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Andrews' Daily Nap Lay

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Replies: 9,573
By:
Marathon Man
When: 30 Dec 19 13:58
Andrew, the typo I liked was "won me a good few boob"!Wink
By:
Andrew.in.Sweden
When: 30 Dec 19 14:06
Marathon Man,

You and bitbybit picked up on it.

I guess my mind was wandering when i posted without proof reading it. Not only lays, but entertainment on this thread. Laugh
By:
GLASGOWCALLING
When: 30 Dec 19 14:46
REPORTED. !!
By:
G Hall
When: 30 Dec 19 15:17
And Reported by me as well, shocking.
By:
cardenden
When: 30 Dec 19 15:27
cant read glesga
By:
cardenden
When: 30 Dec 19 15:28
whats wrong with that post ,,absolutely nothing,,get a life g hall,,
By:
Andrew.in.Sweden
When: 30 Dec 19 15:49
Glasgow/G Hall,

Cardenden and MMFTY are both blocked, but i was curious about the content and have just seen it.

I have also reported it through the usual channel and will be sending a strongly worded complaint email later.

The guy has always been a disgusting individual anyway, yet his comment did not surprise me, and his contribution to the forum has never been anything other than total rubbish and would be a better place without him.
By:
cardenden
When: 30 Dec 19 15:52
absolutely nothing wrong with that post,,,be adults ,,  grow up,,,
By:
GLASGOWCALLING
When: 30 Dec 19 16:37
cardenden


Report this message:
your mum
Dec 26, 01:05PM
auld slag,, we used to line up for our turn,,

     ...  How do explain that you  pmd  me last year !! ??

  PS, you had better hope your ID doesnt become general knolwedge.     
By:
mymumsfinethankyou
When: 30 Dec 19 16:45
sorry cant read
By:
mymumsfinethankyou
When: 30 Dec 19 16:45
dont know if cardenden can though,,,LaughLaughLaugh
By:
Shirl_the_girl
When: 30 Dec 19 16:49
Sick individual. Needs professional help IMO
By:
GLASGOWCALLING
When: 30 Dec 19 16:56
.. Probably right Shirl, just a shame the Forum is Pratically left unmonitored. Sad
By:
The Management
When: 30 Dec 19 17:01
cardenden30 Dec 19 15:52Joined: 27 Feb 17 | Topic/replies: 11,018 | Blogger: cardenden's blog
,,be adults ,,  grow up,,


LaughLaughLaughLaugh

In this years irony stakes you have finished a very close second - to Kemo asking people to post their bets CryBlush
By:
mymumsfinethankyou
When: 30 Dec 19 17:16
i must make the point,,i dont think that post is offensive  whatsoever,,,

i tell you what,,we will ask the daddy of the forum ,,when hes next on,,,KEMO,,,SABE,,
By:
mymumsfinethankyou
When: 30 Dec 19 17:19
ITS LOOKS TO ME ,,THERES A FEW POSTERS ON THIS THREAD ,JUST OUT TO GET OTHERS BANNED,,, WHEN IT SUITS YOU,, OUT OF ORDER IMO
By:
Irish are lucky
When: 30 Dec 19 19:01
well done andrew

kemo is so bitter about your successfull thread
By:
chavman
When: 30 Dec 19 19:13
tidings shane,whether ebb or flow,how goes it in the land of tarmac
By:
Irish are lucky
When: 30 Dec 19 19:39
im all the better after hearing from you craig...
By:
chavman
When: 30 Dec 19 19:57
that brings heartwarming feeling to me as the whiskey does to you
By:
Richie_Burnett
When: 30 Dec 19 20:16
whiskey in the jarrroLaugh
By:
Andrew.in.Sweden
When: 31 Dec 19 11:31
Good morning Guys and Girls from a lovely sunny München (7c)

Yet another day of poor racing cards, although Punchestown is interesting (2017 Gold Cup winner Sizing John returns to action) yet i feel today is a day for laying rather than backing, even though many of the races are such they are outside my 5/2 odds limit.

As far as lays go, assuming i select one (and i do have a couple in mind) it will be my last one on this thread as we approach year end, so a new one will commence tomorrow. The format will be exactly as before, with same staking and matched bets as the first two threads.

Unfortunately my previous account was cancelled by Betfair due to new regulations in Sweden so at the start of the current thread this was not possible (regular readers are fully aware of the circumstances).

Thankfully 3 posters (Happysandwich, PHS and Bitbybit) came to my rescue to act as tic-tacs supplying the current lay odds at the time for my posts. My thanks to them are sincere.

Additionally, at the start of the month, the poster Bitbybit made a wonderful gesture by allowing me use of an account, hence recent matched bets (and others) on it. This act of kindness was born out of respect and trust by a stranger who i have not seen or spoken with (other than WhatsApp text messages). My sincere thanks to him again.

I wonder if my nemesis would ever get such an offer.

Lay status of the two previous threads (all bets matched and recorded on here)

Daily Lay Thread 2018
Total 66 selections (including Saturday and Sunday thread)
Success 55/66
Strike rate 83%
Overall profit +£1657 to level max stake £50 per day (less commission)

Random Daily Lay Thread 2018
Total 64 selections
Success 46/64
Strike rate 72%
Overall profit +£425 to level max stake £50 per day (less commission)

Daily Lay Thread 2019 (Current)
Total 78 selections to date
Success 56/78
Strike rate 72%

The latest thread will not reach the lofty heights of my first one, or even the decent profit for the following random daily lays, but are currently still in profit. Sadly 5 losses in a row takes the gloss off (a significant loss) but all layers experience bad runs and i'm no exception. My nemesis puts this down to him, but this is a deluded notion, but it makes him feel good, so let him play.

A spreadsheet detailing all selections was posted by Bitbybit a few days ago. Everything is open and above board with full clarity and i wouldn't want it any other way. The day i start losing significantly, i will stop the thread and that will be it.

OK on to some Tuesday thoughts, albeit limited due to the poor cards and looking for somewhere to take my daughter this evening to celebrate the NY.

I think a couple at Punchestown may be worth laying for small stakes.

Early Doors in the opener at 12.05. He has a little bit of class and was the best of these over hurdles, but he didn't look a natural chaser LTO and will need to jump better against a few of these with a little more experience. He's short enough @ 2.68 and although he ran OK (jumping aside) to finish runner-up on his chase debut there's a lot of difference between Galway and Punchestown and he's up in trip.

The other is Saglawy in the 13.45 and i'm a little vmore confident with this one (that was on my short list) but the odds need to contract a little for me to think of selecting it. It isn't a given i will post this one anyway.

Willie has half the field and although Sayo is the outsider with a a lessor known jockey on board, it wouldn't surprise me if this one made the running, whether he can stay there is another question.

I didn't see anything that i would consider putting up as a shortie, but for a EW (or 3TBP) maybe Aliandy in the 1.50 Uttoxeter (currently 5.50) is worth a small fun bet.

Good luck and have a nice Tuesday all.

More later.
By:
stu
When: 31 Dec 19 11:41
Early Doors in the opener at 12.05. He has a little bit of class and was the best of these over hurdles, but he didn't look a natural chaser LTO and will need to jump better against a few of these with a little more experience. He's short enough @ 2.68

You've done a Hugh Taylor on the market again, already. Might follow, but for that sadly.
By:
mymumsfinethankyou
When: 31 Dec 19 11:42
thanks andrew ,,  as usual  a great read,,
By:
Andrew.in.Sweden
When: 31 Dec 19 11:42
Lay Status

6th Jan - Cheltenham 2.25 - Elegant Escape (no lay price) 2nd (SP 2/1) Happy
5th May - Gowran Park 3.20 - Could Be King (lay @ 11/8) 4th (SP 2/1) Happy
8th May - Chester 4.35 - Chapelli (lay @ 5/2) 12th (SP 4/1) Happy
10th May - Ripon 7.30 - Canford Bay (lay @ 15/8) Won (SP 2/1) Sad
11th May - Warwick 7.00 - Poppy Kay (lay @ 2/1) 5th (SP 5/1) Happy
14th May - Ffos Las 8.00 - Kilmoganny (lay @ 5/2) PU (SP 3/1) Happy
17th May - York 3.35 - UAE Prince (lay @ 2/1) Won (SP 15/8) Sad
20th May - Leicester 7.15 - Casement (lay @ 6/4) 3rd (SP 7/4) Happy
21st May - Sligo 7.00 - Isle Of Shadows (lay @ 5/2) 2nd (SP 6/4) Happy
23rd May - Chelmsford 6.55 - Almashriq (lay @ 7/4) 2nd (SP 11/4) Happy
25th May - Cartmel 3.15 - Inchcolm (lay @ 15/8) 3rd (SP 11/8) Happy
28th May - Redcar 5.55 - Letmestopyouthere (lay @ 5/2) 7th (SP 5/2) Happy
30th May - Limerick 8.15 - Tiantu (lay @ 5/2) unplaced (UR) (SP 100/30) Happy
1st June - Lingfield 6.15 - Blazing Saddles (lay @ 2/1) 2nd (SP 5/4) Happy
2nd June - Chantilly 2.05 - Major Jumbo (lay @ 5/2) 3rd (SP 2/1) Happy
4th June - Tipperary 8.00 - Eight And Bob (lay @ 7/4) Won (SP 6/4) Sad
7th June - Clonmel 7.50 - Cool Colonnade (lay @ 15/8) Won (SP 2/1) Sad
8th June - Chepstow 8.00 - Rock Of Estonia (lay @ 5/2) 2nd (SP 5/2) Happy
10th June - Stratford 4.45 - Global Tour (lay @ 9/4) 3rd (SP 5/2) Happy
13th June - Nottingham 4.55 - Birdcage Walk (lay @ 9/4) Won (SP 5/2) Sad
16th June - Chantilly 3.05 - Siyarafina (lay @ 13/8) 6th (SP 7/4) Happy
17th June - Nottingham 7.20 - The Night King (lay @ 9/4) 3rd (SP 3/1) Happy
18th June - Royal Ascot 4.20 - Too Darn Hot (lay @ 2/1) 3rd (SP 2/1) Happy
19th June - Chelmsford 8.40 - Highgarden (lay @ 2/1) 3rd (SP 7/2) Happy
20th June - Royal Ascot 4.20 - Stradivarius (lay @ 13/8) Won (SP 1/1) Sad
25th June - Brighton 4.45 - Global Destination (lay @ 11/8) Won (SP 11/10) Sad
29th June - Newmarket 3.50 - Wells Farhh Go (lay @ 13/8) Won (SP 5/4) Sad
2nd July - Hamilton 5.15 - Howzer Black (lay @ 5/2) 4th (SP 5/2) Happy
4th July - Newbury 8.00 - Lady Dancelot (lay @ 9/4) 3rd (SP 15/8) Happy
6th July - Nottingham 8.40 - Lady Mascara (lay @ 9/4) 2nd (SP 5/2) Happy
11th July - Newmarket 4.40 - Turgenev (lay @ 2.74) 4th (SP 11/8) Happy
13th July - Ascot 2.50 - Fabulist (lay at 3.65) 5th (SP 7/4) Happy
15th July - Killarney - 8.20 - Mega Mindy (lay @ 3.40) 3rd (SP 5/2) Happy
19th July - Newmarket 8.55 - Fighting Temaraire (lay @ 3.75) Won (SP 9/4) Sad
21st July - Stratford 2.25 – Superefficient (lay @ 3.55) 5th (SP 11/10) Happy
22nd July - Cartmel 4.25 - Jeu De Mots (lay @ 2.92) 3rd (SP 6/4) Happy
25th July - Newbury 7.05 - Rhythmic Intent (lay @ 3.25) 3rd (SP 7/2) Happy
28th July - Deauville 2.50 - Laurens (lay @ 3.20) Won (SP 9/5) Sad
31st July - Leicester  6.20 - Beechwood James (lay @ 3.30) 7th (SP 5/1) Happy
2nd August - Bath 5.05 - Twpsyn (lay @ 3.35) 6th (SP 7/2) Happy
4th August - Galway 4.30 - Yorkhill (lay @ 2.94) Won (SP 6/4) Sad
6th August - Ripon 8.20 - Euro Implosion (lay @ 3.70) 2nd (SP 5/2) Happy
7th August - Yarmouth 7.45 - Dupioni (lay @ 3.65) 2nd (SP 7/2) Happy
8th August - Haydock 3.00 - Goodnight Girl - (lay @ 2.72) 6th (SP 11/10) Happy
10th August - Ayr 7.25 - Memphis Bleek (lay @ 3.70) 5th (SP 3/1) Happy
12th August - Wolverhampton 8.55 - Avenue Foch (lay @ 3.40) 3rd (SP 7/2) Happy
15th August - Chepstow 7.10 - Pass The Gin (lay @ 3.60) 5th (SP 3/1) Happy
16th August - The Curragh 6.15 - Southern France (lay @ 3.10) Won (SP 5/2) Sad
20th August - Lingfield 5.15 - Aquadabra (lay @ 3.30) Won (SP 5/2) Sad
25th August - Yarmouth 2.20 - Elhafi (lay @ 3.30) 3rd (SP 9/4) Happy
28th August - Kempton 6.25 - Mums Hope (lay @ 3.65) 3rd (SP 6/4) Happy
31st August - Wolverhampton 5.50 - Twilighting (lay @ 3.50) 10th (SP 7/2) Happy
2nd September - Hexham 5.10 - Ringaringarosie (lay @ 3.45) 2nd (SP 15/8) Happy
7th September - Thirsk 5.25 - Rowland Ward (lay @ 3.10) 7th (SP 7/4) Happy
9th September - Perth 3.40 - Le Musee (lay @ 3.70) Won (SP 5/2) Sad
12th September - Chelmsford 8.20  - Brittanic (lay @ 3.60) 2nd (SP 5/2) Happy
16th September - Brighton 3.40 - Turntable (lay @ 3.30) 2nd (SP 5/2) Happy
18th September - Beverley 5.40 - Amity Island (lay @ 3.65) Won (SP 6/4) Sad
23rd September - Leicester 3.25 - Lord Riddiford (lay @ 3.65) 7th (SP 2/1) Happy
28th September - Navan 3.30 - Doctor Duffy (lay @ 3.70) Won (SP 9/4) Sad
3rd October - Wolverhampton 7.15 - Capla Huntress (lay @ 3.20) Won (SP 2/1) Sad
11th October - Newmarket 3.00 - Mustashry (lay @ 3.40) Won (SP 2/1) Sad
16th October - Nottingham 3.40 - Majestic Dawn (lay @ 3.40) Won (SP 9/4) Sad
20th October - Kempton 4.25 - Silver Strike (lay @ 3.40) Won (SP 9/4) Sad
22nd October - Kempton 8.00 - Arabist (lay @ 3.20) 9th (SP 9/4) Happy
25th October - Doncaster 4.10 - Caravan Of Hope (lay @ 3.50) Won (SP 9/4) Sad
7th November - Sedgefield 2.25 - Agamemmon (lay @ 3.50) 2nd (SP 15/8) Happy
8th November - Fontwell 3.40 - Tactical Manoeuvre (lay @ 2.98) 3rd (SP evens) Happy
11th November - Carlisle 2.30 - Hell’s Kitchen (lay @ 3.50) Won (SP 4/1-lucky winner) Sad
13th November - Ayr 3.20 - Polydora (lay @ 3.10) 2nd (SP 15/8) Happy
18th November - Plumpton 3.00 - Big Meadow (lay @ 3.50) PU (SP 13/8) Happy
22nd November - Ascot 2.40 - Sky Pirate (lay @ 2.92) 2nd (SP 7/4) Happy
28th November - Taunton 1.45 - Easyrun De Vassy (lay @ 2.66) 2nd (SP 7/4) Happy
4th December - Kempton 6.10 - Royal Star (lay @ 3.35) 6th (SP 9/2) Happy
12th December - Wolverhampton 6.05 - Maqboola (lay @ 3.50) 2nd (SP 9/2) Happy
15th December - Carlisle 1.55 - Taxmeifyoucan (lay @ 3.45) Won (SP 9/4) Sad
26th December - 4.55 - Documenting (lay @ 2.48) 2nd (SP 11/10) Happy
29th December - Kelso 12.50 - Commis D'Office (lay @ 2.84) PU (SP 15/8) Happy
By:
stu
When: 31 Dec 19 11:46
More interested in your other one though - Saglawy

Think it's a lay at current price around 3/1 too
By:
stu
When: 31 Dec 19 11:51
Early Doors 3.2 to back now!
By:
Andrew.in.Sweden
When: 31 Dec 19 11:51
Stu,

Thanks and good luck whatever you play. Happy


mymumsfinethankyou31 Dec 19 11:42Joined: 26 Mar 19 | Topic/replies: 3,415 | Blogger: mymumsfinethankyou's blog

The contents of this post have been hidden for this blocked user: mymumsfinethankyou.

You can manage your blocked users list here .
By:
stu
When: 31 Dec 19 11:55
Not having a go at your selections, or approach, but you ever thought about trading your selections? Grin
By:
stu
When: 31 Dec 19 12:28
Nice first lay. Cool
By:
Andrew.in.Sweden
When: 31 Dec 19 12:29
Stu,

No worries and thank you.

As far as daily horse racing is concerned i never trade and very rarely play IR, i make the choice and stick with it, back or lay. I appreciate it's another string to a bow, but if i was going to trade it would be on track and that is something i've never done. I wouldn't mind spending a day with Willie and Mouse to see how they do it (and make a decent living). Maybe one day, who knows.

I have traded on football backs/lays in the past, but i don't do that well on ball sports to be honest, although i'm not a heavy bettor with this type of sport anyway.

A good start to the day with the first lay. Happy
By:
second again
When: 31 Dec 19 12:33
Well done with the first one Andrew.
By:
stu
When: 31 Dec 19 13:18
Yep, fair enough to stick to your specific approach rather than trading. Bigger win when they land for you.
By:
stu
When: 31 Dec 19 13:24
Gone off the Saglawy lay - market looks little too confident for it, which worries me. Scratched it.
By:
stu
When: 31 Dec 19 13:50
Well done if laid, thank the jock though, awful.
By:
Andrew.in.Sweden
When: 31 Dec 19 14:06
Stu,

Thank you. They gave the winner a soft lead and even though he tired, never looked like being caught. I guess some may say the runner-up could be considered a little unlucky, hampered slightly by the faller, but would it have won. PT not at his best whatever the opinions and with this stable, jockey bookings can be ignored anyway.

A pity i didn't post it (or Early Doors) as a lay, but easy to say after the event.

A 100% day for me so far, 3 bets, so i may call it a day on what i thought was poor days racing anyway.
   
2019-12-30 23:00 (yyyy-mm-dd hh:mm) to 2019-12-31 13:58 (yyyy-mm-dd hh:mm)    

Horse Racing: £123.51  Total P&L:  £123.51

Horse Racing > Punch 31st Dec : 3m1f Beg Chs    Showing 1 - 1 of 1 Selections
Selection    Odds    Stake(£)    Bid type    Placed    Profit/loss(£)
Early Doors    *    3.04    50.00    Lay         50.00
*Average odds: On  Off    Back subtotal:    0.00
Lay subtotal:    50.00
Market subtotal:    50.00
Commission @ 4.7%:    2.35
Net Market Total:    47.65

Horse Racing > Punch 31st Dec : 2m3f Hrd    Showing 1 - 1 of 1 Selections
Selection    Odds    Stake(£)    Bid type    Placed    Profit/loss(£)
Saglawy    3.40    40.00    Lay    31-Dec-19 13:27    40.00
*Average odds: On  Off    Back subtotal:    0.00
Lay subtotal:    40.00
Market subtotal:    40.00
Commission @ 4.7%:    1.88
Net Market Total:    38.12

Horse Racing > Punch 31st Dec : 3 TBP    Showing 1 - 1 of 1 Selections
Selection    Odds    Stake(£)    Bid type    Placed    Profit/loss(£)
Sayo    4.60    11.00    Back    31-Dec-19 13:25    39.60
*Average odds: On  Off    Back subtotal:    39.60
Lay subtotal:    0.00
Market subtotal:    39.60
Commission @ 4.7%:    1.86
Net Market Total:    37.74
By:
Insideshrewdie
When: 31 Dec 19 14:44
Great finish to the year Andrew, well done.
Enjoy your thread immensely and well in front many of your lays....
More power your elbow for 2020!
have great evening
By:
happysandwich
When: 31 Dec 19 15:18
Well done on your bets today Andrew.

Now call it a day, as it’s getting dark outside here in London at 3.17pm.

They could bump into the fences instead of going over them. Grin

Anyway, I would like to take this opportunity to wish everyone on the Forum a very prosperous 2020 (that’s normal vision).
By:
MinnieLAI
When: 31 Dec 19 18:27
Happy New Year Andrew to you, and your wonderful community - God bless, ML xxxx
By:
Brianinglos
When: 31 Dec 19 20:16
Can't type Swedish, but happy New Year everyone!
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