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Hayden - are you betting on the tennis today ?
Hayden - are you betting on the tennis today ?
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Replies: 166
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well done on both counts Hayden...
as for Rybakina... i'm a massive fan of her but she doesn't have a great tennis brain imv... gets a bit caught up in constantly hammering the ball and looking for lines... she was up against an injured opponent and she kept belting it in the net / close to the lines all the time... anyone with a brain would have got it to the other side of the net and keep it well away from the lines... it was quite revealing tbh... in saying all that she is capable of blowing folk away but i've seen her do that in the early stages then go through a real drop in form after that... but it's your money so make your own decision but it's definitely one to reconsider imv. |
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Bouzkova v Kedermetova...
wouldn't have Kudermetova a 1.56 shot personally... got to be closer than that imv. |
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Badosa v Muchova...
again i reckon 1.6 Badosa is too skinny. |
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i'm tempted to say Madison Keys is too short around the 1.8 mark also...
Evens the pair that game for me so not a huge margin for error there tbh. |
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Maddie on the list Hib and already flip flopped from 1.23.
Will take thoughts on board regarding Rybakina and add her to trading list , probably should have included her many months ago as she was considered but forgotten about. Very few list players in action today but being Monday and early in tournament will be looking in on as many matches as possible , together with the IPL at 3pm. Best of luck today  |
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cheers Hayden...
tough match for Rybakina today... i'm tempted to say she is too big but i think it's a match to watch the first set and take it from there tbh. |
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Just delved into my old notes , reason for holding fire on Rybakina being listed was winning the slam , just stated hold a watching brief and wait for any reaction but then forgot about her inclusion.
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oh she was very impressive at Wimbledon Hayden...
destroyed Halep and overpowered Jabeur in the final... clearly the grass helped tho and the lack of Russian/Belarus players too... she is my favourite player for sure but i have felt as long as i have been watching her that she is one of those players who gets in the comfort zone and thinks she can just belt the ball and overpower her opponent... and when it's just a bit off it can go wonky very quickly... and obviously if her serve isn't working it makes a huge difference... definitely the right decision to put her on your list Hayden. |
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Hibby, I've been thinking about the bet I mentioned. I could split my stakes between the French and Wimbledon. That said, iyvho which surface is she best on please?
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Yes thanks Hib , i just have to remind myself that picking players for the list is totally different top picking good players i think will win matches but ALL about picking players in the top 500 that will both win and lose matches but with fluctuating fortunes and inconsistent levels of performance within a match , in other words create a spikey graph whether winning or losing.
Very similar when i'm picking a bad e/way acca , never pick horses with a profile to win the race but concentrate on whether they look safe enough to finish in front of the 4th fav , if they all win it's a beano but not the initial objective. Cheers |
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probably best to split stewart tbh...
she got well beat the other day on clay and i think she's always going to come up a bit short on any surface tbh... Hayden will have a view on Sakkari stewart. |
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oh you want up and down players within a match for sure Hayden...
and in all honesty i reckon most of them are that way... as always with trading it's a case of 'when do i lay and when do i back ?' and 'do i green up / red up / same stake on the lay and back'... never straightforward imv... i suppose you have your parameters and you stick with them is the best way. |
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There's a beauty , Alcaraz ( not on list but ) flip flopped from 1.02 , always worth a dirt cheap lay on front runners for the Open which is just around the corner , Rome a top masters 1000 event but it's not a slam all said and done , intensity levels can differ when top level try to play within themselves and just do enough to win.
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aye i noticed he was struggling tbh Hayden...
think he was around 1.3ish when losing the 1st set. |
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Kudermetova backers got that one spot on.
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After some consideration Hibby I've decided to go for the French with very small at Wimbledon. Reason being she has been ranked No 3 in the world and that has no doubt been helped by reaching the semi's of the French open.
As you said previously it would be best to bail out in the quarters or if lucky, the semi's. Lacks only a little inv but as you pointed out, good to watch. |
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Yes for sure.
Whilst delighted with the Alcaraz trade i missed a trick with not laying the 2-0 sets at 1.10 , these top players crave for slams and you just never know close to slams and the fact these top players can tank a set now and again and still know they're going to win match. Particularly like laying 2-0 at very short odds when big name vs minnow with match odds under say 1.1 especially so when we hit the surface transition and top players are looking for court time to acclimatize , so basically they can tank through a set and many times they prefer to win 2-1 as opposed to 2-0 to get valuable court time when changing from the one surface to another stages of the season. |
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looked like Alcaraz got done by some superb drop shots Hayden...
can't see her winning either stewart tbh so best keep an eye on how it's going and bail out when you think the time is right... and keep an eye on the draw of course. |
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One other thing to consider stewarty if you fancy a player and know you're virtually certain to bail at the QF stage , look for the best price for her to actually win her quarter as an alternative bet as the opportunity may appeal more when you look at the sums , always worth a lateral look to compare options.
Good luck with it. |
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Yes Hayden however this lass can be up and down like a yo yo to back. As for a Grand Slam it's now or ever and most likely never hence my keeness to bail out for whatever coppers I can.
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excellent from Rybakina today imv Hayden...
when she gets the first serve going that's what she is capable of... best i've seen her on the clay tbh. |
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Yes good shout mate.
Ostapenko delivers yet again , 1.17 to 1.88 and i'm greening that at the interval rather than wait for a flip flop |
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nice on Hayden...
Ostapenko always gives you a fair shout tbh... entertaining game tbh. |
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Tiafoe match flip flopped from 1.23 , list player
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a spicy affair Hayden.
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a spicy affair Hayden.
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Going to follow the Muchova match to see if that hits the parameters and that's the lot for me until 1am Hockey.
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Rain in Italy falls mainly on the tennis court...
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Hospital appointment in the morning so probably not logged in until around 1pm.
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doubt i will be here myself tbh Hayden...
all the best anyway. |
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Muchova was rained off last night but continuation today did deliver , flip flopping from 1.17
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well done Hayden...
some crackingtennis yesterday and today looks brilliant too... Djokovic v Rune... Badosa v Ostapenko... Swiatek v Rybakina... all great games i reckon... Badosa v Ostapenko - personally i say it's more of a 50/50 than 1.63 Badosa... and Swiatek at 1.21 v Rybakina is way too short imv... if Rybakina plays like she did against Vondrousova then she could win this imv. |
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Good luck Hib
Appointments three days on the trot this week but ok now for today. Going to follow both ladies matches closely as list involvement and look in on Ruud match also just inn case. Novak looking to play within a tad with RG not far away , he'd love this grand slam to overtake Rafa as looks unlikely Rafa will ever win another one. Add that to the IPL at 3pm and that's my afternoon sorted. |
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this Novak match has been a good trader so far Hayden...
i like Rune... good entertainment. |
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Yes not involved in Novak match as parameters just failed to hit target , won't lay above 1.25.
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well played Rune...
excellent entertainment. |
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Ostapenko flipper flopper...
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Great call Hib whatever the result now
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had all the makings of a 50/50 match imv Hayden...
1.6 v 2.56 wasn't how i'd priced it up at least... cheers. |
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apologies 1.63 v 2.56.
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