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Figgis - no one was talking about Authorized or those other horses. It was the Filly and Mare rubbish that Muscat spouted and Sandown ran with that got my goat
Fair enough. I'm not convinced about fillies being less able to take the demands of a busy season myself and personally I'd categorise colts and fillies together when taken that into account. On another note regarding fillies, particularly 3yo fillies, I read years ago that they should be viewed as unreliable betting prospects due to erratic performances relating to their cycle. I took it on board but decided to find out for myself. In fact I found that for me fillies are just as good betting prospects as colts. A favourable amount of my best wins have been on fillies, even though I don't particularly seek them out. |
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Ratings only measure how good a single performance is, and it doesn't seem right that a higher figure is interpreted as implying a better horse. Enable has surely achieved something special, in winning the KG and The Arc in the same year, let alone the numerous Oaks. So, Andrew, I wouldn't argue with your view that she has to be appreciated for that. Her rating is somewhat dependent on whom she beat and in what time. She could go on to show a higher rating. Let's hope that she does, but what is more important is to respect her toughness and consistency as a 3 year old.
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"From a purist’s perspective the barometer of modern excellence in the racehorse is not Frankel, it is Sea The Stars."
Like most, I thought Sea The Stars was a great 3yo, but it's news to me that the 'purist' judges excellence as horses who only performed receiving wfa. |
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Sandown - I've clearly failed to convince you that Taghrooda, Snow Fairy and others hadn't failed in the Arc. Failed to win the Arc, yes, but only a punter who goes no further than form-figures should describe those runs by those horses as failures. That was were I believed your analysis to be fundamentally flawed and why Muscat's gibberings were called out as monumental guff before the race and proved right after it. But we're clearly no further down the line despite the race now being run and the result in the book, which is what I, politely rather than pettily, described it as a tad disappointing.
I see that you are adding pedantry to your pettiness now.I am quite happy to concede that being beaten in a race doesn't equate to failure in performance as such, but then I think that most reasonable people would accept that failure as used was intended only to mean that the horses failed to win the race. Why you have to make something out of this is beyond my understanding. It doesn't lead to respectful debate when someone can quibble over the meaning of a word used. |
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I don't see it as semantics - understood it as being the whole essence of your argument, Sandown, otherwise why would you be noting their performances as a stick to beat Enable with...if you actually thought they'd run very well? Think I'm going to hop off the bus now though, as the insults are starting to pop up. For the record I normally enjoy your reading your posts and would take your reading of the sport over Muscat's any day of the week. Apologies if that didn't come through.
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I admit to being annoyed with you HM but am happy to move on. If you read my posts then you know that I am not a win/can't win person. If there is a doubt which relates to risk, then it changes my estimate of win probability which in turn affects my estimate of price.We can't a;ways have the perfect data which we want so we end up using what we have. Win stats are part of what we have and they can play a reliable part. They are not the be all and end all for me as illustrated by the fact that I have always rated Enable as having the the highest win probability and therefore the most likely winner.So much so, that on the day,I backed her back so that she wasn't a loser for me at least. Ulysses, Brametot, Zarak and COS would have done me rather nicely.Beating her with a stick was not what I was aiming to do.I just never saw her as a sole win bet at evens.
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If Enable is staying in training next year you would have to assume Mr O isn't happy i'd be pigged off if Frankie wasn't going to choose Cracksman if Enable is running. Cracksman now needs to step up to the plate and win the Champions on Saturday week (21st) by a mile because i've got a large wodge on at silly prices runs and hacks up. OI Oi.
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Very good news Enable will race again next season and the 2018 Arc at Longchamp will be her main target.
Regards Cracksman, will he run on Champions Day next weekend? Personally, I'd doubt it, over 10f and possibly on good ground too as he takes a while to get into top gear, and stamina is his essence. If connections chose not to run him in the Arc I think he'd be packed off for next season instead, but hope not as he needs to prove how much he's has come on; beating Venice Beach in the Leger is not sufficient kudos to consider him a serious Arc principal for 2018 Arc (yet) given the poor showing of Capri in this year's renewal. |
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Rab indicated all is well and going to post in the RP good enough for me 123 starts and wins will muller that lot of inferior opposition weather forecast good for the Cracksman.
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