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epsom derby 2025

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Replies: 325
By:
impossible123
When: 04 Jun 25 11:09
Nightwalker (5); Green Storm (8); Sea Scout (18); Delacroix (14); Tuscan Hill (6);
By:
A_T
When: 04 Jun 25 11:14
Ryan takes into account the draw and can leave it until as late as as 1pm today

You'd think he'd choose the best one - draw would be a secondary consideration. So either there is no standout colt - or they are just messing around.
By:
Delashay
When: 04 Jun 25 11:18
draw:

1 Rogue Impact
2 Stanhope Gardens
3 Lazy Griff
4 Midak
5 Nightwalker
6 Tuscan Hills
7 Ruling Court
8 Green Storm
9 Nightime Dancer
10 Lambourn
11 Tornado Alert
12 Tennessee Stud
13 Al Wasl Storm
14 Delacroix
15 Damysus
16 Pride Of Arras
17 New Ground
18 Sea Scout
19 The Lion In Winter
By:
Delashay
When: 04 Jun 25 11:19
Thoughts? Without knowing what he rides…
By:
impossible123
When: 04 Jun 25 11:20
Ruling Court (7); Lazy Griff (3); The Lion In Winter (9); Rogue Impact (1);
By:
impossible123
When: 04 Jun 25 11:24
The Lion In Winter is in stall 19. I think Moore will choose Delacroix now; 19 he might as well stay at home, I think.
By:
A_T
When: 04 Jun 25 11:25
if draw is a consideration for moore then that rules out the lion
By:
Delashay
When: 04 Jun 25 11:31
Dante 1st and 2nd in a sandwich between Delacroix and the Lion!

Ruling Court slashed to 3’s with the sponsor joint fav with Delacroix now.
By:
impossible123
When: 04 Jun 25 11:33
I think Ruling Court (7) and Lambourn (10) have the best draws. The other major players eg Delacroix (14), Damysus (15), Pride Of Aras (16) and The Lion In Winter (19) have fared badly; New Ground (French) has drawn (17).
By:
Delashay
When: 04 Jun 25 11:45
draw:

1 Rogue Impact.               250/1
2 Stanhope Gardens.       16/1
3 Lazy Griff                       150/1
4 Midak                             14/1   
5 Nightwalker                    33/1           
6 Tuscan Hills                    [80/1
7 Ruling Court                    4/1
8 Green Storm                   250/1
9 Nightime Dancer             200/1
10 Lambourn                       14/1
11 Tornado Alert                  33/1
12 Tennessee Stud              66/1
13 Al Wasl Storm                  150/1
14 Delacroix                          3/1
15 Damysus                           14/1
16 Pride Of Arras                   5/1
17 New Ground                      50/1
18 Sea Scout                          150/1
19 The Lion In Winter             8/1
By:
Delashay
When: 04 Jun 25 11:47
The draw in relation to odds - anyone recall having 3 @ triple figure odds there might well be more come the day.
By:
Delashay
When: 04 Jun 25 11:53
* Sorry 6 @ triple digits
By:
Figgis
When: 04 Jun 25 12:07
i do think it's very poor that a trainer of such standing is unable to tell the public which of his horses are running and who will ride when it's only 3 or 4 days before the race

Agreed, but that's what happens when a yard has so many to choose from. It's that final piece of work that's so important to them. And largely the reason for their runners being punted on the day.
By:
Delashay
When: 04 Jun 25 12:07
Despite the high draw sandwich neither Pride of Arras or Damysus have been shunted out, nor New Ground for that matter.
By:
Delashay
When: 04 Jun 25 12:10
Aren’t joes and Lads one now?
By:
Delashay
When: 04 Jun 25 12:14
Moore on Dela
By:
elisjohn
When: 04 Jun 25 12:29
how many more derby winners would Lester have had if he could wait for the draw and skip mounts etc
By:
impossible123
When: 04 Jun 25 12:36
I think Coolmore will have their work cut out. I think Moore will be forward with Delacroix at the off. If he stays he'll wind unless Ruling Court tracks him and stays just as well; TLIW and Lambourn will try and get a handy position midway coming towards Tattenham Corner. Otherwise, it's doom for TLIW

If TLIW wins Coolmore will be dishing out their superlatives eg "he's as good as City Of Troy". And, off to stud.
By:
Figgis
When: 04 Jun 25 13:11
I doubt Piggott would've given much consideration to the draw. Probably the most overrated factor concerning this race. How many horses could you confidently say were beaten by the draw? The only beaten horse who ought to have won was Dancing Brave, and whatever the jockey apologists say about that it was a piss poor ride.
By:
Delashay
When: 04 Jun 25 13:15
So you’re on Delacroix figgis despite the high draw?
By:
Delashay
When: 04 Jun 25 13:21
Impossible you now think the classless Delacroix will win? If he stays? You were going to lay him on the back of thinking that he won’t.

A jockey decision really has such an effect on people? I mean the Lion ran like a mule last time out, was there a doubt about this?
By:
Figgis
When: 04 Jun 25 13:27
I mean I'm sure Piggott would've given great consideration to the draw as in how to ride the race and getting his favoured position. I doubt it would've been an influence on which horse to pick, unless he really didn't have much of a fancy.

Delashay, yes I really don't care about the draw in the Derby. Might not stop me moaning about it though if mine is beaten a short head Laugh
By:
Delashay
When: 04 Jun 25 13:33
Fair play! Or blocked it it’s run…. lotsof horses in at odds that will need to be dodged and all the favoured ones at the head of the market from the Dante around each other with the exception of Rulling Court .
By:
Delashay
When: 04 Jun 25 13:36
Being wide could even be an advantage to let the wheat and chaff sort themselves ahead of them. Who’ll track Ryan from Rosa, James, Aleixis, Dylan …. TBC!
By:
Figgis
When: 04 Jun 25 15:04
As long as it's a proper pace, which it is most of the time, the draw will have little relevance.
By:
penzance
When: 04 Jun 25 16:39
Bit of rain expected it seems.Unless the going undertakes a big change,
no excuses from stall 7 for Ruling Court.
By:
Delashay
When: 04 Jun 25 16:56
For Paul :

Tom Marquand sat on Nightwalker for the first time on the Al Bahathri Polytrack just after 9.20am but it was Damysus who was the pick of John and Thady Gosden's two Betfred Derby contenders.

David Milnes
By:
Delashay
When: 04 Jun 25 16:57
…. The chestnut son of Frankel appeared full of running at the end of his exercise and could not be in better shape for Saturday.
By:
paulo47
When: 04 Jun 25 17:01
Thanks for that , topped up a bit yesterday . My only worry is if the Dante was really a dog of a race .
By:
Delashay
When: 04 Jun 25 17:12
Well we’ll see but he’s named to win a Derby! It’s part of the reason that I looked at him closely for the Sandown trial and because Gosden likes it there and that race.

My one worry is that O’Briien has used horses not entered in the Derby and ran in two of the trials. Swagman showed up to give him a line to the Sandown race then also The Dante through Damysus

His other Horse Stay True ran at Lingers.

They might look at this in future as to whether only Derby entries can run in a trial. It seems slightly unfair that he has form lines now on horses that were never thought of taking part.

He even went on to say that given a clear run and not pulling that the Lion would have been a close up third. Non of us believe that, but his Delacroix has gone the old route and stayed away from all the opposition.

At least we have fornlines to others from last year and that leaves it open to how much improvement he’s made, rating guys will tell you.
On that form you’d wonder if he screams Derby winner having being beaten more than once.

Which comes back to the Dante and why I felt the bookies had a lot of eggs in one basket within the betting.
By:
impossible123
When: 04 Jun 25 18:32
'Delashay', Delacroix needs to get a good position early and conserve energy otherwise he might be caught out when stamina truly comes into play. If so, he'd be outrun by Lambourn, Damysus, Ruling Court or TLIW if any of these is in close proximity at the 2f marker.

Which would you have at the 2f marker, Delacroix, Pride Of Aras, Lambourn or Damysus? And, if TLIW and Ruling Court at the same marker? Personally, it will not be Delacroix (Dubawi/lacking class).
By:
Delashay
When: 04 Jun 25 18:46
At one mile two furlongs
By:
impossible123
When: 04 Jun 25 19:38
Yep, 2f from the post.
By:
morpteh mackem
When: 04 Jun 25 19:39
looks very heavy rain at times on Saturday
By:
Figgis
When: 04 Jun 25 21:50
Another dimension that adds interest to me for this year's Derby is the forecast of the striding analysts. I'm all for as much information as possible out there, whether people choose to use it or not, so I welcome this extra data. I'm sure this kind of info can be useful if used very selectively, but that's the same with speed figures or any other kind of analysis tool. In most situations I think all it does is reinforce conclusions that you've probably already come to. Such as, horse A. who looks an iffy stayer also strides like an unlikely stayer. That said, it might  sway me if I was very undecided about a horse's stamina.

What I do question though is when it is used to cast doubts on a horse's stamina who otherwise has looked a very probable stayer. Or last year when we were told before the Commonwealth Cup that Inisherin didn't stride like a typical sprinter. Well who cares when he had already posted a Gp1 time performance over 6f at Haydock? This year I reckon Desert Flower and, even more so, Delacroix have looked like probable stayers on the racecourse. The striding analysts have red flagged both runners. If both of them bomb out looking like non stayers I might be converted, but at the moment I'm highly sceptical.
By:
Delashay
When: 05 Jun 25 09:34
1 (4)

Runner Jacket
1. Hotazhell  2/1J
Shane Foley
Mrs John Harrington
2    95    107    96    109    –   
Took keen hold, prominent, steadied and in touch with leaders after 3f, pushed along and went second under 2f out, ridden to lead inside final furlong, pushed out towards finish, cosily (op 11/4 tchd 3/1)
2 (2)
¾
Runner Jacket
3. Tennessee Stud  (IRE) 9/1
Dylan Browne McMonagle
Joseph Patrick O'Brien
2    95    –    94    107    –   
Prominent, soon went second, lost second under 2f out, ran on and went second again inside final 110yds (op 13/2 tchd 6/1)
3 (5)
½ [1¼]
Runner Jacket
5. Windlord  2/1J
W J Lee
Andrew Balding
2    95    93    93    106    –   
Held up in rear, headway and switched left under 2f out, ran on and went third towards finish (op 9/4)
4 (3)
½ [1¾]
Runner Jacket
4. Trinity College  (IRE) 18/5
Wayne Lordan
A P O'Brien
2    95 b    –    92    105    –   
Led, headed inside final furlong, no extra final 110yds (op 3/1 tchd 5/2)
5 (1)
6 [7¾]
Runner Jacket
2. Lambourn  (IRE) 7/1
Declan McDonogh
A P O'Brien
2    95 b1    –    78    91    –   
In touch with leaders, outpaced under 2f out (tchd 9/1)
By:
Delashay
When: 05 Jun 25 09:39
Impossible I think that many are forgetting the form lines here and have written off Tennessee because of his comeback run.

Why forgive Lion but not him @ 66/1 ?

Lambourn nowhere but shorter odds, Windlord gives a formline to Damyasus and the Dante. Trinity College wasn’t beaten far in a Group 1 by dual Group Winner.

If this is the way I had to pick horses I wouldn’t bother! Laugh

Delacroix
By Jack Haynes, reporter

It has paid to side with Aidan O'Brien's runners in recent years and the draw and shubsequent jockey bookings has led me to favour Delacroix over his stablemate The Lion In Winter.
By:
Delashay
When: 05 Jun 25 09:43
Hotazhell obviously gives the line straight to Delacroix and Stanhope Gardens. All much shorter.

I know form lines over different distances can be misleading but there’s often not much in it and it’s serves me well over the year.
By:
Delashay
When: 05 Jun 25 09:48

Jun 4, 2025 -- 1:38PM, impossible123 wrote:


Yep, 2f from the post.


Knowing my luck! - It’ll be the Lion and Tuscan Hills who I had a tiny interest in but gave up all hope after the Dante, but saw yesterday they are talking him up a little.

Also diff has selected him and I couldn’t see it on that run or in him as an individual. The form of his race in Ponty didn’t work out.

The stable on another hand have been a bit odd, Egan said he was his horse to follow but there’s a post on instagram with the trainer saying Benevito is his horse to follow for the season.

I written that off but racing has its way of biting you in the ***.

By:
Delashay
When: 05 Jun 25 09:52
Another slice from this article in the post this morning

'His price seems a bit bonkers' - why this horse can win the Betfred Derby

Just a word on French raider New Ground, who was supplemented on Monday. There is quite a bit of rain forecast before and during racing at Epsom on Saturday, and this son of New Bay is one who would appreciate a deep surface. He’ll be better for the step up in trip too.

From James Hill

All said above in posts regarding the horses - about him winning in heavy at Saint Cloud over 10f at 2.

So my selections are big prices, I laugh when the say Bar that’s where I’ll be in the Bar! Laugh
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