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the tingle creek ..........sandown

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Replies: 285
By:
DukeofMarmalade
When: 05 Dec 12 19:38
Yes but at the end of the day the best horse still won that race.
By:
buddeliea
When: 05 Dec 12 19:40
DOM,
Thats the beauty of this game,no certainties as to what will happen in a race.

However confident one can be.
By:
FOYLESWAR
When: 05 Dec 12 19:50
something to ponder here ! paul nicholls is on record as saying sanctuaire could be the best 2 mile chaser he has trained  (paul kealy weekender )......and he aint had many good uns ! only master minded ,twist magic,azertioupe,call equiname ect ,(foyles betfair forum ) he may still not be good enough but that is high praise and around 5/2 or 3s he would be my bet to find out !
By:
alleged22
When: 05 Dec 12 19:55
agreed foyles Happy
By:
Far From Trouble
When: 05 Dec 12 20:08
Foyles, Kauto Star was a good 2 miler tooSilly



And Barry Geraghty has gone on record as saying Sprinter Sacre could be the best he's ever ridden (includes Champion Chase winners Big Zeb, Finian's Rainbow and a well known fella called Moscow Flyer - remember him?)




Both he and Mr Nicholls are/should be well qualified enough to know a top 2 miler when they see one, so it puzzles me that if Sanctuaire was indeed such a superstar then why didn't he run in the Arkle?


Answer - because he's not such a superstar. The Celebration Chase is not the first time a horse has surprise everyone by winning a competitive looking race by a wide margin, and I suspect he'll find it hard to back that up on Saturday



I'll hold my hands up if i'm wrong about this, frankly it'd make the 2m division interesting if he did put up a good scrap
By:
DukeofMarmalade
When: 05 Dec 12 20:08
Even if he was the best he'd trained (which I very much doubt) it still wouldn't be good enough in my opinion.
By:
pollybournemouth
When: 05 Dec 12 20:51
All the points are great fun but what i saw in the Paddock at Cheltenham and the race he ran Sprinter S will whack all in front of him for the next few years ! I think this animal will rank with the very best by the time he retires and as for Sanctuare beating him !!!!Laugh
By:
Brooksielad
When: 05 Dec 12 20:52
Al Ferof ran in the Arkle thats probably why, Ruby was under instructions to make the arkle a stayiing afair which was on the cards until he winded himself with that awful mistake. Anyone looked at it like this... perhaps this tank SS gets his furious gallop then finds nothing, this big massive tired horse just about getting to the other side of the last...
By:
FOYLESWAR
When: 05 Dec 12 21:04
yes as disscussed before ........we still dont know what, if, anything sprinter sacre will find off the bridle ,sanctuaire may or may not get him off the bridle, if he does then we will see !
By:
buddeliea
When: 06 Dec 12 06:44
Nice to see we are actually getting some objective comments as the race gets nearer.

Brooksie,thats a fair point you make about AF,and Ruby more or less said that the other day.
And yes,i have looked at that scenario,and its possible he may not find a lot,he did not in the Supreme and has not really been off the bridle since.
Yeh,i know he was said to be weak in the Supreme,bot nonetheless he still has his ability off the bridle to prove for me.
By:
bluebirdfan
When: 06 Dec 12 07:13
I have 66/1 on Sanctuaire for the Champion Chase but on Saturday I fully expect Sprinter to cruise past on the bridle 2 out and win by 3/4 lengths
By:
FOYLESWAR
When: 06 Dec 12 08:14
farfromt,i have been thinking about this one myself ,why didnt they run sanctuaire in the arkle ?  1. either they did not think he was good enough full stop  in which case he is probably wasting his time turning up at sandown for win purposes . 2. or they knew he was good but  being he has history of throwing a strop they did not want to test him so soon   with limited chase  expierience in a grade 1 championship race ,(they did say aintree was a possible target !) and risk bringing that to the surface again . 3 . they did not realise quite what they had untill they put him in against decent handicappers at sandown ,may be he doesnt show that much at home ! it could be anyone of these answers or a combination of the 3 ,or just as likely none of them .
of course he could be on a par with his other grade1 2 mile winners and it still may not be enough to beat sprinter sacre if he is as good as most people are saying !
By:
Masterminded
When: 06 Dec 12 10:15
The reason Sanctuaire didn't run in the Arkle was because they didn't think he was good enough. At the time the confidence was all behind Al Ferof giving Sprinter Sacre something to think about and to be perfectly honest I still think Al Ferof is probably a better horse. There were even jokes of running Sanctuaire as a pacemaker for Al Ferof in the Arkle. Is that the sort of thing you say about the best 2 miler you have ever trained? Sanctuaire has always been a talented horse but I think it's crazy talking about a horse who's won a celebration chase in the same way as the likes of Master Minded & Azertyuiop. I remember they were saying the same things about Tataniano.
By:
duffy
When: 06 Dec 12 10:57
tataniano, sanctuaire,mon parrain and even for non stop, all in their time produced an "apparent" monster performance that seemed to produce mass hypnosis.
By:
turnip turns
When: 06 Dec 12 11:25
NO.    HORSE    AGE    WGT    TRAINER RTF%    JOCKEY    OR    TS    RPR
1     2111-2    Doeslessthanme20 tb      8    11-7    Paul Nicholls70    Joe Tizzard     150    125    159
2     013401    Idarah28      9    11-7    Venetia Williams57    Liam Treadwell     145    139    152
3     826-62    Kinkeel7      13    11-7    Tony Carroll    Mattie Batchelor     69    63    83
4     4F-2F1    Kumbeshwar15 b      5    11-7    Alan King48    Wayne Hutchinson     143    137    156
5     55111-    Sanctuaire224      6    11-7    Paul Nicholls70    R Walsh     166    157    175
6     11111-    Sprinter Sacre238      6    11-7    Nicky Henderson36    Barry Geraghty     169    172    183
7     105415    His Excellency20      4    11-1    David Pipe53         147    121    154
By:
Brooksielad
When: 06 Dec 12 16:29
Kumbeshwar wins this.

Serious note though Nicholls kept conti away from Cheltenham last two season. Sanctuaire is obviously doing something right on the gallops to excite nicholls, and I'd much rather back a horse first time out trained by nicholls than Henderson and at the prices Sanctuaire is probably more of a working man's bet...
By:
mushroom23
When: 06 Dec 12 16:44
You'd swear Sanctuaire scraped home by 2 lengths in the Celebration Chase the way people are talking here.
By:
ilikewavingatbuses
When: 06 Dec 12 17:37
Good thread.

Think Sanctuaire beat Somersby fair and square tbh. Don't think the collerateral form should be looked at too literally and moreso the nature of how the race was won. This horse destroys good horses from the front with v good flat speed and super slick jumping, as good as SS.

Interesting point made by someone stating Barry should pressure Ruby early on, this would be my tactic also but I still think Sanctuaire will get a lead of a number of lengths right from the start, he has fantastic flat speed and I don't think this can be over estimated enough.

Having said all of that, Sprinter Sacre is the right price, his performances today have been something else and I expect him to come out on top. One mistake from him however and I can see him in trouble here.
By:
CVByrne
When: 06 Dec 12 17:54
I think this thread is pointless, Sanctuaire will be hard hard r@ped by Sprinter, then we can do away with time wasted discussing the division.

Sprinter Sacre is an utterly magical animal in an amazingly weak division. He will saunter home in every race this season and we'll need to see what the Arkle brings for next season.
By:
Far From Trouble
When: 06 Dec 12 17:55
CV knows Grin
By:
Brooksielad
When: 06 Dec 12 18:02
Hope your right for your sake cv :)
By:
buddeliea
When: 06 Dec 12 18:03
See absolutely nowt wrong with discussing what i(and apparently others)think is a fascinating race.

Always best to approach races with objectivity imo,even if you have a favourite who you want to be the best you've seen.
No room imo for biased,sentimental claptrap either,and to totally disregard a horse thats won his 3 chases so easily is quite frankly ridiculous and amateurish imo
But ive seen this sort of thing happen before when people get carried away with a horse.
By:
ilikewavingatbuses
When: 06 Dec 12 18:09
cv prob right but i must say i enjoy discussing the possibilities, even if they are blatantly obviously at time.

i'll get my coat.
By:
FOYLESWAR
When: 06 Dec 12 18:25
look the bookies have sprinter sacre as a 4/9 fav so he should win ! but we all know things are never as cut and dried as that ,especially in racing , we all want to see a superstar and we may well do but things happen, the unexpected happens frequently ,the way some are talking we may as well give sprinter the prize money for the tingle creek and champion chase now  in all probability he will win but  from what i have seen and at the prices i will be backing sanctuaire,  right or wrong win or lose .
and whoever wins can we have no excuses  lets give the winner whoever it may be respect (oh sprinter needed the race .or sanctuaire didnt jump as well as he could ect,ect,
By:
findthevalue
When: 06 Dec 12 18:28
can't wait to see ss on saturday,,, i only hope he doesn't make us fans look silly

personally i fancy a little place lay of sanctuaire, in an effort to break sprinter i can see him using up too much gas too early and fading in the last half mile getting passed by more conservatively ridden horses like the nicholls second string or kumbeshwar

which ever way you choose to play.....good luck
By:
festivalfanatic
When: 06 Dec 12 18:39
whoever wins can we have no excuses  lets give the winner whoever it may be respect (oh sprinter needed the race .or sanctuaire didnt jump as well as he could ect,ect,

What FOYLES said. At the end of the day, grade 1, two mile chases are about jumping fences well at speed. Most of the top rated horses have the flat speed to win.

I just don't see the event as a betting proposition (can't oppose the monster, as I have been a believer for a long time) but will be glued to the screen whilst the race is run. Pure theatre. Lets hope they both run their race and may the better horse on the day win.
By:
buddeliea
When: 06 Dec 12 18:42
thing is it should not be about fans of horses,this aint a football match!! That Gold Cup with all the Kauto and Denman scarves.......jesus!!!

in fact really we should all be fans of all horses,its they that enable us to get the enjoyment out of this sport.

We all know what SS did last season,but that should not mean every other horse should be judged so inferior and be knocked,just to try and justify an opinion of one horse.Especially when a horse comes along that has been nothing but impressive in his 3 chases,winning as he liked, 2 of which were at the course he races at in this race.
By:
FOYLESWAR
When: 06 Dec 12 18:43
one of the  reasons i put this and a few other threads up is to get other better informed  posters talking and airing their  views , i  can often  pick up some valuable snippets that i may not have latched onto and these can and do often  prove profitable !
By:
festivalfanatic
When: 06 Dec 12 18:46
Yes FOYLES, not having a bet is a brilliant way of not losing money!
By:
FOYLESWAR
When: 06 Dec 12 18:46
sorry should have said we all can gain valuable sippets ect^^^^^^^^
By:
duffy
When: 06 Dec 12 20:16
foyles, here's a valuable snippet you can latch on to...eTc, eTc, eTc.WinkWinkWink
By:
CVByrne
When: 06 Dec 12 20:24
I'm just nailing my colours to the mast for this. There is no way bar an incident like a fence blunder or inteference that will cause Sprinter to lose, if he has a clear round he'll win.

Was right when people doubted Kauto in winter 08
Was right when people doubted Fly in spring 11

Amazed that anyone is doubting Sprinter Sacre though.

The famous line from Tinkler rings true from last season, they work Sprinter Sacre on his own because they don't want to break the hearts of horses like Oscar Whiskey.
By:
FOYLESWAR
When: 06 Dec 12 20:30
thanks for that duffy lad !
By:
gutfeeling
When: 06 Dec 12 21:56
If SS comes under pressure at least we'll finally find out what he does off the bridle..If he doesn't then the QMCC is over for 2013 bar a injury,Can't wait for the weekends racing with so many great match ups and interesting horses running...
Thread has been a good read and thanks to everyone who contributed towards it,
Good luck for the weekend one and all :)
By:
thefarmer
When: 06 Dec 12 21:58
Has to be Sprinter Sacre for me. If he gets round then he wins this easily. Nothing against Sanctuaire but it seems to me that a lot of people are getting carried away but his performance at Sandown in April when he was a fresh horse having missed the festivals, running against rivals that were in all probablity over the top. Trusting end of season form is the quick way to the poor house imo.
By:
buddeliea
When: 07 Dec 12 06:49
So whose doubting SS?

for me its whose doubting Sanctuaire,and the answer quite a few.

I see no reason to doubt hes a darn good 2 miler that bowls along and jumps really well and loves Sandown,and we should appreciate a horse that runs as exciting as that.
I have no idea whether hes good enough to get SS into a race,nor does anyone else,whatever your opinion of SS is,the only proof possible will happen saturday.
No one is trusting end of season form,well i aint anyway,and i aint trusting any form with beaten horses from last season from both horses.In fact if you DID do that then look at French Opera who was having only his 3rd race of the season at Sandown.
I look at both horses and cannot find fault with either over fences.
Like i keep saying,they both win far too easily to compare the beaten horses.No one has a clue how good these 2 can be because of that,and they are both probably improving at different rates!!
In fact if you DID do that then look at French Opera who was having only his 3rd race of the season at Sandown.
Yes nail yer colours to the mast,of course,but keep an open mind imo,and dont treat horses with disdain,they dont deserve it,theres ways and theres ways imo.
By:
buddeliea
When: 07 Dec 12 06:50
gutfeeling,
Totally with yer there mate.

Good luck to you too.
By:
buddeliea
When: 07 Dec 12 06:53
In fact if you DID do that then look at French Opera who was having only his 3rd race of the season at Sandown

oops
Laugh
By:
FOYLESWAR
When: 07 Dec 12 08:13
had a lot of rain in london area since about 7.30 last night ,steady prolonged rain rather than downpours but a good few milimetres imo ,still raining now !sandown not that far from me ! anyone in the sandown area have any news on the weather there .thanks
By:
festivalfanatic
When: 07 Dec 12 08:16
COTC reports 6mm overnight - no change to the official going but got to ride slower surely?
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