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Advance thoughts on The Open
Advance thoughts on The Open
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Replies: 320
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why is karlson 420/1
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Because that what the layers are offering for him........
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mmmmm
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Big Bob Garrigus, a very interesting price.
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Would want 1000 for Garrigus....
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Karlsson is a great price but I will always say that
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hot an cold player
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Xmoney and you ridiculed me for saying accuracy is the key stat
 Avoiding the rough and bunkers and you will go very close. Forget people like Quiros and Garrigus |
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Load up on the ones that hit fairways, the best value left out there is Ramsay, a great price.
Boo, Moore, Deleat, huh also fit the bill |
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I did eric
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Duke has more chance of winning than Quiros.
 Bourdy, T. Clark are others in my team. I wanted to load up on one more but don't think I will get the chance  |
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De La Riva fits the bill.
18th driving accuracy, 13th G.I.R. Not great putting or scrambling stats, but one of the more likely 1000 shots, and I AM ON. Missed cut last week, without disgracing himself. 3rd at the French, week before, and a good showing at The Irish. |
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With you there maggot. Showed so e good form these last few weeks as well.
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Yang and KJ fit the bill as well. They have the nouse to plot their way around.
Furyk top of the US accuracy stats is also worth a punt. |
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better saying the no hopers
30m Ian Poulter @IanJamesPoulter Playing with @WestwoodLee tomorrow at 12.50, always a good laugh. Details Reply Retweet Favorite |
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Struggle to understand why some of the names are mentioned on here, like De La Riva, bourdy and the like, in the Open even if a player like that is 5 clear going into the back 9 on Sunday they probably wont win, even if you got a 1000/1 you took a price thats way too short! I understand of course for trading purposes but the way some folk post their thoughts they actually think they can win ! My rule has always been with long shots in golf, is "If they are in contention on the last day, have they shown enough to suugest that they can see the win out?" If thats not the case forget it, there are plenty of players out there who can mix it with the best for two, maybe three, maybe 3 1/2 rounds but only the best can do it for four in a major.
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Gmt, we all have different approaches.
Getting a 1000-1 shot down to 50-1 and trade over to the favourites you think can win is a valid method. Putting your lot on say Rory at 28-1 who then fails to make the cut is just as stupid. Which ever method you use it's all about getting some green on the board come Sunday afternoon. |
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Ericthecat..
I agree, I just feel there are some 100, 200 shots that will give you a trading option but also CAN win! For example you could have 150.00 for Keegan Bradley and if he was leading on day 4 he would trade very short, whereas if you took 750.00 for Gregory Bourdy and he was in that position he would be very unlikely trade short ! By the way I dont see Bradley doing well ! |
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Yes, agree. But in my team of 36 you get to cover a lot of possibles from Rory through Horschel, to walker and ending with De la Riva. As I said I am just looking for 1 come Sunday afternoon. My criteria was mainly based on accuracy off the tee. Del la Riva and Bourdy come high in that category and at 1000-1 and 750-1 it's pretty harmless selections.
Of course your Mahans, Furyks and Delaets have greater chances |
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open radio on the app starts 2pm today
general talk,up dates,rumours |
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fred will be e/w 8 places wednesday between 10am and 6pm.
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paddy now 10 places e/w
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pp source: open tweet
on site e/w top 7 only |
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Was shocked by one stat I found, Serg Garcia is top of strokes gained putting this year
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Do we know how bad the rough is? It's a short course, and news reports today said Tiger hit a 285 yard 4 iron, so the course must be super firm. If the wind isn't up, and without the incentive to pull driver, the rough will need to be penal to defend the course. A Royal Liverpool plan of attack from Tiger would not surprise.
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https://mobile.twitter.com/IanJamesPoulter/media/grid?idx=2&tid=356483716073271297
Poulter tweeted pic Monday---looks brutal--you won't see many drivers |
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Cheers x, he is right, looks like hay. Let's hope they have a nice buffer so the crowds can't trample it. Might even see a few balls not found within 5 minutes. Tiger's elbow may very well be a concern if he gets in that a few times.
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if wind gets up while your player is in running,you could be out of contention in 45 mins
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Stuff like this happens right?
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vJXmoHUkMIQ |
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81,then 65 next day,so UNLUCKY
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http://m.youtube.com/watch?feature=fvwrel&v=922aUf3haWI
this can happen to any player |
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the PPower 10 places offer is new accounts only according to oddschecker
laddies only 6 places but win stake refunded as free bet if English winner |
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windfinder.com a few days ago forecast ~ no wind. Now they forecast 7 knots on Thursday.
If it gets to 10 mph with firm fairways it will be interesting. Muirfield is a circle withing a circle. It will be from left, right, into, and helping over the 18 holes. |
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I got a feeling the course will play like a cross between the Masters and the US Open, with more emphasis on the Masters.I think Day is a very solid chance and then Kuchar and Rose. These are my top three. Obviously on a few others at big odds but these are my triumvirate!
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matt kuchar clubs lost in transit,still to practice muirfield
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Still very happy to be on Kuchar
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there a few plays that play 9 holes each practice day---which I think is better
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Anybody fancy Mahan?
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yeah hes pretty solid
but i don't want to end up like gmt---top 100 |