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I backed SiA when it ran badly at Asc
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Certainly did and last run was a screamer with the other top weight in the race the only one ahead.
106 is tough You couldn't discount 1m6f this season at some point, looked like getting swamped last run after being near the pace and then stayed on again. I think could do with a bit of a drop now but is bound to run its race in races like today's so not likely to happen. |
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Earlier in the season I thought if they got it down to around mid 90's, it would be a massive threat in one of the big valuable class 2's ie 40k plus.
Would be a hell of an achievement to beat rivals that have probably been shrewdly placed in such races from here in off the current mark now this season. |
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Quite soon after the hard race it had at Haydock last week and you wouldn't think the sharp track at Mus would suit either.
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Hope Fire fighting is ok
Keep looking for entries but nothing. Placed this horse brilliantly. |
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Obviously could be some winners rest of the day and particularly later this evening but I'm not too enthused at prices.
The usual Saturday slog fest to sort out ![]() Gl to DB and mcCoy with their selections later ![]() |
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Hochfeld was impressive last time (3:35 Ches) but Beckett's could be tough to beat.
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Agonising for Permian
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jaysus wish they all could work out like that
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Shrugged off 82
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2yo stock improving, nurseries a bit of a struggle for much of last decade but higher rated horses going in a lot more often in them now.
That romped in McCoy ![]() ul DB and Permian backers , gave everything again on the track. |
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It's a shame sheikh hamdans good horses like Permian which nearly always give you run for your money get moved on to godolphin, the middle east or sold to Aus.
Imagine having a dozen or so older horses like this to follow every season with MJ. Speaking of good horses which always give you run for your money. Whats happened to fire fighting ? |
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I asked that very same question earlier on here
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I've got Bear Valley as a decent shout tomorrow but Egan on top and SDS on the class riser Cape Coast, not a chance in a race like this SDS is going to be on the wrong one imo.
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That looks a very difficult race. CC impressed last time, but any of a number could win.
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Yes they are usually competitive races on a saturday in this grade, it is actually 10lb lower on average ratings than the Royal Ascot race though and Bear Valley shaped well in that first run over the distance.
Would nearly always prefer a horse that has put in a recent run like that in the grade than one trying to jump a couple of grades into a 2. |
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Will have another look tomorrow, I'm sure there is a decent hcp for Bear valley over this sort of trip but I can't see it being with SDS on the other, Perhaps CC is thought to be improving fast.
Ineteresting |
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*interesting even
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Would nearly always prefer a horse that has put in a recent run like that in the grade than one trying to jump a couple of grades into a 2.
But just looking at very unexposed horses runs wise ( 4 or less) doing this hcp jump winning lto, from a very small sample figs are actually 3-7. I knew You don't see the jump successful too often with 3yo's but discounting the most unexposed ones actually isn't a sound idea looking at the limited evidence. I actually loathe saturday's, Not enough time to look at everything properly, pretty horrendous. And see my chum Highly Sprung is out tomorrow evening after that awful Bath effort. This is one horse that should sluice up soon and is now weighted such that 2 wins should be possible, all wins on fast ground (so not an issue last time). Will probably have to follow this one a few times. |
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I'm probably barking right up the wrong tree here, as the only sprint hcap winners I back seem to be at York but I fancy Yalta to make all tomorrow
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I'm probably barking right up the wrong tree here, as the only sprint hcap winners I back seem to be at York but I fancy Yalta to make all tomorrow
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twice..
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3 times gibs, I like that one too
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bloody n/r boo
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Masham Star probably could have done without the +3 for not winning
class 2's on saturday always tough top weights in these 3yo only hcps that ran in same class lto 6-14 +£25.87, 1.86 expected small sample but interesting given how tough these races are |
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Perhaps just too exposed at weights now?
Going to leave this one, is a real marginal job though. |
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Yep! There's always at least one that will still be well handicapped in these 3yo Hcps. Looks up against it.
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Actually I've got that horrible feeling when a few have won i've left at decent prices so u turn
2:50 Newmarket (j) Masham Star 11.0 |
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You are probably right PHS fingers crossed
I'd be absolutely gutted if he did win. If any of these less exposed come up they are definitely ones to back in future. none of them top weight winners won lto |
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gallant effort but no cigar
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Nope but only one was too good. Pointer to Sutter County in the Bunbury? Surely not?
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Do you put a lay up IR?
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Looks badly handicapped to me PHS
that Goodwood race was a bit of a gift pace wise on the front and it hasn't thrown up anything yet pretty confident leave when i looked last night |
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^Except for the Britannia winner
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No PHS I'm leaving all these in running, the stakes are small.
You are right with the logic about bumping into 1 now, but if MJ's runner is less exposed under the conditions listed then He's as good as anyone at placing them in the class 2's. |
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yeah britannia winner running over the wrong trip at Goodwood (right trip obviously really that day
as a prelim to Ascot) |
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Just noticed this is the 1st run with the allowance though in a 3yo+
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Well left. Two winners today from that big York 7f Hcp a few weeks ago; Viscount Barfield (the winner) and the Bunbury winner (4th).
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Looks like we following the Bear Stride
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