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2024 Epsom Derby

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Replies: 226
By:
A_T
When: 01 Jun 24 17:35
And there were excuses for both horses

trainers always have excuses. in this case aidan couldn't decide if it was the stalls at newmarket or a flawed preparation. it can't have been both.
By:
kincsem
When: 01 Jun 24 17:40
Qualify (f): (3yo) 1000 Guineas 13th/13 btn 41l; Irish 1000 Guineas 10th/13 btn 7l; English Oaks 1st/11 50/1; Irish Derby 6th/8 btn 11.5l.
By:
Figgis
When: 01 Jun 24 18:51
Not that it could've persuaded me to back him at today's price, but COT did take the eye in the Derby preliminaries. Whereas at Newmarket he looked ordinary before and during the race. My guess is the horse just hadn't come to himself, for want of a better phrase.
By:
Try My Best
When: 01 Jun 24 19:15
Just listen and learn from the master trainer and the Ballydoyle boys A_T. I think they are very transparent. A bit of praise for the performance and ride would be nice to see. Alas we know that won't be coming from certain quarters on here. He galloped all over them and could have lapped them if they had to go any further.
By:
A_T
When: 01 Jun 24 19:25
i guess this could be the new strategy for ballydoyle - whose 3yos tend to tail off as the season goes on. leave a bit to work on for the guineas using it as a prep for epsom so the season doesn't last as long

i think none of aidan's derby winners has won a race in europe after august
By:
A_T
When: 01 Jun 24 19:28
A bit of praise for the performance and ride would be nice to see

CoT clearly an outstanding horse and the usual top tide from ryan moore - easily the best judge of pace amongst jockeys. just don't ask me to like what the outfit get up to
By:
Try My Best
When: 01 Jun 24 19:34
Auguste Rodin won one last season lol. Don't be lazy now.
By:
Try My Best
When: 01 Jun 24 19:35
What have they "got up to". Are you implying something
By:
Jack Bauer "24"
When: 01 Jun 24 19:41
You can blame the trainer for not having him fully fit at Newmarket and he has admitted his error but you can't really blame him for last year as there are legitimate excuses. The ground was atrocious and he was knocked into early on and was out the back in a race run at a crawl by Guineas standards.

Auguste Rodin has proved to be very unreliable snice then and seems to have a mind of his own. Sometimes he runs his race and sometimes he is just not interested.
By:
A_T
When: 01 Jun 24 19:43
Auguste Rodin won one last season lol. Don't be lazy now.

yes i meant before him. perhaps they're hoping leaving them a bit short for the guineas will shorten the time they have to keep a 3yo on the go.

they'd dearly love to have a sinndar, golden horn, enable, sea the stars, etc. winning at epsom and the arc - the 2 most important turf races
By:
impossible123
When: 01 Jun 24 19:44
City Of Troy won - that's a fact. However, I do not think Moore rode a good race. He was right at the back with traffic issue; he won because City Of Troy is a much better horse with stamina than Ambiente Friendly.
By:
A_T
When: 01 Jun 24 19:47
You can blame the trainer for not having him fully fit at Newmarket and he has admitted his error

he's had this story but also blamed the stalls behaviour - it can't have been both
By:
Jack Bauer "24"
When: 01 Jun 24 19:48
Nonsense, it was a perfect ride from where he was drawn. He allowed the horse to settle beautifully in a lovely rhythm.
By:
A_T
When: 01 Jun 24 19:52
sometimes the gaps come, sometimes they don't - down to luck a lot of the time. what is in the jockey's complete control is judging the pace and ryan moore is the master of that.
By:
Try My Best
When: 01 Jun 24 19:54
High Chaparral won a Breeders Cup Turf as well fyi.I don't think the Arc is of a particular concern to them. Can be run on soft ground at the end of a season and I'm sure that America is of more interest especially with having American Pharoah and Justify on their roster as well as the humongous prize money on offer.

Really looking forward to seeing this horse on proper safe fast ground. I hope true racing fans are also excited.
By:
elisjohn
When: 01 Jun 24 19:57
they believed they had a superstar, they said it last winter, the goat trainer didnt produce it in the gns , doesnt matter if he wins 10 group1 on the trot, hes destroyed his cv, aiden is desperate for a frankel , he blew it simple as, in a 2000 gns he should have won even only 50% fit , he will never be regarded as a d brave, sea the stars and no way frankel
By:
Try My Best
When: 01 Jun 24 19:57
Correct Jack Bauer"24". Rode the perfect race. Only Impossible123 would think he didn't. Clueless.
By:
Try My Best
When: 01 Jun 24 20:01
He's lost once Elisjohn. Give him time for christ sake. Even Dancing Brave lost twice.
By:
A_T
When: 01 Jun 24 20:04
High Chaparral won a Breeders Cup Turf as well fyi. I don't think the Arc is of a particular concern to them

I did say europe - turf racing is weaker in the us plus medication can be used to mask a thoroughbred's fragility

the arc ought to be of concern to them - it's the world's most prestigious turf race. tricky to win though if you've primed your horse for epsom although oxx and gosden have both done it twice
By:
A_T
When: 01 Jun 24 20:08
Dancing Brave lost twice.

and it's that thunderous win in the arc that cemented his greatness - without that his reputation would be much less
By:
elisjohn
When: 01 Jun 24 20:12
dancing brave was pilot error, guy had him spot onin all his races, i dont count the usa race as relevant , but like i say his trainer had him spot on for craven, gns derby, eclipse kg and arc, the best horse ive seen
By:
A_T
When: 01 Jun 24 20:17
they will skip the curragh if they've got any sense it adds nothing for an epsom winner - but they seem to feel obliged to support that race
By:
Try My Best
When: 01 Jun 24 20:18
Dancing Brave was a great horse and beat a great field but he didn't win the Derby and Arc did he. I thought his Derby defeat added to his reputation somewhat  and certainly did not "destroy" his CV in my eyes. So if he wins 10 Group 1s COT's reputation is already destroyed. Utter nonsense.
By:
Figgis
When: 01 Jun 24 21:28
"I'd say there's no doubt he's the best Derby winner we've had," said O'Brien

For those that believe all O'Brien says, do they agree with this statement? I would guess that most Coolmore fans would say Galileo was his best Derby winner so far? (personally I have him as his previous fastest Derby winner). Are they confidently expecting COT to outshine Galileo's achievements? Admittedly by just adding the expected formality of an Irish Derby to his record and a King George it ought not to be too difficult to match.
By:
A_T
When: 01 Jun 24 22:13
aidan said st mark's basilica was the best horse they ever had
By:
Try My Best
When: 01 Jun 24 22:38
Just give the trainer, connections and more importantly the horse some respect. You have just seen a really good performance. Just imagine what he would have done to this lot on faster ground. Quite incredible the Ballydoyle record. Embrace quality, excellence and professionalism.
By:
Figgis
When: 01 Jun 24 23:06
It was just a good Derby winning performance. Something wins the Derby every year. Some are better than others. No need to get all X Factor style hyperbole until something proves itself excellent.
By:
Try My Best
When: 01 Jun 24 23:22
It's ok if you don't rate him and everybody has a right to an opinion. The only hyperbole I see is the crass anti Ballydoyle brigade that come out with utter nonsense and try to decry a great trainer and a horse that has won 4/5 races. A trainer who is very well mannered and always has time to speak to everyone. Humble in victory as well as defeat. A true professional who deserves all the plaudits he gets from proper racing people and a record that is quite incredible.
By:
Try My Best
When: 01 Jun 24 23:32
"It was just a good Derby winning performance" That's according to you 6 bags of sugar. Other people may have a different view.
By:
Figgis
When: 01 Jun 24 23:42
Most racing fans are fans of the horses vastly above anything else. Sure, they may have some yards or jockeys they prefer to follow than others, but that's as far as it goes. Arselicking their every move like the most moronic football fan, or partisan political party member would be alien to most of them.
By:
penzance
When: 02 Jun 24 00:06
Aiden O'brien,his faith never wavered in the wnr today.
Great trainer.
By:
A_T
When: 02 Jun 24 07:03
until last year no Derby winner in living memory has completely flopped in it's race before epsom. now it's happened twice in a row. and no i don't expect the racing media to be publicly discussing this
By:
.Marksman.
When: 02 Jun 24 09:39
City of Troy looked so good before the race and was very calm.  By contrast, nearly everything else looked agitated/sweating or just walked awkwardly/stiffly.  Kevin Blake dismissed any stamina doubts about COT with his stride pattern analysis (which had been spot on in the Oaks). Then Michael Tabor comes on and says that COT has a much better chance than Illinois and that he has backed City of Troy.   Well, in the space of 10 minutes, I decided not to be a layer, after all, and greened up for a small profit.
But it is still too early to say whether he is AOB's greatest as the opposition in the Derby was weaker than normal and most didn't look right before the race.
I've no complaints about AOB or Coolmore because they put their reputations on the line over this horse and he delivered for them.
By:
Figgis
When: 02 Jun 24 11:39
It's ok if you don't rate him

I'm not decrying him as a poor Derby winner. All along I've said his 2yo best was good enough to be an up to scratch winner. He proved that yesterday, despite me being highly doubtful after his Guineas run. I'm questioning whether he is an outstanding Derby winner, and on the evidence so far I don't believe he is.

Other people may have a different view.


I'm still waiting to hear it. How much better was that win compared with other Epsom winners? Is he going to prove an exceptional 3yo? Will he outperform Galileo's achievements? Is he really O'Brien's best Derby winner?

He galloped all over them and could have lapped them if they had to go any further

All we've had so far is this post race comment. Which as the horse is never going to be asked to race over 2 miles is nothing but mealy-mouthed piffle.
By:
brandyontherocks
When: 02 Jun 24 21:14
And yet, nobody has called put the ride on the runner-up.
I do not think for one minute he would have beaten City Of Troy,  but he was motionless when Moore was driving on.
Huge error in my opinion.
By:
penzance
When: 02 Jun 24 21:44
Nothing wrong with the ride,horse not good enough.
Just because it was Havlin.The ride gave the horse
every chance of winning the race.
By:
Sandown
When: 03 Jun 24 13:48
As a backer of AF with a saver on COT, I am confident that the best horse won, and might well have won by further over further. However, as Figgis said "It was just a good Derby winning performance" which has been given a RPR of 125 (+1 PB), somewhat higher than I have it on the clock.

AOB was totally vindicated, but to say that COT is his best Derby winner is not born out (yet) by the evidence using ratings and times. However, that is not to say that eventually  the horse may not prove to be his best. We shall see. I have not seen the horse in the flesh, but from comments from those who have , he may be a better performer than looker. A Mill Reef rather than a Nijinsky?
By:
kincsem
When: 03 Jun 24 14:09
As a 2yo "he never gets tired"
2000 Guineas "he got tired"
Derby "the jockey can't pull him up"
By:
Figgis
When: 03 Jun 24 14:18
Just to be clear, I am not stubbornly being negative about COT being a great horse just to back up my earlier view of him. Before the Guineas I was sceptical about Timeform's rating of Notable Speech. After seeing what he did at Newmarket I now think they've underrated him and he's the best 3yo miler I've seen since Kingman. I don't care about proving a past opinion right, it's getting it right next time that I'm concerned with. We will see if he lives up to my expectations.

I thought the Dewhurst pointed to COT being up to winning an average Derby if staying. I just didn't see how it made him a potential great. I don't think anyone can say the bare form/time of the Derby marks him down as outstanding. People might say he was winning within himself and is capable of much more. That's fair enough, maybe they'll be proved right, but that's not how I see it currently.

For me, it's not just about the level a horse shows when winning the Derby, it's about their profile and the progress they've made from 2 to 3, and the likelihood of more to come. For instance, I had Motivator and Galileo on the same Derby winning figure. When Motivator failed to win again people started to revise their earlier high view of him. In my opinion that would be as nonsensical as putting down Carlos Alcaraz's Wimbledon win because he hasn't hit those highs since. Motivator was a good Derby winner but crucially hadn't improved from 2 to 3. He then deteriorated. Galileo showed he had improved from 2 to 3 and went on to back up his Derby form.

Getting back to COT, I actually have the Derby as his best performance yet, up 2lbs from the Dewhurst. However, I wouldn't call that significant improvement, and believe it was due to the nature of how fast the race was run and how he was ridden, rather than any physical progress on his part. The Irish Derby is usually only a Gp1 in name only nowadays, and most years just a training exercise for a Coolmore Epsom winner. But when we get to the proper Gp1s I think COT is more likely to be a Motivator than a Galileo.

I welcome any contradictory views that think he's going to be a bit special.
By:
kincsem
When: 03 Jun 24 14:21
"I welcome any contradictory views that think he's going to be a bit special."

Aiden O'Brien  LaughLaughLaugh
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