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Breeders Cup bets and thoughts

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Replies: 201
By:
sintonian
When: 02 Nov 10 15:51
WF is a doubt.
By:
Graeme83
When: 02 Nov 10 16:02
Hmmm why fly a horse all the way over there to then casts doubts over the ground. It doesn't make sense unless they want to try and put more pressure on those who water the track ?
By:
sintonian
When: 02 Nov 10 16:07
COC saying he wont change regime of adding 10mins of water per evening.
By:
sintonian
When: 02 Nov 10 16:15
WORKFORCE, the red-hot favourite for Saturday's Breeders' Cup Turf, remains deeply uncertain for the end-of-season showpiece following his first encounter with the Churchill Downs grass on Tuesday morning.

The Investec Derby and Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe hero completed a lap of the 7f oval under big-race jockey Ryan Moore accompanied by Juvenile Turf-bound stablemate Dux Scholar.

Workforce was watched by trainer Sir Michael Stoute's assistant, Stuart Messenger, who expressed serious worries about the ground conditions, described officially as firm.

Speaking after the workout, Messenger said: "I'm extremely disappointed with the ground, I'm going to have a serious discussion with the boss. The horse is too valuable to risk."

Moore added: "The horse is fine and in good shape. The ground is quicker than ideal. We'll see how things progress through the week."

Churchill Downs' track superintendent, Butch Lehr, said on Monday that he was content with the going on the turf track and would not change his current regime of ten minutes watering every evening.

That is the only significant water the course has seen in months, with Lehr describing the lack of rain since early summer as a "freak deal".
By:
andyd08
When: 02 Nov 10 16:46
Hibaayeb has been clipped - 16s from 20s

very much reliant on fast ground

would be clear second best if running up to ribblesdale form, value?


cant see Butch pouring water on to make life easier for the euro's

he would get strung up by the home team!!
By:
Tavaris Jackson
When: 02 Nov 10 18:44
Post draw on live now

http://www.breederscup360.com/2010-breeders-cup-draw/
By:
Tavaris Jackson
When: 02 Nov 10 19:21
Goldikova drawn out wide again unfortunately.

Interesting that Ryan Moore was read out as the jockey for Paco Boy, hadn't heard that Hughes had made the decision no to go.
By:
downallstar
When: 02 Nov 10 19:25
Just confirmed Travis. Def not going.
By:
Tavaris Jackson
When: 02 Nov 10 19:34
Also interesting that Dux Scholar not in the final field for the Juv Turf.
If I'd backed Workforce I'd be very worried.
By:
Lumberg
When: 02 Nov 10 19:45
Racing Post have BC fields up and which horses are running on lasix, none of O'Brien's (according to them) are racing on lasix, is this correct?
By:
downallstar
When: 02 Nov 10 20:24
Really Lumberg?
Gary O'Brien said after his interview with APOB that they were all going to be on lasix!?
By:
Sir
When: 02 Nov 10 20:30
Workforce drawn six of eight
By:
wellchief
When: 02 Nov 10 20:31
Just looked on the RP website for the Mile and it doesn't mention Paco Boy running on Lasix.

Gio Ponti: Lasix; first preference Classic Court Vision: Lasix Get Stormy: Lasix Proviso: Lasix Sidney´s Candy: Lasix Society´s Chairman: Lasix The Usual Q. T.: Lasix

Richard Hannon Jnr was on the Morning Line last week saying he was and working well on it at home???
By:
Tavaris Jackson
When: 02 Nov 10 20:48
On the Breeders Cup preview on ATR, I can't remember who it was but he said that whispers were that all the Ballydoyle horses would be running on lasix this year.
By:
Tavaris Jackson
When: 02 Nov 10 20:56
Is it NRNB with rule 4's with every bookie now?

Would like to top up on Behkabad at 3's, not interested though if theres a significant rule 4 were Workforce not to run.
By:
Masterminded
When: 02 Nov 10 21:21
Cry please piss down over churchill downs tonight!!!
By:
wellchief
When: 02 Nov 10 22:32
TJ, only looked at 365 and Lads and both NRNB and Rule 4 may apply
By:
Tavaris Jackson
When: 02 Nov 10 23:39
Looked at a few too, Blue Sq seems to be the only one where nothing is mentioned.
By:
zilzal1
When: 03 Nov 10 00:49
These are the final decs so r4 will deffo apply
By:
gg77
When: 03 Nov 10 09:59
Paco Boy and Goldikova both been declared to run on Lasix as have all APOB's horses.
By:
sintonian
When: 03 Nov 10 11:06
Only 8 runners in the Turf ? Blimey that has cut up a fair bit.

Korrall bounced WF out from Evens to 6/4.
By:
Tavaris Jackson
When: 03 Nov 10 12:38
Does anyone know much about lasiz?

They say that first time is where you get the big advantage and that often happens 2nd time too. So does that mean that Paco Boy would have a clear advantage over Goldikova given that it'll be his first time and her 3rd? Or do they get that first time buzz again having not used it for a year?

I see Workforce is declared to run on it and Behkabad isn't.
By:
sintonian
When: 03 Nov 10 15:06
No idea tbg, Tav. I was under the impression the first time use had a positive affect.

Dangerous Midge is declared to run with Blinkers for the first time .. not sure what to make of that.
By:
ben10
When: 03 Nov 10 15:27
Potentially not much pace on and blinkers may just keep him sharp enough to make the most of that by racing prominently and kicking early. Looking forward to him running now Happy
By:
ben10
When: 03 Nov 10 15:33
I thought this was Goldi's second time on it? As far as I know it's an anti bleeding drug that basically ensures the horse breaths easier and can run right to the line, would say it improves most horses every time they use it, not sure it's a buzz drug?
By:
zilzal1
When: 03 Nov 10 15:38
I'll see if there is any in the Kitchen and report back after ive had a jogPlain
By:
Winnerallrite
When: 03 Nov 10 17:08
Have settled with the below, im not too considered with the draw as i make it if the jockey is good and the horse is class then it doesnt matter from where it comes, Quality Road, Here Comes Ben and Goldikova are the 3 bets of the evening for me.
I will not hear of defeat.

let it begin :)
By:
Tavaris Jackson
When: 03 Nov 10 17:13
lol

That is kind of what I was wondering Ben. Does it improve every horse every time, if so why the big deal about 1st time lasix?
By:
Masterminded
When: 03 Nov 10 17:15
Is Betfair now NRNB?
By:
Arsene
When: 03 Nov 10 17:19
Richard Hannon jnr also said on The Morning Line that Lasix works a bit like a diuretic and the horse can lose additional weight.

I know he ran a poor race at Newmarket the other day (although I can forgive him a bit as the race developed on the stands side and he was drawn much wider), but no-one talking about Delegator in the Mile. A turning track to allay stamina doubts and on Lasix too, the 20's available seem a big price to me
By:
ben10
When: 03 Nov 10 17:27
I think the big deal about first time is that they can do something they haven't done before, all horses bleed to an extent as far as I know and this drug keeps their airways clearer which is very important towards the end of a race when they need to take in as much air as possible to prevent anaerobic respiration (and therefore cramping).
By:
Tavaris Jackson
When: 03 Nov 10 17:38
Yes MM day of race markets are up.

That seems logical ben, thanks.
By:
Masterminded
When: 03 Nov 10 17:41
thanks tav
By:
MickInGoldersGreen
When: 04 Nov 10 00:47
Yes Ben you are correct - Goldi didnt use it (lasix) at SA in 2008 but did last year at SA - as for the draw I dont know what all the fuss is about - Goldi can win from up with the pace (2008) or do a Zenyatta and run them all down as she did last year - she is a bank job - Sidney should lead from the start but I can see goldi and paco charge him down - there you have your trifecta.

As for Zenyatta - come sat evening it's 20 for 20.......
Workforce is a place lay in my book! If he even turns up!
Winchester great value e/w - a certainty!

Just my opinions...........
By:
Tavaris Jackson
When: 04 Nov 10 12:12
Goldikova was 13/8 to beat G3 winner Delegator and G2 winner Zacinto last year.

She's 5/4 to beat 3* G1 winner Paco Boy, 6* G1 winner Gio Ponti, 4* g1 winner Proviso and G1 winner Sidney's Candy.

She's also drawn wide.

No doubt in my mind that she's the best horse in the field but a bank job at 5/4 she most certainly is not!
By:
sintonian
When: 04 Nov 10 13:09
Delegator is an interesting shout by Arsene imo, he had a hard campaign last season and been lightly raced this time around. According to Dettori in his interview on ATR the horse also had bad feet this time last year. FWIW.
By:
QuinnC88
When: 04 Nov 10 13:16
Bright Horizon in the marathon-Get On!
By:
ClayDavis
When: 04 Nov 10 15:38
interesting the us jocks describing turf course as soft
By:
Tavaris Jackson
When: 04 Nov 10 15:51
Put up a few quid yesterday to place lay Zenyatta at 1.66 and I was  little surprised that it was taken so quickly so went back today with more at 1.5 which was also snapped up, maybe I could have been a bit meaner!

Need Charlton or someone to tell me what price she should be!
By:
andyd08
When: 04 Nov 10 17:31
forecast for rain/snow showers tomorrow

its absolutely baltic by the look of the numbers

ground could have cut in it yet!
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