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Andrews 2023 Lay Thread

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Replies: 1,054
By:
PHS
When: 01 Jan 24 11:53
Happy New Year allHappy
By:
Lucky Luciano
When: 01 Jan 24 12:51
Happy New year Andrew, best of luck for 2024 especially with SL
Hopefully you can make the stable visit
By:
Andrew.in.Sweden
When: 02 Jan 24 18:52
Good evening Guys,

Thanks for the posts, hope everyone had a nice New Year eve and a hangover free day yesterday.

My last bet was Saturday lunchtime (the Nicky Henderson shortie) and looking at cards for the next few days, it will probably be this weekend before my next one, so i may start the 2024 thread then.

Lucky Luciano

Thanks, a quiet one last night, i didn't bother going into München centre, the weather wasn't so good and my daughter is in Edinburgh with her boyfriend for a few days. There are restrictions on fireworks (21.00-02.00) in the Marienplatz area anyway, although i could see several displays from where i am.

A visit to the Küblers stable syndicate open day is not definite, but if i don't go, i expect a comprehensive report on our horse. Wink

I'm back home in Linköping on 26th for the weekend, and over to Ireland for the 2 day DRF on Feb 2nd, it looks like a decent meeting, as it generally is. There's also the Clarence House Chase at Ascot on 20th where El Fabiolo is a possible runner, but as much as i would like to go, it's probably unlikely. 

Happysandwich

I did find a cheap mode of travel to Bristol, Flix-Bus and National Express on the return. Flix-Bus are as cheap as chips, certainly compared with NE, but not bad, i can recommend them, or Mega-Bus that i have used before.

WD with the 2023 profit.

Have a nice Tuesday evening all.
By:
Trusty
When: 02 Jan 24 21:59
A belated Happy New Year to AIS and all the posters.

Haven't posted for a while as really only betting on Saturday now as unable to place any decent bets. Unfortunately I do not play the shorties like AIS that you can easily back on here, I am much more interested in 20/1 plus and mainly e/w and BF just is not made for that and the books won't take my bets for more than a few quid. Even if I wanted to do a Grand National / Cesarawitch double I would be lucky to get a £10 e/w placed.

I have accepted the situation and just do not spend the time looking at racing any more.

GL
By:
Trusty
When: 04 Jan 24 12:14


This is what I mean, I asked for £25 e/w for Saturday and immediately get pushed back for 50p e/w. Sick.
By:
PHS
When: 05 Jan 24 17:01
Same for me with that crowd, Trusty.
By:
Andrew.in.Sweden
When: 06 Jan 24 13:47
Good afternoon Guys,

A public holiday (Epiphany) in many European countries including Germany with most shops closed as a consequence, so a stay home day with ITV4 racing for me and a chance to post a few words.

Trusty/PHS thank you for the posts. Limitation of betting stakes and financial checks are a recurring theme in the UK gambling industry that is slowly drowning in a self-conceived cess-pit and a real threat to the sport of horse racing we love.

We are all aware online bookmakers are only interested in casino game players and even placing a bet on the high street is not what it used to be in bygone days, i know this from personal experience (requests for ID at Korals and PP when placing a few bob on). I doubt it will improve in future either, the only answer is a complete overhaul across the spectrum, not only with bookmakers, otherwise it will go the same way as Greyhound racing.

Inclement weather has played its part in course abandonments this afternoon; what's left is not so welcoming and it's very doubtful i will be backing anything, in fact my previous bet was a week ago in a Newbury hurdle.

I thought a Paul Nicholls runner, Individualiste at his local track Wincanton (3.15) was a lay, even though he won by 16L at Taunton LTO. The race basically fell apart, the form is questionable and it was only 6 days ago. Has to contend with heavy going that will be really stamina stretching, up in trip and class in what looks to be a very open handicap. Currently trading around 3.50.

Good luck and have a nice Saturday all.

Changing topic, regular readers know i work in the military and civil aerospace industry, and a few posters have shown interest, so i occasionally post a few muses of information.

Several days ago, we all saw media reports of the Japan Airlines Airbus A350-941 that collided with a Japan Coast Guard DHC-8-315Q MPA turboprop aircraft on the runway at Tokyo-Haneda Airport. It appears to have been a ATC issue as the latter, much smaller aircraft should not have been situated where it was. Sadly 5 of the 6 crew died, but miraculously, all occupants of the Airbus aircraft survived.

Before any aircraft can fly, it has to be approved by regulatory authorities (i.e. EASA in Europe or FAA in USA). Part of the certification process for 44+ pax configurations is an emergency evacuation test where all occupants (including crew) have to egress the aircraft in less than 90 seconds using 50% of the exits (others are blocked off). There are many factors involved with this test and i don't have time to describe them all, but you can see videos on You-Tube. One example :

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=G_8hbsWKoOU

What made the 100% survival rate all the more astonishing, of the 8 emergency exits in an Airbus A350, only 3 (L1, R1 and L4) were used due to external fire. The aircraft has a significant amount of composites used in manufacture of the fuselage, including interior lining that has to pass stringent flammability tests, therefore buying valuable time for the evacuation, in fact, the pilot was the last person to leave, 20 minutes after the aircraft stopped. Testament to superb design of the aircraft and professionalism of the cabin crew.

Conversely, another aircraft i have mentioned here before (not in a positive light) the Boeing 737-MAX is in the news again. All operators of the aircraft have been requested to check the rudder control system as 2 airlines have discovered a bolt without an associated nut, clearly indicating lack of quality control during manufacture.

On a more serious note, yesterday, an Alaska Airlines was subject to a decompression during ascent at 16,000 ft when a mid-cabin emergency exit 'blew-out' leaving a large aperture in the fuselage. Oxygen masks were automatically deployed (common practice in such an event) and a young boy sitting directly next to the exit had his T shirt torn completely away due to pressure; h was very lucky to be wearing a seat belt. Other passengers lost mobile phones.

Alaska Airlines have subsequently grounded all Boeing 737-MAX aircraft and the FAA are investigating, not for the first time with this aircraft type.
By:
Lampus
When: 06 Jan 24 14:11
Thank   you ANDREW  G/L  Happy
By:
GEORGE.B
When: 06 Jan 24 23:19
Came across this from TheAnorak, 'Premierisation' was the final straw for him as an owner

https://www.simonnott.co.uk/blog-racing/professional-punter-but-now-ex-owner-replies
By:
TommyWestofLanark
When: 06 Jan 24 23:28
Andrew.
Thanks for the information on aircraft, always interesting.
By:
Andrew.in.Sweden
When: 07 Jan 24 20:52
Good evening Guys,

A chilly (-3c) München with snow on the ground.

Lampus

Thanks.

George

Thanks, i hadn't seen the Simon Nott article until you posted, but i knew Alan had given away Eagle Court and is giving up on ownership. He still can't post on here, but i keep in contact with him via email. The prize money comparison is just one of the negatives in the racing industry these days and Alan is not the only one packing the game in.

Tommy

Thanks, i'm an aircraft nerd 1st and massive racing fan 2nd, all stemming from 11+ years living on a RAF camp in Cornwall and then Bristol where my dad was at BAC Filton (home of Concorde, although he didn't work on it). This led me to a lifetime in the aerospace industry, worldwide.

More on the Boeing 373MAX, as suspected the FAA have temporarily grounded all US registered models (the -9 variant) for a mandatory inspection. In my opinion the fault will be in the attachments used to install the exit panel on the skin, possibly a quality inspection issue. This incident could have been far worse if it had occurred at a cruise altitude of 39,000ft instead of 16,000ft during an ascent, the cabin pressure would have been much higher and it's even possible the child that only lost his T shirt, could have been sucked out of the aircraft.

The aircraft is possibly the most scrutinised ever, but for valid reason and i've stated before i will not fly on it, at least until it's had a couple of years with incident free service.

Have a nice Sunday evening all.
By:
chavman
When: 07 Jan 24 20:58
andrew do you think michael caine had anything to do with the alaska airlines job
By:
happysandwich
When: 08 Jan 24 07:51
^
Laugh
By:
Andrew.in.Sweden
When: 08 Jan 24 11:34
Laugh

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7_PX1cVuaVA
By:
CagliariG
When: 08 Jan 24 16:39
No Airman ever lived in the same MQ for 11+ years never mind had a posting for so long at a defunct Station in the 70s, far less a Sac clothing storeman. hth
By:
Andrew.in.Sweden
When: 08 Jan 24 20:51
Interesting videos related to the B737-MAX

https://www.cnbc.com/video/2024/01/08/seeing-blown-off-boeing-737-max-9-door-mid-flight-was-no-surprise-says-former-boeing-employee.html?&recirc=taboolainternal
By:
Early Morning Riser
When: 20 Jan 24 14:02
Are you snowed in Adnrew.
By:
happysandwich
When: 20 Jan 24 14:11
^
No, unlike you, he just can't get up in the morning.Laugh
By:
Early Morning Riser
When: 27 Jan 24 12:14
Where is Andrew, have he stopped posting.
By:
Andrew.in.Sweden
When: 27 Jan 24 12:45
Hi EMR

Thank you.

Currently in Linköping, no not stopped posting, but mega busy in recent weeks.

I will start a new 2024 thread in mid-week.

Off to Dublin next Friday for the 2 days DRF and a well deserved break.

Good luck
By:
Early Morning Riser
When: 27 Jan 24 13:55
Thank you Andrew, missing your posts.
By:
PHS
When: 31 Jan 24 15:24
I will start a new 2024 thread in mid-week.

Devil
By:
CagliariG
When: 31 Jan 24 15:46
Busy plane spotting at St Eval. (closed in 1959) hth
By:
The Management
When: 31 Jan 24 15:53
Can somebody tell the Sandwich:

I think you missed this one, probably just an oversight!

Monday night 19:00 Wolverhampton

1st: Inverlochy

ISP: 4/1

BFSP: 5.99 CryBlush
By:
formoftheace
When: 31 Jan 24 15:57
Deary me !
By:
Andrew.in.Sweden
When: 02 Feb 24 12:35
Good afternoon Guys,

Thanks for the posts. As far as the P/L lay selections went in 2023, the less mentioned the better, it was an abysmal start to the year and i stopped after only 6 selections resulting in a loss. The thread continued with backs and lays, but i have no idea of how they performed and it's not important anyway. In hindsight, maybe i should have continued, as a lot of lays i mentioned did get beaten, cest la vie. Never mind, poster contributions made it a readable thread, if nothing else.

The P/L record was WLLWLL for a loss £362.50

If i don't better that record in 2024, i will take up gardening for a hobby Wink.

I will create a new thread for 2024 later, but i'm on my way to München airport shortly for the first of 2 flights to Ireland. Staying in Dublin for 3 nights, with 2 days at the DRF for some superb racing. Many thanks to all that contributed to the thread, much appreciated as always.

Good luck and have a nice Friday all.

PHS/EMR

Simply due to an excess workload in recent weeks, additionally taking on another project (advisory only).
 
CagliariG

Once again, i have to put you bang to rights, boring though it is. My Dad joined the RAF before i was born and we lived in MQ/Cornwall for 11 years+. Initially Anson Road, St Eval. I went to the local school that was a 5 minute walk across the playing field, the house and school (different name) are still there, at least they were in 2016 when i went to visit. Contrary to what you have disputed many times, he was ground crew/engine fitter with Coastal Command, initially St. Eval, later St. Mawgan. Both RAF stations were coastal command, Google it, i don’t have to. The RAF continue to have a presence at St. Mawgan and the MOD at St. Eval. We also lived in Padstow for a few months after he left the RAF, before moving go BAC Filton, Bristol, home to probably the best aerospace site in UK ever. In 1970, he had probably forgotten the RAF. Passed away in 2010, i have his service records.

The difference between you and me is, i don’t lie or post BS, i don’t want to, or need to. You on the other hand are the proverbial liar, never accepting you are wrong, argumentative and obnoxious with many on here. There are guys on here i go racing with that know me, some quite well and i’m confident BS is not something they would associate with me. I doubt you could say the same about yourself.

Much of what you post is absolute tosh and rarely factually correct, if Timeform rated forum posters, you would certainly get the squiggle.

Get a life.
By:
CagliariG
When: 02 Feb 24 12:51
Change the narrative to fit your earlier BS, no previous mention of Of St Mawgan which is in Wales btw and where I did a few courses, never near Cornwall. As for 11+ years in AMQ, no airman ever had a posting of that length never mind staying in AMQ at a closed base (1959) or a disbanded command 1969.

Simple facts that are irrebuttable and the difference between you and I as you point out is that I mentioned St Mawgan on here over a decade ago and posted my certificates of service and unlike you I did not have to google unlike you did. You started with lies regarding Coastal Command at St Eval and 11 years in AMQ in the 70s probably thinking nobody would pickup on the fact it did not exist after 1969 and St Eval closed in 59.

You said you became obsessed with aircraft at the base, there were none after 59 based there, so tell us what porkies I have told regarding this or rebut the facts?

TIA
By:
Andrew.in.Sweden
When: 02 Feb 24 12:58
https://www.raf.mod.uk/our-organisation/stations/raf-st-mawgan/
By:
CagliariG
When: 02 Feb 24 12:58
Little hint for you,beware the trip up of Saints!!
By:
Andrew.in.Sweden
When: 02 Feb 24 12:59
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/RAF_St_Mawgan

I rest my case
By:
CagliariG
When: 02 Feb 24 12:59
Too late you did!!
By:
Andrew.in.Sweden
When: 02 Feb 24 13:02
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/RAF_St_Eval

Coastal Command
By:
CagliariG
When: 02 Feb 24 13:04
Still disbanded 1969!! FACT, no aircraft based there from 1959!!
By:
CagliariG
When: 02 Feb 24 13:08
Why did you not simply say St Mawgan is not in Wales and have to google to double check?
By:
Brian
When: 02 Feb 24 13:17
Your tolerance is amazing Andrew but probably wasted.
By:
CagliariG
When: 02 Feb 24 13:20
Sociopathic liars are not inclined to give up Brian even when the facts are obvious!! hth
By:
markwin
When: 02 Feb 24 14:21
Bit confused.
So is st mawgan in wales or Cornwall  cg
By:
CagliariG
When: 02 Feb 24 14:24
Cornwall, which ais should have pointed out had he been sure!!
By:
markwin
When: 02 Feb 24 14:45
Ah ,I thought you said it was in wales ,and you had done a few courses there
By:
CagliariG
When: 02 Feb 24 14:48
Hence the beware of the Saints trip mark, he tripped and went straight to google as anticipated!!
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