul 24 12:18
Thank you Cobs. Good luck today.

Wolf Of Badenoch, 1pt EW @ 10-1, 2.25 Goodwood

Wolf Of Badenoch is markedly up in class for his second start having won just a steadily-run maiden on his debut at Doncaster (7f, g-s), the form of which could be working out better, but there was plenty to like about how he made up the ground from an unpromising position whilst looking green, only having to be held together and nudged out to score.

There is plenty of stamina on his dam's side of his pedigree so perhaps a stiffer test in time will suit better, but interesting that he's being pitched in here for a yard that also house the recent 7f Group 2 runner-up Seagulls Eleven.

Suicide Blonde, 1pt EW @ 15-2, 8.00 Lingfield (3 PLACES)

Suicide Blonde is still a maiden after seven starts but has shown enough to suggest there should be a win in her, notably when she was last seen on turf at Carlisle (6f, g-f) last August when finishing runner-up to Gutsy Girl, and although no match for that rival, she's a filly who held a Commonwealth Cup entry at one point and is now rated 90 after recently winning an all-weather handicap.

The selection doesn't look short of speed so whether 7f is her optimum trip is a query, but on the plus side she is well-drawn if the field crosses to the stands-side rail, and while this is a belated reappearance, her trainer can have them ready first-time-out.
By:
GEORGE.B
When: 30 Jul 24 21:25
Wolf Of Badenoch (14-1 SP) ran well to finish second albeit no match for the winner and shaping as though a stiffer test will suit. I said his Doncaster form could have worked out better and funnily enough today it did as the second (Lazy Griff who had since finished down the field in the Chesham) came out at Beverley and turned over an odds-on shot.

Suicide Blonde hadn't been seen in over nine months and reappeared here appearing to be wearing bandages around her front fetlocks. There seemed to be some market support for her late on but she put in a dismal effort.

2024 Running P/L: +126.28 pts
By:
GEORGE.B
When: 31 Jul 24 12:50
Binadham, 1pt EW @ 40-1, 3.00 Goodwood (4 PLACES)

A very competitive renewal of the Molecomb Stakes and I'm going to have a speculative each-way pick on Binadham at a big price. He's a late foal who had just turned two when running out a decisive winner at Yarmouth in April, and whilst he might not have beaten anything of note, this 85.000 gns brother to three useful performers with RPRs in the hundreds, created a good impression having been plenty keen enough through the early stages.

Binadham was then absent for two months before being pitched into the Norfolk Stakes, where he wasn't disgraced in finishing 6th of the 13 runners (and one place behind Aesterius, who raced nearside) where he again showed good speed to lead overall in the far side group of five (which included the winner) until around 1.5f furlongs out and remained close-up overall until only dropping out of the places inside the last half-furlong. The selection has since finished a well-held third of 7 in a Listed race at Deaville on ground described as "soft" where he again raced prominently.

Binadham has enough to find on the figures with a few of these but this sharp 5f on quick ground promises to suit, while hopefully his double-figure won't be a hindrance with yesterday's winner of the closing sprint having raced close to the stands-side rail, albeit the other principals were drawn in the three lowest stalls.

Elinor Dashwood, 1pt EW @ 10-1, 7.45 Galway (4 PLACES)

Elinor Dashwood perhaps didn't go on as might have been hoped as a juvenile when trained by Kevin Ryan and racing in the Shiekh Obaid colours, but she's generally been running well since switching to Ireland and appears to be improving judging from RPRs in the 80s the last twice, having recorded a career-best when winning comfortably at Gowran (7f, good) two starts back, and last time at Naas might not have been seen to best effect in trying to close from off the pace but did keep on well to be nearest at the finish and that effort suggested she's worth a try over this evening's trip of 8.5f.

The selection has a tricky draw to overcome but hopefully will be finishing her race off well if finding this run to suit, for a yard which has already had a couple run well in big field handicaps here this week.
By:
GEORGE.B
When: 31 Jul 24 21:03
A couple of poor ones to end the month.

Binadham well and truly had his limitations exposed.

Elinor Dashwood probably could have done without the rain, which might be why she drifted in the betting, and she didn't settle anyway on this step up in trip. There may be other days for her.

2024 Running P/L: +122.28 pts
By:
GEORGE.B
When: 01 Aug 24 13:23
Secret Bid, 1pt EW @ 22-1, 6.15 Wolverhampton (4 PLACES)

Secret Bid looked set for a good season when overcoming the outside stall to win over 7f on Lingfield's turf course in May when one of three pull clear, albeit the form could have worked out better. His two turf runs after were disappointing but his latest fourth at Kempton when dropped in trip to 6f didn't look a bad effort behind three who still look open to improvement, and with three previous Kempton course winners finishing behind him.

Secret Bid might not be the most straightforward as he does seem to carry his head a bit high and unusually for one from this stable has worn a noseband, but this course may suit his prominent tactics better and he's well drawn in 4 if the plan is to go forward again, with Paul Mulrennan taking over in the plate.

Both his career wins have come at 7f (including one here on his sole previous course start) so he does have to prove sprinting is his game, but he clearly isn't short of early speed and hopefully can get into a good rhythm and at least hang on for a place.

Diamond Bay, 1pt EW @ 16-1, 8.15 Wolverhampton (4 PLACES)

It looked a big effort from Diamond Bay when winning a Racing League handicap over C/D last September off the same mark he runs off this evening, but the big question is whether he's in the same form this time around having finished a well-held 8th of 13 on his latest start at Ascot when returning from a 76-day break. However, he hadn't seemed in much form earlier this year before finishing a good second in the All-Weather Vase Marathon handicap on Lingfield's Good Friday card when wearing cheekpieces for the first time, and they are reapplied this evening having been left off last time out.

It could be Diamond Bay is going to need another run or two to reach peak fitness following his break, but he looks worth chancing at the odds to make it 3-3 at Dunstall Park.
By:
cobs101
When: 01 Aug 24 14:39
GL George, Secret Bid is also on my radar today, partly because his win at the track was in such a good time and the best any of these have achieved at the track this season or last Cool
By:
GEORGE.B
When: 01 Aug 24 21:21
Unfortunately, Cobs, my theory that Secret Bid might get to the front from stall four proved well wide off the mark, as he was soon behind and stayed there.

Diamond Bay had won what was actually the equivalent Racing League race last season and was off the same mark here, but there was a query about his current form, and the answer to that query as it turned out was that he wasn't in any form at all, finishing tailed off, as the betfair graph predicted.

2024 Running P/L: +118.28 pts
By:
GEORGE.B
When: 02 Aug 24 11:19
Tenerife Sunshine, 1pt EW @ 10-1, 1.50 Goodwood (5 PLACES)

Tenerife Sunshine, who hasn't had loads of racing on turf, proved his stamina for two miles when winning here in June, staying on well to defeat Vino Victrix (who's 3lb better off for 1.75L), the pair finishing clear of Spirit Mixer (who's 7lb better off for nearly 8L), with Tronador further back in 6th. Of the selection's two runs since, the race might have came soon enough just nine days later at Royal Ascot (2m4f, g-f) when finishing behind three of these, when not helped by a wide draw and being caught wide early; and last time in a valuable handicap at the July meeting (14f, g-f), he could never get involved from off the pace.

Tenerife Sunshine still has to prove his stamina for this marathon trip, but he's worth another try over it here and is just 2lb higher than for his course win, and no doubt this race has been a target since.

Balzarini, 1pt EW @ 25-1, 4.45 Goodwood (5 PLACES)

Balzarini was a rare maiden race winner for his trainer when popping up at 50-1 at Windsor (5f, g-f) on his third start, and he proved that was no fluke when finishing third back there under top weight over 6f (g-f) on his nursery debut eleven days ago when having been plenty keen enough but still finished clear of the 4th.

This is a step up in grade and his highest draw is a concern but the drop back to 5f looks a positive move and he can race off the same mark.

Kristal Klear, 1pt EW @ 12-1, 5,35 Newcastle (4 PLACES)

Kristal Klear is of interest back at Newcastle based on her sole previous track start which came over a mile on her stable debut back in April, when she went down by a head to one who has won again since back here, with the first three pulling clear, and the race was run in a time over two seconds quicker than the other division.

The selection has run three times since on turf, running okay on the first of them to make the frame at Hamilton (8.5f, good) but hasn't been great the last twice under varying conditions. However, she's unexposed on the all-weather and interesting to see how she goes back here off a 2lb lower mark, granted she can be as effective at 7f.
By:
GEORGE.B
When: 02 Aug 24 11:39
Specsavers for me...Balzarini's race is 6f not 5f Crazy

Oh well, he needs to settle better but he still makes a little each-way appeal at the prices and is actually a pound well in, which will count for plenty if he wins a by a pixel Wink
By:
DIFERENT GRAVY 12
When: 02 Aug 24 12:49
GL George

Only one for me today

Tiberio Force 4.30N  e/w 3 places @8-1
By:
GEORGE.B
When: 02 Aug 24 13:02
Good luck DG
By:
GEORGE.B
When: 02 Aug 24 21:40
Well done on the place, DG

Hell's bells I've been nailing them to the floor these last few days...

The signs were ominous right from the get-go for Tenerife Sunshine as James Doyle was having to ride a finish to get him away from the (no stalls) start and then had to use up some gas to get into a prominent position. He was beaten too far out to blame it on stamina limitations, and as he's still a colt, maybe he needs an operation to make a man of him.

Balzarini just didn't go with the same zest this time as he had at Windsor eleven days ago, so maybe the race coming soon enough combined with the rise in class was too much for him.

Kristal Klear disputed the lead until well inside the final furlong but her finishing effort in the closing stages was a bit tame, particularly considering how well she saw it out over a mile on her last course visit, and she dropped out of the places late on. She is eligible for weaker races than today's and there probably is a low-grade contest in her at some point.

2024 Running P/L: +112.28 pts
By:
GEORGE.B
When: 03 Aug 24 11:42
Ghost Run, 1pt EW @ 12-1, 2.05 Newmarket (4 PLACES)

Ghost Run shaped encouragingly on her debut at Goodwood (6f, good) in May when keeping on to be a never-nearer 5th of 12 with her jockey reporting that she had run green, and might have had an excuse on account of the draw when failing to progress from this at Thirsk (6f, g-s). However, she put that effort behind her with a much improved performance under a change of tactics at Newbury (6f, good) on her latest start when allowed to stride on, finding plenty to see off challengers in the final furlong in what was the quicker of the two divisions. The second and fourth have since run well in defeat.

This is likely to be the quickest ground she has encountered but if handling it she looks open to improvement as she appears to have a bit of size about her and is a half-sister to the useful Nymphadora (also trained by Anrew Balding) who got slightly better with age.

Baileys Polka Dot, 1pt EW @ 16-1, 2.50 Doncaster

There was a query about quick ground for Baileys Polka Dot prior to running on good to firm at Thirsk (6f) in June, but she gave it a good shot from the front, admittedly on a day when there was a tailwind, finding only Alfa Kellenic too good, who has won twice since including a class 2 handicap at York.

Of the selection's two runs since, she appears to have run well in a French handicap, finishing a close-up 4th of 14 at Chantilly (6f), but was poor last time at Sandown when dropped to 5f and finishing last of 8 when wearing a reapplied tongue-tie, which is left off today.

That latest effort has to be a concern with it being just nine days ago, but she's dropped in grade here and can race off the same mark as for the Thirsk run, with blinkers are given a try, and while she is likely to face pressure for the lead in this, hopefully Lewis Edmunds, who rides her for the first time, will avoid getting into a destructive battle for the lead.
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