|
By:
I didn't answer about Bowen. He's a capable jock (much better than his brother), but for me, that's about it. There is now a split between journeyman jocks going for the championship, and those who are more interested in Graded winners. Bowen has been helped (as was Richard Johnson) by his link with Elliott, resulting in plenty of penalty kicks. I think the national hunt weighing room is in a healthier state than the flat equivalent which is absolutely brimming over with journeyman jocks. You couldn't trust any of them for more than half an hour. Been that way for 20-25 years.
|
|
By:
Here we go again at Tramore. Should favour the bumper horse favourite.
|
|
By:
The two shorties win, but neither remotely impressive.
I think they will just be glad to have got a win out of Banprionsa. She was hammered on hurdling debut, and today she made very heavy weather of it, looking awkward in the process. Lucky the opposition was so poor. I would always worry when Cobden doesn't go forward in a small field. Just fortunate that his head was down on the line. I would be surprised if he can defy a penalty. |
|
By:
Pretty poor again tomorrow.
The main interest is probably several novices trying to give away penalties. Wyenot won nicely on hurdling debut, and the form has been boosted. A reproduction of that should be good enough. Unfortunately, the price is a lot shorter tomorrow, and trainer/jock (particularly the jock) don't appear to be in the same form. The Hereford opener looks a match between the two penalised runners. I was disappointed with Reverend Hubert at Cheltenham. He never travelled, and didn't appear to stay. Drop in trip and better ground should help. Magic Seven goes again at Hereford (I assume the owner lives close by) where he is 2/3. He also seems to appreciate quicker ground as well. Hard to be conclusive, but the 9/4 Magic Seven is not quite big enough to tempt. Caso No Mento's bumper form looks a cut above in the shorter novice, but it is worth bearing in mind her best form is on a slower surface. The bumper looks weak. So far no obvious support for any of the front three. The Wetherby bumper looks similarly weak. Audacious Annie is a half sister to You Wear It Well, but Jack Hobbs as the sire rather tempers confidence. Having said a couple of days ago that it looked like Daly had ditched Jacob up he pops on Moonlit Potter. Pure coincidence I am sure. This one also has a decent female line going back to Denman, but again is let down by having Pethers Moon as the sire. |
|
By:
Just noticed Edwards has been disqualified for breaching the whip rules, and the trainer feels 'sorry for him'. You couldn't make it up. Why would anyone feel sorry for him? He wasn't even close to riding within the rules.
|
|
By:
I heard that Sam Ewing has been given a 5 day suspension for his ride on Fils D'oudairies in the Morgiana, on Saturday.
Stewards believed he made a manoeuvre to assist his stable mate. I wonder if they will implement the same sanctions to Ballydoyle runners?? |
|
By:
So far things going as expected. I think the placed horses were flattered to finish so close to Magic Seven. Could have held on to him a bit longer, but hard to criticise a jock for getting the job done. Wyenot won very nicely, looking straightforward, and well above average. I suspect I wasn't the only punter who was caught out by her SP.
|
|
By:
I was impressed by Wyenot first time but didn't get home in time to back it today
![]() |
|
By:
Couple of iffy jumps, but Caso No Mento duly completes an easy hat trick for the three 'good things'. Sensible ride. If only it went like this a little more often.
Let's hope they get Newbury on because the racing elsewhere for the rest of this week continues to be of very poor quality. |
|
By:
Very little on the novice front today.
Skelton has talked up Coco Mademoiselle, but I not sure the bumper win has been franked that much, and she was poor on hurdling debut. It seems to me she is priced up very short on Skelton's words. No bet, but I have opposed her with Sweet Honey B. Her bumper form looks at least as strong, and she is a much bigger price. Backed Monbeg Genious for the Coral Cup yesterday. Not a wonderful price, but I don't think it is a fantastic renewal, and last season's form makes him the one to beat. Has to get over the Ascot shambles. I would expect a prominent ride. Had a look at the Royal Bond market for Sunday. What is it about wanting to go down the two mile route with all these ex-pointers (Ballyburn another) when you would think the intermediate trip is the more suitable option? Why do they have to get outpaced first? It may not happen in this because for some reason there are no obvious quicker types entered. It's also given as soft ground which would be completely against Encanto Bruno. Hopefully, this isn't another throwaway run as he needs to continue on an upward curve. |
|
By:
Very easy for Coco Mademoiselle. Much better than hurdling, and you have to wonder why she didn't win that race. Writing on the wall for Sweet Honey B almost immediately, stuck out wide, off the pace, and jumping stickily. She appeared to lack scope, and looked far from the finished article, eventually finishing her race off tamely.
Lombron, Fun Fun Fun, and Daddy Long Legs all comfortable winners for Mullins at Thurles. Fun Fun Fun jumped well (those behind were pretty terrible in that department), but the other two were pretty scruffy, particularly Daddy Long Legs. That said he seemed to finish his race off very strongly, albeit in the slowest time of the three. Ballee was a lucky winner at Taunton, lucky in the sense it should have been banned after it's last run. Matterhorn capitulated very tamely. |
|
By:
Thought Ballee got lucky in the sense that it was obvious very free and was able to run behind the leader who went off fast. May have pulled the jockeys arms out otherwise. Still must have a good engine to have finished the race as strong as it did.
|
|
By:
Certainly ridden a tad differently to the schooling session last time. Racing freely might be family trait - see tomorrow.
|
|
By:
Indeed
|
|
By:
Centara was OK first time so they will hope it has settled down after a break but in his annual, Paul says "we have to keep the lid on him" Kathy Stuart has been an owner for a very long time but has never been very lucky.
|
|
By:
Let's hope Newbury survives. Lot of poor meetings have survived this week, it would be a shame to lose a better one.
Henderson is due to run two point winners. Bective Abbey looked a galloping sort in winning from the front. Not even sure he was the best horse in the race with the second looking like a massive eyecatcher. It's a poor race tomorrow, but will Doncaster and relatively quick ground be a sufficient test? The problem for backers who might think it isn't, is what you put up against him. Jeriko Du Reponet looked to have far more of a gear, hence he starts at the minimum trip. It looks a straight match with Centara who impressed on bumper debut, but failed to reproduce at Aintree. The favourite looks the safer option. I wouldn't be rushing to take the short odds on Hermes Allen. He doesn't look an obvious chasing type (he was hammered by Johnnywho on his point debut), and for some reason Nicholls continues to persist at the intermediate trip. It is unlikely to be Challow Hurdle ground tomorrow. I know the Stayers division looks wide open, but I don't see what the Aintree race told us, other than Marie's Rock doesn't stay. She looked all over the winner that day. Perhaps she can get away with it tomorrow, but I doubt she will at the Festival. The most interesting runner is Hugos New Horse. He has masses to find off the back of a poor run, and was supposed to be going novice chasing. Had the last race been half a mile shorter I would probably have chanced Regal Blue. You wouldn't want fitness and distance to be an issue tomorrow. His two hurdling runs so far have been chalk and cheese. Quite a few of the less exposed runners in this are taking a hike in trip. |
|
By:
Knight Of Allen certainly worth a look at donny tomorrow after the the debacle at cheltenham
|
|
By:
If it goes ahead on Saturday just having some very negative thoughts about the participation of Ahoy Senor. He jumped as well as I can remember for a circuit last time, and then for no obvious reason the wheels came off yet again. The chances of a blemish free round are close to zero. The problem here is that this race is traditionally a good race to be on the front end. Likely the favourites are going to want to do that. There's not likely to be too many issues if Ahoy Senor races six wide, but more than likely he will be on the inside jumping right across the whole field. He could create havoc.
|
|
By:
decided to go all in Nicholls today as it paid so well on the last 2 weekend fixtures (and I count today as a weekend fixture as the card would grace any Saturday) So a chance taken on Centara with a good chance to lay off, a small bet on Hermes Allen for the Brown Advisory at 44 although I share your doubt about him improving for fences. Hugos Other horse for the Stayers is highly speculative but took 22 yesterday and have already laid it off at 10.5 so a nice bet to nothing. Kandoo Kid backed at 4.8 so again will possibly be laid off before they even start judging by the market now. Last but not least Lallygag. He was given a proper "prep" ride at Cheltenham so I expected him to hose up in a handicap hurdle but as they are going chasing, I can't ignore him. He is the pick of the 5 for me. A 5 timer would be very nice.
|
|
By:
Centara and Lallygag were disappointing but Hermes Allen was a joy to watch. I just hope I have backed him for the right race at Cheltenham but he will a surely shorten for both.
|
|
By:
After the build up Centara didn't disappoint. Many jocks would have ended up on the floor. Jeriko Du Reponet beat nothing quite nicely, but no more than that. De Boinville rode him further back than usual for a Henderson novice. I didn't notice a ton of pace, and I wouldn't be rushing to back him for a Supreme. Nicholls still insisting that this is the 'ideal' trip for Hermes Allen. There may be money to be made if he continues to do so. The cards couldn't have fallen better for him today. The leader made it a strong test at the trip, and Cobden nicked five relatively easy lengths on the rest of the field. The winner was only one to properly see out the trip. Unless he is desperate to say something different I am not sure why Walsh made the apologist comments after the next race. It's no good any jock being 'decisive' if they ask a horse too far off a fence. Deutsch threw that race away. It seemed like I spent most of last season arguing that Marie's Rock shouldn't go anywhere near a Stayers Hurdle. Unfortunately, when she did eventually go for the Mares' Hurdle only two jocks turned up, and the race was a complete farce. The version that turned up at Aintree would have won the race again. Although she ran well at Aintree she clearly didn't get home yet they turn up today still persisting with the idea of going the Stayers route. Hopefully, they might now finally see sense, but sadly, last year was her big chance for a second victory. After that dismal effort it's going to be hard to get her back for the Mares' race again, but that realistically is the only possible target. Ed Keeper impressed in the last. He was the unexposed one to enjoy the step up in trip. Regal Blue, what was that? No wonder it was a massive drifter. O'Neill should be thoroughly embarrassed.
Please no more banging on about Constitution Hill and Shishkin. There are surely more important issues to talk about, than a horse who is probably going to have a couple of racecourse canters before the Festival, and another who now isn't too keen on racing. |
|
By:
Probably a pointless exercise saying too much about tomorrow's racing. Fair chance it will all be called off, but let's hope not.
If Fairyhouse survives we get the first chance of seeing Ballyburn over the minimum trip because Mullins can't get him to settle. That thought still amuses me. What's the betting despite having 20 runners to hide behind, he will still be on the front end? On the same card interesting to see if Release The Beast can cope with the step up in class. Best for me is Ultra Beat at Bangor. Market seems to have taken a literal interpretation of his last run. He stopped as if shot, and if they have sorted out the problem then double figures is much too big. In the same race I See The Sea should improve on his bumper debut. At Newbury I have gone with Masaccio (form nicely boosted) and Brentford Hope. Slightly complicated by O'Brien replacing Stevens and De Boinville likely to replace Bowen. |
|
By:
I know I give them lots of stick, but great to see Lady Oaksey continuing to do great work for the IJF. Missed the boat today, but will get an order in for Monday.
|
|
By:
Few people have worked harder for the IJF than Lady Oaksey.
I didn't hear the end of the Nicholls interview but I am now sitting on a free bet of 18 points on Hermes Allen for the Brown Advisory after laying off and a new bet at 12.5 for the Turner. If he was mine, I would hope to go for the Feltham next if he goes right handed and see if he gets an easy 3 miles. The Brown Advisory is likely to be easier for him than the Turners which might catch him out for speed. He appeared to be going as fast as he comfortably could for 14 furlongs today but ran on well when the leader finally cried enough. I can't see much happening tomorrow sadly. |
|
By:
Well, at the moment it looks like good, and somewhat surprising news.
I am becoming more and more inclined to take less notice of the early prices. Ultra Beat looked too big at 12/1, and now he is 22/1. To me that implies they haven't sorted out his problem. He had gone off 6/1 against horses no worse than these. It doesn't make sense. If he bombs again you have wonder what Daly is doing turning him out again. Masaccio was seemingly weak last night, strong this morning, and Brentford Hope, the complete opposite. |
|
By:
Above post 9.49, and then 9.53 onwards Ultra Beat smashed up back to 10/1, although 365 holding out at 16/1. Who knows? I doubt very much that Idefix De Ciergues wants soft ground.
|
|
By:
To be fair I haven't had one for a few days, but Ultra Beat 22/1-11/2 joins the list of gambled failures. Second time he has been on the list, and no obvious excuse this time. Writing on the wall from a very early stage. Will probably now pop up when there is no market move.
As expected Ballyburn wasn't even close to emulating Centara. Clearly outpaced by a horse who may also step up in trip, hopefully, Mullins will now run him over the correct trip, but I wouldn't bank on it. Plenty of promise for a Ballymore, none for a Supreme. Release The Beast looks a smashing chasing type, but he went from travelling like a winner to folding in a couple of strides. Hard to believe that was just a stamina issue. Mark Walsh produces a few duff rides, and then all of a sudden.....Pure coincidence? Inch House won a shade comfortably, and still looks on target for this day next year, possibly via an Ultima. Masaccio was the difference between a winning day and a losing one. Tame finish to lose a length advantage on the run in. Nice of this one of Nicky's to turn up. Brentford Hope and Paul O'Brien were disappointing, not sure of the split between the two, but I did say I would have preferred Alice Stevens to have kept the ride. Too many bungles, and a weak finish from both horse and rider. Monbeg Genius was beaten before the turn for home, and has done very well to stick on for third. As the trainer suggested it looks as if he wants slower ground. Assuming he recovers from a tough race, the Welsh Grand National looks the obvious race. Mahler Mission had travelled like the winner for most of the race. |
|
By:
All about Fairyhouse tomorrow.
In a weak looking Royal Bond we get the chance to find out whether Cromwell gets away with running Encanto Bruno over the wrong trip, and on the wrong ground. My inclination is that he won't, and it will end up being a waste of a run when the horse really needs to maintain an upward curve. The stable form has dropped off a little. Given that An Tobar is another who looks as if a longer trip would suit this race looks shock material, but the problem is who creates the shock? Fascile Mode has some potential and pace, but he won't be able to get away with the poor jumping technique he displayed on hurdling debut. Amazingly, his trainer describes him as a 'natural jumper'? If we see that tomorrow maybe he is the one? Found A Fifty and Letsbeclearaboutit have both impressed this season. I would give the vote to the younger horse who showed a decent change of pace on his chasing debut. I am guessing that Letsbeclearaboutit will try and run the sting out of his rival. As I have said before whatever happens both need to show they can do it left handed to be of Cheltenham interest. I have taken Buddy One without the favourite in the Hatton's Grace. He looks progressive, and I am not convinced by Teahupoo. No surprise that the bumper looks a match between Mullins and Elliott. Undeniable Alibi won a burn up on quicker ground over the intermediate trip at Punchestown, but my slight preference would be for Petit Secret who departed when holding every chance on his sole point run. A bumper day at Southwell. Wouldn't be surprised if we get a couple of shocks in the two proper bumpers. Just the name The Happy Chapati tickles me, but surely if he was any good he would be odds on, given the trainer and breeding? Caher Roes Den looked a stayer in winning his point so presumably, he will try and make all. Hard to know exactly which one of the others is going to provide it, but I can see the bookmakers getting a result. In the second race I have gone with The Secret Pearl who must have a good chance of making all. By The Grace has had two goes, and not really finished her races off. It strikes me as a little desperate that she is having a third go, but I suppose Henderson will be trying to make up for the self inflicted Marie's Rock debacle. Later on the card I am not surprised that Supremely West is taking advantage of the opportunity to get back on the level. He is a very good bumper horse, but his hurdling under this jock has not convinced. I am surprised he isn't an even shorter price. |
|
By:
Apart from 2 novice hurdle wins, Henderson had a terrible Newbury. 3 pulled up, one fell and now sadly dead, Under Control tailed off.
|
|
By:
Fairyhouse looks a decent card as you say, anyone think that the two Mullins horses overpriced in the Drinmore?
|
|
By:
Certain amount of irony that we have lost the all weather that was presumably added in case the turf meetings were called off.
Two horses I mentioned at Fairyhouse, Fascile Mode and Buddy One, are big drifters. Unless there is something physically wrong, I can't really see why. Anyway, I thought it was worth chancing Fascile Mode's jumping at 14/1 and four places. |
|
By:
Mullins two in the Drnmore overpriced indeed, I am Maximus returned at a Bfsp of 16, happy days.
|
|
By:
Bit of a bookmakers bonanza today, and it could have been even better for them had Blackmore got going a fraction earlier in the first.
The ground looked very hard work today, softer than given? Despite that opening winner, a shocker of a day for Cromwell. Is the owner going to move Encanto Bruno again? That was a completely self inflicted wound, and the horse is on the backfoot again. He should have missed out winter ground, and just prepared him for the Ballymore, instead of pot hunting at the minimum trip. The Royal Bond looked a very ordinary renewal, and I doubt it will work out. Fascile Mode (20/1-9/1) was yet another blow out gamble. If Mullins thinks that is a 'natural jumper' the man is clueless. The ground probably helped I Am Maximus, and blunted the speed of Found A Fifty. Hard to see any excuses for Letsbeclearaboutit. He should have finished his race off better than that. Puzzled by the Hatton's Grace. They have gone a dawdle which should have suited Impaire Et Passe. It certainly didn't suit Buddy One who was like a fish out of water. He clearly needs a big field, and a strong pace. Does Teahupoo have more speed than most thought, or has the favourite just run well below his best? Personally, I wouldn't be rushing to back Teahupoo over three miles (next race Stayers), or Impaire Et Passe over two miles. Petit Secret travelled like the best horse in the bumper, but has eventually needed a very strong ride to get him home. Presumably, Undeniable Alibi either didn't handle the ground, or isn't that good. Is Elliott going to come on every time and say he has a load at home who are just as good. You would hope so after that performance. |
|
By:
Well done Tiger
|
|
By:
Not many bets but I did lay Impaire et Passe. Novices are usually over rated when they step up to Grade 1 and many of Mullins's are needing a run. Will the Champion Hurdle end up with Constitution Hill and three or four looking for place money?
|
|
By:
Talked about the Champion Hurdle on other threads. It is about as far removed from an exciting division - despite the usual media hype - as you can get. Constitution Hill beating up everything, and State Man doing likewise at 1/whatever. I think we have to assume that even with the slow pace, Impaire Et Passe didn't get home on that ground. Mullins doesn't like targeting the same races with his real big guns. Would he be happy to put both them in against Constitution Hill? At the moment State Man looks the much more solid of the two, but he was well beaten last year. Assuming she is okay I would have liked to have seen Lossiemouth being given a crack at the two mile division, but it seems that the Mares' is her target. Marine Nationale was supposed to be going chasing, but where is he? Other than those the cupboard is bare. I couldn't get excited about the likes of Love Envoi and You Wear It Well taking on Constitution Hill.
|
|
By:
It is not a competitive division, but is still very exciting watching Constitution Hill strut his stuff.
It has been a long time since there has been a bunch of high quality hurdles in the same period. We are lucky to have two. |
|
By:
If it survives I will be keeping an eye on Queensbury Boy tomorrow at Southwell, but no bet. Sold for 130,000 after winning a point that seems to working out quite well. Looked a strong stayer. Big negatives that was on decent ground which most Doyen's seem to prefer, and of course David Maxwell. I don't recall him winning too many bumpers. I never understand why poorer jocks like Maxwell jocks don't go forward more often. Piching an advantage would surely give them a better chance?
I put up a small list of pointers on 15/11, one of those, The Bluesman, shared top spot at the Goffs Sale, going to Nicholls for 200,000. Jonjo bagged a couple for 150,000+. |
|
By:
Just a further update on the pointers as there isn't much else to do.
From that earlier list Honky Tonk Highway was sold to Skelton for 165,000 at the Cheltenham November Sale. That's quite a high price for his yard, at least amongst those we know about. Many of his intake are private purchases. Four to add:- ASIAN STAR (non winning mare) AIR OF ENTITLEMENT (winning mare, Acheson) TUMUCH PORT JOULAIN Tumuch is due to be sold at the Cheltenham December Sale, and no surprise if he tops the sale. Gordon Elliott has had several maiden winners in addition to Son Of Anarchy who I mentioned earlier. I haven't included them on the basis that most were on very testing ground (might have had a fitness advantage) and likely they will just be sold to stay in the yard. He has already bought back one of them, Big Stage for 120,000. Another one, Machismo, is due to be sold at the Cheltenham December Sale. |
|
By:
Just the one race of interest at Haydock.
Not many formlines so a case of take your pick. Lump Sum looked a speedy type at Ffos Las, and on that basis Haydock should suit him even more. That hurdling debut wasn't without flaws as he was keen, and consequently, for the most part rather charging his hurdles. Hopefully, he can improve on both counts. I would have him favourite. Personal Ambition drops in trip, and presumably will go forward. |