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I think Clan Des Obeaux to finish in front of Cyrname could be the best of the day; odds against and a near certainty.
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I think the ground will be good to soft; Cyrname will stay, and will win handsomely.
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impossible123 20 Dec 19 17:42
I think Clan Des Obeaux to finish in front of Cyrname could be the best of the day; odds against and a near certainty. Must be a ife savings job then - please post your £1 bet (Muppet ). |
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^life
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I cannot see how CDO's accumulated form looks stronger than Cyrname's. Yes, he seemed to bolt up in last year's King George, but, lolking back, he didn't beat a field at their best. Thistlecrack has never gone on after Many Clouds broke his heart; even those encouraged by his recent hurdles run might want to consider how it compares with his previous hurdles form. He hasn't run to within a stone of his best since that wretched Trials Day three years ago.
Forget the Altior race if you find it hard to assess; his 17 length duffing up of Waiting Patiently in the Ascot chase, and his handicap win before that both point to the same kind of level of form. He might not get 3 miles, but I can't see any reason why he won't. Lostintranslation might be the new Messiah - and this might prove it - but for now his level of form just lacks the proof that he has the class to cut it with the absolute best around; I am not for a moment saying he isn't, but I cannot take 15/8. The most interesting of the remainder, to my eye is Footpad. Although he seemed not to stay in the Punchestown Stayers hurdle, that was at the end of a season when he didn't seem to see any of his races out. He wasn't stopping over 2m6f latest, and if they have ironed out his problems, he might be capable of going very close here. |
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Aso - never looked like a King George horse or good enough
La Bague Au Roi - Beaten by 100/1 shot last time ...... Thlstlecrack - Superb return against PP.Kauto , Dessie and Edreon Bleu won this at 11 .....he won't. Footpad- The one unknown. If back to his best he is very good but...... he was supposed to challenge Altior over 2 miles , doubt he will get 3 miles. Lostintranslation - Looked Gold Cup horse at Haydock , but looks as likely as Denman to win a KG. Would he run if not in running for the bonus , I doubt it. Cyrname - This race will tell us how good he was . I have doubts about the Altior he beat at Ascot . Clan Des Obeaux- They found his Grade 1 last year in this race. The track and tempo is ideal . The latest multiple winner for me. ![]() |
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CDO is the reigning champion. He's done it at this level beating Thistlecrack last year despite a question mark of quality of the field.
Cyrname claim to fame is beating a tired Altior (1st time out) over 5f further than the latter's been on atrocious ground. But, ground and trip could be an issue this time; beat an off-colour Waiting Patiently; winner of a handicap prior; a probable pacesetter. Lostintranslation beat BDM - the conqueror of Thistlecrack - at Haydock, and definitely improving. Footpad was excellent in The Arkle two seasons ago. But, 8f extra and quality of opposition? I'm not sure. The price of Cyrname is too short on form. And, with a question mark about the trip on (probable) atrocious ground again, a probable pace-setter and against 2 Gp 1 proven trip competitors, I'd oppose esp if the haven opens prior to race. |
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Impossible123, I think you have the consensus on your side about WP being off colour in the Ascot chase.
By way of thought experiment, imagine how you would weigh that form now, had Cyrname not run in the race, and the rest finished where they did. To sustain the position that WP was off colour, you would need to think Pooitologue under performed by a similar amount. In fact you would be saying that they finished roughly in the proximity to each other that you would expect. There is at least a chance that that was a really serious performance from Cyrname that day. And if it was, there is no reason to assume that the ultra game and consistent Altior was particularly under par the last day. We might differ about how Occam's razor slices all this, but I think that's what makes the race such an enticing prospect. As for Footpad, there is considerably more evidence about his stamina than the Arkle - vide supra. |
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Ive laid my bow lux off on cyrname won't get home .....2\1 is a joke let alone 13\8
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Footpad dont get the three miles either, ruby told the world that a year or two ago after the nichols canyon beat him
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i find peoples comments quite interesting about price and the normal junk without substance to there argument
just one thing from me and that is enjoy the ride harry |
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oh and happy christmas all
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that last two furlongs at ascot provides plenty of substance .....
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4 proven stayers and of those aso prob flying too high thistlecrack days off being a 12 yo which leaves lostintrans and clan des obeaux think the course may not play to lit so on that basis clan des ob a smallish bet for me . have looked closely at cyrnames pedigree and it dont scream out and out stayer and dont think he gets an easy time up front , if a shock footpad could be the one to deliver it and around 12s as a saver for me .
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happy xmas all and good luck.
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It's a very fair point about Cyrname's pedigree Foyles, though the damside seemed a bit shallow to make a very strong case.
There are obviously similarities with Frodon, and I paid the price for convincing myself he wouldn't stay on Trials day at Cheltenham. Whether that painful experience is skewing my judgement here... well, I am paying again to find out. I am pretty sanguine about it really, in that I am having a fun bet because it's the King George. Not really the kind of race I would play in otherwise, but it should be an enjoyable watch. Have a good Christmas one and all. |
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same here muse , have watching last years race they seemed to go at it hard in front and that eventually found out any non stayers ,a smaller field this time and cyrname could set the fractions but he will be in unknown territory 3 furlongs from home where the stayers should come into their own 11/2 on here for clan with proven record over trip and course looks stonking to me !
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same here muse , have watching last years race they seemed to go at it hard in front and that eventually found out any non stayers ,a smaller field this time and cyrname could set the fractions but he will be in unknown territory 3 furlongs from home where the stayers should come into their own 11/2 on here for clan with proven record over trip and course looks stonking to me !
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same here muse , have watching last years race they seemed to go at it hard in front and that eventually found out any non stayers ,a smaller field this time and cyrname could set the fractions but he will be in unknown territory 3 furlongs from home where the stayers should come into their own 11/2 on here for clan with proven record over trip and course looks stonking to me !
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same here muse , have watching last years race they seemed to go at it hard in front and that eventually found out any non stayers ,a smaller field this time and cyrname could set the fractions but he will be in unknown territory 3 furlongs from home where the stayers should come into their own 11/2 on here for clan with proven record over trip and course looks stonking to me !
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footnote in an earlier post i said 4 proven stayers .......aso has never won further than 2.5 miles so 3 proven stayers .
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2018 C D O 5m 59.60 gd/sft
2017 MB 6m 6.6 soft 2016 TC 5.53.50 good 2015 CC 6m 3.5 gd/sft 2014 SC 6m 3.3 gd/sft 2013 SC 6m 9.5 soft 2012 LR 6m 28.7 heavy 2011 KS 6m 5.0 gd/sft 2010(jan) LR 6m 3.04 gd/sft 2009 KS 6m 7.10 gd/sft Last years renewal has been crabbed a few times,the proximity of an ageing Thistlecrack etc It,s easy to forget Native River was 13 1/2 lengths back in 3rd. CDO is the only horse,with soft in the going description,to break the 6 minute barrier,in the last 10 runnings. He is 100 % 2nd time out last 3 seasons. Form figures in Dec read 1,2,1 Right handed tracks 5,1,2,1,1,2 Cracking renewal of the boxing day feature,a race with so many angles. Based on the above,if CDO turns up in the same form as last season,it will take a good one to beat him. Lets hope for a clean race,may the best horse win. |
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Foyles, when they showed the last 20 or so King George's on RUK the other day, I was struck, watching the sequence, by what a huge majority of winners of it were proper stayers. (Which most often means "stayed the Gold Cup trip" - some thought Kicking King wouldn't get the Kempton trip at that point)
And yet, even ignoring frodons 3m2f Cheltenham win as a point of comparison, we are talking about 3m0f round Kempton. Maybe the former would be a bridge too far for both Cyrname and Footpad (& maybe not) but what I have seen of both suggests both might get the trip on Thursday. Now, given the way CDO travelled into it last year, and the pace Lostin has shown over shorter trips, for Cyrname to win by breaking their hearts with a remorseless fast pace seems far fetched. Unless he is really exceptional. And on one reading of the form, he might be. The guy with the best clue has gone for Cyrname (and yes, I am well aware how often jocks get it wrong). Perhaps taking 15/8 about a "might be" is madness. While drawing more than I stake each year is a point of pride and principle, I neither do it to put food on my table nor allow it to put that at risk. But I don't half love the anticipation of evenings like this, waiting to see all our crackpot ( and I intend to blacken nobodies name but my own in using that term) theories dissolve into farce, just so I can dust off and do it all again. I am already on Cyrname at 15/8 and footpad at 14 ish, so I have not looked at the market for a few days. But with the sensible "value" hat on, I must say Foyles, if you can get 11/2 CDO, that seems, all things considered, pretty big. Best of luck and a very Merry Christmas to all... I'm off to parboil some spuds. See you for the postmortem! |
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Footpad still in ?
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yes..why wouldn't it??
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I'm going to back Footpad, not because I necessarily thinks he does stay but because he might stay and I want to think I have the winner with 2 to jump and I think he will provide that thrill.
![]() In any case I look forward to supporting him in the Ryanair. With regards Cyrname, since he's become the "New" Cyrname and putting the staying question aside, he could be the real deal but I'd want to see him produce at another track other than Ascot before I backed him at such cramped odds. As it stands, Ascot "could" be to him what Haydock is to BDM, we just don't know for sure and he's having to answer the question in what looks a good KG at 6/4, not for me. |
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lovely stuff !
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BOOM ,....AS EXPECTED !
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GET THE **** IN.
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congrats to the winners . simples , sometimes
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I do sometimes wonder if some of the more verbose contributors on here actually watch the races !
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Very well done to everyone who backed it. Fantastic performance.
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Aso - never looked like a King George horse or good enough
La Bague Au Roi - Beaten by 100/1 shot last time ...... Thlstlecrack - Superb return against PP.Kauto , Dessie and Edreon Bleu won this at 11 .....he won't. Footpad- The one unknown. If back to his best he is very good but...... he was supposed to challenge Altior over 2 miles , doubt he will get 3 miles. Lostintranslation - Looked Gold Cup horse at Haydock , but looks as likely as Denman to win a KG. Would he run if not in running for the bonus , I doubt it. Cyrname - This race will tell us how good he was . I have doubts about the Altior he beat at Ascot . Clan Des Obeaux- They found his Grade 1 last year in this race. The track and tempo is ideal . The latest multiple winner for me. Well that was very easy to predict .....for a change. Lostintranslation is a gold Cup horse not a King George. Cyrname is overrated and I still do not know how you get off a King George winner .......would have been nice to see Ms Frost riding it . |
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well done all good debate and sensible input .
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Great tipping once again, unclepuncle.
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Allaho is on the drift here to 3.55 from 2.5. A dodgy runner?
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28 now!
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Allaho a confirmed non-runner. Some knew and lay accordingly. A leaky stable Closutton; disgusting barstewards. Yet nithing has been done.
Over to you Betfair. Which barsteward connected to Closutton was responsible? Follow the money, if you're clueless Betfair! |
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The Sporting Life went from a respected racing newspaper to online sh!t owned by Sky.
So Matt Brocklebank puts up Eldorado Allen at 50/1 (Ladbrokes price) at 13:59 WED November 16, 2022. The article provides a link to the sky bet account where the price has moved from 40/1 to 25/1 in the last half hour. Meanwhile 50/1 is still available at Ladbrokes. Sporting Life and Sky bet - utter fecking crooks. |
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A freebie from a bookie is similar to a prohibitive substance from a pusher/dealer, probably something addictive and illegal.
Never trust a bookie! |