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John Gosden has plenty of previous for putting punters away is all I know. It's what he doesn't say punters need to be wary of when betting ante-post.
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I don,t think gosden has had anything to do with this decision imo, the sheik has had his say and that is that.....
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alleged22
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Gold said: "Sheikh Hamdan has now decided that he would like to run Taghrooda in the King George at Ascot and therefore she will not be declared for the Irish Oaks. Tarfasha will be declared for the Irish Oaks.
"Taghrooda will be retired to stud at the end of this year and Sheikh Hamdan thought he would like to take his chance in the big one, she's in good form and she gets plenty of weight from the older horses. |
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seems to me that gosden was happy to run in the irish oaks, but the guy that owns the horse and pays the bills has had a change of mind in the last few days.
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Its a great call from the owner to go for the KG imo.
Granted gd or faster ground, I fancy her to win it. |
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Agreed, as I posted earlier, even a place in the King George would look better on her CV than an Irish Oaks. Of course none of the usual broodmare stuff applies here, Hamdan just wants to win TWO Group 1's, and once he knew his other filly was fit and well, and would get the decent ground her trainer says she wants, the die was cast.
Looking forward to the King George. Mukhadram to make the running ![]() ![]() |
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great news winning another Oaks would add nothing to her reputation - King George looking a much better race for it
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7/2 top price Taghrooda.
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8 stone 6....15lbs seems quite a lot...I know it's weight for age but still.
Who was the last to try? Eswarah? But that was over at Newbury.... |
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Really surprised at the Taghrooda decision, very sporting of the owner but Id have taken the Curragh option.
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Agree Figgis.
There is the Irish oaks, Yorkshire Oaks, Nassau, Vermeille and breeders cup she could have gone for. It does add extra spice to the race but she is a ridiculous price now and will struggle to beat either of the top two IMO. |
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If they are confident of winning it anyway with Tarfasha, why finish first and second when you might win another more valuable Group 1? Makes sense to me.
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Brandy - there is a flaw in your preferred Group 1 list, its called "for Fillies and Mares". She can always revert, if the KG does not work out. Why on earth wouldn't you try, given Tarfasha and no downside on trying. This is her last season after all.
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given tarfasha ?
is she a sure thing? the sheik already has a battle proven contender in the KG, shes only had 3 starts I know classics are like hens teeth to hamdan now, so can see the logic in striking while the irons hot if she is to be retired at the end of the season, if she were mine she would have raced against her own sex this season and next season who knows...... |
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Alleged. She won't run as a four year old! Tarfasha is not a sure thing but she is a good thing and she is properly favourite imo.
I see no upside for Tagroodha in running in the Irish Oaks; If she wins it would only be what was expected. I doubt the Sheikh thinks that Mukhadram is good enough to win a KG, AND the temptation to beat the colts for the first time for yonks (Pawneese!) is just too great given the apparent quality of his filly. |
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John Gosden is fighting for the trainers title chaps. Winning the King George is worth twice as much as winning an Oaks.
But besides that, on profile and suitability of race conditions she has a cracking chance anyway, regardless of whether Tarfasha wins in Ireland. Remember how poorly her Listed win at HQ worked out but that didn't stop her from winning the Oaks by nearly 4 lengths. She is the one to beat, imo. |
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For me, this year's Oaks turned out to be a moderate renewal even though it was a bigger field than usual. Taghrooda travelled like a good filly and won easily but the race was run in a very moderate time, imo, due to the pace slackening markedly mid-race. It's not Taghrooda's fault the race was run in a moderate time and considering the way she won there's the possibility she could have run much faster, but I wouldn't be sure about that until I see it. She also looked impressive winning her trial off a slow early pace.
I've seen countless horses over the years that looked like world beaters off a slow early pace but looked fairly ordinary when eventually running in a faster race against better opposition. 15lbs may seem a lot of weight to receive but the gulf between most top 3yo middle distance fillies and their elders is greater than that, in my view. Given her lack of experience in having only three starts against moderate opponents in slowly run races this is going to come as a huge step up and I'll be very surprised if she could win. |
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Her presence enhances a race which has lacked lustre in recent years and was in danger of doing so again. Telescope is the only other sexy horse in the race if you assume True Story's bubble is burst and unless Eagle Top is supplemented. CDA, Treve and Australia are missing and although all are decent animals, Trading Leather, Mukhadram, Hillstar and Magician have raced each other before albeit with different outcomes depending on ground and trip.
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Sintonian - As I have said on here before, with Sheikh H, Mr Gosden does exactly as he is told.
I agree with you re the filly (and having seen her close to in the flesh, I am in love ) but this is not an easy race for fillies to win despite the age/sex terms. Another Hamdan one two coming up ![]() ![]() nb - the above comment is NOT a serious race assessment ![]() |
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Taghrooda also had the run of the race in the Oaks. She was in the perfect position to strike off the slow pace. Maybe she was in that perfect position because of her superior talent but I would be cautious when she faces this stronger opposition.
She is getting plenty of weight from Telescope and Magician but these are two mature colts who should be at the peak of their powers now. 15lbs sounds a lot but we are talking a lightly raced filly against mature colts. If the shrewd Gosden had had his way she would be in Ireland racing against the fillies. Rease, Magician hasn't raced the others lots of times. He faced them once in the POW and beat them all bar The Fugue. He has a victory over that filly on their previous encounter and should have conditions in his favour next weekend. I wasn't his biggest fan last season but he has grown on me this year. He was given an awful ride in Dubai but has ran two great races in defeat this. One on unsuitably soft ground and the other to The Fugue at Ascot over what maybe too sharp a trip now. Telescope looked mighty impressive at Ascot and we could be up for another mighty performance next week. He has always been held in high regard but that performance was a huge improvement on anything he has produced before which makes me a bit sceptical whether he will back it up. He did beat a decent yardstick though who has backed up his run at Newmarket last week. It will be a major pointer if Gosden allows Eagle Top to run. If he does run you would think he will have the beating of his filly and would be a player against the older horses. If he doesn't run I feel I will have done my money. |
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Taghrooda and Eagle Top have very different connections and if both have a realistic chance, Gosden should run both of them. Whichever he might think is the best, his duty is to each owner to try to win the race. It is quite different in the Irish Oaks where Sheikh Hamdan may feel that Tarfasha is a very likely winner so he will have 2 separate classic winning fillies and possibly a King George winner as well.
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Think Telescope is the very likely winner given his performance in the Hardwick and the Stoute record in the race , but will have a saver on Tagrhooda at best poss odds i can find on the day , you have to be impressed by her win in the Oaks and she settles really well in a race , the fact that the decision to run is, or seems to be, Owner rather than Trainer inspired is enough to put me off her as a first choice selection, however she is just too good to dismiss entirely .
In the race it's self they will have to use her because Telescope and others have plenty of kick and that attribute may not be part of her Armoury who knows? , on the other hand the fifteen pounds weight allowance may help her to handle the Telescope surge . I suggest Hanigan should not follow Moore who will sit in mid division, but he probably will , that wont work imo and is another reason to feel she will not quite manage it . |
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So u think that the filly does not have any turn of speed ??
I must have been watching a diff Oaks winner then. |
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Rease, Magician hasn't raced the others lots of times.
Agreed but I did n't say he had, I merely said he'd raced them before. |
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I'm not sure a strongly run 12f at a course like Ascot will suit Magician.
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Interesting from Mrs G there...said Taghrooda was a total surprise and they had no idea about it. not sure who Hanagan will ride.
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No doubts imo.
He will be on the filly. |
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Think I'll lay the front 2 in the market. Both too short now imo.
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Flaming heck... Koral go 7/4 about Taghrooda.
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And they are offering 4 points bigger than anyone else on Mukhadram, 12/1.
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I think its quite a weak looking KG, sadly typical in recent years. Gone are the days when you would get Epsom, French and Irish derby winners lining up along side Arc winners etc. I don't see any superstars in this field so the filly has a real chance. 15 pounds is a lot in this field.
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I think all it's lacking is The Derby winner. That aside it looks an average running of the race that I can remember since the mid 80s, not a vintage renewal but certainly not a poor one. I can't recall too many French Derby winners running, any that did weren't up to much, and with the French cutting back their PDJC trip the winners of that race would probably pose even less of a threat.
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Looking a good renewal now. Various horses with different profiles and proven Group 1 ability plus improvers.
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Platini - that has all the makings of a great trivia question. I will pop it in to one of my quizzes straight away. All I need is the answer - I just need the last KG that contained the winners of the Arc AND the three Derbys.
No need to research heavily, I can cope with just the last time three out of the four won. |
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won
ran is "wot I ment"h |
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7/4!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! Crazy price that.
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1997 blackburn??
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oops poor guess
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It is a strange world we are living in when Taghrooda, who could be withdrawn at the drop of a hot and who the riding arrangements are not yet finalised for who may possibly be facing unsuitable ground conditions ( even if she runs ) can be vying for favouritism in the KG truly mad ....even 7/2 odds her would not be generous imo
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