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Sams Specials
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Last bet today is an extra place only bet on Nesnaas with Paddy - just looks too big for what it is.
Nesnaas 3.50 Southwell 0.50 points place only 13/2 Paddy 11 points staked on the day Sam |
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Nearly a good start - first one 2nd 25/1
Sam |
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sam don't know, but possible for the festival. Far east could be on the agenda. He did go to Tokyo when with APOB. Although he is 5 year old who has won 2 Group 2s, and won 2 Group 1s being placed in another 2 Group 1s. So also possible a filly might catch his eye before too long.
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Yes gutted for you decided to back all yours today and a good start but had the luck to back one early neighborhood and got 70.0 and 9.0 early doors. How it won I do not know. wd keep it up today it could be c cracker
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Cheers - Neighbourhood is a Street Cry - roughly 25% win 50% place at Southwell - I had a bet on it last time but not today.
Yeah JT's tackle still intact - still think it would have had a chance in this years Gold Cup. Sam |
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Nesnaas nice e/w and a back up Sam wd
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Nesnaas was 3rd 33/1 and caught the extra on the place at 13/2 - Gabrial The Duke rather disappointingly a non runner - the obvious move would be to switch on to Gabrial The Boss with first time tongue tie - I'll have a think about and post later if I do - but might just leave it - would be a smaller bet anyway.
As it stands just now +3.55 on the day with two still to run. Sam |
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Rightly or wrongly going to leave the other Gabrial out - time will tell - talked myself out of an e/way on Crown Dependency this morning 4.55 Kemp in favour of College Doll so nothing from the last two - another nearly day.
Returns from Inside Knowledge 2nd 25/1 - Nesnaas 3rd 33/1 and 13/2 place only. Wed 14th Nov +3.55 November Overall +9.67 advised stakes/prices -40.63 1 point win BSP Sam |
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sam Street Crys younger than 6yo and SP less than 50/1 are 16 from 46 on the fibresand. Still if I was paying $150,000 stud fee not sure if I would be looking for a Southwell winner.
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Cheers mate - first one today
Monzino 2.50 Southwell 0.50 points each-way 16/1 Hills Sam |
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Next one
Mr Knightley 6.25 Kempton 0.50 points each-way 14/1 Hills Sam |
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Next one
Calypso Cay 3.50 Southwell 0.50 points each-way 28/1 VC Sam |
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Last bets today are some place only bets on todays three selections
Mr Knightley 6.25 0.25 points place only 100/30 365 Monzino 2.50 Southwell 0.25 points place only 4/1 Paddy Calypso Cay 3.50 Southwell 0.25 points place only 13/2 Paddy Above three 0.25 points place only treble 3/1,4/1 and 13/2 Paddy 4 points staked on the day Sam |
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Running late so short and not so sweet
Thurs 15th Nov -4.00 Nov Overall +5.67 advised stakes/prices -43.63 1 point win BSP Sam |
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First one today
Ersaal 6.45 Wolv 0.50 points e/way 16/1 Hills Sam |
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Next one
Starstruck 9.00 Dundalk 0.50 points each-way 14/1 Boyles Sam |
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Last two today
Crystal Harmony 6.30 Dundalk 0.50 points each-way 20/1 Lads Mojito Royale 8.00 Dundalk 0.50 points each-way 14/1 Sport Bet 4 poinys staked on the day Sam |
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Catch up with yesterday later - much the same as the rest of this month - either going off or trading a lot shorter but not winning.
First one today Burj Alzain 2.50 Lingfield 1 point each-way 25/1 365 Sam |
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Next one
Swiss Cross 3.55 Lingfield 1 point each-way 25/1 S James Sam |
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Last two today
Bookiesindexdotnet 5.50 Wolverhampton 1 point each-way 20/1 365 Poker Hospital 8.50 Wolverhampton 0.50 points each-way 40/1 S James 7 points staked on the day Sam |
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Bad day yesterday - back into the red for this month - catch up later
First two today Dark Lover 2.50 Cheltenham 1 point each-way 12/1 Paddy (place first 5) Blue Bajan 2.50 Cheltenham 0.50 points each-way 33/1 Paddy (place first 5) Sam |
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Nothing else today
3 points staked Sam |
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Ok round up the last few days
Three on Thursday - Calypso Cay unpl 28/1 went off at 8/1 - Monzino unpl 16/1 went off at 8/1 - Mr Knightley unpl 20/1 Four on Friday - Ersaal 3rd 16/1 went off at 9/2(3.4) - Crystal Harmony 4th 20/1 went off at 8/1(3.80) - Starstruck 4th 14/1 went off at 8/1 - Mojito Royale 6th 14/1(6.00) Four on Saturday - upped stakes because I was fairly confident one of them would have managed at least a place - as it was Burj Alzain 5th 25/1 was the only one to run any sort of race and even that's not saying much. Just over half way this month and while it's not been a total disaster it's not been great - a few matched very low that haven't won - a few that have went off a lot shorter that haven't won - a few miles away. Trying out some new bet recording software to keep better tabs on things and place only this month is showing a decent profit although slightly skewed by a big price place in the Melbourne Cup. Been here before and I dare say I'll be here again. Fri 16th Nov -1.90 Sat 17th Nov -7.00 November Overall -3.23 advised stakes/prices -51.63 1 point win BSP Sam |
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No joy again yesterday
Sun 18th Nov -3.00 November Overall -6.23 advised stakes/prices -53.63 1 point win BSP Sam |
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heads up sam.
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First one today - Gabrial The Duke was a bigger bet for me last week around 14/1 when it was a non runner - best price today was 10/1 early now 6/1 so going to have to leave it - these races at this time of year usually favour Colts high in the weights but at the prices there are some stats that give Unidexter some kind of chance having his first run at Wolverhampton - I've put it up a couple of times in the past - although he looks a bit quirky and the draw's not great I've always thought he had a race in him - hopefully today's the day.
Unidexter 2.000 Wolverhampton 0.50 points each-way 22/1 S James Sam |
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Next one - again I've put this up a couple of times - probably depends if it's a going day - certainly weighted to be involved if it was and the stable is in a bit better form of late.
Dubai Hills 4.00 Wolverhampton 0.50 points each-way 18/1 Hills Sam |
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Next one today
Cadgers Brig 5.30 Wolverhampton 0.50 points each-way 25/1 Hills Sam |
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Nothing else today
3 points staked on the day Sam |
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Nothing close at all yesterday
Mon 19th Nov -3.00 November Overall -9.23 advised stakes/prices -56.63 1 point win BSP Sam |
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First one today - looks too big to me at 25/1
Lady Intrique 12.20 Southwell 1 point each-way 25/1 365 Sam |
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Next one
Mullins Way 3.20 Southwell 0.50 points each-way 33/1 Hulls Sam |
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Nothing else today
3 points staked on the day Sam |
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Getting worse instead of better - at times like this I find staying patient and repenting my sins sometimes helps.
Edged back into profit for this month with my overall portfolio about a week ago - pretty much downhill since then across all the price ranges that it involves. Mon 20th Nov -3.00 November Overall -12.23 advised stakes/prices -58.63 1 point win BSP Sam |
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onwards and upwards mate
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never surrender Sam unless its to a woman with a whip stockings and kinky boots
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Cheers lads - the thing that worries me D is that it's been worse than this before so onwards but not necessarily upwards yet - don't mind the whip stockings and kinky boots mate - thing is they're not having the common decency to wait until the second date - so no long term there
 Going to dip into the lower end of the markets for the first bets today - can still pick some holes in these so stakes still low. Sunblazer 1.00 Lingfield 0.25 points win 13/2 Hills Percythepinto 1.30 Lingfield 0.25 points win 7/1 Sport Bet Pearl Mix 6.30 Kempton 0.25 points win 9/2 Paddy Above 3 selections 0.25 points each-way treble 6/1,13/2 and 4/1 Hills Sam |
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Next one today
Always The Lady 7.00 Kempton 0.75 points each-way 22/1 VC Sam |
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Next one today is a bit of a flyer - the more obvious angles here are with a couple of class droppers - hopefully got that covered with Pearl Mix - taking the chance on a Shamardal filly who may be out her depth but there may be some kind of value with her especially in the place only market.
Wahylah 6.30 Kemptom 0.25 points win 66/1 Paddy 0.75 points place only 18/1 Lads Sam |
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Last one today is the Eddery/Fanning combination that almost worked last time - although 5lbs out of the weights might just appreciate the step up in trip.
Hoonose 7.30 Kempton 0.50 points each-way 20/1 Hills 4.75 points staked on the day Sam |