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great shout from the opening poster ,Foyles, 100-1 on Cue Card was a great pick.
I'm on Cue Card too but agree with others this heavy going could definitely help the staying ability of Long Run. I hope Joe doesn't disappoint the horse and try to drop CC in. He is a naturally keen and exuberant sort, he likes to front run and see his fences. I think Joe has done quite a good job with him thus far and fingers crossed he sticks to front running tactics and gets Long Run out of his comfort zone and exposes his poor jumping. |
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I'd be very worried about the ground with Grand Cru anything worse than Good/Soft he has been beaten bar 1 race, mix that in with his recent wind op, all I can see connections doing today is ruining the horse even further.
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For Non Stop non runner.
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thanks brandy yeah hope that they point and shoot with cue card ,would hate to see him held up and pulling tizzes arms off ,ride him prominent and let him ping the fences and see what happens . one of the few in the race who have the potential to go to the top.
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if you look over the last 30 years, this race has hardly ever been won by anything priced bigger than 10/1, in fact most are 8/1 or less so I will be extremely surprised if an outsider wins but of course incidents do happen like Barton Bank falling with the race won
I've had some 7.2 Cue Card, 10 Grands Crus and 9.8 TGB and will be playing in running good luck folks, what a great race in prospect |
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think champion court has been completely overlooked here and feel he can place at a nice price captain chris is interesting also...
long run with bronco billy on board is regressive and as much as he is a price to find out that has to be taken on trust on what we have seen recently...he has been on the go a very long time and is starting to look very exposed... cue card is interesting but hasn't been trained or ridden to ever get 3 miles and that worries me personally, hazzard continually letting the horse run loose instead of reining him in and educating him...if he wins after being ridden this way he is a monster but he won't be able to pull and get home here on this ground and until the horse is ridden to get further he cannot be backed with confidence... riverside theatre is a proper grade 1 horse but has come up short in this race before the giant bolster is interesting as ran a nice prep at haydock but has never been right handed and not sure with the ground for him... anyway the race stinks with so many horses with questions to answer champion court should not be overlooked in the place market and that is where I'm at, he was over the top when beaten at aintree and needed the run last time, ground will be ok for him also, had a little of the 38's also which is an insult...captain chris has plenty to find but only goes right handed and will be trained for the minute for this after jumping very well at ascot last time... with very limited opportunities this is his big day so he is worth a poke at 20's although he has been weak on here the last week which is a slight concern but that maybe down to the ground... although the ground is against him it may help his jumping and he was ok at ascot last time on it...some will say neither are good enough but I think they are both capable of running to 170 and that maybe good enough well off to cook the roast which is a nap to be good good luck foyles with what was a good shout to start the tread off with... has been a good read... |
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With the ground as it is (heavy) i expect Long Run will take the prize 2day.
Gd luck all. |
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Final field ratings:
Horse Score Long Run 92% Captain Chris 62% Kauto Stone 61% Riverside Theatre 53% Grands Crus 50% Junior 45% The Giant Bolster 44% Champion Court 35% Cue Card 35% For Non Stop 34% Selection: Long Run The trends knew! ![]() |
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Laid Al Ferof antepost and Cue Card in running. Happy.
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nice work again joci club
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Well done LR backers.
Foyles, you got a great price but CC did not enjoy that from the outset - serious blunder at first, mistake at 2nd, took a bad bump turning away on first circuit which seemed to unsettle him even more. Must have had every chance of getting that trip on good ground; nothing went his way today (although he won at Exeter, he might well have a preference for going left handed) but you should get your cash back in Ryanair |
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Think Tidal Bay might have gone very close today in this, after all it turned into a slog, and the staying power of Long Run prevailed.
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And Dynaste's time in the Feltham was 3.5 seconds faster than the King George winning time, and he finished like a fresh horse.
You have to balance against that the fact that there was a lot of rain before / during the King George which would probably have made the ground even more testing, but still a very encouraging performance by by Dynaste. |
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I backed Dynaste thx to your trends so thank you. I was going to back Long Run but fell asleep!
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and ![]() |
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grand cru ran quicker in the feltenham. I wouldn't look to much into the times. really surprised conti hasn't shortened for the gold cup. captain Chris pleasantly surprised me and could turn up in a national one day. pretty disappointed with kauto stone thought he was going to enjoy the ground but he just seemed to get swallowed up by it. cue card as expected and as for tgb well the trainer must feel a right prat after giving it the big'n this morning. don't think we've seen the gold cup 1st 2nd or 3rd run today imo
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Agree Brooksielad. Doubt the Gold Cup winner ran in the King George today.
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Not saying he'll win it, but I'll be very surprised if Long Run's not in the first three in the Gold Cup.
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Brooksielad 26 Dec 12 22:01
grand cru ran quicker in the feltenham. I wouldn't look to much into the times. really surprised conti hasn't shortened for the gold cup. captain Chris pleasantly surprised me and could turn up in a national one day. pretty disappointed with kauto stone thought he was going to enjoy the ground but he just seemed to get swallowed up by it. cue card as expected and as for tgb well the trainer must feel a right prat after giving it the big'n this morning. don't think we've seen the gold cup 1st 2nd or 3rd run today imo He did seem to win it very easily though, which in today's conditions was all the more impressive. |
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I wonder if Pipey will think about putting Dynaste in Gold Cup - considered it last year with Grands Crus and that one must be more likely for Ryanair now.
Gold Cup looks stronger this year so he may be more inclined to go novice route with Dynaste. |
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10 of the last 11 Gold Cup winners were 1st or 2nd in either The Lexus or King George,Bring on the Lexus as i can't see LR regaining the GC.
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only about 18 months premature ^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^
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judorick 19 Dec 12 11:56 Joined: 27 Nov 11 | Topic/replies: 19,782 | Blogger: judorick's blog
It's always very interesting to see how people think about stuff and the comments they make I've had Cue Card on my mind for quite some time now and have been reflecting on everything that has happened. My conclusions are that everything he has done in his entire racing career (which consists of just 13 races since 25 Jan 2010) has been preparation for this stage of his career. He is about to embark on what will be, his trainer thinks and hopes, a career as a top class steeplechaser and next week the King George is going to reveal plenty about him and his likely future. Drawing hard and fast conclusions based on what he has done so far hardly seems worthwhile, I think the best we can do is think about the spectrum of possibilities and rank them in order of likelihood. There are doubts about his stamina, from some quarters, and people already say 'he's a two and a half miler' and so on but I remind you that there were similar doubts about Best Mate at the same age (also won the Haldon Gold Cup on debut as a 6yo). I don't think anyone can say for sure but the trainer and jockey have no doubts that he will stay. They also report him as 'much stronger' which is entirely normal for a horse about to turn 7 years old. My own opinion is that, on balance, the horse is more likely to end up a true Grade 1 staying chaser than anything else. The other possibility would be that he remains at intermediate trips and tries 3 miles now and then in King George. I think it extremely unlikely he will be tried at minimum distances. The collateral form is outstanding and I think we can already see that getting that close to Sprinter Sacre in the Arkle, over a trip too short, was an excellent effort. Indeed, Kicking King ran similarly when second to Well Chief in the Arkle and he went on to be a top staying chaser. With Al Ferof, Menorah (won a Grade 1), Sprinter Sacre and Cue Card himself all winning since the Arkle it really points to the strength of the form. Bobs Worth has of course also franked the form in no uncertain terms - we could argue all day about whether BW is better than CC as that issue is yet to be resolved. However, I do think the Arkle form is significantly stronger than the RSA chase form so it will be interesting to see how that progresses over the next couple of years. I have not had a bet in the King George but I have taken up the 'ante post offer' from VictorBet which gives you a bet to the same amount if the horse does not run and I have backed Cue Card for the Gold Cup at 33/1. If CC wins the KG and the trainer then states his intention to go for the Gold Cup, and I think he will if happens, then surely CC will be trading somewhere near the head of the market. And if CC fails to stay then he surely won't run in the Gold Cup meaning I get to use the 'ante post offer' and stick the bet on another horse or race. As I said earlier in the thread, I have looked back through the race all the way to 1980 and I have to say that Long Run is really the only horse that truly fits all the trends as a typical King George winner so I will not be surprised if he wins at all. Kauto Stone also fits quite a few of the trends (won more than 1 Grade 1 chase, won at 3 miles, won last time out etc) so he would continue the trend if he won. However, I'm hoping that Cue Card fulfills the other key trend that struck me when I was researching the last 30 odd years of the King George which is that this race has been the proving ground for top class horses. Time and again stars reveal the true extent of their ability, for the first time in their career, in the King George. Kicking King, Best Mate, See More Business, Desert Orchid, The Fellow, and I'm sure others, all displayed their class (and or ability to stay) here for the first time before going on to have fantastic careers. The race is a proving ground for stars and I'm hoping that everything Cue Card has done up to now has set him up to make a similar impact and that he turns out to be a truly top class horse. Hope I'm right, would be great to have another new superstar staying chaser around |
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Steeplechasing
Steeplechasing 26 Dec 12 17:19 Joined: 18 Jul 03 | Topic/replies: 819 | Blogger: Steeplechasing's blog Well done LR backers. Foyles, you got a great price but CC did not enjoy that from the outset - serious blunder at first, mistake at 2nd, took a bad bump turning away on first circuit which seemed to unsettle him even more. Must have had every chance of getting that trip on good ground; nothing went his way today (although he won at Exeter, he might well have a preference for going left handed) but you should get your cash back in Ryanair It`s not all about you Judo and Steeplechasing actually pinpoints races. |
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BTW Foyles must think that it is Summer time in 2014
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I know, it's Foyles thread, he takes the plaudits, had the vision from a long way out
just pointing out that I said 'the horse is more likely to end up a true Grade 1 staying chaser than anything else' well in advance of the KG, many were saying I never predicted he would stay 3 miles only yesterday, just providing the proof I had totally forgotten about this thread, it was Foyles that bumped it. |
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You had less doubts than most Judo, that`s for sure.
I didn`t like the idea of Cue Card being restrained over the extended trip and in the KG last year they were up against it on heavy ground, perhaps they should have withdrawn him in hindsight it was too much for any 6 year old. |
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So you backed Cue Card at 33s for the gold cup of 2014 Judo or last year hence the 'about 18 months premature' remark?
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judo had massive confidence and enthusiasm for the horse this season and he stuck to his guns so all credit to him and his work is beggining to bear fruit with some cracking ante post odds on cue card ,hope you got some k.george gold cup double odds judo . touch wood we will have decent ground for king george and the horse will get the chance to show his true form, the early mistakes and being buzzed up ( they seem to have got that sorted now) didnt do the horse any favours last year also trying to jump out of bad ground he couldnt get into a natural rhythm ,now they know 100% he gets 3 miles and on good to soft can see him pinging the kempton fences and getting a lot of the field at it a fair way from home.
thinking about cue cards chance in the gold cup and the more i think about it the better his chance looks as bobs worth dont look as solid as he did on paper before the betfair. 8s is very fair for cue card as if he wins the king george he will be much shorter and i think i will have some of that . bit of a speculative one i have also backed simonsig for the gold cup at massive odds a lot of ifs buts and maybes but, connections may fancy their chances and one of a few with untapped potential and plenty of room for improvement .good luck |
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no seethe stars i put up the 18 months premature comment harking to last years king george, read thread .
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ange gab well done on the ryanaire call , good insight .
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It was Steeplechasing Foyleswar, not me.
I agree with you about Cue Card and the Gold Cup, when Kauto Star won the Betfair Chase he was a similar price for the Gold Cup and i have the same feeling for Cue Card now. He is still at a backable price because of preconceived ideas about his stamina, but if you look at the roll call of Betfair Chase winners they all had enough stamina for a Gold Cup. |
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Final field ratings:
Horse Score Long Run 92% Captain Chris 62% Kauto Stone 61% Riverside Theatre 53% Grands Crus 50% Junior 45% The Giant Bolster 44% Champion Court 35% Cue Card 35% For Non Stop 34% Selection: Long Run The trends knew! ![]() |