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I will start with in order of return....
WESTWOOD - I think this course suits him. Price about right? PIERCY - Very consistent scoring here last year GRACE - Caoable of mixing it and price appealed. A small but select bunch. Lets see how they go. |
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apparently last six winners have played the week before
http://www.sportinglife.com/golf/news/article/2/8997737/sheshan-to-suit-prolific-dustin |
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Got to agree with Bannahan.....struggled to get value and only one partial matched so far, M Thompson @950.
Then again there are 77 entries..... |
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fingers too itchy. added rett bumford $10 @ 120
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Gone with 5 for starters,
Snedecker McDowell Oosthuizen Coetzee Ilonen. Really hope Daniel Popovic has a good week, enjoyed his run last year to win the Aus PGA |
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Make it 6 added Brendan Grace
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Layers on the ball this week
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All Hallows Eve WGC HSBC Champions 2013 First Round Selections.....
J.Rose +£340 S.Garcia +£280 P.Casey +£115 J.Spieth +£86 B.Snedeker +£240 F.Molinari +£75 P.Ulhien +£100 G.Delaet +£116 H.Matsuyama +£110 K.Aphibarnrat +£545 T.Jaidee +£260 D.Lynn +£2,800 and D.Ernst +£4,250. 13.....seem appropriate ! ![]() |
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I'm no expert on golf but I do follow it. I know nothing compared to you guys but I'm learning slowly!
Anyway, in my eyes "Gay" looks good for 630, what do you think??? |
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Oops. Liability -£130.
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Welcome sheppy. I think he is 630 for a reason, nothing unusual about the price. Don't let me or anyone else put you off though, if you like it, go for it.
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sheppy this starts thursday
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Thanks rhino!
I spend a lot of time looking at the prices and checking players out, and it stuck out for me yesterday. I actually backed him @ 580 damn it, but this happens to everyone doesn't it! The thing is, if I'm thinking about backing someone I have to do it so I won't beat myself up if he wins! Enjoying reading all your posts and learning loads from it... |
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Thanks pokeron, I get mixed up with the time zones!
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No probs sheppy. I learned lots from the forum when I started on the golf and now I'm an addict
In a good way though Great sport to bet on. |
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Yes it is. I like the fact that it's not completely dominated by anyone. Well I wasn't in to it when Tiger was winning anything. That must've been bad for betting purposes???
Don't get me started on Sebastien Vettel!!! |
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Sheppy , when Tiger was in overdrive golf was the easiest place to make profit . Basically all you had to do was figure out if the course suited Tigers game ( par 5 gimme birdies ) , back him and trade out when he went low . Lots of people on here owe decent bank balances to Tigers prowess !
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Gawd.....only £2 matched @55 for L Donald before a queue jumper(s) decided to lump on @48......ever heard of a queue.
![]() ![]() A bit On C Wood. |
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Bet on the Saffas terrific value. Added a few more on top
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Right Kelly, I didn't realise that. I've lost quite a bit of money laying Tiger on here over the last few years. It's bloody typical that the only tournaments he's won are the ones I opposed him!
I'm glad he's not playing tomorrow cos he scares the crap out of me! We've all got heroes that have made us money but he definitely isn't one of mine! A brilliant golfer though! |
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You can still make money backing tiger at his fav courses and better odds than 6 years ago!
![]() Two of my pics this week are no doubt two of the best putters in the universe: Molinari and Westwood ![]() ![]() Well they might have a good week on the greens this week hopefully |
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Why's Billy Haas 4times the price of boy wonder?
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Glad to see this back at Sheshan as i reckon this is actually a really good golf course.It could be doing with a few more electricity pylons and industrial chimneys in the background to give it that authentic Chinese golf course feel though.
I rate this as a ball strikers course and I've gone with 2 guys i think fit the bill.Both have never played here before though which may prove a drawback. Matsuyama - Bit of a disappointment over the weekend in Malaysia last week but i'll forgive him that as he's not done much wrong this year.Seems to have a pretty solid all round game,although i have noticed he does tend to miss the odd short putt.Taken him E/W @ 40s in the hope that this course will suit him. Donaldson - His tournament in China last week was basically done and dusted after a first round 79 but i thought he done well to play each of the following 3 rounds in sub par totals,even more so after his best mate Dyson was bombed out after the 2nd round.Previous to that played some really good rounds in Portugal and at the Dunhill Links without being able to put together 4 good rounds at either tournament.Has had some decent results in China before and i'm hoping this course will play to his strengths.Took the 130s win only on here and 18s for a Top 5 finish with the bookies. Good luck. |
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Thomas Bjorn. 70/1 E/W. Improved with each round last week after an average start. Plenty of experience in this part of the world. One of the best out there with the wedges and putter, and with these large undulating greens the poorer putters will struggle, IMO. (Yes... I know that Molinari won here, but he does hole them sometimes.)
Jimmy Walker. 66/1 E/W. A slight doubt that he may be "over golfed", but the form horse in the race, so couldn't leave him out. Mikko Ilonen. 225/1 E/W. Another good'un on the greens. I'll forgive him last week's blow out. He finished 2nd in this year's China Open, albeit on a different track, and against a vastly inferior field, but it hopefully showed that he is comfortable here. Also taken him on here @ 520s. David Howell. 135/1 E/W. Another brilliant putter, returning to the "I spanked Tiger" scene. He will relish being back here. Also on here @ 245 Gregory Bourdy. 125/1 E/W Good luck peeps. |
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Peter Hanson 48
Jimmy Walker 60 Scott Hend 400+ George Coetzee 200+ Scott Piercy 160 Are my hopeful selections. |
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Apart from mengmeng , no one apparently fancies Rory . No bet yet myself , but I posted up elsewhere that I saw some sign that Rory was gaining control of his approach shots in his game vs Tiger ( short coverage ) . So keeping a watching brief on Rory .
Strange thing is , that despite the coolness shown to Rory's chance ( justifiable given his recent record ) he has contracted steadily in from 15 to 12.5 . Someone fancies his chances ! |
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Moved some Matsuyama to the Rat at 110, traded Liang and added Louis, back on Walker at 70. Ready to go.
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Phew! Has anybody actually backed any golfers that haven't gone up in price!
All mine have damn it! |
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The aggressors hoovered up Haas
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Fowler into 54
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Peter Hanson has been out for two months with a back injury and only came back last week to defend his BMW Masters title. He showed how rusty he was with an opening 79 but closed with a 63 to finish 8th. He has often played well in China before and indeed has been 3rd and 6th here at Sheshan. If he is back on song then the 50/1 is a generous price 0.5 ew
The other two prices I simply don't understand - Thomas Bjorn who has been 8th and 5th in China this year and back in 2005 he was 5th here on his debut. It was only the beginning of last month that he won in Switzerland and earlier this year was 4th,2nd and 2nd in consecutive events so how can he be 70/1? 0.3 ew Jimmy Walker finally won on the PGA tour earlier this month and followed that up with a 12th the next week despite the obvious celebrations that would have taken place. He then flew onto Malaysia where he struggled in the opening round shooting a 74 some thirteen shots behind eventual winner Ryan Moore. He closed well after that finishing 6th only three shots out of the playoff. He is in superb form and I was surprised to see him pushed out to 66/1 0.4 ew |
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added watney eachway aswell as my win bet on rory
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Thanks muppet, you've just influenced me into backing Thomas Bjorn.
I'll send you a Xmas card if he wins! |
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Watney got plenty going for him so my pick @ 60...gl all
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Bjorn is overgolfed, played ok last week but had been woeful for a month or so, needs a break, I'd avoid him like the plague personally.
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Bjorn over golfed ???
The guy took a whole month off after his win in the mountains. Since then he has played the Seve Trophy, Portugal, and last week. I would hardly call that a punishing schedule. He's had his break. |
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Old guy like him needs 3 months rest, no chance this week,
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I've backed Bjorn to qualify for Ryder Cup at 16/1, erm, no way he is overgolfed pal, not playing enough golf!
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as the time approaches i'm pretty excited. live coverage like last week's cimb for me in australia in 'normal working hours'. have to cash in and attempt some plays and let my itchy fingers get busy. laid some rat @ 80's as he was 81 on betstar like i said, now i've rebacked @ 120. overall stake on him $75 instead of original $50, but at better odds. dude can go low and not exactly playing like a mug right now.
plus, out of left field, a $100 free bet on dustbin @ 34 and going to move some of it onto someone else at somethings at some stage (on poulter/ernie/ishikawa/bjorn/horschel watch) ![]() dustbin looks pretty happy travelling around with wayne gretzky's daughter, and here's hoping his last week spent in china albeit not playing can help break the 'last six winners have played the week before' stat. it's something that sneaky, luke and duffman have to 'overcome' as well, not playing last week. but i dont think they've been in china for that long but i may be wrong. |
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$5 dustbin first round leader @ 34's just for sh1ts and giggles. this first round leader thing is like playing the progressive at the casino. never frickin hits
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