well done Figgis  you thought she might just stay the  mile trip and she did , she is a five year old now  , the Track   is fairly  flat and the early pace did not look too strong , these factors  helped  her to last home , she is a  great filly  and has already  proved that over the last two or three years . Dawn Approach  probably  wants a fairly  long break and a try at ten furlongs , three intense battles against   the best of the  three year old milers   which  include Toronado  have left  a mark. 

imo  there is a real distinction to be made between three year old Horses  Horses  who have  had two or three  battles with top class opponents of their own age   and  older Horses/fillies  who have been  given a planned  summer  campaign  in terms of  being at  their peak   next time out .

DOW ran well  but to my mind the one to take out of the race is Intello   who is on course for   a  good run in the Arc

Olympic Glory is obviously a decent horse as he's shown previously but I wouldn't back him in anything but a weak Gp1 on that showing. When he did get a clear run Moonlight Cloud was quickening away from him, it was only when she tired that he started to gain significantly on her. It could just as easily be argued that had Jarnet been able to hold on to her longer she would've won more comfortably. The Olympic Glory run is the type that always gets overrated, imo, as a horse with more immediate tactical pace uses its speed, begins to tire, then one with lesser ability eats into the winner's advantage late on. We shall find out next time.

Brig, yes but when OG was in the clear with no excuse it was the filly showing the better acceleration, she went away from him, it was only later when she tired that he really gained on her. As I said, OG is no mug but I wouldn't be rating him too much higher on that run than anything he's done before. Intello is a good middle distance horse, he's done me a couple of favours in the past so I have no reason to crab him but he's not got the speed of a Gp1 miler. Zoffany was also a horse with previous decent form but he was also flattered by his SJP run. Ok, that was a more exaggerated example of an inferior horse gaining late on a worthy winner but it still appeared a good run by the second, he finished in front of Excelebration that day, but didn't really go on from that. It's all about the price, the chances are that OG will be overbet next time, if he is I'll be looking to oppose him.

I see Dawn Approach is entered in the Irish Champion Stakes on 7th September.  I hope he runs.  Free money.

Is their a video of the race online anywhere - can't see it on Youtube yet?

Another point, brig, is that when Jarnet made his move OG wasn't travelling as well as he had been a bit earlier, Dettori was already riding before his path was blocked. Anyway, like I said we will find out next time with OG, MC is being given a well deserved rest.

Thansk for the link Figgis.

All I can say as an Intello place layer is

I couldn't do that Fig. It is a specialist distance and the 2nd horse clearly didn't run his race. Take the 2nd out and the race looks ordinary.
If you can't be good be lucky they say.
The three De Gueest's she won she beat Society Rock on his unfavoured ground, Whizz kid is a 5f horse and Lethal Force never ran to his best (I don't think). She was unlucky in the Marois last year and possibly lucky this year. Never ran to form in the US or the 1000 Gns and in the Golden Jubilee the where she finished 2nd to Black Caviar the 3rd and 4th home have been well beaten since and are not Gr1 horses.
Only the race against Farhh looks like a clear cut success.

How was it Society Rock's unfavoured ground?

The way she put travelled and then put clear daylight between herself and some of the best milers in Europe was devastating - as widely expected she was gasping for air in the last 100 yards but at 7f she was different gravy. Given her ideal conditions (6 1/2 to 7 1/2f on goodish ground) she is the best horse in Europe imo.

brigust1     
I just like to see races run fairly and squarely where all are suited by the trip, ground and fitness.

Races such as that are very few and far between and always have been. I remember reading some research that in most races somewhere around 50% of runners don't run to their very best marks, seems roughly about right to me.

Tbh, it wouldn't be the first time Bolger has burned one out early. Finsceal Beo was the best 1000 winner I've seen in recent years and no I'm not talking through my pocket as I was on Arch Swing at big ante post prices. I didn't like the way he campaigned her, though, and it was no surprise to see her form wane. Maybe I'm wrong and he's doing the right thing by striking while the iron's hot with a horse unlikely to develop further anyway. It was noticeable to me though how much DA improved after being rested after the Coventry last year. As I said before I'm not a fan of his aggressive campaigning.

Brig, it paid off to get him out early last year as he was a good Coventry winner but nothing outstanding, but with a near 3 month rest afterwards I had him as a well above average National Stakes winner, which he franked in the Dewhurst. People are saying how good is Toronado, best miler in training, etc, but on his latest run he was only a 1/2 length better than DA so it's not like he's been totally left behind by late maturing types. And even if Toronado is considered superior to DA the Hannon's still reckoned he needed a rest after the Sussex.

That reads like I'm knocking him Fig, but I am not. It's just how the form book reads.

Another point is Bolger campaigns all his good horses in a similar manner, are we to believe that all his good horses are precocious types without the scope for development? I find that hard to believe.

There has to be more Group races, though, just because there is more racing, we can't just have more ****, there's enough of that already. Personally I'm in favour of less racing altogether.

Tony Morris wrote an excellent article in the RP the other day about the effect the substantial increase in Group races throughout Europe and still there has only been one horse in the last 40 years capable of being considered against those of the early 70's. I disagreed with him on one point and he knows it but that's what racing is about.
And my good friends the ratings agency told me the reason the second coming came along was because there is so much racing it was statistically likely. I disagreed with that as well.

The news about DA being found with mucus alters the analysis more than a little. What I do find interesting is that Da reurned an official SP of 4/1 after being much shorter earlier. Surely there isn't anything untoward here, is there?

Sandown

Not sure why it would alter the post result analysis, though? As it was obvious that DA ran below form, whatever the reason, whether he was over the top, bounced, had mucus, etc, the result analysis would be the same, or are you talking about a different analysis?

Ah right. Don't think you could ever rule a horse like that out, I suppose it depends again on the price, but I think I would have to leave him alone in future (wouldn't be comfortable laying him) and just take it on the chin if he beats my selection.