Just seven runners for the Debutante Stakes on Sunday: the three Ballydoyle fillies (awaiting confirmation of riding arrangements) plus Avenue Gabriel (already beaten by Perhaps), Chroussa (already beaten by Tapestry), Glassatura and Sacred Aspect.

Fully expect Tapestry to win in this company and cement her claims for the Guineas. I think she's very good.

and that Goodwood maiden looks a good one now

Time not as good as it looked originally as the hcap went 0.8s quicker carrying 10lb more and even allowing for wfa won't get a great rating. But I liked the way she did it and will definitely improve for longer trip.

I wouldn't write Ihtimal off James. In addition to being beaten just over a length by Kiyoshiat Goodwood in May, form lines through Wedding Ring make her roughly two lengths inferior to the favourite, or about six pounds.
I take the point about the breeding but it looks like a straight mile will suit her and with 8/1 available about Kiyoshi and 33/1 Ihtimal at the moment, I know which is better value.
I admit, though, that Kiyoshi does have that potential flash of brilliance which the Godolphin filly doesn't have.

if Tapestry beats Perhaps today it must go close to favouritism, I'm still not convinced though, I can't understand why Perhaps is not in the betting, maybe the result today will prove why I am still a novice at ante-post betting. cheers.

Looking much further ahead, did we see 2 Classic candidates in Night Song and Casual Smile at Newmarket yesterday? I know they were a bunch of newcomers but both have good pedigrees and overcame moderate starts to run away from the rest.

We saw a couple of nice prospects in the maiden yesterday, but the winning time was quite slow and with only 4 lengths covering the first six home I doubt if the form amounts to much.  Enthusiasm for the winner is tempered by the fact that John Gosden said afterwards that he'd be looking for a conditions race for her next.

Tapestry won very comfortably under hands and heels riding and is clearly a smart filly.  The placed fillies appeared to reproduce their previous Group 3 form (more or less to the pound), so the winner can be rated about 105+ (RPR).  She's clearly capable of a higher rating when stepped up to Group 1 company and is an exciting prospect.  The Moyglare Stud Stakes will be a crucial next test, as she is likely to face the current Guineas favourite Kiyoshi.

I think the extra furlong will be right up her street and over a mile I feel we will see an even better filly. Travelled like a really good horse imo and can't wait for the clash if they go to the Moyglare.

Love the manner of Tapestry's two successes so far as she is still learning and obviously has serious raw potential .She carries no condition but I seem to recall her mother being the same - these horses from the Miesque family are never perfect physical specimens but they do have engines . She could definitely win the Moyglare but is there a guarantee she will train on given that her mother didnt ? The Moyglare is shaping up to be the juvenile fillies race of the season - Clive Britain sent Sayyadati many moons ago and seems keen to send Rizeena . Kiyoshi is earmarked also as is Carla Bianca who will represent the sponsor

There were 20 confirmed entries for this Saturday’s Gr.3 Prix du Calvados at this morning’s forfeit stage.  The race has been won by some smart fillies in recent years, notably the subsequent Group 1 and Grade 1 winners Six Perfections (2002), Confidential Lady (2005), Proviso (2007), Elusive Wave (2008) and Elusive Kate (2011).  British-trained raiders have fared well, winning 8 of the last 16 renewals.

Entries are headed by Sandiva (R Fahey), who needs no introduction to readers of this thread: her Albany Stakes form (where she was runner-up to current Guineas favourite Kiyoshi) and earlier Naas win (RPR 105) looks the strongest form on offer here; she should be suited by the step up to 7f.

Chriselliam (C Hills) is well regarded and has been working well in preparation for this; she won her maiden at Warwick in good style (showed a good turn of foot) and has the makings of a smart filly.

Feedyah (C Appleby) was slowly into stride and still green when 4th in the Star Stakes (Listed) at Sandown last time and can do better.

Hot Coffee (T Dascombe) deserves a step up into pattern company after trouncing the useful maiden Lady Lara by 4 lengths in a slowly run Haydock maiden on debut; her trainer’s two previous runners in the Calvados (Switcher in 2011 and Premier Steps last year) both finished placed and Hot Coffee looks a smarter prospect than either of those.

Lacarolina (J-C Rouget) has won her last three starts including the Prix Six Perfections (Listed) over C&D; she’s a smart and progressive filly (RPR 102) and has the best form of the French entries.

Straight Thinking (A Fabre) was strongly fancied when making a winning debut at Chantilly (comfortably on top at the finish, very slow winning time); she is clearly held in high regard and is bred to be quite smart (she’s a half-sister to Announce, winner of the Gr.1 Prix Jean Romanet over 10f).

Ice Love (T Castanheira) won the Prix de Lisieux (often a good pointer) over 6f at Deauville first time out and could be quite useful.

Richies Party Girl (W Ward) is an interesting entry: she made all to win easily at Belmont Park over 6f and there is simply no way of knowing how her form compares with the form of the European fillies.

Sandiva will need to win this if she is to remain a genuine contender for the Guineas, but she will need to be at the top of her game to beat some very promising and well regarded maiden winners.  Charlie Hills, trainer of Sandiva's Ascot conqueror Kiyoshi, seems quite bullish about the chances of his filly Chriselliam....

The Prix Morny is shaping up into an intriguing contest, especially in view of the likely change in ground conditions (heavy rain is forecast for the weekend).  Lucky Kristale, as reported in the press, has been taken out and will now run in next week's Lowther Stakes at York.  Unbeaten filly Vorda, recently purchased by Sheikh Mohammed bin Khalifa Al Thani, has already beaten four of her ten possible rivals (in the Gr.2 Prix Robert Papin) and there is no particular reason to believe that any of them will be able to reverse the form.  Collateral form suggests that she should also have the beating of the Molecomb winner Brown Sugar, but soft ground might be a concern, as she has yet to race on ground softer than good.  The Norfolk Stakes winner No Nay Never has an obvious chance, but the Ascot form hasn't worked out too well and there must be a doubt about him reproducing that form if the ground turns soft, and collateral lines of form suggest that he has a bit to find with Vorda.  Rizeena has been pleasing Clive Brittain in the build-up to this contest and she can't be ruled out with any degree of confidence, but Vorda has a great chance of emulating her sire Orpen, who won this Group 1 contest in 1998.  Longer term, there must be a doubt about Vorda getting a mile, as she is quite speedily bred and shows plenty of pace in her races, but Sunday's race will give us another chance to assess her prospects.

The Prix du Calvados on Saturday may prove a more significant pointer for the Guineas.  I'll be looking for a confidence-boosting win for Sandiva, but she is tackling four unbeaten fillies plus the useful Lacarolina and the well regarded Chriselliam among her 11 rivals, so it looks a competitive heat.

That was an impressive performance by Sandiva in the Gr.3 Prix du Calvados at Deauville.  She was drawn wide and had no cover for much of the race but came through with a smart turn of foot over a furlong out before staying on strongly to win comfortably by a couple of lengths from the Fabre filly, the pair finishing miles clear of the remainder.  Richard Fahey's filly looked a little uneasy on the firm ground at Ascot and seemed to appreciate the bit of ease in the ground today.  Make no mistake, the first two home are both smart fillies and capable of making a mark at Group 2 and Group 1 level.  The Fabre filly Straight Thinking was having just her second start and is definitely one to follow.  Surprisingly, some bookmakers left Sandiva's odds for the Guineas unchanged, so I have topped up at 16/1.  She looks sure to stay a mile and is a progressive filly.

Far too early to tell what kind of Guineas it's going to be, but I'm happy with my position on the race at the moment (Kiyoshi, Tapestry and Sandiva are the stand-out fillies at present).

Sandiva's winning time at Deauville was quite fast (1m 22.27s).  The only fillies to have clocked a faster time in this race in recent years were Proviso (2007) and Joanna (2009), and they both turned out to be smart fillies.  The official winning distances were 1½l and 4½l.

just topped up myself james, waited for your update, so far, I'm with you all the way. cheers.

Top French filly Vorda is reportedly more than likely to run in the Gr.1 Cheveley Park Stakes if all goes according to plan in tomorrow's Prix Morny.  Power bet 7/4 Vorda, 9/4 No Nay Never, 5/1 (from 7/1) Rizeena, 12/1 bar.  The money for Rizeena is not surprising, as she has been working well in preparation for this race.  I'm not tempted to back either Vorda or Rizeena for the Guineas at this stage, as they are both speedy types and not sure to get a mile next year.  The original plan with Rizeena after the Queen Mary was to run in the Moyglare Stud Stakes over 7f, but the fact that she is being kept to 6f races is perhaps significant - I can't see her coping with the likes of Kiyoshi and Tapestry over 7f at the Curragh!

You would swear Rizeena was crying out for seven furlongs after doing all her best work at the finish.

Betvictor's Lowther prices: 11-4 (from 3s) J Wonder, 3-1 Lucky Kristale, 4-1 Wind Fire, 5-1 Queen Catrine, 9-1 Reroute, 12-1 bar.  At those prices I have to back Lucky Kristale.  She's a 6-4 shot in my book, 3-1 looks massive!

wd James and Fig