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A one off -Part 2.

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Replies: 791
By:
Knight Rider
When: 14 Jul 10 15:32
btw have added some more Kuchar so he is +£635k now.  Also increased my position on our friend Dustin J to 300k.  Was hoping to take Moore to 7-figures but unfortunately Tindall has tipped him up so that destroyed the price.
By:
Insideshrewdie
When: 14 Jul 10 16:10
great reading Frames enjoyed the thread immensely last year and good luck to match the 09 prof.......I am on Els, Rose, Kaymer and VJ Singh heavily and another 12 or so to smaller stakes.  If Kaymer gets his putting going 48 is a good price, but he hasn't clicked yet.  Agree with many on Ernie and think he will be a rock solid proposition in the wind. GL all
By:
frames
When: 14 Jul 10 16:45
Thanks.I just go into the weeek as with any other ,hope to play the game well,have good concentration and most importantly get lucky.
Looks highly likely I will be starting the tournament with a fairly empty book and will just play it as it goes.Will post my opening positions before the start tomorrow morning.
Good luck all.

KR ,did Furyk get anywhere near your US team ?
By:
Knight Rider
When: 14 Jul 10 17:21
Furyk is borderline but I left him out.  Not a massive fan of his really, I know he's won twice this year but wasn't exactly prolific before that, he's just one of those consistent types that never really lights it up over 72 holes.

That said, 60 is very tempting, have put an order in at 65 and will have a nibble if someone lays that.
By:
Take My Money, I Don't Want It
When: 14 Jul 10 20:28
Any feelings on Robert Karlsson KR?
By:
arnie99
When: 14 Jul 10 20:59
Best bet is Phil Michelson for me.

Think he will handle the weather and he has the class to take it all the way, hopfully.
By:
Stake & Chips
When: 14 Jul 10 21:03
frames     14 Jul 10 11:11 
It was a full on brawl when he put his approach to 5 ft.

I see now when you load a bet up it shows current figures as well as your position when the bet is taken under each players name.


Not sure if you have noticed already frames, but there was a site "upgrade" last night, and some of the preference settings were changed. If you want to revert back to normal, click on More Options in the market and untick "Display What If".

Good luck for the week, was a great fred last year. My own fancy for the week is McDowell....so, lay, lay lay Laugh
By:
DONEMYLOT
When: 14 Jul 10 21:10
This isnt a tipping competion thread, this is a lesson on how to survive palpatations and heart murmers during play !

As the man says, in the end, it is just numbers...I look at the % play rather than the figures...if we start getting KR and ETE figures on board, it's gonna look like Tesco's end-of-year accounts
By:
Enola Gay
When: 14 Jul 10 21:13
For what its worth, here they are...


Justin Rose                +1270
Padraig Harrington         +1080
Luke Donald                +2030
Charl Schwartzel           +5730
Oliver Wilson              +4680
Simon Dyson                +4980
Simon Khan                 +7130
Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano  +7730

Rest of the field          -270


Good luck everyone Happy
By:
ronsk
When: 14 Jul 10 21:25
My starting (ish) position... Have flirted with getting 'Himself' on board a few times, but I just cannot bring myself to do it... Let the fun and games begin!


Henrik Stenson  120  £97.31  £11,579.89
 
Vijay Singh  140  £15.00  £2,085.00
 
Charl Schwartzel  140  £20.00  £2,780.00
 
Alvaro Quiros  130  £20.00  £2,580.00
 
Rhys Davies  160  £10.00  £1,590.00
 
Ryo Ishikawa  190  £20.00  £3,780.00
 
Matt Kuchar  160  £15.00  £2,385.00
 
Thomas Bjorn  220  £20.00  £4,380.00
 
David Duval  350  £10.00  £3,490.00 
 
John Senden  540  £5.00  £2,695.00
 
Thomas Levet  550  £5.00  £2,745.00 
 
Richard S. Johnson  1000  £3.14  £3,136.86 

 
Field  -£240.45
By:
sewter lives again
When: 14 Jul 10 21:27
Knight Rider, have you got Jeff Overton onside?

I feel he fits your overpriced, underestimated PGA players profile-a bit worried by his latish start on Thursday but otherwise think he has a chance
By:
sofiakenny
When: 14 Jul 10 21:32
Stricker is in great form can play links golf well and is a stonking bet this week.
By:
alun2005
When: 14 Jul 10 21:35
Really enjoyed last year's thread Frames. Glad to see we are embarking on another effort this year.

Good luck all. I haven't had a bet yet.
By:
donny osmond
When: 14 Jul 10 21:40
overton is my only bet (so far)

i really fancied  rose but missed the good prices

way too unpredictable with this weather forecast for me

lets see where we are friday night

good luck to all

esp those brave enough to stick their positions up
By:
Happy Shankers
When: 14 Jul 10 21:40
At last, a decent thread on the golf forum. Well done Frames!

Here's my backs to date:

Ernie Els       23       £95.00       £2,090.00
Ref: Bet matched:
Justin Rose     23     £95.00     £2,090.00
Ref: Bet matched:
Padraig Harrington     28     £75.00     £2,025.00
Ref: Bet matched:
Graeme McDowell     38     £55.00     £2,035.00
Ref: Bet matched:
Steve Stricker     42     £50.00     £2,050.00
Ref: Bet matched:
Robert Karlsson     150     £20.00     £2,980.00

Also backed Moore and Overton at PP for the EW value.

Good luck all.

Ps. Still waiting for Bito's 1st round leader tips..........
By:
durant
When: 14 Jul 10 21:43
love this thread , my book is and will be constantly changing until tee off so i will post then my figures :)
By:
Mighty Whites 2008
When: 14 Jul 10 21:56
looks like everyone is chipping in with their positions so i will join the party.

Got a bit of green during the us open on the likes of Johnson, McDowell, Ishikawa.

Managed to lay woods at 6.4 for 3k and then backed at 8s 2500 and got a 500 green on everyone have had a few speculative punts and will start

400 the field

fowler 3000
casey 1000
moore 2100
karlsson 2000
day 700
glover 4800
sim 5700
mcneill 5600
senden 5000
kelly 8000
By:
Mighty Whites 2008
When: 14 Jul 10 22:01
forgot to include 1300 on woods
By:
Knight Rider
When: 14 Jul 10 22:54
Sewter, I did try to get on Overton at 200 but only got 50 quid matched.  Not gonna back him at 150 but if he's in contention on Sunday you will get some enormous value so I'm sure Ill do well if he ends up winning Happy
By:
KP22
When: 15 Jul 10 00:07
Very rare poster but regular forum reader and followed last years thread throughout, mainly good banter, insightful posts and minimal garbage which is a rarity on here open week! Looks like a few posting books this time so although a novice will give it a go also. Book at start of play, shamlessly based upon reasoned picks on here and elsewhere, with my own limited knowledge/research thrown in also.

Lays to lose around 1k each
McIlroy
Mickelson
Rose
Harrington
Poulter
McDowell
Stricker
Donald
Casey
Fisher
Moinari F
Clarke
Ogilvy
Choi
Watson T

Decent Greens
D Love III 11.3k
Kjeldsen 5k
Yang 5.2k
Bubba Watson 3.1k
Quiros 2.3k
Goggin 2.3k
Singh 2.3k
Anderssen Hed 4k

Field 245

Good luck all!!
By:
ericthecat
When: 15 Jul 10 00:08
well the press and BBC pundits top 3 winners are

Woods
Harrington
McIlroy

I have backed all 3 to date, may lay woods tomorrow dependent?
By:
Don No1
When: 15 Jul 10 00:14
Great thread last year, good luck all Cool
By:
frames
When: 15 Jul 10 05:48
Morning all.
As always the first day is the most important for my book ,I will have good idea tonight if it`s to be a losing or winning week.I have ended up laying Tiger before the off at 7.6 ,bad timing for a start off.I just don`t like risking him going in-play before laying.I still have a bit of room to lay him again if he makes the fast start but don`t really want to have that choice.
It`s all about laying as many of the fancied runners as possible today ,ideally they all make a fast sart but we know that can`t happen.I have layed a few overnight as there have been a few shorteners.Kicking myself for not laying Westwood earlier in the week,now out to 30.

Opening book.

Field 5.8k(have 1.2 tied up so it should be 7k when it starts hopefully)
Tiger -20k
Rose  -16.1k
McIlroy -14.8k
McDowell -18k 


Have layed some rags this year which is something I have been doing for a few months now ,a bit new and a bit risky.

Clarke -42k
Bjorn -34.6k
Watson -45.8k
Faldo -49.2k

I hope to update every hour or so and will just quote the field,Tiger and any layed since the last update.
Good luck all and as usual ,take it easy Tiger (no odds on at the turn please).
By:
frames
When: 15 Jul 10 06:04
I would like to add it`s good to see more people posting positions this year.It`s good to see all the different approaches and follow how it pans out over the four days.
By:
Eddie the eagle
When: 15 Jul 10 06:33
Good luck this year frames... 
  I haven't layed anything this year as I'm off to Turkey in a couple of hours and wont get much time there to be online working on a book.
   Have backed a few players though just to have an interest in the tournament.
  My backs are Oosthuizen , Cink , Dufner , Mcneill , Dyson , A Hansen , Na , Petrovic , Kelly and Garrido.
  The first four being the biggest green.
By:
Chosen®
When: 15 Jul 10 06:48
In the end I made three lays the mainstay of my book: McIlroy (@17 - Xmas come early), Rose (@22 Xmas in July), and Woods (average 7.2 - summer Hogmanay). At this stage either one will cost me 2k and the field will get me a nice Xmas bonus of about 500 (AUD, not GBP). At bigger odds for trading I've taken a flier with Noren @ 630.

They're off. Good luck to all.
By:
Alfie Green
When: 15 Jul 10 06:49
Morning all.

I think this is the tournament that Tiger will turn things around in....on his favourite course and a strategy/putting contest. At the moment, my book reads..

Tiger 25, Mickleson 10, Els 10, Furyk 6, Casey 10, O Hair 5, Karlsson 8, Ishikawa 15, Davies 15, Hansen S 8, Dredge 15, Weir 8, Glover 5, Duval, Montomery, Watson, OMeara, Noren all 10, Lehman 50.

Field -7
By:
Aussie Driver
When: 15 Jul 10 06:50
Ok now for the action. A few dropped off my final back list due to price firms (F Molinari, Gallacher, Rose, Bjorn). On top of that, I scaled back slightly on the outlay and profit positions of those backed in a couple of cases. Final list is as follows:

Kaymer
Donald
Furyk
Cabrera
E Molinari
Schwartzel
Allenby
Davies
P Hanson
Jaidee
Canizares

Best of those from a profit after commission perspective is Jaidee @ $7,598, weakest of those is Donald @ $3,533

Field is minus $550.

Gl all looking forward to a wonderful 4 days
By:
Flashbadger.
When: 15 Jul 10 07:14
Some will know me here - I do pretty big books (not Knight rider esque - probably the same as framnes)  My book is a complete mess at teh moment....  some trades went bad some big drifters,,, 

At present I am +55k the field.. and -20k on my worst guys..  I still have some fixing to do but at the prices I will be on the following and against teh following

On
Strick
Mic
Casey
Donald
DAvies
Gay
karlson
weir
verplank
kjedlson

Against
Woods
els
mcdowell
ghoosen
molinari
watson
loads more on -10k but so many cant be bothered to list just now.....

Good luck all...  Ps my main backs were guys with good putting stats - I think this will be a putting contest as the rain will negate alot of the long drive angle
By:
Total Bosman
When: 15 Jul 10 07:18
No position to report, but it`s 7.17 on day one and I`m officially sick of the phrase "home of golf".
By:
Flashbadger.
When: 15 Jul 10 07:22
Heh heh -  Im not a fan either TB - stupid phrase....

on a side note my brother (theplaymaker) been living in the states for 18 months now was still bigging you up for your Bet dustin Jonson b4 round 3 ended in taht rain delay tourney -   Your still a legend to him as it gave him one of his biggest wins!
By:
Total Bosman
When: 15 Jul 10 07:34
Haha, yeah that was a good`un, glad your bro made a bit as well...all those hours glued to the weather sites paid off with that one!
By:
matt106
When: 15 Jul 10 07:59
Morning all, done very little so far but have bobby k, yang, kaymer and stricker so far. toyed with tiger at 7.6 and was going to back him this am if he drifted over night... just woke up and he's in 100 ticks Laugh
By:
Chosen®
When: 15 Jul 10 08:06
If Rory shortens any more pre off it'll be a crime not to double my exposure
By:
pantsonfire
When: 15 Jul 10 08:24
Thanks to all who have contributed to this thread, it has almost restored my faith in the forum.
For what it is worth I have layed the Tiger and have small backs of JB Holmes and Shane Lowry.
No pictures for me for the whole 4 days, also plus 10 hours GMT, I will be relying on scoreboards{God help me} and updates from the forum.
Be lucky.
By:
Aussie Driver
When: 15 Jul 10 08:25
Where are you Pantsonfire? Must be somewhere near me
By:
BradleyWiggins
When: 15 Jul 10 08:26
So many hopes and dreams...
By:
pantsonfire
When: 15 Jul 10 08:28
Doubt it AD. I am in Vladivostok, Russia.
By:
Eddie the eagle
When: 15 Jul 10 08:28
Most on this thread are at least still in with a chance , unlike you in France at the moment....
By:
Aussie Driver
When: 15 Jul 10 08:30
Ok. Just going by the time difference you posted
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