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2017 - FANCIES from the Notebook!

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Replies: 1,263
By:
GEORGE.B
When: 22 May 17 12:55
Summary of today's selections:

Excessable, 2pts win @ 9-2, 3.40 Redcar
Arthurthedelegator, 1pt win @ 11-2, 4.20 Carlisle
Hotfill, 1pt win @ 10-1, 4.20 Carlisle
Johnny Barnes, 1pt win @ 12-1, 7.25 Windsor
Balgair, 1pt win @ 12-1, 8.05 Leicester
By:
craigie69
When: 22 May 17 13:11
good luck with todays selections George
By:
saddo
When: 22 May 17 13:16
Aye. I was considering Luis Fernandez 2.10 George. I've nearly talked myself into backing Benadalid instead Crazy
By:
GEORGE.B
When: 22 May 17 13:24
Cheers craigie and saddo. Got a bit carried away - 5 picks Scared After last week's debacle I promised myself I was gonna stick to 3 max Crazy

Good luck saddo.
By:
saddo
When: 22 May 17 13:27
I've backed ben at 4.4, will back the other if it drifts.
By:
GLASGOWCALLING
When: 22 May 17 13:38
Wink i have backed luis saddo.. think one of us should collect ??   Laugh
By:
saddo
When: 22 May 17 13:44
I'll back it at a better price or just make do with the saver bet and watch. GL
By:
GEORGE.B
When: 22 May 17 14:13
Well done saddo and GC
By:
GLASGOWCALLING
When: 22 May 17 14:16
pricked his ears and still seemed a bit green, could improve again.

.. thanks george.
By:
saddo
When: 22 May 17 14:17
Luis Fernandez4.02 £57.74  £174.54
Benadalid4.70 £50.00  £185.00



Wanted a oner on Luis George, got some, sometimes we look too hard  Laugh
By:
craigie69
When: 22 May 17 14:19
Well done saddo and GC
By:
saddo
When: 22 May 17 14:29
Was LV ok George? Couldn't get it working right here. Seen a few threads about it but only been playing up occasionaly here.
By:
GEORGE.B
When: 22 May 17 14:37
Wouldn't know saddo, I tend to just stick with RUK
By:
craigie69
When: 22 May 17 15:45
good call george, always liked excessable
By:
GEORGE.B
When: 22 May 17 15:52
Cheers. I thought there was a lot to like about the Thirsk win. Dunno if a penalty will be enough to get him into the Dash as he was a fair way down the list.
By:
GEORGE.B
When: 22 May 17 15:54
I nearly had a saver on Olivia Fallow, but was put off thinking shirley the target will be  Musselburgh.
By:
craigie69
When: 22 May 17 16:28
would have saver on him if gets in as already got 16/1 on d o firzene before won at york
By:
saddo
When: 22 May 17 18:34
WD George.
By:
GEORGE.B
When: 22 May 17 20:23
Cheers saddo, unfortunately that was as good as it got.

Arthurthedelegator had his chance inside the final furlong, but perhaps being allowed to stride on might have suited better as it turned out rather than pulling in behind the leader.

Presume there is a plan for Johnny Barnes, but probably on softer ground (times weren't too bad at Windsor tonight).
The only excuse I can offer for Balgair is the ground as the times are suggesting it is deffo soft / heavy at Leicester tonight.

May Running Total
P/L : +94.85

Win stat: 8/48 (17%)
Place stat: 16/48 (33%)

Points staked so far: 78

Overall Running Total
P/L : +72.3

Win stat: 15/123 (12%)
Place stat: 37/123 (30%)

Points staked so far: 210
Points won on multiples: 3.25 (included in overall P/L)
By:
PHS
When: 22 May 17 20:39
What did you make of the times at Carlisle today George? IMO it was closer to GS than it was GF. Probably just about on the easy side of Good.
By:
GEORGE.B
When: 22 May 17 20:43
Looked like it PHS, "did a good job with the watering", as they like to say in the CoC'ing business Plain
By:
GEORGE.B
When: 23 May 17 11:04
Golden Isles, 1pt EW @ 14-1, 4.50 Brighton

Golden Isles is a tentative EW selection on her first start for Heather Main, having left Stan Moore.

She ran some fair races of slightly higher marks last season, including last July at Windsor when finishing 3rd over today's trip of a mile, when she left the impression she may be more effective at longer trips; that said, when she has tried longer trips she appears not to have stayed, but I just wonder if perhaps it was more to do possibly with her then stable not being in the best of form at the time. So kept to a mile, the trip is a slight concern.

It's encouraging that her new stable had a winner at Newmarket last week with one returning from an absence, when Gerald Mosse was an eyecatching booking, and today former South African champion Gavin Lerena has been booked.
By:
GEORGE.B
When: 23 May 17 12:37
Broad Appeal, 1pt win @ 9-1, 4.30 Nottingham

A slightly similar profile to Balgair who I selected last night, in that he's trained by Jonathan Portman, made a winning racecourse debut, shaped better than the bare result on his latest start, but is unproven on the ground. Nevertheless, a chance is taken for the minimum stake.

I thought Broad Appeal definitely shaped better than his finsihing position suggested on his turf debut over a mile at Windsor, leading and racing a bit keenly, doing himself no favours by hanging left on the bend, but he was the only one to challenge the well handicapped Sir Plato with the pair clear at one point, and he was still in second place inside the final furlong, but his exertions told and he faded back to the 7th inside the last half-furlong.

The ground is an unknown for him, so he can be only a tentative selection, but no surprise if he proves himself better than the Windsor result suggested in due course.
By:
GEORGE.B
When: 23 May 17 18:10
Crap. Golden Isles was hammered in the betting, someone was liking the trainer change angle, but unfortunately she couldn't even hit the frame.

May Running Total
P/L : +91.85

Win stat: 8/50 (16%)
Place stat: 16/50 (32%)

Points staked so far: 81

Overall Running Total

P/L : +69.3

Win stat: 15/125 (12%)
Place stat: 37/125 (30%)

Points staked so far: 213
Points won on multiples: 3.25 (included in overall P/L)
By:
knot in wood
When: 23 May 17 21:54
extrasolar declared to run at catterick on thursday george, plum draw in 1 but not sure that will be a advantage for him.
By:
GEORGE.B
When: 23 May 17 22:33
Cheers kiw, already priced up on the RP site, they're keen! Tricky Dicky put in 7/2 fav on their forecast, but not sure he'd want it to get too quick?

As for Extrasolar, as Hyman Roth said in The Godfather, I've let it go, this is the business we've chosen Crazy
By:
GEORGE.B
When: 24 May 17 13:36
Some minimum stake fodder for Wednesday, with fitness a potential issue for three of the selections.

Takbeer, 1pt win @ 16-1, 3.10 Lingfield
Milrow, 1pt win @ 9-1, 3.10 Lingfield

The ex-French trained Takbeer was upped markedly in trip to from 8.5f to 14f at Wolverhampton on his third start for his current trainer Nikki Evans, and it seemed he did well to finish second given how freely he raced, leading over four furlongs out and still a few lengths clear turning in, before being headed inside the final furlong and keeping on well for second to split two relatively unexposed 4YOs from the Varian and Simc0ck yards.

It's a concern that he's been off for two months since and he's switched to turf today, but he was a winner in France on grass and the drop back to 12f may suit, so as he's lightly raced and unexposed at middle distances, he makes a little appeal at the price.

Milrow left the impression more than once when trained by Martyn Meade that he was going to be suited by middle distances, and when he tried 12f for the first time at Lingfield (AW) when last seen on the Flat, he ran well to finish a close-up third.

He has since won a couple of times over hurdles for his current trainer Richard Newland, and although fitness has to be taken on trust returning from seven months off, Milrow is another who is unexposed at middle distances on the Flat.


Molly Jones, 1pt EW @ 22-1, 5.10 Lingfield

Molly Jones caught the eye at Lingfield in January not getting the clearest of runs and shaping better than her finishing position suggested, and she was a more obvious eyecatcher on her latest start, when finishing off well over 5f at Chepstow to finish 4th.

It's a long time since she last won and she could do with the ground drying out, while the draw could prove troublesome if the stands' rail proves the place to be, but as she appears to be in form, at decent odds a chance is taken EW.


Forever Yours, 1pt win @ 20-1, 9.10 Kempton

Forever Yours is another returning from a break and so this can be only a tentative selection, particularly as he's weak in the betting currently, and Robert Winston, who is often the first choice rider for the stable, looks elsewhere.

The notebook run was his last run and handicap debut over 7f at Kempton, under today's jockey Jack Duern, when setting a good pace, going clear in the straight and still leading inside the final furlong, before weakening quickly to finish ninth.

The drop back to 6f would seem the way to go based on that latest effort, and although he may be one for another day when the market signals are more positive, a chance is taken at the odds for the minimum stake.
By:
theonlywayforward
When: 24 May 17 13:44
GL George.

Could not play slingfield today.
By:
GEORGE.B
When: 24 May 17 13:47
Thank you, theonlywayforward.

'Slingfield' on the turf?
By:
theonlywayforward
When: 24 May 17 14:19
The "golden highway" .high draw .
Means most are aware and priced accordingly.
Backing against it and finding the right ones its fkn difficult.
By:
craigie69
When: 24 May 17 16:55
sorry for aftertiming but at work and on phone at time
24 May 17 / 16:47    Single    1         4:50 Ayr  –  Win    Trinity Star @ 14/1 GP (Price taken @ 12/1)    –    £5.00   
24 May 17 / 16:42    Single    1         4:50 Ayr  –  Win    Gworn @ Guaranteed Price (10/1)    –    £10.00   
it would not let me do my £2.50 r/fc ??? i know be big odds but £2.50 come on billy never been stopped b4
By:
craigie69
When: 24 May 17 16:56
£111.00 f/c
By:
GEORGE.B
When: 24 May 17 17:19
Well done craigie, unlucky with f/c

just been done for 3rd there with Molly Jones Sad
By:
REDROB
When: 24 May 17 17:21
yeah George , everywhere but the line.
By:
GEORGE.B
When: 24 May 17 17:23
Oh well, it's looking like a -5 day. In Jack Duern we trust Scared
By:
craigie69
When: 24 May 17 17:28
yes unlucky george thought had got third at first would of helped the kitty but no complaints with that profit for May
By:
GEORGE.B
When: 24 May 17 21:17
Misses break, challenges about 10 wide on the bend. Yep, we can depend on Jack alright...
By:
REDROB
When: 24 May 17 21:17
Laugh
By:
GEORGE.B
When: 24 May 17 21:23
Molly Jones' run made for painful viewing, just not quite able to hang on for a place, and that was the difference between a winning and losing day. There's always tomorrow...

May Running Total
P/L : +86.85

Win stat: 8/54 (15%)
Place stat: 16/54 (30%)

Points staked so far: 86

Overall Running Total
P/L : +64.3

Win stat: 15/129 (12%)
Place stat: 37/129 (29%)

Points staked so far: 218
Points won on multiples: 3.25 (included in overall P/L)
By:
GEORGE.B
When: 24 May 17 21:24
He actually kept on quite nicely, Rob, always things considered Crazy
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